THE UNFAIR ADVANTAGE
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Atlanta Falcons +1
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Miami Dolphins +1.5
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Tampa Bay Bucs +1.5
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Oakland Raiders +.5
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Pittsburgh Steelers +1
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Atlanta Falcons +1
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Miami Dolphins +1.5
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Tampa Bay Bucs +1.5
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Oakland Raiders +.5
50 Dime 7 Point Tease (-130) San Diego Chargers -2.5 & Pittsburgh Steelers +1
jeff benton
THURSDAY'S ACTION
30 Dime NFL release on the CHARGERS minus the points at home aaainst the 49ers. San Diego is a nine-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshoere. This pointspread quickly jumped from an opening number of 8½ and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it contanue to rise leading up to kickoff, so my advice is to get down on this one as soon as possible.
CHARGERS
When you scan the home and road schedules of both the Chargers and 49ers you find each has had an “aberration” game.
San Diego is 5-2 SU and ATS on its home field. One of those losses was a 23-20 setback to Tom Brady and the Patriots (a game San Diego dominated from a statistical point of view, finishing with 363 yards to New England’s 179; in fact, Brady was pedestrian 19-for-32 for 159 yards with one TD). The other defeat came two weeks ago, an inexplicable 28-13 loss to Oakland, with the Raiders punching the Chargers in the mouth from the get-go and San Diego never recovered. That was the “outlier” contest.
Meanwhile, San Francisco is 1-5 in true road games, but its aberration game didn’t come in victory (three Mondays ago, the Niners went to Arizona and destroyed the crappy Cardinals 27-6 as a one-point road favorite). Now, the odd road game for the Niners came back in Week 4 at Atlanta, when they had the Falcons dead to rights but failed to close the deal, losing 16-14 but covering as a seven-point road underdog.
Not to take anything away from San Francisco’s effort in that two-point loss to the Falcons, but looking back, the Niners were coming off a 31-10 loss at Kansas City (dropping them to 0-3 on the season) while Atlanta was coming off a 27-24 overtime upset win at New Orleans. In other words, it was a classic letdown/look-ahead game for the Falcons.
Anyway, if you take away the 49ers’ win at Arizona (no real credit there) and the effort at Atlanta, you’re left with the following road results: 31-6 loss at Seattle; 31-10 loss at Kansas City; 23-20 loss at Carolina (the ONLY game the Panthers have won all year); 34-16 loss at Green Bay.
Meanwhile, if you take away the Raiders debacle and the narrow loss to the Patriots, here are the Chargers’ results at home: 38-13 win over Jacksonville, 41-10 win over Arizona, 33-25 win over Tennessee, 35-14 win over Denver, 31-0 win on Sunday over Kansas City.
Put it all together and the Chargers’ five home wins have come by a combined score of 178-62. They scored at least 31 points in every victory and held four of five opponents to 14 points or less. San Francisco’s five road losses (and I’m including Atlanta here) have been by a combined score of 135-66, and in none of those games did the 49ers top 20 points.
Look, San Francisco has been playing better of late (5-3 last eight games – including Sunday’s 40-21 rip job of Seattle at home – after an 0-5 start), but this team has a long way to go to be in San Diego’s talent class. And when you look at the Niners’ five victories, you see they all came against teams with a losing record (three divisional wins over the Seahawks, Rams and Cardinals; a victory over the Raiders at home; and a win over the Broncos in London – those five teams have a combined record of 25-40!).
On the other hand, the Chargers come into this one on a 5-1 SU and ATS roll (the only misstep coming against Oakland), and their seven wins this season have been by margins of 31, 22, 21, 6, 8, 31 and 25 points! Additionally, the SU winner has cashed in each of San Diego’s 13 games this season (the winner is also 6-1 SU and ATS in San Francisco’s last seven).
Bottom line: Unless the Chargers come out and lay a colossal Raiders-like egg again tonight, they should win this game by no less than 21 points. And from the “For What It’s Worth” department: The Chargers have cashed in 11 of their last 15 December games and they’re 22-6 ATS in their last 28 when laying big points at home (3½ to 10); San Francisco is in ATS slumps of 0-5 after a victory, 5-21-3 after a win of two touchdowns or more and 0-8-1 after a spread-cover. In fact, the 49ers haven’t covered in consecutive games since starting out last season 4-0 ATS – a stretch of 25 games!
