NBA WRITE-UP
Thursday, November 4
Hot Teams
-- Bulls won both their home games, by 10-12 points (2-0 as HF).
-- Trailblazers won four of first five games (2-0-1 as a favorite).
Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost two of first three games, with all three decided by five or less points.
-- Thunder lost last two games, by 21-15 points.
Totals
-- Two of first three Chicago games went over the total; two of Knicks' first three stayed under.
-- All four Oklahoma City games went over the total. Four of first five Portland games stayed under.
Thursday, November 4
Hot Teams
-- Bulls won both their home games, by 10-12 points (2-0 as HF).
-- Trailblazers won four of first five games (2-0-1 as a favorite).
Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost two of first three games, with all three decided by five or less points.
-- Thunder lost last two games, by 21-15 points.
Totals
-- Two of first three Chicago games went over the total; two of Knicks' first three stayed under.
-- All four Oklahoma City games went over the total. Four of first five Portland games stayed under.
NHL WRITE-UP
Thursday, November 4
Hot Teams
-- Columbus won six of its last eight games. Thrashers won three of their last four games.
-- Flyers won last four games, outscoring foes 18-8. Rangers won five of their last seven games.
-- Ottawa won three of its last four games.
-- Blues won last four games, allowing five goals.
-- Canucks won last four games, outscoring foes 16-7. Avalanche won their last two games, scoring 11 goals.
-- Kings won seven of their last nine games. Lightning is 3-0 in game after a loss this season.
Cold Teams
-- Islanders lost last five games, outscored 25-10.
-- Sharks got shut out in last two road games (4-0/1-0).
Totals
-- Last six Atlanta games went over the total. Under is 8-3 in Columbus games this season.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Rangers' last eight games.
-- Four of last five Islander games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight San Jose games went over the total.
-- Last five Colorado games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Los Angeles games stayed under the total.
Back-to-Back
-- Thrashers are 1-3 if they played the night before.
Series Records
-- Blue Jackets won their last four games against Atlanta.
-- Rangers won six of last nine games against Philadelphia.
-- Islanders lost four of last five games against Ottawa.
-- Sharks are 8-4 in last dozen games against St Louis.
-- Canucks won five of last six games against Colorado.
-- Kings won 2-1 in shootout at Tampa Bay in LY's meeting.
Thursday, November 4
Hot Teams
-- Columbus won six of its last eight games. Thrashers won three of their last four games.
-- Flyers won last four games, outscoring foes 18-8. Rangers won five of their last seven games.
-- Ottawa won three of its last four games.
-- Blues won last four games, allowing five goals.
-- Canucks won last four games, outscoring foes 16-7. Avalanche won their last two games, scoring 11 goals.
-- Kings won seven of their last nine games. Lightning is 3-0 in game after a loss this season.
Cold Teams
-- Islanders lost last five games, outscored 25-10.
-- Sharks got shut out in last two road games (4-0/1-0).
Totals
-- Last six Atlanta games went over the total. Under is 8-3 in Columbus games this season.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Rangers' last eight games.
-- Four of last five Islander games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight San Jose games went over the total.
-- Last five Colorado games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Los Angeles games stayed under the total.
Back-to-Back
-- Thrashers are 1-3 if they played the night before.
Series Records
-- Blue Jackets won their last four games against Atlanta.
-- Rangers won six of last nine games against Philadelphia.
-- Islanders lost four of last five games against Ottawa.
-- Sharks are 8-4 in last dozen games against St Louis.
-- Canucks won five of last six games against Colorado.
-- Kings won 2-1 in shootout at Tampa Bay in LY's meeting.
Statsystems report 114
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/4
NBA & NCAA COLLEDGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA & CFB *****
*** BUFFALO @ OHIO U (-15.5, O/U 45.5) ***
----------------------------------------------------
The red-hot Bobcats will look to continue their current winning streak on short rest this Thursday when they host the Buffalo Bulls in a Mid- American Conference battle at Peden Stadium. The Bulls dropped their third straight game this past weekend, falling to Miami-Ohio, 21-9. It was the sixth loss in the last seven contests for Buffalo, which is not a mere 1-3 in league action.
Since losing three consecutive games the Bobcats have clawed their way back into the mix of the upper echelon teams in the MAC. Ohio, which is currently riding an impressive five-game winning streak, is coming off a hard-fought, 38-31 decision over Louisiana in a non-conference battle. In league action the Bobcats has won four straight since opening conference action with a 20-13 setback to Toledo.
The offense for Buffalo has simply fallen apart. The team has only two offensive touchdowns in its last three games, and was held without a score for eight consecutive quarters of play, but Alex Zordich found the end zone in the third quarter this past weekend. Coach Jeff Quinn's team totaled just 265 yards and finished a poor 4-of-17 on third down attempts.
