Service Plays Thursday 12/16/10

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MR EAST

3 UNITS 49ERS / CHARGERS UNDER 44.5

The San Diego Chargers are back in late season modem, where they have posted a 30-4 straight up mark over the last 5 years in games played from Halloween on. Tonight they face a 49er team that has not been able to move the ball on the road vs anyone but Carolina and Arizona, perhaps the NFC's worst 2 teams. They have produced a total of 46 points in their other 4 road games on the season, good for 11.5ppg. Tonight they face the best defense they have seen all season, and will likely have trouble moving the ball, and getting points. They should play here with fire, as they are still a contender in the NFC West which is brutal. I expect them to keep San Diego from piling up points, and with their offense producing very little, I like this one to go under the total.
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

San Francisco +9½ over SAN DIEGO

The Chargers are flexing their muscles lately with five wins in six games and none more convincingly then Sunday’s 31-0 pasting of the Chiefs. Be that as it may, these Chargers have shown a huge propensity for mistake-filled football and we’re not sure how much to trust them on three days rest after destroying someone. The 49ers may actually have a better chance of qualifying for the post-season with the inept NFC West still being attainable. As odd as it may sound, San Francisco feeling better about itself with Alex Smith back at QB and being fresh off its best offensive output of season. San Fran cannot be trusted as the chalk but it’s a whole different story when taking back points and in fact, they’re 9-2 over past 11 when getting points and that’s largely attributed to their resolute defense. Remember, this intruder was projected to win 10 games this season and suddenly they're playing better and they have a chance to save what looked earlier to be a disastrous campaign. Play: San Francisco +9½ (No bets).
 
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NCAAB

Youngstown State at NC State
Penguins look to take advantage of an NC State team that is 11-26-1 in its last 38 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Youngstown State is the pick (+18) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolfpack favored by only 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+18)

Game 707-708: Youngstown State at NC State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 50.472; NC State 63.722
Dunkel Line: NC State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: NC State by 18
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+18)

Game 709-710: Florida Atlantic at Troy (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 55.076; Troy 47.857
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 7
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-4 1/2)

Game 711-712: Arkansas Little Rock at Rice (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas Little Rock 49.898; Rice 58.928
Dunkel Line: Rice by 9
Vegas Line: Rice by 7
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-7)

Game 713-714: Austin Peay at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 53.614; Memphis 66.059
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 15
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+15)

Game 715-716: Weber State at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 54.431; Tulsa 64.622
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 10
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-8 1/2)

Game 717-718: Northern Arizona at Arizona (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 53.911; Arizona 69.766
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 16
Vegas Line: Arizona by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+17 1/2)

Game 721-722: UC Davis at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 49.967; North Dakota State 61.032
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 723-724: Oral Roberts at Missouri (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 58.393; Missouri 66.085
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 
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NHL

San Jose at Dallas
The Sharks look to bounce back from a 3-2 loss in Nashville last night and build on their 6-2 record in their last 8 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. San Jose is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Sharks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+115)

Game 51-52: Anaheim at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.711; NY Islanders 9.934
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-130); Over

Game 53-54: Phoenix at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 10.697; NY Rangers 12.388
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 55-56: Carolina at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.675; Atlanta 11.470
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 57-58: Boston at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.514; Montreal 12.063
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-130); Under

Game 59-60: Ottawa at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.652; Minnesota 11.424
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-140); Over

Game 61-62: Los Angeles at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.246; St. Louis 10.642
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-110); Under

Game 63-64: San Jose at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.325; Dallas 11.255
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+115); Under

Game 65-66: Columbus at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 9.801; Edmonton 11.453
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-110); Over

Game 67-68: Toronto at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.880; Calgary 11.056
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130); Under
 

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WhoKnewGuru

NCAAB 100 Dime Game of the Year to Date

Northern Arizona +17.5

he went 0-2 yesterday but has been doing well. I expect this to be a winner
 
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NBA
Write-Up


Thursday, December 16

Hot Teams
-- Celtics won last 11 games, but are 3-7 in last 10 games as home fave.
-- Nuggets won their last ten home games. San Antonio won its last six games, covered four of last five.

Cold Teams
-- Nets lost their last eight games (1-5 vs spread in last six). Wizards lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Hawks lost three of last four road games, with all three losses by 12+ points.

Totals
-- Over is 9-3 in Washington's last dozen games. Last three New Jersey home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven San Antonio games stayed under the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Celtics are 0-2 vs spread at home if they played on road nite before.
-- Spurs are 2-1 if they played the night before.

 
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NCAAB
Write-Up


Thursday, December 16

NC State is 5-3, 2-1 as favorite, beating teams at Youngstown's level by 13-10-19 points; they've got Arizona coming in Sunday, could look past Penguin squad that is 4-3, but 0-3 on road, losing by 7 at Akron, 30 at Robert Morris, 9 at Milwaukee. Horizon double digit road dogs are 7-4 against the spread this season. ACC double digit home faves are 9-9.

Troy won three of last four games vs Florida Atlantic, winning last two here by 86-80/94-87 scores, but Trojans are 0-7 vs D-I teams, with none of losses by less than nine points, but they did cover three of their last four games. FAU won three of last four games, splitting pair up north earlier thisweek- they're 5-2 against the spread as an underdog.

Ark-Little Rock is 1-3 on road, losing by 13 at St Bonaventure, 26 at Oral Roberts, 34 at Missouri State (won by 10 at SMU); Trojans are 3-4 as underdog this year. Rice hasn't played in 12 days; they lost four of last five games vs D-I teams. C-USA single digit home favorites are just 2-9-1 vs spread. Sun Belt single digit road underdogs are 7-14.

