Service Plays Thursday 11/19/09

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Dave Malinsky 11/19

Top of the Ticket - Bulls/Lakers

UNDER 195,LOS ANGELES LAKERS -vs-Chicago Bulls

4* #706 L.A. LAKERS/CHICAGO Under

The return of Pau Gasol is being treated much differently by the betting markets than the oddsmakers ? we have seen an opening Total of 190 climb all the way to 195. And that brings excellent value for our purposes. Are the Lakers a better offensive team with Gasol on board? Of course. But they are also much better defensively, especially with Phil Jackson opting to go with him at the #4 spot tonight, leaving Andrew Bynum at #5 and creating a ?Twin Towers? presence inside. With those two protecting the basket, and Kobe Bryant and Ron Artest aggressive on the perimeter, this can become one of the best defenses in the NBA once they get a chance to jell. It is also a defense that will cause huge headaches for the Bulls, who are 27th on our best offensive charts through 10 games, and who will see Luol Deng locked up by Artest and John Salmons by Bryant, leaving Derrick Rose with nowhere to go with the ball. Chicago is defending tenaciously, however. They are all the way up to #3 on our best charts and when you consider that they have already faced the Celtics, Cavaliers, Spurs (with all hands on deck), Nuggets and Heat the numbers have a legitimacy. In addition to those playoff-bound opponents they also played Toronto, which rates #1 on offense so far this season. They bring an excellent work ethic on that end of the court, and it helps having good wingspans at every position in the starting lineup. They will struggle to score tonight, but will also make the Lakers work hard for everything they can get, and in what is a well-positioned road game (this will only be the second game in five nights, and they are off tomorrow) their tenacity helps to set a sluggish flow to this one.
 
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DON BEST STEAM

10:24:05am 2009-11-21 366 Nebraska Over 43½
10:02:49am 2009-11-19 706 LA Lakers Over 194
9:49:10am 2009-11-21 318 Ohio Over 43½
9:48:16am 2009-11-19 726 Penn State -11½
9:44:10am 2009-11-21 328 Syracuse Over 42½
9:33:40am 2009-11-19 723 Tulane +11
9:32:57am 2009-11-19 744 Minnesota U -24½
9:25:58am 2009-11-20 312 Toledo Under 64½
9:19:37am 2009-11-19 713 Santa Clara +13
9:10:10am 2009-11-19 720 Mississippi -9
9:03:49am 2009-11-19 729 LaSalle +7½
8:10:51am 2009-11-19 741 Montana +4½
8:08:37am 2009-11-19 711 Rice +15
8:06:01am 2009-11-19 707 Richmond -4
 

surfer wannabe
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Joe Cravino

[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica][FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica]Todays Member Play: I. NHL Hockey:
OVER 5 (-110)
New Jersey Devils/Nashville Predators
Game time is @8:05pm ET.

II. NCAA & NFL Football: 4 Team 13pt Teaser (-130)
1. Colorado Buffaloes +30 CFB @7:45pm ET.
2. Oklahoma St. Cowboys -4 CFB @7:45pm ET.
3. Miami Dolphins +16 NFL @8:20pm ET.
4. OVER 30 Dolphins/Panthers NFL @8:20pm ET.
[/FONT]
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Spartan

Triple-Dime bet

379 Oregon -5.5 (-110) vs 380 Arizona

Analysis: Last time the Oregon Ducks ventured into Tucson was not a good outcome to say the least. It was 2007 and high hopes were dashed as quarterback Dennis Dixon went down, Brady Leaf came in and the rest is history. The Ducks will have some redemption on their minds and I'm betting they get it. Some might look for an Arizona rebound from last weeks loss at Cal but I just like the way this Ducks team is playing right now a lot more. Mike Stoops has built a sound defense and DE Ricky Elmore is the real deal but the Ducks can score a ton of points and in a hurry. I'd be real surprised if the Wildcats can keep pace. I know Stoops ha‡s his kids eyeing a Pac 10 title but the fact is Oregon is one of the hottest teams in the country right now. The Ducks offense, which is very fake heavy, is one of the most difficult in college football for teams to defend. This Oregon squad is a salty bunch that has played in more big games than Arizona and been battle tested. I suspect they will deal with the ESPN Gameday drama and hype better that the home guys. I've looked at this game from every angle, talked with a few different sources I trust a great deal. I'm ready to declare it, my one and only college game of the year is the Oregon Ducks, see them taking this thing by a couple of touchdowns.
 

ugk

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Adam Meyer 11/19

Carolina -3, 4 units
Kansas State -14.5, 5 units
Oklahoma State -17, 5 units
Pittsburgh +105, 3 units
 

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Diceituponline - Fireman's NFL Plays 11/19

