Service Plays Thursday 11/29/12

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
CBB

-- Kentucky is young (337th in experience), thin (330th in bench time), and 4-1, beating Maryland by 3 on neutral court, losing by 7 to Duke, also neutral court. Wildcats beat Notre Dame 72-58 in last meeting two years ago. Irish are 6-1, with BYU only top 100 win; they don't sub much, but have some experience, and are shooting 37.1% behind arc.
-- South Alabama swept FAU by 9-3 points LY; they're 4-1 in last five visits here, with last two wins in OT. USA opened with great upset at Florida State, but they're lost three in row since, all three losses to teams ranked #171 or worse, last two by 2 points each. 2-3 Owls are shooting just 36% inside arc; their wins are against teams ranked #250/318.
-- Road team won four of last five Troy-Little Rock games, with all five decided by 5 or less points, or in OT. Trojans won two of last three in this gym, but lost by 20 at home to UAB two nights ago; they're 4-3 so far this month, with only road win in three tries at Chattanooga. UALR won three of last four games; they covered only game as a favorite.
-- Home side won six of last seven Arkansas State-FIU games; ASU lost two of last three visits here, but they're 4-1 this year, with best victim ranked #292- they won last two road games, in triple OT and by point. Richard Pitino is FIU's new coach; they're 1-2, opponents making 59% of 2-pointers so far.

-- South Carolina gets PG Ellington back from football team here, but he played at Clemson Saturday; is he game-ready? St John's is 4-2, losing to only top 100 teams they played- they're #344 in country in experience. #146 Gamecocks won tourney in Mexico last week, Big East single digit home favorites are 4-3 vs spread; SEC single digit road dogs are 7-7.
-- Middle Tennessee won its last seven games vs UL-Lafayette, winning last two visits here, by 6-2 points; Blue Raiders are 4-1, winning at UCF for best win this year (only loss to Florida). ULL lost last four games vs D-I teams, but lost 63-60 at Michigan State last game, promising effort. All four losses are on road; they beat Oakland in only home game.
-- Western Kentucky won last three games vs UL-Monroe, winning here in OT LY; Hilltoppers are 3-2 vs D-I squads, losing in OT at Southern Miss in only road game. Monroe scored 51.5 ppg in losing first its first two games, by 16 at La Tech, by 34 at Oklahoma. WKU's only win on road was 70-61 over DePaul on a neutral floor.
-- First true road game for Marquette team that lost at buzzer on Maui to Butler, then beat Miss State/USC next two days. Golden Eagles play their bench 42% of time, goo depth. Florida is 5-0, beating Wisconsin by 18; Gators are rebounding 43% of their missed shots. Big East road dogs are 7-7, 4-0 in true road games; SEC home favorites are 11-7 vs spread.
-- LSU scored 81.8 ppg in 4-0 start vs #339 schedule; they've turned ball over 25% of time, with best win over #164 UCSB, which lost by 28 at home to Wyoming last nite. Seton Hall is 5-1 with best win over #235 St Peter's; they lost in OT to Washington, after being down 16 at half. Big East teams are 12-10 vs spread if number is 5 or less points.

-- Long Beach State is 2-3, but they've lost to UNC/Arizona in its annual overscheduling- 49ers had good win in Fresno Sunday. LMU lost two of three in Alaska over weekend, losing to host, D-2 UAA; best team they beat is #258 Texas State. Big West teams are 7-6 vs spread when number is less than 5 points. WCC teams are 2-6 in games like that.
-- Manhattan won three of last four games vs Fordham- they crushed the Rams 81-47 LY. Jaspers are 1-3 with only win vs #286 Hofstra, and are last in country, turning ball over on 35% of possessions. Fordham is 1-4, with only win by hoop over Penn; young Rams are #332 in experience. MAAC favorites are 7-1-1 against spread this season.
-- LaSalle beat Delaware/Villanova, lost to Central Connecticut, typical for this month so far. Explorers won three of last four games with Rider, winning by 9 in last visit here. Broncs are 1-3 vs teams ranked in top 200, losing by 8-12-13 points. A-16 single digit road favorites are 11-6 vs spread. MAAC single digit dogs are 4-10, but 2-0 at home.
-- Pepperdine/Montana State are both picked to finish #9 in conference play; Waves won last three games after 0-2 start, with two of three wins in OT- they beat Bobcats 59-36 LY in Malibu. MSU is allowing foes to shoot 59% inside arc in 1-3 start, but they beat WCC's Portland in only home game. Big Sky teams are 3-5 vs spread when number is 5 or less points; WCC teams are 2-7.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NBA

Hot Teams
-- Miami won its last four games (3-3 as HF). Spurs won last five games, all on road; this is their 4th game in last five nights. Also first time Spurs are an underdog this season. Heat hasn't played since Saturday.
-- Nuggets won four of last five games (2-3 as AF). Golden State won five of last seven games (0-2 as HU).