Zordich was the best player on the field for the Bulls on Saturday, as the quarterback threw for 210 yards on 16-of-33 passing. However, the signal caller was under duress throughout the matchup and was eventually sacked five times. Adding to Buffalo's troubles against Miami-Ohio was the team's inability to gain anything on the ground. As mentioned earlier, Zordich scored the lone touchdown for Buffalo, and finished with 12 of the team's 55 rushing yards.
The true freshman has taken the spot of Jerry Davis, and has struggled to say the least, completing less than 50.0 percent of his passes, while throwing three interceptions to no touchdowns. Stunting Zordich's growth is the inconsistent ground attack that was brought into light earlier, and comes into this weekend with just 122.2 ypg. Zordich's touchdown run this past weekend was just the second TD on the ground for the Bulls on the season.
To make matters worse for Coach Quinn, his defense has been beaten and battered throughout the year and is currently allowing 29.6 ppg. The main problem for this unit has come against the run, as teams are currently dismantling Buffalo for 147.6 ypg, while scoring 15 touchdowns via the run. The defense has also allowed 189.6 ypg through the air and 13 passing TDs, but the Bulls have softened their problems in this area by collecting 12 interceptions.
Against Miami-Ohio, the defense actually put forth a strong effort, but ultimately it did not help the team grab a victory. The Bulls held the RedHawks to just 297 total yards, and had one of their best performances against the run, holding Miami-Ohio to a mere 66 yards on 2.2 yards per attempt. Where this unit faltered was against the pass, even though the defense collected two interceptions, the RedHawks still managed to post 231 yards and two scores via the pass.
As the season has progressed, so has the offense for Ohio, as coach Frank Solich's squad has found plenty of success from its ability to run the ball. Ohio comes into this contest averaging 176.8 ypg on the ground, and what makes Ohio such a tough team to gameplan against is that coach Solich has three players capable of running with consistency. Phil Bates is leading the way with 382 yards on an impressive 7.8 yards per attempt. Vince Davidson has contributed 356 yards and four scores, while quarterback Boo Jackson has rumbled for 289 yards and a team-best six touchdowns.
This past weekend the Bobcats were able to overcome four interceptions thrown by Jackson, to grab a seven-point win over Louisiana. The quarterback, however, more than made up for his mistakes, as he led his team with 74 rushing yards and one score, while adding another 240 yards and three more touchdowns through the air. Jackson eventually was the reason why the Bobcats were victorious, but his inability to avoid mistakes could hurt the team down the stretch. Jackson, who has thrown for 1,302 yards, has 12 touchdowns through the air, but has also been intercepted 12 times.
Since coach Solich has taken over in Athens, the Bobcats have been one of the better defensive teams in the conference, and this year is no different as Ohio heads into this contest holding teams to a pedestrian 21.4 ppg. The unit has done an exceptional job against the run, limiting teams to just 115.0 ypg on only 3.1 yards per attempt. What makes this unit even better is its ability to force mistakes, and like in years past the Bobcats have little trouble forcing turnovers. At the present moment this defense has collected 19 takeaways, 13 of which are interceptions.
This past weekend however, against Louisiana, the Bobcats appeared vulnerable, as the Ragin' Cajuns hung 398 passing yards over the heads of Ohio. Fortunately the team's ability to stop the run remained true to form, as the Bobcats held Louisiana to only 73 rushing yards on 1.9 yards per attempt. Coach Solich's team only forced one turnover in the win, but because Louisiana passed often, the defense was able to pressure the quarterback, finishing with six sacks.
• PREGAME NOTES
-----------------------
Underdog won last three Buffalo-Ohio games SU; Bulls won last visit to Athens, after losing previous five (four by 22+ points) - they're 3-3 vs spread in last six visits here. Buffalo lost three in row overall and six of last seven games- they were outscored 108-23 in last three games. Ohio won its last five games (4-1 vs spread) with only one of those wins by less than 13 points. MAC double digit home favorites are 2-8 vs spread so far this season (all MAC HFs are 7-13).
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Ohio by 16.5; O/U 43.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Ohio -14
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Ohio -15.69
_________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OHIO U is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was OHIO U 23.9, OPPONENT 23.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OHIO U 29.9, OPPONENT 18.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OHIO U 31.8, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OHIO U 28.3, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--BUFFALO is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 15.1, OPPONENT 29.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 31.8, OPPONENT 32.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--BUFFALO is 30-15 OVER (+13.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 20.4, OPPONENT 32.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--OHIO U is 38-22 against the 1rst half line (+13.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was OHIO U 12.6, OPPONENT 11.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 20-7 against the 1rst half line (+12.3 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
The average score was OHIO U 15.3, OPPONENT 9.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 12-2 against the 1rst half line (+9.8 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - averaging <=4.5 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was OHIO U 21.8, OPPONENT 6.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 6-0 against the 1rst half line (+6.0 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OHIO U 13.5, OPPONENT 7.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--BUFFALO is 13-27 against the 1rst half line (-16.7 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.3, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--BUFFALO is 5-17 against the 1rst half line (-13.6 Units) off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.2, OPPONENT 21.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--BUFFALO is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 13.3, OPPONENT 9.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--BUFFALO is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.7, OPPONENT 23.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--BUFFALO is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.9, OPPONENT 22.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (BUFFALO) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, when playing on a Thursday.
