Robert Ferringo NCAA Hoops
2-Unit Play. Take #517 Loyola-Chicago (+9.5) over Cleveland State (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #521 BYU (-11) over Buffalo (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #523 TCU (+6.5) over Tulsa (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #529 South Alabama (+8.5) over Arkansas State (9 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #537 Arizona (-7.5) over Oregon (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #519 Toledo (+10) over UNC-Wilmington (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #509 Temple (+5.5) over Villanova (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #566 Santa Clara (-9.5) over Fordham (9 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #535 Loyola Marymount (+2) over UC-Irvine (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #541 Long Beach State (-3.5) over Cal Poly (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #587 Oakland (-4) over Oral Roberts (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #539 UC-Davis (Pk) over CS-Northridge (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #564 San Francisco (-3) over Hampton (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
That's it for today.
2-Unit Play. Take #517 Loyola-Chicago (+9.5) over Cleveland State (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #521 BYU (-11) over Buffalo (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #523 TCU (+6.5) over Tulsa (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #529 South Alabama (+8.5) over Arkansas State (9 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #537 Arizona (-7.5) over Oregon (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #519 Toledo (+10) over UNC-Wilmington (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #509 Temple (+5.5) over Villanova (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #566 Santa Clara (-9.5) over Fordham (9 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #535 Loyola Marymount (+2) over UC-Irvine (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #541 Long Beach State (-3.5) over Cal Poly (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #587 Oakland (-4) over Oral Roberts (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #539 UC-Davis (Pk) over CS-Northridge (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #564 San Francisco (-3) over Hampton (10 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 30)
That's it for today.
Steven Budin-CEO THURDAY'S PLAY The Costa Rica Connection has a 25 Dime 2-Team Tease on Nebraska in tonight's Holiday Bowl and Georgia in tomortow's Liberty Bowl. As this play is released at Noon Eastern, Nebraska is currentaly -13 1/2 versus Washington. Using the standard 6 points in a two-teamer, reduce the price the Cornhussers are laying to -7.5. In Friday's game, Georgia is currently -6 1/2 to -7 vs. Central Florida. In the teaser make the Bulldogs -1 and hook them up with Nebraska at -7 1/2 to complete the teaser.
paid and confirmed by ME
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StatSystems Sports NBA Report, Thursday 12/30/10
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/30
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Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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••• TOWERS OF POWER ! •••
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Two teams that have emerged as early favorites to challenge the Lakers in the Western Conference collide in Dallas in the second half of TNT’s Thursday night doubleheader. The Spurs (27-4, 18-12-1 ATS) are sizzling, having won 12 of 13, including a 97-82 beatdown of the Lakers Tuesday. San Antonio is fourth in the NBA in scoring at 105.94 points per game The Mavericks (24-6, 18-10-2 ATS) are right behind their Lonestar State rivals, but are coming off of a disappointing home loss to Toronto and might not have their superstar against the Spurs.
Dirk Nowitzki missed the Raptors loss with a sprained knee. Nowitzki says he wants to play against the Spurs, but isn’t sure if he’ll be cleared by the medical staff. The Mavericks won in San Antonio, 103-94 on Nov. 26 in the teams’ only meeting this season and have beaten the Spurs in four of the last five games. Nowitzki had 26 points and the Mavs took advantage of 17 Spurs’ turnovers in the late November win. Parker struggled in that game, scoring just nine points. Manu Ginobili tried to pick up the slack with 31, but Dallas exploded for 32 points in the fourth quarter for the win. The Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in Dallas.
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***** THURSDAY, DECEMBER 30TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Orlando won/covered its last four games.
-- San Antonio won 12 of last 13 games, but only one of the wins came on road. Mavericks won five of their last six games.
-- Portland won its last six home games (4-2 vs spread). Jazz won four of their last five games.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Knicks lost four of last six games, but are 10-1 vs spread in last 11 on the road.
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Utah is 4-4 if it played night before, 2-2 if it won, 2-2 if it lost.
• TOTALS
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-- Four of last five New York games stayed under the total; four of last five Magic games went over. .