Cold Teams
-- None.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight San Antonio games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Denver road games went over the total.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]New Orleans at Atlanta[/h] The Falcons look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 Thursday games. Atlanta is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Falcons favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 29
Time Posted: 11:00 p.m. EST (11/28)
Game 301-302: New Orleans at Atlanta (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 133.547; Atlanta 138.869
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3 1/2); Under
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h] [h=2]Louisville at Rutgers[/h] The Cardinals look to bounce back from their 23-20 loss to Connecticut and build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU defeat. Louisville is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+3). Here are all of this week's games.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 29
Time Posted: 10:00 p.m. EST (11/28)
Game 303-304: Louisville at Rutgers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 91.678; Rutgers 88.720
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 3; 47
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+3); Over
 

New member
Joined
Apr 15, 2012
Messages
586
Tokens
5Lines

Total Line for 11/29/2012
(Lost last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - San Antonio Spurs : o205.5

Cost: -110

Run Line for 11/29/2012
(Lost last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Miami Heat : -6.5

Cost: -110
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

11/29/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 696-224 (.757)
ATS: 270-292 (.480)
ATS Vary Units: 1081-1267 (.460)
Over/Under: 88-70 (.557)
Over/Under Vary Units: 130-113 (.535)

Summit League
Iupui 74, KANSAS CITY 70
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 84, Omaha 61
Western Illinois 67, SOUTH DAKOTA 61

Sun Belt Conference

Arkansas State 70, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 67
Middle Tennessee 72, UL LAFAYETTE 62
South Alabama vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
UALR 71, Troy 62
Western Kentucky 74, ULM 59

Non-Conference

Canisius 78, UMBC 71
CONNECTICUT 76, New Hampshire 48
FLORIDA 73, Marquette 63
Kentucky 74, NOTRE DAME 64
La Salle 74, RIDER 73
LIBERTY 68, Morgan State 67
Long Beach State 74, LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 70
LSU 68, Seton Hall 62
Manhattan 71, FORDHAM 68
MEMPHIS 88, UT Martin 51
NORFOLK STATE 72, St. Francis (N.Y.) 66
NORTH FLORIDA 83, Florida A&M 62
OREGON 84, UT San Antonio 66
Pepperdine vs. MONTANA STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sacred Heart 71, BROWN 68
Southeast Missouri 83, NEW ORLEANS 69
ST. JOHN'S 72, South Carolina 66
TCU 72, Southern Utah 61
UNC ASHEVILLE 77, USC Upstate 70
WESTERN MICHIGAN 75, High Point 65
YALE 65, Hartford 56
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

11/29/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 142-70 (.670)
ATS: 96-118 (.449)
ATS Vary Units: 340-371 (.478)
Over/Under: 114-102 (.528)
Over/Under Vary Units: 229-188 (.549)

MIAMI 101, San Antonio 98
Denver 105, GOLDEN STATE 104
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 945-698 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Bonus Play Thurs: CFB Rutgers -3
 

Member
Joined
Mar 30, 2008
Messages
5,733
Tokens
Football Crusher
Louisville +3 over Rutgers
(System Record: 34-3, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 34-39-4
 

Member
Joined
Mar 30, 2008
Messages
5,733
Tokens
Basketball Crusher
Denver Nuggets -1 over Golden State Warriors
(System Record: 19-1, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 19-10-0

 

