Dr Bob NFL
Here is his hoops
2 Star Selection
College of Charleston (-5) over ELON
04-Dec-08 04:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take College of Charleston at -6 points or less in a 2-Star Best Bet.
2-Stars at -6 or less.
3 Star Selection
Detroit (+4 1/2) over WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE
04-Dec-08 05:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Detroit in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 2-Stars at +2 ½ or +2 points.
3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars at +2 1/2 or +2.<!-- / message -->
Here is his hoops
2 Star Selection
College of Charleston (-5) over ELON
04-Dec-08 04:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take College of Charleston at -6 points or less in a 2-Star Best Bet.
2-Stars at -6 or less.
3 Star Selection
Detroit (+4 1/2) over WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE
04-Dec-08 05:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Detroit in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 2-Stars at +2 ½ or +2 points.
3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars at +2 1/2 or +2.<!-- / message -->
JEFFERSONSPORTS
33-12 in College Hoops (73%)
40-19-1 in the NFL last 60 picks (68%)
48-28 all sports run (63%)
33-12 in College Hoops (73%)
NCAA HOOPS
KENT ST+1
KENT ST OVER 138
OKLAHOMA OVER 139 (get on quick)
NBA
PHOENIX+4.5 (nash playing)
released a while ago, dont play if lines moved too much
33-12 in College Hoops (73%)
40-19-1 in the NFL last 60 picks (68%)
48-28 all sports run (63%)
33-12 in College Hoops (73%)
NCAA HOOPS
KENT ST+1
KENT ST OVER 138
OKLAHOMA OVER 139 (get on quick)
NBA
PHOENIX+4.5 (nash playing)
released a while ago, dont play if lines moved too much
vegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
103 OAK 10.0 (-110) Bodog vs 104 SDC
Analysis:
*** NFL "PRIME-TIME" 2* WAGER *** (POSSIBLE UPGRADE)
I wanted to get this Bet up here early because I have been informed that the "Outfits" will be looking to Buy up all the +10, that they can find...and right now, there are still many outs using this line, based on the work coming in on San Diego...
I also want to point out that if we see that the concensus is willing to take this down to where a Teaser on SD can will offer them at a FG or less...it will be a very telling sign that they also agree with the Sharps, that this line is just way too high...
For starters, the Chargers have been way over-valued by LVSC, who would not lower them in their rankings, even when they were under .500...with many AFC teams appearing much stronger...And because of their lack to adjust, we have seen the Chargers a favorite in 8 of their L/10 games...
More importantly, the Chargers have only won "1" game over their L/6...and that was a 1 POINT WIN AT HOME vs KC !!!
Now you may feel that since I am focusing on the Chargers, that this may be more of a play against them...than it is on the Raiders...And, that may not be too far from the truth, because when you are looking for an edge...realizing that the one side is a much higher favorite than they should be, is just as good as realizing that the opponent is stronger than the line refelcts...
But in this scenario tonight...there are much more factors in play...
When these 2 teams met for the 1st time this season...the Final score would make one assume that the Chargers had no problem disposing of the Raiders...especially since the final score shows a 10pt road win for SD...But dig a little deeper and you will find that the Raiders were winning "15-0" at the Half...and "15-3" heading into the 4th quarter...And if not for a handful of missed tackles when SD was looking to run out the clock...they would have only gotten a 3pt win, since LT broke a long run for a TD in the final minute...
Also, I know that the AFC West may not be 100% decided, but after losing 3 "must-win" games in a row...I would think that the Chargers, who were a fav to represent the AFC in this year's Super Bowl...are feeling a bit frustrated and definately lack the kind of confidence you want from a team laying double-digits in the NFL...
The history between the 2 clubs, forces the oddsmakers to offer those backing the Raiders even more Value...and that is just fine by me...And I truely believe that this game is just as important, if not more so...for the Raiders, who with a Win could move to a tie with the Chargers...than it is for SD who is more or less looking to next year already and possibly planning golf trips for January...
Bottom line, I liked the Raiders coming in when I factored in the motivation, especially after their 1st meeting...And then after making my own line SD -7 (-120)...and seeing that I can get +10...I liked it even more...And finally, after speaking with some books and sharps alike...and finding out that the betting public is really backing the Chargers, while the Outfits are looking at the Dog...It helped confirm the wager for me...
We may look to Upgrade this to a 3* BEST BET...because as I explained, the 3* will be chosen after the Card is Finalized and I get an opportunity to choose the strongest of the bunch...
So for now, let's go ahead and grab the +10 on the Raiders...as our NFL "PRIME-TIME" PLAY of the DAY...VR
103 OAK 10.0 (-110) Bodog vs 104 SDC
Analysis:
*** NFL "PRIME-TIME" 2* WAGER *** (POSSIBLE UPGRADE)
I wanted to get this Bet up here early because I have been informed that the "Outfits" will be looking to Buy up all the +10, that they can find...and right now, there are still many outs using this line, based on the work coming in on San Diego...
I also want to point out that if we see that the concensus is willing to take this down to where a Teaser on SD can will offer them at a FG or less...it will be a very telling sign that they also agree with the Sharps, that this line is just way too high...