(29-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.3%, +23.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 51.4
The average score in these games was: Team 21, Opponent 20 (Total points scored = 41)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (60% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (52-17).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs the 1rst half line (BUFFALO) - after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(37-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (74%, +22.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.4, Opponent 16.8 (Average first half point differential = -4.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (72-35).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-77).
--PLAY ON - Any team (BUFFALO) - after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(36-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (72%, +20.6 units. Rating = 2*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (15-35 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 14.3
The average score in these games was: Team 22, Opponent 32.4 (Average point differential = -10.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 22 (44.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-12).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (62-45).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (99-89).
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/4
NBA & NCAA COLLEDGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA & CFB *****
*** BUFFALO @ OHIO U (-15.5, O/U 45.5) ***
----------------------------------------------------
The red-hot Bobcats will look to continue their current winning streak on short rest this Thursday when they host the Buffalo Bulls in a Mid- American Conference battle at Peden Stadium. The Bulls dropped their third straight game this past weekend, falling to Miami-Ohio, 21-9. It was the sixth loss in the last seven contests for Buffalo, which is not a mere 1-3 in league action.
Since losing three consecutive games the Bobcats have clawed their way back into the mix of the upper echelon teams in the MAC. Ohio, which is currently riding an impressive five-game winning streak, is coming off a hard-fought, 38-31 decision over Louisiana in a non-conference battle. In league action the Bobcats has won four straight since opening conference action with a 20-13 setback to Toledo.
The offense for Buffalo has simply fallen apart. The team has only two offensive touchdowns in its last three games, and was held without a score for eight consecutive quarters of play, but Alex Zordich found the end zone in the third quarter this past weekend. Coach Jeff Quinn's team totaled just 265 yards and finished a poor 4-of-17 on third down attempts.
Zordich was the best player on the field for the Bulls on Saturday, as the quarterback threw for 210 yards on 16-of-33 passing. However, the signal caller was under duress throughout the matchup and was eventually sacked five times. Adding to Buffalo's troubles against Miami-Ohio was the team's inability to gain anything on the ground. As mentioned earlier, Zordich scored the lone touchdown for Buffalo, and finished with 12 of the team's 55 rushing yards.
The true freshman has taken the spot of Jerry Davis, and has struggled to say the least, completing less than 50.0 percent of his passes, while throwing three interceptions to no touchdowns. Stunting Zordich's growth is the inconsistent ground attack that was brought into light earlier, and comes into this weekend with just 122.2 ypg. Zordich's touchdown run this past weekend was just the second TD on the ground for the Bulls on the season.
To make matters worse for Coach Quinn, his defense has been beaten and battered throughout the year and is currently allowing 29.6 ppg. The main problem for this unit has come against the run, as teams are currently dismantling Buffalo for 147.6 ypg, while scoring 15 touchdowns via the run. The defense has also allowed 189.6 ypg through the air and 13 passing TDs, but the Bulls have softened their problems in this area by collecting 12 interceptions.
Against Miami-Ohio, the defense actually put forth a strong effort, but ultimately it did not help the team grab a victory. The Bulls held the RedHawks to just 297 total yards, and had one of their best performances against the run, holding Miami-Ohio to a mere 66 yards on 2.2 yards per attempt. Where this unit faltered was against the pass, even though the defense collected two interceptions, the RedHawks still managed to post 231 yards and two scores via the pass.
As the season has progressed, so has the offense for Ohio, as coach Frank Solich's squad has found plenty of success from its ability to run the ball. Ohio comes into this contest averaging 176.8 ypg on the ground, and what makes Ohio such a tough team to gameplan against is that coach Solich has three players capable of running with consistency. Phil Bates is leading the way with 382 yards on an impressive 7.8 yards per attempt. Vince Davidson has contributed 356 yards and four scores, while quarterback Boo Jackson has rumbled for 289 yards and a team-best six touchdowns.