Member
Joined
Mar 30, 2008
Messages
5,733
Tokens
Soccer Crusher
Millonarios + Tigres OVER 2
This match is happening in CONMEBOL
(System Record: 323-12, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 323-283-35
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Marquette at Florida[/h] The Golden Eagles look to follow up their 79-46 win over UMBC and build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU victory of more than 20 points. Marquette is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Gators favored by only 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+10). Here are all of today's games.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 29
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 505-506: Kentucky at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 76.202; Notre Dame 68.649
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 7 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 1 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+1); Over
Game 507-508: South Alabama at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.860; Florida Atlantic 47.141
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-3)
Game 509-510: Troy at AR-Little Rock (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 46.168; AR-Little Rock 58.553
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-10 1/2)
Game 511-512: Arkansas State at Florida International (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 56.198; Florida International 47.728
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-4)
Game 513-514: South Carolina at St. John's (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 53.966; St. John's 62.755
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 9; 132
Vegas Line: St. John's by 8 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-8 1/2); Under
Game 515-516: Middle Tennessee State at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 64.845; UL-Lafayette 54.344
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-7 1/2)
Game 517-518: Western Kentucky at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 58.911; UL-Monroe 47.436
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-10 1/2)
Game 519-520: Marquette at Florida (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 67.058; Florida 75.780
Dunkel Line: Florida by 8 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Florida by 10; 137
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+10); Under
Game 521-522: Seton Hall at LSU (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 61.681; LSU 66.275
Dunkel Line: LSU by 4 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: LSU by 4; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-4); Under
Game 523-524: TX-San Antonio at Oregon (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 51.002; Oregon 73.330
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-15 1/2)
Game 525-526: Long Beach State at Loyola-Marymount (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 58.592; Loyola-Marymount 57.974
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 1
Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+2)
Game 527-528: Manhattan at Fordham (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 51.804; Fordham 44.046
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 8
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 6
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-6)
Game 529-530: LaSalle at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 57.838; Rider 52.464
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-2 1/2)
Game 531-532: Western Illinois at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 57.754; South Dakota 50.906
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 7
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 3
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-3)
Game 533-534: IUPUI at UMKC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 50.024; UMKC 47.032
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 3
Vegas Line: UMKC by 1
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+1)
Game 535-536: NE-Omaha at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 37.313; North Dakota State 60.696
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-20 1/2)
Game 537-538: Southern Utah at TCU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 43.602; TCU 56.910
Dunkel Line: TCU by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: TCU by 10
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-10)
Game 539-540: Tennessee-Martin at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 42.968; Memphis 65.642
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 25 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+25 1/2)
Game 541-542: Pepperdine at Montana State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.679; Montana State 50.746
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Montana State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+2 1/2)
Game 761-762: Ohio State at Duke (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 72.263; Duke 80.446
Dunkel Line: Duke by 8; 139
Vegas Line: Duke by 6; 142
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6); Under
Game 763-764: Wyoming at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 57.785; UC-Santa Barbara 55.154
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming
Game 765-766: Idaho at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.101; Washington State 64.370
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-6 1/2)
Game 767-768: UC Davis at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 44.514; Nevada 55.822
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+12 1/2)
Game 769-770: UC-Irvine at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 51.612; UNLV 72.431
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 21
Vegas Line: UNLV by 15
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-15)
Game 771-772: Seattle at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.798; Stanford 70.453
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+20 1/2)
Game 773-774: Utah State at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.909; Santa Clara 60.277
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 7
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+7)
Game 775-776: St. Louis at Washington (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 63.403; Washington 69.900
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 3
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3)
Game 777-778: CS-Northridge at UCLA (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 54.548; UCLA 65.865
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+14 1/2)
Game 779-780: Morehead State at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 50.276; Marshall 64.359
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 14
Vegas Line: Marshall by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-11 1/2)
Game 781-782: Duquesne at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 51.294; Appalachian State 49.386
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 2
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+3 1/2)
Game 783-784: Weber State at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 51.330; Dayton 66.171
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 15
Vegas Line: Dayton by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-13 1/2)
Game 785-786: Elon at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 51.094; Georgia Southern 51.432
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 1
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+1)
Game 787-788: Western Carolina at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 50.700; Furman 52.708
Dunkel Line: Furman by 2
Vegas Line: Furman by 1
Dunkel Pick: Furman (-1)
Game 789-790: Niagara at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 49.871; Iona 63.115
Dunkel Line: Iona by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-8 1/2)
Game 791-792: Massachusetts at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 56.775; Siena 51.825
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 5
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 7
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+7)
Game 793-794: North Dakota at South Dakota State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.789; South Dakota State 65.054
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 18
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-18)
Game 795-796: Tennessee Tech at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 48.846; Loyola-Chicago 51.276
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+4 1/2)
Game 797-798: Montana at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 58.543; BYU 66.468
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8
Vegas Line: BYU by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+9 1/2)
Game 799-800: Northern Arizona at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 42.110; Arizona 68.183
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 26
Vegas Line: Arizona by 25
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-25)
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]San Antonio at Miami[/h] The Spurs look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 road games. San Antonio is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 29
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: San Antonio at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.910; Miami 127.015
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6 1/2); Under
Game 503-504: Denver at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.146; Golden State 116.628
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1 1/2); Over
 