For starters, the Chargers have been way over-valued by LVSC, who would not lower them in their rankings, even when they were under .500...with many AFC teams appearing much stronger...And because of their lack to adjust, we have seen the Chargers a favorite in 8 of their L/10 games...
More importantly, the Chargers have only won "1" game over their L/6...and that was a 1 POINT WIN AT HOME vs KC !!!
Now you may feel that since I am focusing on the Chargers, that this may be more of a play against them...than it is on the Raiders...And, that may not be too far from the truth, because when you are looking for an edge...realizing that the one side is a much higher favorite than they should be, is just as good as realizing that the opponent is stronger than the line refelcts...
But in this scenario tonight...there are much more factors in play...
When these 2 teams met for the 1st time this season...the Final score would make one assume that the Chargers had no problem disposing of the Raiders...especially since the final score shows a 10pt road win for SD...But dig a little deeper and you will find that the Raiders were winning "15-0" at the Half...and "15-3" heading into the 4th quarter...And if not for a handful of missed tackles when SD was looking to run out the clock...they would have only gotten a 3pt win, since LT broke a long run for a TD in the final minute...
Also, I know that the AFC West may not be 100% decided, but after losing 3 "must-win" games in a row...I would think that the Chargers, who were a fav to represent the AFC in this year's Super Bowl...are feeling a bit frustrated and definately lack the kind of confidence you want from a team laying double-digits in the NFL...
The history between the 2 clubs, forces the oddsmakers to offer those backing the Raiders even more Value...and that is just fine by me...And I truely believe that this game is just as important, if not more so...for the Raiders, who with a Win could move to a tie with the Chargers...than it is for SD who is more or less looking to next year already and possibly planning golf trips for January...
Bottom line, I liked the Raiders coming in when I factored in the motivation, especially after their 1st meeting...And then after making my own line SD -7 (-120)...and seeing that I can get +10...I liked it even more...And finally, after speaking with some books and sharps alike...and finding out that the betting public is really backing the Chargers, while the Outfits are looking at the Dog...It helped confirm the wager for me...
We may look to Upgrade this to a 3* BEST BET...because as I explained, the 3* will be chosen after the Card is Finalized and I get an opportunity to choose the strongest of the bunch...
So for now, let's go ahead and grab the +10 on the Raiders...as our NFL "PRIME-TIME" PLAY of the DAY...VR
Paid from Drew Gordon.
Drew Gordon
Today's Games...
1. 100,000♦ Raiders
2. 50,000♦ Rutgers
1. Raiders- Am I crazy backing the Raiders in this spot? No, despite the fact the Bolts are 10-1 ATS over their last 11 meeting with Oakland, I still believe this is the perfect spot to take advantage of a tail-spinning San Diego team. You can blame the loss of Merriman, or the average play of Tomlinson, or whatever you want, but no one can deny that this Chargers team has taken a BIG step back this season. So big in fact, that I just don't see much difference between these two teams, especially when you get down to the match ups...
Speaking of match ups, if you think Phillip Rivers is going to light up this Raiders secondary, then you haven't been watching CB Asomugha and company shutting down opposing passing attacks all season. You can laugh at the Raiders stunted pass offense, but you sure as hell better respect their pass defense, which allows just 192 passing yards per game (good for 8th in the NFL)! That leaves the game in LT's hands, and while in years past that might have been a good thing, this year his injuries and age are finally starting to catch up to him and its painfully obvious.
On the flip side, the Chargers defense can't stop anyone, ranked 27th in the NFL allowing 367 total yards per contest, slotted right above such terrible defenses as the Broncos and Rams! Now before you start knocking JaMarcus Russell and this below average Raiders passing attack, I want you answer one question: Against whom did Russell have his best passing day this season? You guessed it, the Chargers back in Week 4, tossing for 277 yards... So don't tell me that Russell can't get it done against this piss-poor Chargers defense.
Finally, the one thing the Raiders do extremely well is run the football, averaging a hearty 123 rushing yards per game this season. Running the ball effectively is the single best way to keep a game competitive, especially when you consider the number on this contest. Chargers are only middle-of-the-pack against the run this season, allowing 107 rushing yards per game on 4.0 yards per carry... Simply not good enough to keep the Raiders off the field consistently.
Bottom line, its payback time, as the Raiders avenge their 28-18 early season loss to the Chargers with an outstanding effort tonight at Qualcomm. While I'm not saying they win outright (although possible), I am saying is its time to jump off the Chargers bandwagon (if you already haven't) and you'll see EXACTLY why tonight.
Take the Raiders plus the points over the Chargers as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Rutgers- Talk about two teams headed in opposite directions, as the red-hot Scarlet Knights host the sputtering Cardinals in this Thursday night college clash! Listen guys, if you haven't had the chance to see this Rutgers team play over the last month and a half, let me be the one to tell you: They're rocking and rolling, winners of 5 straight (4-1 ATS), including a dominant 30-3 win over Army in their last one. More of the same tonight, and here's why:
Coach Kragthorpe better start inquiring about new digs, because his Cardinals have been an embarrasment over the last month, losing 4 games in a row SUATS, and looking lost in the process. Its hard to pinpoint where the Cards went wrong, but we can start with their defense, which is giving up an average of 408 total yards over their last 3 games (208 passing & 199 rushing)! Needless to say those are terrible numbers, and the only thing that's worse are the Cardinals offensive numbers over the same span, scoring just 16 ppg on 365 total yards!