This past weekend the Bobcats were able to overcome four interceptions thrown by Jackson, to grab a seven-point win over Louisiana. The quarterback, however, more than made up for his mistakes, as he led his team with 74 rushing yards and one score, while adding another 240 yards and three more touchdowns through the air. Jackson eventually was the reason why the Bobcats were victorious, but his inability to avoid mistakes could hurt the team down the stretch. Jackson, who has thrown for 1,302 yards, has 12 touchdowns through the air, but has also been intercepted 12 times.
Since coach Solich has taken over in Athens, the Bobcats have been one of the better defensive teams in the conference, and this year is no different as Ohio heads into this contest holding teams to a pedestrian 21.4 ppg. The unit has done an exceptional job against the run, limiting teams to just 115.0 ypg on only 3.1 yards per attempt. What makes this unit even better is its ability to force mistakes, and like in years past the Bobcats have little trouble forcing turnovers. At the present moment this defense has collected 19 takeaways, 13 of which are interceptions.
This past weekend however, against Louisiana, the Bobcats appeared vulnerable, as the Ragin' Cajuns hung 398 passing yards over the heads of Ohio. Fortunately the team's ability to stop the run remained true to form, as the Bobcats held Louisiana to only 73 rushing yards on 1.9 yards per attempt. Coach Solich's team only forced one turnover in the win, but because Louisiana passed often, the defense was able to pressure the quarterback, finishing with six sacks.
• PREGAME NOTES
-----------------------
Underdog won last three Buffalo-Ohio games SU; Bulls won last visit to Athens, after losing previous five (four by 22+ points) - they're 3-3 vs spread in last six visits here. Buffalo lost three in row overall and six of last seven games- they were outscored 108-23 in last three games. Ohio won its last five games (4-1 vs spread) with only one of those wins by less than 13 points. MAC double digit home favorites are 2-8 vs spread so far this season (all MAC HFs are 7-13).
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Ohio by 16.5; O/U 43.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Ohio -14
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Ohio -15.69
_________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OHIO U is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was OHIO U 23.9, OPPONENT 23.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OHIO U 29.9, OPPONENT 18.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OHIO U 31.8, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OHIO U 28.3, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--BUFFALO is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 15.1, OPPONENT 29.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 31.8, OPPONENT 32.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--BUFFALO is 30-15 OVER (+13.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 20.4, OPPONENT 32.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--OHIO U is 38-22 against the 1rst half line (+13.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was OHIO U 12.6, OPPONENT 11.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 20-7 against the 1rst half line (+12.3 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
The average score was OHIO U 15.3, OPPONENT 9.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 12-2 against the 1rst half line (+9.8 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - averaging <=4.5 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was OHIO U 21.8, OPPONENT 6.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--OHIO U is 6-0 against the 1rst half line (+6.0 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OHIO U 13.5, OPPONENT 7.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--BUFFALO is 13-27 against the 1rst half line (-16.7 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.3, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--BUFFALO is 5-17 against the 1rst half line (-13.6 Units) off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.2, OPPONENT 21.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--BUFFALO is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 13.3, OPPONENT 9.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--BUFFALO is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.7, OPPONENT 23.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--BUFFALO is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.9, OPPONENT 22.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (BUFFALO) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, when playing on a Thursday.
(29-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.3%, +23.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 51.4
The average score in these games was: Team 21, Opponent 20 (Total points scored = 41)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (60% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (52-17).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs the 1rst half line (BUFFALO) - after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(37-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (74%, +22.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.4, Opponent 16.8 (Average first half point differential = -4.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (72-35).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-77).
--PLAY ON - Any team (BUFFALO) - after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(36-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (72%, +20.6 units. Rating = 2*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (15-35 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 14.3
The average score in these games was: Team 22, Opponent 32.4 (Average point differential = -10.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 22 (44.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-12).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (62-45).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (99-89).
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/4 cont.
*** GEORGIA TECH @ VIRGINIA TECH (-13; O/U 56) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------------
A key ACC Coastal Division battle is on tap in Blacksburg on Thursday night, when the 20th-ranked Virginia Tech Hokies play host to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Frank Beamer's Hokies began the 2010 season in a deep hole, losing two straight games, including a setback to FCS foe James Madison. However, Virginia Tech has gotten out of that hole and is now soaring heading into November play, having won six straight games. The Hokies are a perfect 4-0 in ACC action, holding a two-game lead in the loss column atop the Coastal Division. VaTech was idle this past weekend due to this week's Thursday game.
Paul Johnson's Yellow Jackets were also idle this past weekend and haven't played since an October 23rd loss at Clemson (27-13). The defending ACC champions have had their ups and downs in league play thus far at 3-2, but had captured three straight victories prior to the setback against the Tigers. Johnson says the focus right now is not on repeating as Coastal Division champs. "We still talk about it, until we are mathematically eliminated. It is not the major focus. Our focus is going to try and play better this week. We know that if we don't win this week there won't be much to talk about. Who knows, we can go over there and win this week, I have seen sicker children get well."
