Deano's Agent Plays
HRC Smart Choice* Your Best Bets Agent-November 19th
Thank You for your Purchase!
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)
-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB AGENT ALERT=-
••DEANO'S SHARP ALERT••
(If Indicated)
*Figure In Juice*
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(♦) = % of bankroll and/or Units Recomended
=============================
*******************************
Pick: ••DOLPHINS•• (+3.5) || -------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 2♦
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Estimate: +46♦
HRC Smart Choice* Your Best Bets Agent-November 19th
Thank You for your Purchase!
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)
-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB AGENT ALERT=-
••DEANO'S SHARP ALERT••
(If Indicated)
*Figure In Juice*
=============================
(♦) = % of bankroll and/or Units Recomended
=============================
*******************************
Pick: ••DOLPHINS•• (+3.5) || -------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 2♦
*******************************
Estimate: +46♦
vegas-runner | NFL Total Sun, 11/22/09 - 1:00 PM ¶ƒ
triple-dime bet 419 SEA / 420 MIN Under 46.5 Bodog
Analysis:
*** NFL "TRUE STEAM" 3* GAME OF THE WEEK *** ("11-3" the L3 Weeks..."69% ATS" Overall)
This is a classic example of the Outfits seeing so much Value in a Bet, that they didn't even see the need to allow the "Betting Public" to force the bookmakers, to adjust the line...and ultimately get an even better Total to go Under, than what they bet it at...
Bottom Line, there is no doubt in any bookmakers mind...of what side the Betting Public will be on...for the Total of this Match-Up...And if they are 100% sure that they will receive a lot of action on the Over as we approach, and on game-day...you can rest assured that the Wiseguys were aware of this as well...But yet they still went ahead and took this position, which guarantees us that it's a "TRUE STEAM" Bet...
More importantly, after speaking to some of those "runners" who actually move "Steam"...They all agreed that fortunately, the books receive so much more Public Money, than they do Wiseguy Money, on the NFL...that their respective Outfits were able to take a significant position on this wager...
This Total Opened at "47"...which is actually one of a handful of "Key Totals", due to the fact that there are plenty of combinations of Final Scores, that equal 47...And the books do not like coming off these Key Totals, anymore than they do the "Key Spreads"...So you can be sure that when they do, there is plenty of "Steam" behind it...
And that is the case for this game...Where the books went ahead and opened it up at 47, and were immediately forced to adjust down to 46...
Fortunately for us, the "TRUE STEAM" Bet that I believe offers up the most betting Value, based on my own Ratings/Lines...is in the NFL...Because as I stated above, the public money far outweighs the Wiseguy money...and therefore, as the public begins unloading on the Over...we will still have no problem finding a great line...
Let's go ahead and bet the UNDER 46.5 in this Match-Up...as our very 1st NFL "TRUE STEAM" BET OF THE WEEK...VR
triple-dime bet 419 SEA / 420 MIN Under 46.5 Bodog
Analysis:
*** NFL "TRUE STEAM" 3* GAME OF THE WEEK *** ("11-3" the L3 Weeks..."69% ATS" Overall)
This is a classic example of the Outfits seeing so much Value in a Bet, that they didn't even see the need to allow the "Betting Public" to force the bookmakers, to adjust the line...and ultimately get an even better Total to go Under, than what they bet it at...
Bottom Line, there is no doubt in any bookmakers mind...of what side the Betting Public will be on...for the Total of this Match-Up...And if they are 100% sure that they will receive a lot of action on the Over as we approach, and on game-day...you can rest assured that the Wiseguys were aware of this as well...But yet they still went ahead and took this position, which guarantees us that it's a "TRUE STEAM" Bet...
More importantly, after speaking to some of those "runners" who actually move "Steam"...They all agreed that fortunately, the books receive so much more Public Money, than they do Wiseguy Money, on the NFL...that their respective Outfits were able to take a significant position on this wager...
This Total Opened at "47"...which is actually one of a handful of "Key Totals", due to the fact that there are plenty of combinations of Final Scores, that equal 47...And the books do not like coming off these Key Totals, anymore than they do the "Key Spreads"...So you can be sure that when they do, there is plenty of "Steam" behind it...
And that is the case for this game...Where the books went ahead and opened it up at 47, and were immediately forced to adjust down to 46...
