Service Plays Thursday 12/10/09

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Indian cowboy

4 Unit Play. #517. Take <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 /><st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Montana</st1:place></st1:state> +1 over Loyola Marymount (Thursday @ 10pm est).

Winning 14 of 22 days in CBB.
2-0 Yesterday: 4* Cbb: Harvard +11 Outright over Boston College
4* Nba: Minnesota +3.5 over New Orleans

Comp: Ball State +12 Outright over Indiana State
63% 2009 College Basketball; +$1980 Nov College Ball.

<st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Montana</st1:place></st1:state> is a team that is quite capable and they are 5-3 on the year. This is the same team that went on the road to defeat Oregon 68-65 on the road, lost to Washington by just 4 points despite being a 19 point underdog and has also beat a very good Northern Arizona team. Yes, Loyola Marymout has revenge in this game but I sincerely believe that <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Montana</st1:place></st1:state> is the better team. <st1:state w:st="on">Montana</st1:state> comes off a loss to <st1:place w:st="on">Northern Colorado</st1:place> 48-59 at home despite being a -6.5 favorite and I think they bounce-back well here due to that. This team has lost back to back games all year and although Loyola Marymount did play well against Wyoming falling short by just six points, this team lost to UC-Irvine at home who I have 30 spots below Montana who visits them today. I like our chances with <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Montana</st1:place></st1:state> as they made adjustments well typically and this is a game they should be able to pull out once again as they come off a loss. Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS following a straight up loss and <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Montana</st1:place></st1:state> is also 6-2 ATS as a road underdog while the Lions of Loyola Marymount are 1-4 ATS against the Big Sky.

4 Unit Play. #501. Take the <st1:city w:st="on">Denver</st1:city> Nuggets -7 over the <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Detroit</st1:place></st1:city> Pistons (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). The Nuggets are typically a very good team to take on a bounce-back and nothing is different here today. The Nuggets lost a surprise to Charlotte who showed up to play this team and now go on the road to play Detroit as they look to bounce-back from a disappointing game in their last go around. The Nuggets are 16-6 straight up overall and this is Chauncey's return to the palace as I expect him to play very well tonight. Remember, the last time the Nuggets lost was to <st1:state w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:state> at home as a 14.5 favorite and they came back to defeat <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:placename w:st="on">Golden</st1:placename> <st1:placetype w:st="on">State</st1:placetype></st1:place> and easily cover the 15 point spread placed against them. <st1:city w:st="on">Detroit</st1:city> has won 3 in a row and comes off a nice win against <st1:city w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:city> on the road, but I like our chances here with <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Denver</st1:place></st1:city> on the bounce-back, Chauncey as he faces his former team as the Nuggets likely cover late in this game as they typically have very strong fourth quarters. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS when playing on 0 days rest, the Nuggets are 5-1 ATS as a road favorite by this margin and 4-0 ATS when playing on 0 days rest.
Good luck,
IC<?xml:namespace prefix = o /><o:p></o:p><o:p></o:p>
 

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Magic/Jazz UNDER 203.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "under":

Orlando split its first four road games but has won eight in a row after Dwight Howard’s 25 points, 11 rebounds and seven blocks led the way to a 97-86 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers on Tuesday.

Keep in mind the total has gone under the posted number in ten of Orlando's last 14 on the road overall.

On the other side of the court: No team has more wins at home than the Utah Jazz since the start of the 2006-07 season, and after a mediocre start in Salt Lake City, they’ve won the past five games on their home floor.

Utah is coming off a 101-77 loss to the Lakers last night, and they will have to play better defensively in front of the hometown crowd to knock off the Magic. In fact, its imperative that Utah plays well on the defensive side if it ever has a chance to win; Utah fell to 1-8 after last nights loss to LA, when it allows 100 points in a game.

Remember, the total has gone under the posted number in four of Utah's last six when playing Orlando overall, and in five of its last seven vs. the Magic at Energy Solutions Arena.