A one-dimensional offense, there is no secret as to how Georgia Tech will try to move the football against the Hokies. The team is putting up just over 400 yards of total offense this year (402.1), with 317.4 coming on the ground. Of the team's 28 touchdowns scored on offense this year, 21 have come via the run. Tailback Anthony Allen (692 yards, 6.0 ypc, five TDs) and quarterback Joshua Nesbitt (651 yards, 4.1 ypc, eight TDs) handle the majority of the ground work. Nesbitt isn't much of a passer, completing a miserable 38.2 percent of his limited pass attempts, for 674 yards and seven TDs. To further emphasize Tech's inability to throw the football, Stephen Hill represents the team's top receiver this year, with a mere 20 catches, for 165 yards and two scores.
The Georgia Tech defense has played to mixed reviews this season. The team is allowing 23.6 ppg, but has been victimized by the run at times (162.2 ypg). Senior LB Brad Jefferson has provided a spark in the middle of the field, leading the team in tackles (49) and sacks (four). Junior LB Steven Sylvester (37 tackles) has made an impact behind the line of scrimmage, with a team-high 10.5 TFLs and three sacks. Seniors Dominique Reece (41 tackles, 7.0 TFLs, one sack) and Mario Butler (34 tackles) and junior Jerrard Tarrant (26 tackles, three INTs) highlight the play in the secondary.
The Hokies have evolved into an offensive juggernaut this season and are currently averaging 37.0 ppg. Although this is still a team that enjoys running the football, balance has been the key. Virginia Tech is averaging over 200 yards per game both rushing (214.8) and passing the football (209.9 ypg). Quarterback Tyrod Taylor has taken a backseat to some of the nation's top dual threat signal-callers, but he has certainly been equally instrumental in his team's success thus far. Taylor leads the team in rushing with 527 yards, getting it done on 6.2 yards per carry.
This is a deep backfield, with Darren Evans (447 yards, 5.9 ypc, nine TDs), David Wilson (440 yards, 6.3 ypc, three TDs) and the oft-injured Ryan Williams (four TDs) all having the ability to move the chains. Taylor's efficiency when dropping back to pass has made Virginia Tech much more potent offensively, completing 63.9 percent of his passes, for 1,602 yards, with 15 TDs and just three INTs. There are a number of viable options down the field, led by WR Jarrett Boykin (31 receptions, for 517 yards, five TDs).
The Hokies have taken a step or two back in terms of defensive production this season and the unit has struggled with consistency. The team is yielding 20.0 ppg, despite allowing a mere 336.4 yards of total offense. Linebacker Bruce Taylor is leading the team in tackles (55), as well as TFLs (11.5), with three sacks. Defensive end Steven Friday has made a living upfield as well. Of his 34 tackles, 9.5 have been behind the line of scrimmage, including a team-high four sacks. Cornerbacks Rashad Carmichael (27 tackles, three INTs) and Jayron Hosley (21 tackles, five INTs) are ballhawks in the secondary.
• PREGAME NOTES
-----------------------
Underdogs covered three of last four Georgia Tech-Virginia Tech games; Jackets covered last two visits here. GT is 0-3 when it allows 27 or more points, 4-0 when it doesn't- they're 1-1 as underdog this year. Hokies are 14-4-1 vs spread in weeknight games; they've won, covered all six games since losing to I-AA JMU (scored 41+ points in five of those six games). ACC home favorites of more than 8 points are 4-0 vs spread this year (all ACC HF's are 9-4). Three of last four GT games stayed under total.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Virginia Tech by 15; O/U 55
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Virginia Tech -14
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Virginia Tech -12.96
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--VIRGINIA TECH is 2-11 ATS (-10.0 Units) vs. poor passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 23.7, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 42.7, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 22.6, OPPONENT 25.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 31.2, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 11-2 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 33.2, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--VIRGINIA TECH is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) in home games after leading in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.4, OPPONENT 14.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in home games after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 33.0, OPPONENT 14.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 25.5, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 41-23 UNDER (+15.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 18.5, OPPONENT 26.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 29-15 UNDER (+12.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 23.4, OPPONENT 23.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 19-6 UNDER (+12.4 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 21.6, OPPONENT 21.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--VIRGINIA TECH is 34-15 against the 1rst half line (+17.5 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 18.0, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 against the 1rst half line (+6.0 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 29.8, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 11-26 against the 1rst half line (-17.5 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 11.2, OPPONENT 13.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 6-20 against the 1rst half line (-15.9 Units) in road games after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 11.0, OPPONENT 15.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 6-18 against the 1rst half line (-13.7 Units) after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 11.0, OPPONENT 15.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 1-10 against the 1rst half line (-9.9 Units) after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 12.1, OPPONENT 19.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--VIRGINIA TECH is 23-9 UNDER (+13.2 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 14.4, OPPONENT 8.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 20-7 UNDER (+12.3 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 14.9, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 19-5 UNDER (+13.5 Units) the 1rst half total when playing on a Thursday since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 12.1, OPPONENT 7.5 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (VIRGINIA TECH) - good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 50 YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game.