Austin Peay is 5-5 vs D-I teams, losing by 22 at Purdue, best team they played so far- also lost to Oakland by 8. Governors are 2-3 as underdog this year. Memphis is down to nine scholarship players after player left to go play pro ball in Spain and another got hurt; they haven't played in nine days. Tigers are 1-4 against the spread as a favorite.

Tulsa lost its last three games, and were favored in two of them; they're 4-0 if they allow 68 or less points, 0-5 if they allow more. Hurricane is 2-3 as favorite this year. Weber State won last three games, by 1-4-6 points, after losing to Arizona State by a point up in Alaska. Big Sky road dogs of 14 or less points are 10-6 against the spread.

Arizona got crushed at BYU in last game, has trip to NC State on deck; they're 6-1 vs spread as favorite, beating two Big Sky teams already, by 48 over Idaho State, 23 over No Colorado. Big Sky road underdogs of 14+ points are 3-7 vs spread. Pac-10 home favorites of 15+ points are 13-5 vs spread. Lumberjacks are 3-1 vs spread as an underdog.
 
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NHL
Write-Up


Thursday, December 16

Hot Teams
-- Anaheim won four of its last five games.
-- Rangers won seven of their last ten games. Phoenix won six of its last eight road games.
-- Thrashers won 10 of their last 13 games.
-- Los Angeles won four of its last five games.
-- Dallas won nine of its last ten home games.
-- Flames won four of their last five home games. Toronto won four of its last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Islanders lost last six games, outscored 26-13.
-- Carolina is 3-7 in last 10 road games, but won last two.
-- Montreal lost last three games, outscored 12-6. Bruins lost three of their last four road games.
-- Ottawa lost six of its last eight games. Minnesota lost four of its last five home games.
-- Blues lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Sharks lost three of their last four games.
-- Columbus lost its last five road games.
-- Oilers lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Under is 6-2 in last seven Anaheim road games.
-- Seven of last ten Ranger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Carolina games. Three of last four Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-0-2 in last seven Boston road games.
-- Over is 8-1-3 in last dozen Minnesota games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Kings' last four road games.
-- Three of last four Dallas home games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Edmonton games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Calgary games stayed under the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Teams are 0-5 the night after playing Washington.
-- Rangers are 8-0 if they played the night before.
-- Thrashers are 2-5 if they played the night before.
-- Teams are 4-7 the night after playing Buffalo, 4-2 the night after they played the Flyers. .
-- Blues are 0-3 at home if they played on road the night before.
-- San Jose is 1-4 if it played the night before.
-- Blue Jackets are 4-1 if they played the night before.

Series Records
-- Anaheim won last two games against the Islanders, 5-4ot/1-0.
-- Rangers won three of last four games against Phoenix.
-- Hurricanes won three of last four games against Atlanta.
-- Canadiens won six of last seven games against Boston.
-- Minnesota lost 4-1 at Ottawa in LY's meeting.
-- Kings lost four of last five games against St Louis.
-- Dallas won six of its last eight games against the Sharks.
-- Blue Jackets won five of last six games against Edmonton.
-- Calgary beat Toronto twice LY, 5-2/3-1.
 

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49ers vs. Chargers NFL Las Vegas betting odds are up for NFL picks and predictions.

The bookmaker’s point spread is San Diego -9 with a total of 44.5

OffshoreInsiders.com takes a look at the football betting match-up using key numbers employed by professional gamblers.

In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to San Francisco by .1.

As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for San Diego by .9.

According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is the Bolts by 2.3.

Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is neither as it’s a dead heat.

The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion San Diego by .9.

The yards per point statistic used by the best sports handicappers says the superior defense is San Francisco 49ers forcing 1.6 more.

Who to bet on according to the football betting experts against the spread At one unit per bet, ScoresOddsPicks has won you 45.4 units in college and NFL. The latest run is 19-4, but still does not tell the story.

This included Miami Ohio +775 on the moneyline in the MAC Championship, Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship as the Best Bet of the Year, and Oakland December 5 as the Underdog Best Bet of the Year. Thursday Night Playoff Ramifications Best Bet of the Year on the 49ers vs. Chargers. Could this be the latest in a long line of moneyline underdogs that bark? The pick is on OffshoreInsiders.com

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): San Francisco is 9-2 as underdog, but 3-7 on grass and 5-21 following a straight up win of more than 14 points. They are also 0-8 off spread win.

San Diego is 22-6 as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0, but 2-9 after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Over/under trends: San Diego has gone under 8-2 at home versus an opponent with a losing record.
 
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GC NBA Play- Thursday

On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the San Antonio Spurs. Game 705 at 10:35 eastern. The Spurs have some quality angles here tonight on their side. They are 11-1 straight up the last 3 years when the posted total is 210 or more. When they play teams that score 99 or more per game they are 11-0. When they take on teams that allow 99 or more per game they are 13-1. Denver is 0-4 off a dog win and 1-4 ats off a win of 10 or more. The Spurs are the best team in the West and should win this one tonight. Lay the short number. On Thursday the Triple System NFL play is led by a 20-2 system that dates to 1980. In NBA action I have another Never lost system. Football is 32 game over .500 on the year and NBA is 32-16. For the Bonus Play take the Spurs. GC
 
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LT Profits

NCAAB

Youngstown State +17.5 -110
Arkansas-Little Rock +7 -110

NHL

Leafs/Flames UNDER 5.5 -130
Coyotes +135
Hurricanes +14
 

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