Herein lies the problem, as Louisville is about to run smack into a Rutgers team playing inspired on both sides of the ball, scoring 38 ppg over their last 3, while allowing just 12 over the same span! Their two road wins, at Pitt and at South Florida were two of the more impressive performances I've seen from Rutgers in a long time. The fact they didn't let down against Army last week also say a lot about this team's focus, which is razor sharp right now.
Finally, you've got to like this match up for Rutgers QB Mike Teel, who over his last 4 games is averaging 322.5 passing yards per contest with 13 TDs and just 5 picks! Needless to say, this Scarlet Knights offense is firing on all cylinders, and after watching the Cardinals defense get thrashed at Pitt in their last road game, there's no question the Knights offense will continue to roll here. Rutgers protects their house and grabs the cash Thursday night!
Take Rutgers comfortably over Louisville in this college foobtall match up.
Drew Gordon
Today's Games...
1. 100,000♦ Raiders
2. 50,000♦ Rutgers
1. Raiders- Am I crazy backing the Raiders in this spot? No, despite the fact the Bolts are 10-1 ATS over their last 11 meeting with Oakland, I still believe this is the perfect spot to take advantage of a tail-spinning San Diego team. You can blame the loss of Merriman, or the average play of Tomlinson, or whatever you want, but no one can deny that this Chargers team has taken a BIG step back this season. So big in fact, that I just don't see much difference between these two teams, especially when you get down to the match ups...
Speaking of match ups, if you think Phillip Rivers is going to light up this Raiders secondary, then you haven't been watching CB Asomugha and company shutting down opposing passing attacks all season. You can laugh at the Raiders stunted pass offense, but you sure as hell better respect their pass defense, which allows just 192 passing yards per game (good for 8th in the NFL)! That leaves the game in LT's hands, and while in years past that might have been a good thing, this year his injuries and age are finally starting to catch up to him and its painfully obvious.
On the flip side, the Chargers defense can't stop anyone, ranked 27th in the NFL allowing 367 total yards per contest, slotted right above such terrible defenses as the Broncos and Rams! Now before you start knocking JaMarcus Russell and this below average Raiders passing attack, I want you answer one question: Against whom did Russell have his best passing day this season? You guessed it, the Chargers back in Week 4, tossing for 277 yards... So don't tell me that Russell can't get it done against this piss-poor Chargers defense.
Finally, the one thing the Raiders do extremely well is run the football, averaging a hearty 123 rushing yards per game this season. Running the ball effectively is the single best way to keep a game competitive, especially when you consider the number on this contest. Chargers are only middle-of-the-pack against the run this season, allowing 107 rushing yards per game on 4.0 yards per carry... Simply not good enough to keep the Raiders off the field consistently.
Bottom line, its payback time, as the Raiders avenge their 28-18 early season loss to the Chargers with an outstanding effort tonight at Qualcomm. While I'm not saying they win outright (although possible), I am saying is its time to jump off the Chargers bandwagon (if you already haven't) and you'll see EXACTLY why tonight.
Take the Raiders plus the points over the Chargers as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Rutgers- Talk about two teams headed in opposite directions, as the red-hot Scarlet Knights host the sputtering Cardinals in this Thursday night college clash! Listen guys, if you haven't had the chance to see this Rutgers team play over the last month and a half, let me be the one to tell you: They're rocking and rolling, winners of 5 straight (4-1 ATS), including a dominant 30-3 win over Army in their last one. More of the same tonight, and here's why:
Coach Kragthorpe better start inquiring about new digs, because his Cardinals have been an embarrasment over the last month, losing 4 games in a row SUATS, and looking lost in the process. Its hard to pinpoint where the Cards went wrong, but we can start with their defense, which is giving up an average of 408 total yards over their last 3 games (208 passing & 199 rushing)! Needless to say those are terrible numbers, and the only thing that's worse are the Cardinals offensive numbers over the same span, scoring just 16 ppg on 365 total yards!
Herein lies the problem, as Louisville is about to run smack into a Rutgers team playing inspired on both sides of the ball, scoring 38 ppg over their last 3, while allowing just 12 over the same span! Their two road wins, at Pitt and at South Florida were two of the more impressive performances I've seen from Rutgers in a long time. The fact they didn't let down against Army last week also say a lot about this team's focus, which is razor sharp right now.
Finally, you've got to like this match up for Rutgers QB Mike Teel, who over his last 4 games is averaging 322.5 passing yards per contest with 13 TDs and just 5 picks! Needless to say, this Scarlet Knights offense is firing on all cylinders, and after watching the Cardinals defense get thrashed at Pitt in their last road game, there's no question the Knights offense will continue to roll here. Rutgers protects their house and grabs the cash Thursday night!
Take Rutgers comfortably over Louisville in this college foobtall match up.