(23-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.2%, +18.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.8, Opponent 14.1 (Average first half point differential = -1.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-2).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-8).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (VIRGINIA TECH) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
(41-12 over the last 10 seasons.) (77.4%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 28.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 19, Opponent 16.1 (Total first half points scored = 35.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-7).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-18).
--PLAY OVER - Any team against the total (VIRGINIA TECH) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
(49-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 60.7
The average score in these games was: Team 38.6, Opponent 28.2 (Total points scored = 66.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 34 (50.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-9).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (59-27).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (VIRGINIA TECH) - excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a team with a poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPR).
(36-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (72%, +20.6 units. Rating = 2*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (13-38 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 15.7
The average score in these games was: Team 24.2, Opponent 32.8 (Average point differential = -8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (42.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (53-38).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (81-63).
*** GEORGIA TECH @ VIRGINIA TECH (-13; O/U 56) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------------
A key ACC Coastal Division battle is on tap in Blacksburg on Thursday night, when the 20th-ranked Virginia Tech Hokies play host to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Frank Beamer's Hokies began the 2010 season in a deep hole, losing two straight games, including a setback to FCS foe James Madison. However, Virginia Tech has gotten out of that hole and is now soaring heading into November play, having won six straight games. The Hokies are a perfect 4-0 in ACC action, holding a two-game lead in the loss column atop the Coastal Division. VaTech was idle this past weekend due to this week's Thursday game.
Paul Johnson's Yellow Jackets were also idle this past weekend and haven't played since an October 23rd loss at Clemson (27-13). The defending ACC champions have had their ups and downs in league play thus far at 3-2, but had captured three straight victories prior to the setback against the Tigers. Johnson says the focus right now is not on repeating as Coastal Division champs. "We still talk about it, until we are mathematically eliminated. It is not the major focus. Our focus is going to try and play better this week. We know that if we don't win this week there won't be much to talk about. Who knows, we can go over there and win this week, I have seen sicker children get well."
A one-dimensional offense, there is no secret as to how Georgia Tech will try to move the football against the Hokies. The team is putting up just over 400 yards of total offense this year (402.1), with 317.4 coming on the ground. Of the team's 28 touchdowns scored on offense this year, 21 have come via the run. Tailback Anthony Allen (692 yards, 6.0 ypc, five TDs) and quarterback Joshua Nesbitt (651 yards, 4.1 ypc, eight TDs) handle the majority of the ground work. Nesbitt isn't much of a passer, completing a miserable 38.2 percent of his limited pass attempts, for 674 yards and seven TDs. To further emphasize Tech's inability to throw the football, Stephen Hill represents the team's top receiver this year, with a mere 20 catches, for 165 yards and two scores.
The Georgia Tech defense has played to mixed reviews this season. The team is allowing 23.6 ppg, but has been victimized by the run at times (162.2 ypg). Senior LB Brad Jefferson has provided a spark in the middle of the field, leading the team in tackles (49) and sacks (four). Junior LB Steven Sylvester (37 tackles) has made an impact behind the line of scrimmage, with a team-high 10.5 TFLs and three sacks. Seniors Dominique Reece (41 tackles, 7.0 TFLs, one sack) and Mario Butler (34 tackles) and junior Jerrard Tarrant (26 tackles, three INTs) highlight the play in the secondary.
The Hokies have evolved into an offensive juggernaut this season and are currently averaging 37.0 ppg. Although this is still a team that enjoys running the football, balance has been the key. Virginia Tech is averaging over 200 yards per game both rushing (214.8) and passing the football (209.9 ypg). Quarterback Tyrod Taylor has taken a backseat to some of the nation's top dual threat signal-callers, but he has certainly been equally instrumental in his team's success thus far. Taylor leads the team in rushing with 527 yards, getting it done on 6.2 yards per carry.
This is a deep backfield, with Darren Evans (447 yards, 5.9 ypc, nine TDs), David Wilson (440 yards, 6.3 ypc, three TDs) and the oft-injured Ryan Williams (four TDs) all having the ability to move the chains. Taylor's efficiency when dropping back to pass has made Virginia Tech much more potent offensively, completing 63.9 percent of his passes, for 1,602 yards, with 15 TDs and just three INTs. There are a number of viable options down the field, led by WR Jarrett Boykin (31 receptions, for 517 yards, five TDs).