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Dallas games.
-- Five of last seven Utah games stayed under the total.
• QUICK HITS
----------------
--NEW YORK @ ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET TNT NEW YORK: 12-2 ATS as underdog. ORLANDO: 8-18 ATS if favored last game.
--SAN ANTONIO @ DALLAS, 9:30 PM ET TNT SAN ANTONIO: 6-0 ATS off BB Unders. DALLAS: 12-4 Over after a combined score of 175 points or less.
--UTAH @ PORTLAND, 10:00 PM ET UTAH: 6-1 Under revenging SU loss as favorite. PORTLAND: 1-5 ATS off a division game.
• NOTES & TIPS
-------------------
--Dallas Mavericks beat writer Eddie Sefko expects Dirk Nowitzki to miss Thursday’s big game against San Antonio. Nowitzki sprained his knee in Monday’s win over Oklahoma City, but said after the game that he didn’t believe the injury was serious. X-rays came back negative, but Notwitzki also said the knee had been bothering him for about two weeks, so Dallas may proceed with caution.
--Everything is up in the air for the Portland Trail Blazers right now. Nobody knows what’s going on with Brandon Roy’s knee from one night to the next and trade rumors continue to swirl around the club. The latest is that instead of accepting a trade to a non-contending team, Marcus Camby would rather retire. Speculation is that Portland is looking to move both Camby and Andre Miller as the Blazers search for consistency.
"Camby wasn't happy about the rumor and would not take kindly to being traded to Charlotte or any other non-contending team,” an ESPN source reports. "He's made plenty of money. He'd rather play, but he's at the point in his career where he doesn't want to get bounced around from team to team. If he's traded, it would have to be to a contender.”
--Kevin Garnett suffered a right leg injury during the first quarter of the Celtics' eventual 104-92 loss to the Detroit Pistons at the Palace of Auburn Hills. In a play eerily similar to the one nearly two years ago in Utah—the play which eventually cost KG his season and the Celtics a chance to defend their title—Garnett went up for an emphatic jam on a lob pass and came down hobbling and in clear pain. At first, it looked terrible for Celtic nation.
There wasn't a single fan whose mind didn't jump to Garnett's surgically repaired right knee, especially as that's what it looked like he was favoring. As the game progressed and video showed Garnett hobbling into the locker room and eventually out of the stadium, the thoughts of yet another championship run cut short by injuries loomed all the larger. However, towards the end of the game "encouraging" news surfaced. Celtics trainer Ed Lacerte diagnosed KG with a lower leg injury, not a knee injury. An x-ray revealed no fracture in the bone. While the Celtics still have not received an official diagnosis, and KG has yet to undergo an MRI, all signs point to a more promising prognosis than what was initially thought.
• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** NEW YORK @ ORLANDO (-7.5, O/U 212) ***
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The New York Knicks will finish up a tough two-game tour of the Sunshine State tonight hoping for more than a moral victory when they take on the Orlando Magic at Amway Center. The Knicks came up a little short in Miami on Tuesday, when Dwyane Wade poured in a season-high 40 points and pulled down nine rebounds, as the Heat held off New York, 106-98.
Amare Stoudemire finished with 30 points and seven rebounds for the Knicks, who have dropped four of six overall. Stoudemire has now scored 20 or more points in 16 straight games, the longest such streak for New York since Patrick Ewing's 17 consecutive games from Jan. 8 - Feb. 6, 1994. Wilson Chandler ended with 21 points and six rebounds for the Knicks, who also got 15 points and five assists from Raymond Felton.
Miami held a 53-40 margin at the half, and took an 80-65 lead into the fourth. Trailing by 11 at 95-84, the Knicks used a 10-2 run to make things interesting. Stoudemire's tip-in followed by Felton's technical free throw made it a 97-94 contest with two minutes remaining. Wade stopped the bleeding with a three-pointer at the other end, however, as Miami earned the victory. "They started the game hot. They played with a lot of energy and were aggressive," Stoudemire said. "We started off slow, but we gave a lot more energy in the second half."