THURSDAY'S ACTION
30 Dime NFL release on the CHARGERS minus the points at home aaainst the 49ers. San Diego is a nine-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshoere. This pointspread quickly jumped from an opening number of 8½ and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it contanue to rise leading up to kickoff, so my advice is to get down on this one as soon as possible.
CHARGERS
When you scan the home and road schedules of both the Chargers and 49ers you find each has had an “aberration” game.
San Diego is 5-2 SU and ATS on its home field. One of those losses was a 23-20 setback to Tom Brady and the Patriots (a game San Diego dominated from a statistical point of view, finishing with 363 yards to New England’s 179; in fact, Brady was pedestrian 19-for-32 for 159 yards with one TD). The other defeat came two weeks ago, an inexplicable 28-13 loss to Oakland, with the Raiders punching the Chargers in the mouth from the get-go and San Diego never recovered. That was the “outlier” contest.
Meanwhile, San Francisco is 1-5 in true road games, but its aberration game didn’t come in victory (three Mondays ago, the Niners went to Arizona and destroyed the crappy Cardinals 27-6 as a one-point road favorite). Now, the odd road game for the Niners came back in Week 4 at Atlanta, when they had the Falcons dead to rights but failed to close the deal, losing 16-14 but covering as a seven-point road underdog.
Not to take anything away from San Francisco’s effort in that two-point loss to the Falcons, but looking back, the Niners were coming off a 31-10 loss at Kansas City (dropping them to 0-3 on the season) while Atlanta was coming off a 27-24 overtime upset win at New Orleans. In other words, it was a classic letdown/look-ahead game for the Falcons.
Anyway, if you take away the 49ers’ win at Arizona (no real credit there) and the effort at Atlanta, you’re left with the following road results: 31-6 loss at Seattle; 31-10 loss at Kansas City; 23-20 loss at Carolina (the ONLY game the Panthers have won all year); 34-16 loss at Green Bay.
Meanwhile, if you take away the Raiders debacle and the narrow loss to the Patriots, here are the Chargers’ results at home: 38-13 win over Jacksonville, 41-10 win over Arizona, 33-25 win over Tennessee, 35-14 win over Denver, 31-0 win on Sunday over Kansas City.
Put it all together and the Chargers’ five home wins have come by a combined score of 178-62. They scored at least 31 points in every victory and held four of five opponents to 14 points or less. San Francisco’s five road losses (and I’m including Atlanta here) have been by a combined score of 135-66, and in none of those games did the 49ers top 20 points.
Look, San Francisco has been playing better of late (5-3 last eight games – including Sunday’s 40-21 rip job of Seattle at home – after an 0-5 start), but this team has a long way to go to be in San Diego’s talent class. And when you look at the Niners’ five victories, you see they all came against teams with a losing record (three divisional wins over the Seahawks, Rams and Cardinals; a victory over the Raiders at home; and a win over the Broncos in London – those five teams have a combined record of 25-40!).
On the other hand, the Chargers come into this one on a 5-1 SU and ATS roll (the only misstep coming against Oakland), and their seven wins this season have been by margins of 31, 22, 21, 6, 8, 31 and 25 points! Additionally, the SU winner has cashed in each of San Diego’s 13 games this season (the winner is also 6-1 SU and ATS in San Francisco’s last seven).
Bottom line: Unless the Chargers come out and lay a colossal Raiders-like egg again tonight, they should win this game by no less than 21 points. And from the “For What It’s Worth” department: The Chargers have cashed in 11 of their last 15 December games and they’re 22-6 ATS in their last 28 when laying big points at home (3½ to 10); San Francisco is in ATS slumps of 0-5 after a victory, 5-21-3 after a win of two touchdowns or more and 0-8-1 after a spread-cover. In fact, the 49ers haven’t covered in consecutive games since starting out last season 4-0 ATS – a stretch of 25 games!
