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Ohio vs. Buffalo
In weigh against one team’s yards per rush on offense against the other, the more advance records favor Ohio by 1.6.
As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the digits point towards Ohio by 1.1.
Employing yards per point, the more effective offense is the Bobcats by a stunning 9.9.
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Defensively the most operative lineup based on yards per rush is Ohio by .6.
The upper rated defense based on the provisions of passing yards per completion Buffalo Bulls by .4.
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home, 1-6 as an underdog, 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, 1-6 overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bobcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games, 23-8-2 ATS in their last 33 games following a S.U. win, 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.
Over/under trends: Over is 28-13 in Bulls last 41 conference games. Under is 6-1 in Bobcats last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
GA Tech vs. Virginia Tech
In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to the Ramblin’ Wreck by .4.
As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for the Yellow Jackets by 2.5.
According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is Virginia Tech Hokies by 1.9.
Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is GA Tech by .1
The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion GA Tech as well by 1.1
The yards per point statistic used by the best sports handicappers says the superior defense is Virginia Tech by 1.8.
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Yellow Jackets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater, 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games, but 2-6 on Thursday and 2-8 off a bye week.
Hokies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game, 6-0 as favorites, 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games in November, 17-5 Thursdays, 42-19 ATS in their last 61 games following a S.U. win.
Over/under trends: Under is 7-1 in Yellow Jackets last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater, under 34-16 as a dog. Under is 12-1 in Hokies last 13 Thursday games, under 18-5 to teams with a winning record, but they’ve gone over six straight on grass.
Thunder vs. Blazers
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5, 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 49-23 ATS in their last 72 games following a S.U. loss. On the other hand, Thunder are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.
Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over/under trends: Oklahoma City over 20-8 overall. Portland under 8-1 overall.
Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders.com winner for Thursday is on Buffalo getting 16 to Ohio against the NCAA point spread
Clearly the 6-2 Ohio Bobcats at home are the superior team on the field today but can this group really be laying north of two touchdowns? Seriously?
Yes the improving days of Turner Gill leading the way for the Bulls winning MAC championships is gone and the program has regressed mightily of late but I’ll fade the Bobbies here at this number. It’s a rare nighttime televised type game and weird things happen in these spots. We sometimes see well inferior schools rise up and upset a better team, ala NC State over Florida State last week among other countless examples but we also see mediocre teams laying numbers that they just shouldn’t as their foe is playing their Super Bowl in front of many more viewers than normal.
Buffalo isn’t good and I’m not trying to act like they are. The Bulls have been whacked around a ton this season and just lost at home to a very mediocre Miami, Ohio team after getting drilled by Temple. Jerry Davis and his 12 interceptions didn’t intimidate many leading to a change as the true freshman Alex Zordich is now calling the signals. Zordich won’t be confused with Dan Marino or Joe Montana but he didn’t throw a pick in that last game and that was an improvement of sorts.
Boo Williams and the ‘Cats have won five in a row and it should be six after tonight but the number seems a bit too steep and in the end I’ll grab this hefty number back with Buffalo as they rally in front of a lot more people and play their best game of the season resulting in a cover.
The pick: Buffalo +16 from Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders
Knicks vs. Bulls.
The bookmaker’s posted odds are Chicago -7 with a total of 204.
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Knicks are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic, 13-4 versus an opponent with a losing record, 26-11 off spread win, 26-11 games following a ATS win.
Over/under trends: New York under 9-0 on Thursdays, but over 12-5 playing on 3 or more days rest. Chicago over 36-15 following a SU win of more than 10 points.