The Magic, meanwhile, have started to surge again, winning their fourth straight contest in Cleveland on Tuesday when Jason Richardson made four three-pointers en route to 20 points, as Orlando used a big fourth quarter to take down the struggling Cavaliers, 110-95, at Quicken Loans Arena. Gilbert Arenas had 22 points and 11 assists off the bench and fellow reserve J.J. Redick added 14 points for the Magic, who have won four in a row after dropping eight of nine.
Jameer Nelson donated 13 points, six assists and five rebounds, while Dwight Howard tallied 12 points with six rebounds and Earl Clark also chipped in 12 points. "We've put together our team to shoot the ball and the Cavaliers are a team that give up a lot of threes at a high percentage," Magic head coach Stan Van Gundy said. Orlando has won three straight and six of the past seven in the series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Orlando by 6; O/U 216.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Orlando -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Orlando -6.89
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--ORLANDO is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 102.5, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 105.6, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 55-35 ATS (+16.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 99.2, OPPONENT 93.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--ORLANDO is 26-7 OVER (+18.2 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 26 or more assists since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.2, OPPONENT 99.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 216-169 OVER (+30.1 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 97.5, OPPONENT 100.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 154-116 OVER (+26.4 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 98.1, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW YORK is 26-6 OVER (+19.4 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 102.1, OPPONENT 107.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--ORLANDO is 31-12 against the 1rst half line (+17.6 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 53.0, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 53-84 against the 1rst half line (-39.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.7, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--NEW YORK is 16-31 against the 1rst half line (-18.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 51.7, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--ORLANDO is 40-21 OVER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 51.9, OPPONENT 48.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 11-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total >= 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 61.6, OPPONENT 52.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW YORK is 36-15 OVER (+19.2 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 52.6, OPPONENT 55.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 56.7, OPPONENT 55.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 56.7, OPPONENT 55.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.
(28-7 since 1996.) (80%, +20.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.9
The average score in these games was: Team 113.3, Opponent 111.7 (Total points scored = 225)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (55.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
(34-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.9%, +20.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 106.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.9, Opponent 57.9 (Total first half points scored = 109.8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (54-33).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(36-13 since 1996.) (73.5%, +21.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (45-4)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.4
The average score in these games was: Team 106.2, Opponent 95.4 (Average point differential = +10.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (38.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
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*** SAN ANTONIO (-2.5, O/U 191.5) @ DALLAS ***
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Two of the best teams and fiercest rivals in the NBA get together Thursday night in Big D, as the Mavericks play host to the San Antonio Spurs at American Airlines Center. The Spurs are a league-best 27-4 and have won 12 of their last 13 games, including Tuesday's decisive 97-82 triumph versus the two-time defending champion Los Angeles Lakers in the Alamo City. Tony Parker led the way with 23 points and DeJuan Blair was busy with 17 points and 15 rebounds, as the Spurs limited LA to 28 percent shooting in the second half.
"We played excellent team defense, and that's where we had been lacking. That was the most important part of the night for us," said Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich. "Tony Parker put us on his shoulders for a lot of the game, so we were able to hang in there even though Manu and Timmy didn't have their best offensive night." Richard Jefferson added 15 points and seven rebounds, while George Hill chipped in 10 points and nine rebounds. Hill was playing in his second game after missing four straight because of a right big toe sprain. Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili combined to score 11 points for San Antonio, which went 10-0 at home in December. Duncan has scored in single digits in three of four games since posting a double-double four consecutive times.
Dallas is dealing with an injury to All-Star forward Dirk Nowitzki, who's listed as questionable with a sprained right knee. In Monday's win at Oklahoma City, Nowitzki departed the game just 2:50 into the second quarter. The former MVP came down awkwardly on his ankle after hitting a jumper, and he left the contest after completing the three-point play. He finished with 13 points, two shy of Gary Payton (21,813) for 24th place on the NBA's all-time scoring list. "This is a weird injury, I've never had it," Nowitzki said postgame. "For a rolled ankle I probably would have walked it off and came right back out there, but this is something else. We're going to look at it and see where it is tomorrow. It's kind of day-to-day from this point."