Dunkel Today's NBA Picks
Atlanta at Boston
The Celtics look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog from 5 to 10 1/2 points. Boston is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 16
Time Posted: 2:00 p.m. EST
Game 701-702: Washington at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.913; New Jersey 112.510
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 4 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 6; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6); Over
Game 703-704: Atlanta at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.917; Boston 130.980
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7; 182
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7); Under
Game 705-706: San Antonio at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.614; Denver 121.836
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 218
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 213
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1); Over
Atlanta at Boston
The Celtics look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog from 5 to 10 1/2 points. Boston is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 16
Time Posted: 2:00 p.m. EST
Game 701-702: Washington at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.913; New Jersey 112.510
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 4 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 6; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6); Over
Game 703-704: Atlanta at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.917; Boston 130.980
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7; 182
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7); Under
Game 705-706: San Antonio at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.614; Denver 121.836
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 218
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 213
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1); Over
Hammer the book
nfl plays
rotation 301/302:san francisco 49'ers @ san diego chargers (49'ers +11 @ 5dimes)
nba plays
rotation 703/704:atlanta hawks @ boston celtics (celtics -7 @ most all books)
college basketball plays
rotation 709/710:florida atlantic @ troy trojans (troy +5 1/2 @ bodog)
nhl plays
rotation 055/056:carolina hurricanes @ atlanta thrashers (thrashers ml -135 @ matchbook)
rotation 053/054:san jose sharks @ dallas stars (stars ml -104 @ matchbook)
nfl plays
rotation 301/302:san francisco 49'ers @ san diego chargers (49'ers +11 @ 5dimes)
nba plays
rotation 703/704:atlanta hawks @ boston celtics (celtics -7 @ most all books)
college basketball plays
rotation 709/710:florida atlantic @ troy trojans (troy +5 1/2 @ bodog)
nhl plays
rotation 055/056:carolina hurricanes @ atlanta thrashers (thrashers ml -135 @ matchbook)
rotation 053/054:san jose sharks @ dallas stars (stars ml -104 @ matchbook)
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, December 16, 2010
$29.00 Guaranteed: Are you ready to ROCK YOUR MAN TODAY! This is HUGE as we have isolated one of our STRONGEST NBA WINNERS EVER!!! You can get our BOOKIE-BUSTING LATE INFO NBA BOMB for only $29 and you will pay ONLY AFTER YOU WIN!! 93-51 GUARANTEED WINNING RUN! 12/16/2010
BOOKIE-BUSTING LATE INFO NBA BOMB
702 New Jersey -6 7:05 EST
Date: Thursday, December 16, 2010
$29.00 Guaranteed: Are you ready to ROCK YOUR MAN TODAY! This is HUGE as we have isolated one of our STRONGEST NBA WINNERS EVER!!! You can get our BOOKIE-BUSTING LATE INFO NBA BOMB for only $29 and you will pay ONLY AFTER YOU WIN!! 93-51 GUARANTEED WINNING RUN! 12/16/2010
BOOKIE-BUSTING LATE INFO NBA BOMB
702 New Jersey -6 7:05 EST
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, December 16, 2010
$29.00 Guaranteed: Last year in Basketball we were 97-52 including 50-22 in the NBA. Tonight we have isolated another PERFECT 500* TRIPLE DOUBLE NBA WINNER that will be in the bag by half time...wink...wink! ALL FIVE of our handicappers are on this game and ALL FIVE of them are making this game a BEST BET!! The Computer Simulator gives our play an 82% chance of covering for us! Get it now for $29 GUARANTEED! 12/16/2010
PERFECT 500* TRIPLE DOUBLE NBA WINNER
713 Austin Peay +13.5 8:00 EST
Date: Thursday, December 16, 2010
$29.00 Guaranteed: Last year in Basketball we were 97-52 including 50-22 in the NBA. Tonight we have isolated another PERFECT 500* TRIPLE DOUBLE NBA WINNER that will be in the bag by half time...wink...wink! ALL FIVE of our handicappers are on this game and ALL FIVE of them are making this game a BEST BET!! The Computer Simulator gives our play an 82% chance of covering for us! Get it now for $29 GUARANTEED! 12/16/2010
PERFECT 500* TRIPLE DOUBLE NBA WINNER
713 Austin Peay +13.5 8:00 EST