The Hokies have taken a step or two back in terms of defensive production this season and the unit has struggled with consistency. The team is yielding 20.0 ppg, despite allowing a mere 336.4 yards of total offense. Linebacker Bruce Taylor is leading the team in tackles (55), as well as TFLs (11.5), with three sacks. Defensive end Steven Friday has made a living upfield as well. Of his 34 tackles, 9.5 have been behind the line of scrimmage, including a team-high four sacks. Cornerbacks Rashad Carmichael (27 tackles, three INTs) and Jayron Hosley (21 tackles, five INTs) are ballhawks in the secondary.
• PREGAME NOTES
-----------------------
Underdogs covered three of last four Georgia Tech-Virginia Tech games; Jackets covered last two visits here. GT is 0-3 when it allows 27 or more points, 4-0 when it doesn't- they're 1-1 as underdog this year. Hokies are 14-4-1 vs spread in weeknight games; they've won, covered all six games since losing to I-AA JMU (scored 41+ points in five of those six games). ACC home favorites of more than 8 points are 4-0 vs spread this year (all ACC HF's are 9-4). Three of last four GT games stayed under total.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Virginia Tech by 15; O/U 55
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Virginia Tech -14
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Virginia Tech -12.96
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--VIRGINIA TECH is 2-11 ATS (-10.0 Units) vs. poor passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 23.7, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 42.7, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 22.6, OPPONENT 25.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 31.2, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 11-2 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 33.2, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--VIRGINIA TECH is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) in home games after leading in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 32.4, OPPONENT 14.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in home games after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 33.0, OPPONENT 14.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 25.5, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 41-23 UNDER (+15.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 18.5, OPPONENT 26.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 29-15 UNDER (+12.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 23.4, OPPONENT 23.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 19-6 UNDER (+12.4 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 21.6, OPPONENT 21.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--VIRGINIA TECH is 34-15 against the 1rst half line (+17.5 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 18.0, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 against the 1rst half line (+6.0 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 29.8, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 11-26 against the 1rst half line (-17.5 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 11.2, OPPONENT 13.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 6-20 against the 1rst half line (-15.9 Units) in road games after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 11.0, OPPONENT 15.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 6-18 against the 1rst half line (-13.7 Units) after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 11.0, OPPONENT 15.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 1-10 against the 1rst half line (-9.9 Units) after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 12.1, OPPONENT 19.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--VIRGINIA TECH is 23-9 UNDER (+13.2 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 14.4, OPPONENT 8.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--VIRGINIA TECH is 20-7 UNDER (+12.3 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 14.9, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--GEORGIA TECH is 19-5 UNDER (+13.5 Units) the 1rst half total when playing on a Thursday since 1992.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 12.1, OPPONENT 7.5 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (VIRGINIA TECH) - good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 50 YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game.
(23-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.2%, +18.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.8, Opponent 14.1 (Average first half point differential = -1.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-2).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-8).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (VIRGINIA TECH) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
(41-12 over the last 10 seasons.) (77.4%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 28.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 19, Opponent 16.1 (Total first half points scored = 35.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-7).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-18).
--PLAY OVER - Any team against the total (VIRGINIA TECH) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
(49-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 60.7
The average score in these games was: Team 38.6, Opponent 28.2 (Total points scored = 66.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 34 (50.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-9).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (59-27).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (VIRGINIA TECH) - excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a team with a poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPR).
(36-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (72%, +20.6 units. Rating = 2*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (13-38 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 15.7
The average score in these games was: Team 24.2, Opponent 32.8 (Average point differential = -8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (42.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (53-38).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (81-63).
CKO
11* OHIO U. over Buffalo
Ohio, which lost the MAC title game LY to Central Michigan, is eager to get back to the championship game and capture the big prize. To do so, the Bobcats are likely going to have to win their final three regular-season games. Plus, they get a chance for a rare TV appearance (ESPNU). So don’t look for any OU mercy toward rebuilding Buffalo, with its new HC (Jeff Quinn), true frosh QB (Alex Zordich), suffering ground game (only 63 & 55 yards last two game), and undersized defense. Sr. QB Boo Jackson has the Bobcat offense percolating (38 ppg last 5 games). And Frank Solich’s well-coached defense has helped Ohio out-sack its opponents 19 to 9. Bobcats 8-3 their last 11 as a MAC favorite.
11* OHIO U. over Buffalo
Ohio, which lost the MAC title game LY to Central Michigan, is eager to get back to the championship game and capture the big prize. To do so, the Bobcats are likely going to have to win their final three regular-season games. Plus, they get a chance for a rare TV appearance (ESPNU). So don’t look for any OU mercy toward rebuilding Buffalo, with its new HC (Jeff Quinn), true frosh QB (Alex Zordich), suffering ground game (only 63 & 55 yards last two game), and undersized defense. Sr. QB Boo Jackson has the Bobcat offense percolating (38 ppg last 5 games). And Frank Solich’s well-coached defense has helped Ohio out-sack its opponents 19 to 9. Bobcats 8-3 their last 11 as a MAC favorite.