Nowitzki did not play in Tuesday's 84-76 loss to the visiting Toronto Raptors in the opener of a brief homestand, as Jason Terry scored a game-high 18 points, Caron Butler added 15 and Shawn Marion finished with 12 points in place of Nowitzki in the starting lineup. It was Toronto's first win as the visitor in this series since December 1999. "I think Toronto played a great game, and we were subpar," Mavs coach Rick Carlisle said after his team posted a season-low in points. "We got off to a sluggish start, particularly defensively."
The Mavericks, who are 13-5 at home this season and have won 17 of 19 overall, sit just 2 1/2 games behind the Spurs in the Southwest Division. San Antonio is 9-2 as the guest. Dallas already defeated the Spurs this season by a 103-94 score at the AT&T Center back on Nov. 26. It has won four straight and six of the last nine meetings with San Antonio, losers in three straight trips to Big D.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 2; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -1.52
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--DALLAS is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 100.1, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--DALLAS is 7-23 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 98.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 97.1, OPPONENT 90.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 24-6 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 102.8, OPPONENT 94.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--SAN ANTONIO is 80-44 UNDER (+31.6 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 93.4, OPPONENT 91.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 48-25 UNDER (+20.5 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 99.8, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--DALLAS is 20-36 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 49.6, OPPONENT 48.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 1-12 against the 1rst half line (-12.1 Units) in home games after allowing 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 48.2, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--DALLAS is 27-7 UNDER (+19.3 Units) the 1rst half total in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 49.4, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 57-33 UNDER (+20.7 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 44.3, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY ON - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less.
(50-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.4%, +26.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (53-22 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.4
The average score in these games was: Team 96.6, Opponent 93 (Average point differential = +3.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 32 (45.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (148-115).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a loss vs opponent, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
(72-32 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.2%, +36.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.7, Opponent 45.7 (Total first half points scored = 93.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (50-18).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (148-126).
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*** UTAH (Pick, O/U 188) @ PORTLAND ***
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A pair of Northwest Division inhabitants renew their rivalry tonight in the Rose City, where the Utah Jazz will pay a visit to the Portland Trail Blazers. Utah is a half-game up on Oklahoma City for the division lead and is aiming for its fifth straight win on the road. It is 11-4 away from Salt Lake City this season and is coming off Wednesday's 103-95 win at the Clippers in which Al Jefferson posted a season-high 31 points and pulled down 10 rebounds for his 12th double-double.
Deron Williams had 16 points, six rebounds and seven assists, while Gordon Hayward added 17 points for the Jazz, who have won four of five games overall. "Those guys are athletic. It's hard to come back, we just kept attacking," Jefferson said of Blake Griffin and LA. "We trust our offense. We got some stops and were able to run." The Jazz overcame a 12-point deficit and survived Griffin's 20th double-double in a row. Griffin posted 30 points and 12 boards. Utah veteran forward Andrei Kirilenko is doubtful for Thursday's game because of a balky back.
Portland just went 1-2 on a three-game road trip and suffered a 95-77 loss in Denver on Tuesday. LaMarcus Aldridge scored 18 points, grabbed 13 rebounds and blocked seven shots to lead the Blazers, who lost for the fifth time in nine tries overall and dropped to 6-13 on the road. Nicolas Batum scored 14 points and Rudy Fernandez added 11 off the bench in a losing cause. The Blazers will also host Houston on this upcoming residency and own a 10-3 ledger in the Rose Garden this season.
"Tonight we looked like we had heavy legs. We hung in there for a half, and that's not enough," Blazers head coach Nate McMillan said following the loss to the Carmelo Anthony-less Nuggets. On the injury front for the Trail Blazers, guard Brandon Roy is doubtful for Thursday with a sore left knee and center Marcus Camby (ankle) is listed as questionable versus the Jazz. Roy has missed six straight games and Camby has been out three of the past five contests.