Fortunately for us, the "TRUE STEAM" Bet that I believe offers up the most betting Value, based on my own Ratings/Lines...is in the NFL...Because as I stated above, the public money far outweighs the Wiseguy money...and therefore, as the public begins unloading on the Over...we will still have no problem finding a great line...
Let's go ahead and bet the UNDER 46.5 in this Match-Up...as our very 1st NFL "TRUE STEAM" BET OF THE WEEK...VR
Mike Lineback
CAROLINA PANTHERS -3
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Both teams' run and defend the run well but will will give edge to Carolina with Miami's best running Ronnie Brown out for season. Brown loss is key because he has been central to Dolphins success in The "Wildcat" formation. Strongly believe Miami will miss him tonight. Also, will give Carolina considerable edge in passing game. Panthers, have more playmakers with veteran wideouts Muhsin Muhammad & Steve Smith & DeAngelo Williams coming out of the backfield. Plus, Delhomme, more than capable, of having a "monster" game. Delhomme, is playing more under control and will be facing the #27 pass defense in league, spearheaded by two rookie cornerbacks?? Miami pass D among league leaders in giving up big plays. They have allowed, 32 plays of 20+ yds & 9 plays over 40+ yds. Don't be suprised if Smith, way overdue, has one of his patented dominating performances. If not, at least make enough plays to set up some valuable points. On the flip side, Carolina defend the pass well. The 4th best pass defense, were particularly impressive in pass coverage vs. Atlanta last week. With Brown out, Miami inexperienced QB Henne should have hard time finding anything open downfield. Both Camarillo & Ginn Jr. lack the skills to stretch the field & make consistent plays to move the chains. Will give slight edge to Miami in special teams' but hoping Carolina homefield will neutralize any Dolphins advantage. Only "wildcat" for Carolina is Jake Delhomme. However, predicting big game from Delhomme under the Thursday night lights. If not, logic says, Carolina still have enough edges to get the cover on their home turf.[/FONT]
CAROLINA PANTHERS -3
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Both teams' run and defend the run well but will will give edge to Carolina with Miami's best running Ronnie Brown out for season. Brown loss is key because he has been central to Dolphins success in The "Wildcat" formation. Strongly believe Miami will miss him tonight. Also, will give Carolina considerable edge in passing game. Panthers, have more playmakers with veteran wideouts Muhsin Muhammad & Steve Smith & DeAngelo Williams coming out of the backfield. Plus, Delhomme, more than capable, of having a "monster" game. Delhomme, is playing more under control and will be facing the #27 pass defense in league, spearheaded by two rookie cornerbacks?? Miami pass D among league leaders in giving up big plays. They have allowed, 32 plays of 20+ yds & 9 plays over 40+ yds. Don't be suprised if Smith, way overdue, has one of his patented dominating performances. If not, at least make enough plays to set up some valuable points. On the flip side, Carolina defend the pass well. The 4th best pass defense, were particularly impressive in pass coverage vs. Atlanta last week. With Brown out, Miami inexperienced QB Henne should have hard time finding anything open downfield. Both Camarillo & Ginn Jr. lack the skills to stretch the field & make consistent plays to move the chains. Will give slight edge to Miami in special teams' but hoping Carolina homefield will neutralize any Dolphins advantage. Only "wildcat" for Carolina is Jake Delhomme. However, predicting big game from Delhomme under the Thursday night lights. If not, logic says, Carolina still have enough edges to get the cover on their home turf.[/FONT]
Spartan
CAROLINA PANTHERS -3
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Carolina seems to be righting the ship as seems to be their custom, slow start and then come on as the season progresses. This is a big game for both squads and I cannot help but feel the loss of Ronnie Brown for the Dolphins is a severe blow. Miami does rely heavily on running the football as we all all know and most the pressure falls to Ricky Williams. The winner here tonight will get a big boost in momentum and the loser could be in for a long season the rest of the way. I am going to back the Panthers but what keeps this as a single star release quite frankly is the fact we are relying on Jake Delhomme to control the game and manage the offense without turning the ball over and we all know Jake can be a real loose cannon. Jake can look like an all pro but if things get a little sideways and he throws a pick things can snowball with him. I do not like the heavy juice here at all but honestly feel Carolina will clear this short number at home. Going to be a hard fought game and should be much more enjoyable than what we had to witness monday night with the Ravens and Browns. We were on the right side there and I feel we will be here tonight as well. Take Carolina.[/FONT]
CAROLINA PANTHERS -3
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Carolina seems to be righting the ship as seems to be their custom, slow start and then come on as the season progresses. This is a big game for both squads and I cannot help but feel the loss of Ronnie Brown for the Dolphins is a severe blow. Miami does rely heavily on running the football as we all all know and most the pressure falls to Ricky Williams. The winner here tonight will get a big boost in momentum and the loser could be in for a long season the rest of the way. I am going to back the Panthers but what keeps this as a single star release quite frankly is the fact we are relying on Jake Delhomme to control the game and manage the offense without turning the ball over and we all know Jake can be a real loose cannon. Jake can look like an all pro but if things get a little sideways and he throws a pick things can snowball with him. I do not like the heavy juice here at all but honestly feel Carolina will clear this short number at home. Going to be a hard fought game and should be much more enjoyable than what we had to witness monday night with the Ravens and Browns. We were on the right side there and I feel we will be here tonight as well. Take Carolina.[/FONT]
I have a package to Adam Meyer, Adamwins.com and this isnt listed as one of his plays. I wonder if this guy puts out separate picks for different members. Numerous times plays listed on here arent part of his package.