Bobby Maxwell
Thursday's winner...
400-Unit College FB Smart Play - VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES
Georgia Tech has been a huge under-achiever this season. The Yellow Jackets have been inconsistent on both sides of the ball and on the road, they have been about as bad as any team in the land. That’s why tonight in Blacksburg, Va., I’m going with the Hokies to get the win and cover the big number.
Georgia Tech last played on Oct. 23 and fell on the road at Clemson, 27-13 as 3 ½-point underdogs. They vaunted triple-option rushing attack managed just 242 yards and of course the passing of Josh Nesbitt was almost non-existent at 6-of-19 for 83 yards. Defensively, the Jackets allowed Clemson to run for 236 yards (6.2 ypg) and QB Kyle Parker threw for 167 yards and a TD.
In the season’s first road game, Georgia Tech went to lowly Kansas and lost outright 28-25 as 13 ½-point favorites. Kansas, as we’ve seen, is about as bad as it gets in college football, not even being competitive in Big 12 action this season.
Virginia Tech has certainly got the offense in gear after opening the season with back-to-back losses at home to Boise St. and James Madison. Since those two games, the Hokies have scored 41 or more points in five of their last six games, winning each game and covering the number as a favorite.
Common opponents for these two teams are NC State and Wake Forest, with Virginia Tech crushing both squads and covering the spread while Georgia Tech lost outright to NC State in Atlanta 45-28 as an eight-point favorite and the Jackets squeaked by Wake Forest 24-20, failing as an 8 ½-point road chalk.
Georgia Tech gives up 23.6 points a game and has trouble stopping the pass. The Hokies average 37 points a game and have a very balanced attack, averaging 209.9 yards per game through the air and 214.8 yards per game on the ground.
Virginia Tech has won four of the last six meetings dating back to 2004, including a 20-17 win at home in 2008, but they came up short as 6 ½-point favorites. Georgia Tech really struggles in primetime, going 2-6 ATS in its last eight Thursday games and they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after a bye week.
The Hokies are on ATS surges of 38-15 in ACC games, 17-5 on Thursdays, 17-4 in November contests, 36-16 against winning teams and 4-0 at home. Go ahead and lay the points, Virginia Tech will run away with this one, winning by three TDs.
Thursday's winner...
400-Unit College FB Smart Play - VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES
Georgia Tech has been a huge under-achiever this season. The Yellow Jackets have been inconsistent on both sides of the ball and on the road, they have been about as bad as any team in the land. That’s why tonight in Blacksburg, Va., I’m going with the Hokies to get the win and cover the big number.
Georgia Tech last played on Oct. 23 and fell on the road at Clemson, 27-13 as 3 ½-point underdogs. They vaunted triple-option rushing attack managed just 242 yards and of course the passing of Josh Nesbitt was almost non-existent at 6-of-19 for 83 yards. Defensively, the Jackets allowed Clemson to run for 236 yards (6.2 ypg) and QB Kyle Parker threw for 167 yards and a TD.
In the season’s first road game, Georgia Tech went to lowly Kansas and lost outright 28-25 as 13 ½-point favorites. Kansas, as we’ve seen, is about as bad as it gets in college football, not even being competitive in Big 12 action this season.
Virginia Tech has certainly got the offense in gear after opening the season with back-to-back losses at home to Boise St. and James Madison. Since those two games, the Hokies have scored 41 or more points in five of their last six games, winning each game and covering the number as a favorite.
Common opponents for these two teams are NC State and Wake Forest, with Virginia Tech crushing both squads and covering the spread while Georgia Tech lost outright to NC State in Atlanta 45-28 as an eight-point favorite and the Jackets squeaked by Wake Forest 24-20, failing as an 8 ½-point road chalk.
Georgia Tech gives up 23.6 points a game and has trouble stopping the pass. The Hokies average 37 points a game and have a very balanced attack, averaging 209.9 yards per game through the air and 214.8 yards per game on the ground.
Virginia Tech has won four of the last six meetings dating back to 2004, including a 20-17 win at home in 2008, but they came up short as 6 ½-point favorites. Georgia Tech really struggles in primetime, going 2-6 ATS in its last eight Thursday games and they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after a bye week.
The Hokies are on ATS surges of 38-15 in ACC games, 17-5 on Thursdays, 17-4 in November contests, 36-16 against winning teams and 4-0 at home. Go ahead and lay the points, Virginia Tech will run away with this one, winning by three TDs.