New member
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
38
Tokens
betting sports soccer

Kasson Personal DOUBLE DIME Germany 2. Bundesliga Köln +1 -118
(SYSTEM RECORD 99-5 +63014$ lost 1 last games)
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapping Kings

GOODFELLAS

8:00PM Southern Utah vs TCU
[538] TCU -10.5 -110

8:30PM Troy vs Arkansas Little Rock
[510] Arkansas Little Rock -10.5 -110

10:35PM Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors
[503] OVER 200 -110

MARC

8:25PM New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons
[301] OVER 55.5 -109

9:30PM SETON HALL vs LSU
[521] UNDER 135.5 -110

JIMMY

7:30PM Louisville vs Rutgers
[304] Rutgers -3 -110

8:30PM Western Kentucky vs UL Monroe
[517] Western Kentucky -11 -110

10:00PM Texas San Antonio vs Oregon
[524] Oregon -16 -110
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI

Play Over - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days.
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

NBA DENVER at GOLDEN STATE

Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%)
160-60 since 1997. ( 72.7% 60.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

NBA SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more.
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CBB W KENTUCKY at LA-MONROE

Play On - Road favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (W KENTUCKY) good defensive team - allowing <=64 points/game on the season, after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game.
161-93 since 1997. ( 63.4% 58.7 units )

CBB MANHATTAN at FORDHAM

Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (FORDHAM) a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less.
120-127 since 1997. ( 48.6% 40.9 units )

CBB PEPPERDINE at MONTANA ST.

Play Against - A favorite vs. the 1rst half line (MONTANA ST) off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset win as a home underdog.
147-84 since 1997. ( 63.6% 54.6 units )
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
DAVID BANKS

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Atlanta Falcons (10-1, 6-4-1 ATS) have a chance to avenge their only loss this season on Thursday Night Football this week when they host the New Orleans Saints (5-6, 6-5 ATS) but revenge may not be easy at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta at 8:20 ET on NFL Network. The Falcons had another nail-biter last week, nipping the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-23 for their sixth win by seven points or less. The Saints reached the .500 mark two weeks ago after beginning the season 0-4, but that was short-lived as they were beaten 31-21 by the San Francisco 49ers last week.

Then again, the San Francisco defense has put an end to a lot of streaks the last two years. When the Saints upset the Falcons in the first meeting this season 31-27, New Orleans was able to run the ball well for the first time all season, rushing for 148 yards, and when you give Drew Brees that kind of run support, the New Orleans offense becomes practically unstoppable. And that is not to mention the fact that effective running takes time off the clock while keeping the Atlanta offense, and just as importantly the reeling New Orleans defense, off the field. Well, although the Falcons obviously want revenge, the problem is that Atlanta still ranks 30th among the 32 NFL teams in defensive rushing average allowing 4.8 yards per carry. Furthermore, the Saints were without the injured Darren Sproles for that contest, and although he did not run the ball once in his comeback vs. the 49ers last week, he did catch seven passes out of the backfield for 65 yards, giving the Atlanta defense another element to worry about this week.

Besides being shaky on defense, the Falcons have not run the ball well this year either, ranking just 28th with a measly 88.3 rushing yards per game, which does not sound like the resume of a 10-1 team, nor of a team built for a deep run in the playoffs, when playing defense and running the ball well are basic necessities. Still, that should give you an idea of just how phenomenal a year Matt Ryan is having, as he has already thrown for over 3400 yards while competing 68.5 percent of his passes and averaging 8.0 yards per attempt with 21 touchdown passes. However, he has shown some kinks in his armor recently, such as his five-interception, no-touchdown atrocity in a 23-19 escape vs. the slumping Arizona Cardinals here at home two weeks ago. We may also finally be seeing the changing of the guard at running back with Atlanta sickening of watching Michael Turner running in slow motion since the middle of last season, as Jacquizz Rodgers had 10 carries for 49 yards at Tampa Bay, while Turner had only 17 yards on 13 carries.

The underdogs have gone 6-1 ATS in the last seven head-to-head meetings, with the last four covering underdogs all winning outright. The Saints are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss.

Pick: OVER 56
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,117,957
Messages
13,549,726
Members
100,549
Latest member
apptaixiuonl
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com