Here are the plays today:
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" cols="3"><tbody><tr><td colspan="3" class="bblackfont">[ Thursday, November 19 2009 at 07:30
M ] </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="bigfont">Boston University
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" cols="3"><tbody><tr><td colspan="3" class="bblackfont">[ Thursday, November 19 2009 at 07:30
M ] </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="bigfont">Colorado
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" cols="3"><tbody><tr><td colspan="3" class="bblackfont">[ Thursday, November 19 2009 at 08:20
M ] </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="bigfont">Miami Dolphins
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" cols="3"><tbody><tr><td colspan="3" class="bblackfont">[ Thursday, November 19 2009 at 07:30
M ] </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="bigfont">Pittsburgh Penguins
sportsbook breakers (killercappers)
3-STAR CAROLINA (-3) over Miami - I don't think we can underestimate just how important Ronnie Brown was to this Dolphins team, which is what Vegas has done here. He is the key cog to their Wildcat system. He kept the pressure off Chad Henne and forced teams to stack the box. He allowed the Dolphins to keep aging Ricky Williams carries down to a level where he could stay fresh and affective. The Dolphins will eventually adjust this season, but with a short week of practice and game planning, we don't think they'll be ready just yet.
Both these teams come into this game at 4-5 on the season and the Dolphins haven't handled playing teams with the same record well. The Dolphins are 0-11-2 ATS (-10.6 ppg) since November 20, 2005 versus any team with the same record (team=Dolphins and wins=o:wins and losses=o:losses and 20051120<=date).
Last week, Carolina defeated Atlanta, 28-19. Neither team was able to record a sack in that game. The Panthers are 12-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) in franchise history after a divisional game where they did not get a sack (team=Panthers and p:sacks=0 and pIV and day=Sunday).
Miami has been primarily a ball control team on the ground this year, and are fourth in the league with an average time of possession of 32:30. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS (12.7 ppg) since January 03, 2004 within 3 of pick when facing a team that has averaged at least 31:48 minutes of possession time season-to-date (team=Panthers and -3<=line<=3 and 31.8*60<=Average(o:time of possession@o:team and season) and 20040103<=date).
The Panthers were able to prevent Atlanta from scoring TDs in three red zone possessions (2 FG, 1 miss) in what was the key to the game. Carolina is 7-0 ATS (13.3 ppg) since October 5, 2004 as a favorite when they stopped their opponent on at least two red zone possessions at home last game (team=Panthers and F and p:H and po:RZF>1 and 20041205<=date). Carolina has finally found its grove and these are not bad teams they are beating (Atlanta, Arizona).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: CAROLINA 24, Miami 16
3-STAR CAROLINA (-3) over Miami - I don't think we can underestimate just how important Ronnie Brown was to this Dolphins team, which is what Vegas has done here. He is the key cog to their Wildcat system. He kept the pressure off Chad Henne and forced teams to stack the box. He allowed the Dolphins to keep aging Ricky Williams carries down to a level where he could stay fresh and affective. The Dolphins will eventually adjust this season, but with a short week of practice and game planning, we don't think they'll be ready just yet.