Bottom line: Look for both teams to create offense through their defense; when taking all of the above into account, the sharp money in this one is on the UNDER!
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Tony George

Steelers/Browns OVER 33

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Cleveland has lost by an average 5.7 points over its last three games and scored a total of 67 points during that stretch. Pittsburgh is in a MUST WIN scenario playing the NFL’s worst defense and run defense as well. The Browns have been scoring more, Pitts defense is in a funk, looks like this exceeds the total. Yes it is 20 degrees with some possible rain. I see that as opportunity for turnovers and easy scores. This line is anywhere from 32.5 to 36 in some places…shop your line.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER.
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Ron Raymond

PITTSBURGH PENGUINS -150

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Keys to selection: When PITTSBURGH played as any home/road team - During Last 2 Years - With 3 Under or Less - Lost Last Game by 1 Goals or More - With SU Record of 3 Win 2 Lost in L5G; the Penguins are 9-3 SU in this cycle.

*Note: The Habs are banged up and they will most likely have some guys playing at around 80% this evening vs. the Pens. In fact, at one point vs. Ottawa this week, they had 4 guys in the dressing room where trainers were looking after their injuries.

Take the Penguins.
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Evan Altemus

ORLANDO MAGIC -3

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Orlando is red hot right now, winning nine of their last ten games. The Magic have also been an outstanding road team this season, going 8-4 against the spread and 10-2 straight up away from Orlando. Utah has played well at home this year, but they are in a very tough spot entering this game. The Jazz have to play this game after a huge game at the LA Lakers on Wednesday night. To make matters worse, they are banged up as a team right now, which will make it harder for them to come back and play another big game on Thursday night. Orlando also won both games against Utah last season. The Magic have won their last seven games on the road, including a road win at Boston. Sharp bettors also bet this line up from -2.5 to -3 almost immediately after it was released. Look for the Magic to get a road win and point spread cover.

4 UNIT SELECTION MAGIC.
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Bob Balfe

PITTSBURGH STEELERS -10

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Steelers are losers of 4 straight and it has not been to superior competition. Who can really say what is wrong with Pittsburgh? They have just had meltdowns in the 4th quarters of their last few games. The bottom line for this game is simple. The weather is going to be out of control with temperatures feeling like -1 degrees and winds up to 35 mph. The Browns cant pass on a normal sunny day so its safe to say they will struggle tonight. When Cleveland runs the ball they will be using their backup Harrison and will be going against a very good Steelers run defense. So if you cant throw and cant run then its safe to say you probably are not going to put up a lot of points. If the Browns do get down the field would a field goal be even possible in this weather. When Pittsburgh is on offense they are going to run the ball a lot against the left side of the Browns Defense. Left end Coleman is out and so is his backup. Cleveland is also banged up on that side at linebacker and corner with key guys playing hurt. Its tough to take a team laying 10 points in these conditions, but a Steelers loss would knock them out of the playoff race and really could be the spiraling downfall for this great franchise. Look for Pittsburgh to get focused tonight and jump to a big lead early. You never know what can happen in the wind or snow, but usually bad teams beat themselves more often in these types of conditions. The Browns now are playing for the #1 pick next year. Take the Steelers.[/FONT]
 

ugk

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VEGAS RUNNER | NBA Total Thu, 12/10/09 - 10:35 PM ·‰

double-dime bet 505 ORL / 506 UTA Over 201.5 BetUS
Analysis:
** NBA on TNT 2* TOP PERSONAL PLY OF THE DAY **

PLEASE forgive me fellas...I put the incorrect "copy" when I Uploaded this NBA Bet...It's a 2* BET...Not the 3* GOW...ThaŽnks, VR




vegas-runner | CBB Total Thu, 12/10/09 - 9:00 PM ·‰

triple-dime bet 513 Syracuse / 514 Florida Under 147.5 SportBet
Analysis: *** NCAABB on ESPN 3* "PRIME-TIME" GAME OF THE WEEK ***
 