The 2010-11 season series between Utah and Portland is tied at a game apiece, but the Jazz have won seven of the past 10 meetings between the clubs. The Blazers have dropped three in a row as the host in this series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 2; O/U 194
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -0.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--UTAH is 28-7 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.8, OPPONENT 97.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 102.1, OPPONENT 94.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 36-17 OVER (+17.3 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 102.3, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 22-6 OVER (+15.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 107.4, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 37-16 against the 1rst half line (+19.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.7, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 22-40 against the 1rst half line (-22.0 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 48.0, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 27-8 OVER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.3, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 34-15 OVER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 50.3, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (UTAH) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.
(44-18 since 1996.) (71.0%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 185.1
The average score in these games was: Team 94, Opponent 94.9 (Total points scored = 188.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (41.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
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Stan the Man Szumera a Professional Handicapper since 1977 offers you 33 years of experience. Stan is known for his strong work ethic and his commitment to delivering you the best analysis available. With regards to style, The Man likes to use the perfect blend of three decades of experience as well as emotional, statistical, and technical support to back up his selections.
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••• TOWERS OF POWER ! •••
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Two teams that have emerged as early favorites to challenge the Lakers in the Western Conference collide in Dallas in the second half of TNT’s Thursday night doubleheader. The Spurs (27-4, 18-12-1 ATS) are sizzling, having won 12 of 13, including a 97-82 beatdown of the Lakers Tuesday. San Antonio is fourth in the NBA in scoring at 105.94 points per game The Mavericks (24-6, 18-10-2 ATS) are right behind their Lonestar State rivals, but are coming off of a disappointing home loss to Toronto and might not have their superstar against the Spurs.
Dirk Nowitzki missed the Raptors loss with a sprained knee. Nowitzki says he wants to play against the Spurs, but isn’t sure if he’ll be cleared by the medical staff. The Mavericks won in San Antonio, 103-94 on Nov. 26 in the teams’ only meeting this season and have beaten the Spurs in four of the last five games. Nowitzki had 26 points and the Mavs took advantage of 17 Spurs’ turnovers in the late November win. Parker struggled in that game, scoring just nine points. Manu Ginobili tried to pick up the slack with 31, but Dallas exploded for 32 points in the fourth quarter for the win. The Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in Dallas.
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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***** THURSDAY, DECEMBER 30TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Orlando won/covered its last four games.
-- San Antonio won 12 of last 13 games, but only one of the wins came on road. Mavericks won five of their last six games.
-- Portland won its last six home games (4-2 vs spread). Jazz won four of their last five games.
• COLD TEAMS
------------------
-- Knicks lost four of last six games, but are 10-1 vs spread in last 11 on the road.
• BACK-TO-BACK
---------------------
-- Utah is 4-4 if it played night before, 2-2 if it won, 2-2 if it lost.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Four of last five New York games stayed under the total; four of last five Magic games went over. .
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Dallas games.
-- Five of last seven Utah games stayed under the total.
• QUICK HITS
----------------
--NEW YORK @ ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET TNT NEW YORK: 12-2 ATS as underdog. ORLANDO: 8-18 ATS if favored last game.
--SAN ANTONIO @ DALLAS, 9:30 PM ET TNT SAN ANTONIO: 6-0 ATS off BB Unders. DALLAS: 12-4 Over after a combined score of 175 points or less.
--UTAH @ PORTLAND, 10:00 PM ET UTAH: 6-1 Under revenging SU loss as favorite. PORTLAND: 1-5 ATS off a division game.
• NOTES & TIPS
-------------------
--Dallas Mavericks beat writer Eddie Sefko expects Dirk Nowitzki to miss Thursday’s big game against San Antonio. Nowitzki sprained his knee in Monday’s win over Oklahoma City, but said after the game that he didn’t believe the injury was serious. X-rays came back negative, but Notwitzki also said the knee had been bothering him for about two weeks, so Dallas may proceed with caution.