Both these teams come into this game at 4-5 on the season and the Dolphins haven't handled playing teams with the same record well. The Dolphins are 0-11-2 ATS (-10.6 ppg) since November 20, 2005 versus any team with the same record (team=Dolphins and wins=o:wins and losses=o:losses and 20051120<=date).
Last week, Carolina defeated Atlanta, 28-19. Neither team was able to record a sack in that game. The Panthers are 12-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) in franchise history after a divisional game where they did not get a sack (team=Panthers and p:sacks=0 and pIV and day=Sunday).
Miami has been primarily a ball control team on the ground this year, and are fourth in the league with an average time of possession of 32:30. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS (12.7 ppg) since January 03, 2004 within 3 of pick when facing a team that has averaged at least 31:48 minutes of possession time season-to-date (team=Panthers and -3<=line<=3 and 31.8*60<=Average(o:time of possession@o:team and season) and 20040103<=date).
The Panthers were able to prevent Atlanta from scoring TDs in three red zone possessions (2 FG, 1 miss) in what was the key to the game. Carolina is 7-0 ATS (13.3 ppg) since October 5, 2004 as a favorite when they stopped their opponent on at least two red zone possessions at home last game (team=Panthers and F and p:H and po:RZF>1 and 20041205<=date). Carolina has finally found its grove and these are not bad teams they are beating (Atlanta, Arizona).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: CAROLINA 24, Miami 16
Adam Meyer, This is the year that the Bobby Higgins recruiting will pay off. The crop of kids he recruited 3 years ago are now juniors and seniors. Look for Kansas State to be a really good team this year. Take the Wildcats and lay the points.
PLAY: Kansas State / -14.5 / 5 Units
The Cowboys have hit another gear after the Texas loss, and they are 14-5 ATS as a favorite the last 3 years. Colorado allows more than 32 ppg on the road, while only scoring a little above 18 ppg on offense. OSU has a scoring difference of +13 at home and are 4-1 ATS against conference opponents. Oklahoma will move the ball with relative ease against the Buffaloes and handle their putrid offense. OSU covers in a rout tonight.
PLAY: Oklahoma State / -17 / 5 UnitsThese two teams have slim playoff chances riding on this game. They both rely heavily on the run and do not want to put the responsibility of winning the game on their QBs (Jake Delhomme and Chad Henne), the Dolphins running game will be affected by the absence of Pro Bowl RB Ronnie Brown, who is lost for the year. Henne's inexperience and the absence of Brown will heavily affect the Dolphins, and Carolina will easily cover this game.
PLAY: Carolina Panthers / -3 / 4 Units
Ever since Evgeni Malkin has returned from that injury the Pens’ offense seems rejuvenated. His appearance on the ice opens things up for other players like veteran Bill Guerin who has scored goals in the last two games. Even though they’re at home Ottawa has played spotty hockey lately and just hung on to beat a bad Toronto club the other night. The “plus” line right now on the Pens is most favorable.
PLAY: Pittsburgh Penguins / +105 / 3 Units
PLAY: Kansas State / -14.5 / 5 Units
The Cowboys have hit another gear after the Texas loss, and they are 14-5 ATS as a favorite the last 3 years. Colorado allows more than 32 ppg on the road, while only scoring a little above 18 ppg on offense. OSU has a scoring difference of +13 at home and are 4-1 ATS against conference opponents. Oklahoma will move the ball with relative ease against the Buffaloes and handle their putrid offense. OSU covers in a rout tonight.
PLAY: Oklahoma State / -17 / 5 UnitsThese two teams have slim playoff chances riding on this game. They both rely heavily on the run and do not want to put the responsibility of winning the game on their QBs (Jake Delhomme and Chad Henne), the Dolphins running game will be affected by the absence of Pro Bowl RB Ronnie Brown, who is lost for the year. Henne's inexperience and the absence of Brown will heavily affect the Dolphins, and Carolina will easily cover this game.
PLAY: Carolina Panthers / -3 / 4 Units
Ever since Evgeni Malkin has returned from that injury the Pens’ offense seems rejuvenated. His appearance on the ice opens things up for other players like veteran Bill Guerin who has scored goals in the last two games. Even though they’re at home Ottawa has played spotty hockey lately and just hung on to beat a bad Toronto club the other night. The “plus” line right now on the Pens is most favorable.
PLAY: Pittsburgh Penguins / +105 / 3 Units