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Rocketman

PITTSBURGH STEELERS -10

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Pittsburgh lost to the lowly Oakland Raiders this past week. Wouldn't you be a little ticked off. I think they take it out on the 1-11 Cleveland Browns here tonight. Pittsburgh is 80-51 ATS since 1992 as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Cleveland is scoring only 12.1 points per game overall and 13.2 points per game at home this year. Cleveland is allowing 25.7 points per game overall and 26.8 points per game at home this year. Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 14. Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Browns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 14. Browns are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Browns are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games on grass. Browns are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Cleveland. Steelers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings. Favorite is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. We'll play Pittsburgh for 4 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.[/FONT]
 

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Rob Homyak

PITTSBURGH STEELERS -9.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Pittsburgh in this rivalry (8-3-1 ATS). The Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS on their last six trips to Cleveland, and Pittsburgh has been the favorite in the last 11 contests, going 7-3-1 ATS. In their last five Thursday games Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS.

The Browns have loss 17 of their last 18 regular-season games (6-11-1 ATS) and 2-7-1 ATS at home, 1-4 in December and 3-7 when catching double digits.

3 Units on Pittsburgh.
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Lenny Del Genio

SYRACUSE -2

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]This is a matchup of unbeatens and one of the marquee battles of the entire Big East/SEC challenge. You can excuse the Orange for playing back to back throwaway games as they began the season by roaring through the Preseason NIT, including blowout wins over ranked foes Cal and North Carolina, games where the line was around a Pick Em and Syracuse beat the spread by a combined 47 points. In fact, looking back further, neutral site games have been very kind to Jim Boeheim as his team is an astounding 49-29 vs. the number when homecourt advantage does not come into play. This includes an outright 89-83 victory last November over the team they face tonight. The Orange's margin of victory thus far is approaching 30 PPG. They lead the nation in effective field goal percentage at 62.3%, which is better than any team has ever done over the course of a full season. It is probably destined to come down a little, but not in this game as Syracuse is currently playing at a pace of 10 possession per game higher than are the Gators. Syracuse is our **ESPN** Winner.[/FONT]
 
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Burns

Game: Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards Dec 10 2009 8:05PM
Prediction: Washington Wizards

Reason: I'm taking the points with WASHINGTON. With the Celtics on an eight game winning streak and with the Wizards having lost two in a row, many will hesitate to back the home underdog here. That sentiment has provided us with plenty of line value. A closer look at Boston's eight game winning streak shows that only three of the victories came by more than nine points. They won the other five games by an average of less than six points. Looking back a little further and we find them at just 7-11 ATS, dating back to the beginning of November. While the Wizards are off back to back losses, both those defeats came by four points or less. In fact, each of their last four games has been decided by four points or less - they went 2-2 in those games. Looking back further and we find that the Wizards have won four of their last seven games. Of those seven games, only one resulted in a loss of greater than four points. That lone lopsided loss (11/28 at Charlotte) came when the Wizards were playing the second of back to back games. Tonight, however, the Wizards are very well rested - they haven't played since 12/6. I believe that the fact that the Wizards haven't played since 12/6 is significant. Note that the last time that they played, after having the previous three days off, came vs. Cleveland on 11/18. Listed as +3.5 underdogs, they Wizards won outright. In fact, they crushed the Cavs by a score 108-91. Coincidentally, the Wizards were coming off a 3-point lss vs. Detroit, prior to their break. This time, they're coming off a 4-point loss, vs. those same Pistons. While the Wizards are well-rested, the same cannot be said for the Celts. Yes, they did have last night off. However, they're also in the midst of playing seven of their last eight games on the road. While he's not one of the "Big 3,' note that the Celts will be without guard Marquis Daniels. The Wizards do allow just slightly over 100 points per game. However, with Arenas, Jamsion and Butler all averaging more than 16.5 points per game, (Arenas and Jamison average more than 20) they can also trade points with the best of them. Additionally, the Celtics are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 against teams which allow 99 or more points. They're also only 3-6 ATS vs. sub-500 teams. I expect another one which comes down to the wire. *9 Best Best
 

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