--Everything is up in the air for the Portland Trail Blazers right now. Nobody knows what’s going on with Brandon Roy’s knee from one night to the next and trade rumors continue to swirl around the club. The latest is that instead of accepting a trade to a non-contending team, Marcus Camby would rather retire. Speculation is that Portland is looking to move both Camby and Andre Miller as the Blazers search for consistency.
"Camby wasn't happy about the rumor and would not take kindly to being traded to Charlotte or any other non-contending team,” an ESPN source reports. "He's made plenty of money. He'd rather play, but he's at the point in his career where he doesn't want to get bounced around from team to team. If he's traded, it would have to be to a contender.”
--Kevin Garnett suffered a right leg injury during the first quarter of the Celtics' eventual 104-92 loss to the Detroit Pistons at the Palace of Auburn Hills. In a play eerily similar to the one nearly two years ago in Utah—the play which eventually cost KG his season and the Celtics a chance to defend their title—Garnett went up for an emphatic jam on a lob pass and came down hobbling and in clear pain. At first, it looked terrible for Celtic nation.
There wasn't a single fan whose mind didn't jump to Garnett's surgically repaired right knee, especially as that's what it looked like he was favoring. As the game progressed and video showed Garnett hobbling into the locker room and eventually out of the stadium, the thoughts of yet another championship run cut short by injuries loomed all the larger. However, towards the end of the game "encouraging" news surfaced. Celtics trainer Ed Lacerte diagnosed KG with a lower leg injury, not a knee injury. An x-ray revealed no fracture in the bone. While the Celtics still have not received an official diagnosis, and KG has yet to undergo an MRI, all signs point to a more promising prognosis than what was initially thought.
• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** NEW YORK @ ORLANDO (-7.5, O/U 212) ***
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The New York Knicks will finish up a tough two-game tour of the Sunshine State tonight hoping for more than a moral victory when they take on the Orlando Magic at Amway Center. The Knicks came up a little short in Miami on Tuesday, when Dwyane Wade poured in a season-high 40 points and pulled down nine rebounds, as the Heat held off New York, 106-98.
Amare Stoudemire finished with 30 points and seven rebounds for the Knicks, who have dropped four of six overall. Stoudemire has now scored 20 or more points in 16 straight games, the longest such streak for New York since Patrick Ewing's 17 consecutive games from Jan. 8 - Feb. 6, 1994. Wilson Chandler ended with 21 points and six rebounds for the Knicks, who also got 15 points and five assists from Raymond Felton.
Miami held a 53-40 margin at the half, and took an 80-65 lead into the fourth. Trailing by 11 at 95-84, the Knicks used a 10-2 run to make things interesting. Stoudemire's tip-in followed by Felton's technical free throw made it a 97-94 contest with two minutes remaining. Wade stopped the bleeding with a three-pointer at the other end, however, as Miami earned the victory. "They started the game hot. They played with a lot of energy and were aggressive," Stoudemire said. "We started off slow, but we gave a lot more energy in the second half."
The Magic, meanwhile, have started to surge again, winning their fourth straight contest in Cleveland on Tuesday when Jason Richardson made four three-pointers en route to 20 points, as Orlando used a big fourth quarter to take down the struggling Cavaliers, 110-95, at Quicken Loans Arena. Gilbert Arenas had 22 points and 11 assists off the bench and fellow reserve J.J. Redick added 14 points for the Magic, who have won four in a row after dropping eight of nine.
Jameer Nelson donated 13 points, six assists and five rebounds, while Dwight Howard tallied 12 points with six rebounds and Earl Clark also chipped in 12 points. "We've put together our team to shoot the ball and the Cavaliers are a team that give up a lot of threes at a high percentage," Magic head coach Stan Van Gundy said. Orlando has won three straight and six of the past seven in the series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Orlando by 6; O/U 216.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Orlando -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Orlando -6.89
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 102.5, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 105.6, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 55-35 ATS (+16.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 99.2, OPPONENT 93.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 26-7 OVER (+18.2 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 26 or more assists since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.2, OPPONENT 99.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 216-169 OVER (+30.1 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 97.5, OPPONENT 100.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 154-116 OVER (+26.4 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 98.1, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW YORK is 26-6 OVER (+19.4 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 102.1, OPPONENT 107.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 31-12 against the 1rst half line (+17.6 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 53.0, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 53-84 against the 1rst half line (-39.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.7, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--NEW YORK is 16-31 against the 1rst half line (-18.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 51.7, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 40-21 OVER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 51.9, OPPONENT 48.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 11-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total >= 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 61.6, OPPONENT 52.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW YORK is 36-15 OVER (+19.2 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 52.6, OPPONENT 55.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 56.7, OPPONENT 55.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 56.7, OPPONENT 55.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.
(28-7 since 1996.) (80%, +20.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.9
The average score in these games was: Team 113.3, Opponent 111.7 (Total points scored = 225)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (55.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
(34-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.9%, +20.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 106.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.9, Opponent 57.9 (Total first half points scored = 109.8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (54-33).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(36-13 since 1996.) (73.5%, +21.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (45-4)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.4
The average score in these games was: Team 106.2, Opponent 95.4 (Average point differential = +10.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (38.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
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*** SAN ANTONIO (-2.5, O/U 191.5) @ DALLAS ***
----------------------------------------------------------------
Two of the best teams and fiercest rivals in the NBA get together Thursday night in Big D, as the Mavericks play host to the San Antonio Spurs at American Airlines Center. The Spurs are a league-best 27-4 and have won 12 of their last 13 games, including Tuesday's decisive 97-82 triumph versus the two-time defending champion Los Angeles Lakers in the Alamo City. Tony Parker led the way with 23 points and DeJuan Blair was busy with 17 points and 15 rebounds, as the Spurs limited LA to 28 percent shooting in the second half.
"We played excellent team defense, and that's where we had been lacking. That was the most important part of the night for us," said Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich. "Tony Parker put us on his shoulders for a lot of the game, so we were able to hang in there even though Manu and Timmy didn't have their best offensive night." Richard Jefferson added 15 points and seven rebounds, while George Hill chipped in 10 points and nine rebounds. Hill was playing in his second game after missing four straight because of a right big toe sprain. Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili combined to score 11 points for San Antonio, which went 10-0 at home in December. Duncan has scored in single digits in three of four games since posting a double-double four consecutive times.
Dallas is dealing with an injury to All-Star forward Dirk Nowitzki, who's listed as questionable with a sprained right knee. In Monday's win at Oklahoma City, Nowitzki departed the game just 2:50 into the second quarter. The former MVP came down awkwardly on his ankle after hitting a jumper, and he left the contest after completing the three-point play. He finished with 13 points, two shy of Gary Payton (21,813) for 24th place on the NBA's all-time scoring list. "This is a weird injury, I've never had it," Nowitzki said postgame. "For a rolled ankle I probably would have walked it off and came right back out there, but this is something else. We're going to look at it and see where it is tomorrow. It's kind of day-to-day from this point."
Nowitzki did not play in Tuesday's 84-76 loss to the visiting Toronto Raptors in the opener of a brief homestand, as Jason Terry scored a game-high 18 points, Caron Butler added 15 and Shawn Marion finished with 12 points in place of Nowitzki in the starting lineup. It was Toronto's first win as the visitor in this series since December 1999. "I think Toronto played a great game, and we were subpar," Mavs coach Rick Carlisle said after his team posted a season-low in points. "We got off to a sluggish start, particularly defensively."
The Mavericks, who are 13-5 at home this season and have won 17 of 19 overall, sit just 2 1/2 games behind the Spurs in the Southwest Division. San Antonio is 9-2 as the guest. Dallas already defeated the Spurs this season by a 103-94 score at the AT&T Center back on Nov. 26. It has won four straight and six of the last nine meetings with San Antonio, losers in three straight trips to Big D.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 2; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -1.52
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 100.1, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--DALLAS is 7-23 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 98.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 97.1, OPPONENT 90.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 24-6 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 102.8, OPPONENT 94.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 80-44 UNDER (+31.6 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 93.4, OPPONENT 91.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 48-25 UNDER (+20.5 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 99.8, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 20-36 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 49.6, OPPONENT 48.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 1-12 against the 1rst half line (-12.1 Units) in home games after allowing 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 48.2, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 27-7 UNDER (+19.3 Units) the 1rst half total in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 49.4, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 57-33 UNDER (+20.7 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 44.3, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less.
(50-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.4%, +26.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (53-22 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.4
The average score in these games was: Team 96.6, Opponent 93 (Average point differential = +3.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 32 (45.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (148-115).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a loss vs opponent, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
(72-32 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.2%, +36.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.7, Opponent 45.7 (Total first half points scored = 93.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (50-18).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (148-126).
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*** UTAH (Pick, O/U 188) @ PORTLAND ***
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A pair of Northwest Division inhabitants renew their rivalry tonight in the Rose City, where the Utah Jazz will pay a visit to the Portland Trail Blazers. Utah is a half-game up on Oklahoma City for the division lead and is aiming for its fifth straight win on the road. It is 11-4 away from Salt Lake City this season and is coming off Wednesday's 103-95 win at the Clippers in which Al Jefferson posted a season-high 31 points and pulled down 10 rebounds for his 12th double-double.
Deron Williams had 16 points, six rebounds and seven assists, while Gordon Hayward added 17 points for the Jazz, who have won four of five games overall. "Those guys are athletic. It's hard to come back, we just kept attacking," Jefferson said of Blake Griffin and LA. "We trust our offense. We got some stops and were able to run." The Jazz overcame a 12-point deficit and survived Griffin's 20th double-double in a row. Griffin posted 30 points and 12 boards. Utah veteran forward Andrei Kirilenko is doubtful for Thursday's game because of a balky back.
Portland just went 1-2 on a three-game road trip and suffered a 95-77 loss in Denver on Tuesday. LaMarcus Aldridge scored 18 points, grabbed 13 rebounds and blocked seven shots to lead the Blazers, who lost for the fifth time in nine tries overall and dropped to 6-13 on the road. Nicolas Batum scored 14 points and Rudy Fernandez added 11 off the bench in a losing cause. The Blazers will also host Houston on this upcoming residency and own a 10-3 ledger in the Rose Garden this season.
"Tonight we looked like we had heavy legs. We hung in there for a half, and that's not enough," Blazers head coach Nate McMillan said following the loss to the Carmelo Anthony-less Nuggets. On the injury front for the Trail Blazers, guard Brandon Roy is doubtful for Thursday with a sore left knee and center Marcus Camby (ankle) is listed as questionable versus the Jazz. Roy has missed six straight games and Camby has been out three of the past five contests.
The 2010-11 season series between Utah and Portland is tied at a game apiece, but the Jazz have won seven of the past 10 meetings between the clubs. The Blazers have dropped three in a row as the host in this series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 2; O/U 194
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -0.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--UTAH is 28-7 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.8, OPPONENT 97.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 102.1, OPPONENT 94.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--UTAH is 36-17 OVER (+17.3 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 102.3, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 22-6 OVER (+15.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 107.4, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--PORTLAND is 37-16 against the 1rst half line (+19.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.7, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 22-40 against the 1rst half line (-22.0 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 48.0, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--PORTLAND is 27-8 OVER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.3, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 34-15 OVER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 50.3, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (UTAH) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.
(44-18 since 1996.) (71.0%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 185.1
The average score in these games was: Team 94, Opponent 94.9 (Total points scored = 188.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (41.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
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Stan the Man Szumera a Professional Handicapper since 1977 offers you 33 years of experience. Stan is known for his strong work ethic and his commitment to delivering you the best analysis available. With regards to style, The Man likes to use the perfect blend of three decades of experience as well as emotional, statistical, and technical support to back up his selections.
Back in the early 80's, Stan the Man helped assemble one of the most powerful football and basketball databases in the nation. This incredible piece of software holds over 100 profitable situations with ATS records topping 90 percent.
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