Carolina -3 = 5 Dimes
Car / Mia under 42 = 5 Dimes
 

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NFL WRITE-UP


Week 11 NFL games

Thursday, November 19

Dolphins (4-5) @ Panthers (4-5)-- Carolina is 4-2 since its bye, with three of wins by 7+ points, but they're 0-2 as home favorite. Dolphins are 1-3 away from home (2-2 as road dog), losing road games by 12-10-10 points. Four of Miami's five losses are by 10+ points. NFC South favorites are 9-3 vs spread in non-division games, 6-2 at home. AFC East underdogs are 3-8, 3-4 on road. Five of last six Miami games went over the total. Brown's injury is huge for Miami's Wildcat offense. Panthers ran ball for 270-182-185 yards last three weeks; they're 4-1 when they force 2+ turnovers, 0-4 when they don't. Miami turned the ball six times in its last six games.


Just out of curiosity, what outfit/group puts out these "Write-Ups"? I like them, actually. Thanks in advance.
 

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GOLDSHEET
CFB
*OKLAHOMA STATE 37 - Colorado 13—Tougher spot for traveling
Colorado, which played AT Ames last Saturday, and now AT Stillwater on short
rest. OSU, with key RB Kendall Hunter getting healthier (68 YR vs. Texas
Tech), has superior depth, not to mention more experience at QB. Although
only 3-2 as a home favorite TY, Cowboys 11-2 their last 13 in role. Buff QB
Taylor Hansen improving, but CU was swamped at Toledo earlier TY on short
rest. CABLE TV—ESPN
(08-Okla. St. 30-COLO. 17...O.24-19 O.40/226 C.35/133 O.15/23/1/217 C.19/38/0/171 O.0 C.1)
(08-Oklahoma State -17' 30-17...SR: Colorado 26-18-1)
NFL
*CAROLINA 27 - Miami 19—Yes, Saints are far over the horizon in the NFC
South. But Carolina scrambling back toward the wide-open wild card mix, with
Jake Delhomme cutting his mistakes and looking comfortable in Panthers’ nohuddle
offense. Miami not getting consistent production from its Wildcat in recent
weeks, and now Ronnie Brown (check status) has an ankle problem. Meanwhile,
Carolina playing a little smashmouth itself these days with DeAngelo Williams &
Jonathan Stewart (174 combined YR last week). TV—NFL NETWORK
(2009 Preseason: Miami -2' beat Carolina 27-17 at Miami)
(05-MIAMI +3 27-24...SR: Miami 3-0)
 

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Stephen Nover

Thursday night ...
15 Dime PANTHERS
5 Dime UNDER Dolphins/Panthers


NOTE: I promised a strong performance following losses on my top Sunday NFL plays and so far I'm a perfect 5-0 this week.

I'm involved today in the Dolphins-Panthers matchup, both on the side and total, although I do not recommend a parlay. I'm passing on the Colorado-Oklahoma State matchup , but have a free selection on the Bulls-Lakers.

Now, on this Panthers game, I notice the moneyline is climbing if you lay -3 points. Tells me it could go to 3-1/2. In the event your book has a 3-1/2, buyy the hook down to a field goal. DON'T GET BEAT BY THE HOOK.

15 Dime PANTHERS - The timing is right for Carolina in this matchup. The Panthers have more talent than the Dolphins, are rounding into shape having won and covered four of their last six games and catch Miami in a bad situational spot.

The Dolphins have had a rough last four weeks. They blew a 24-10 lead at home four weeks in a loss to the Saints. They then split division road games beating the Jets and losing to the Patriots. Then last week they had to come from behind to edge Tampa Bay with 10 seconds left.

The victory against the Bucs, though, was costly for the Dolphins. Ronnie Brown is out. That not only takes away Miami's best runner, but also the key player in its wildcat formation. The early turnaround limits Miami's preparation to formulate a good game plan minus Brown.

Quarterback Chad Henne isn't advanced enough at this early juncture of his career to make enough downfield plays to overcome Brown's loss. Next to the Cleveland Browns, the Dolphins might have the worst set of wide receivers in the league.

Carolina ranks 12th in total defense and has the fourth-best pass defense. The Panthers have held six of their last seven foes to 21 or fewer points.

Carolina's problem for much of the season has been the terrible play and turnovers of Jake Delhomme, who has thrown 13 interceptions. But Delhomme has become more of a game manager handing the ball off to DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. This is one of the better running back tandems in the NFL. Delhomme has finally figured out not to get in their way.

The Panthers have rushed for 270, 182 and 185 yards in their last three games and Delhomme hasn't thrown an interception during this span while tossing three touchdowns. Delhomme will be able to pick his spots against a youthful Dolphins secondary as the Panthers bash the Dolphins with their third-ranked ground attack.

5 Dime UNDER Dolphins/Panthers - This is a matchup featuring two ground-oriented clubs with two conservative coaches.

Dolphins coach Tony Sparano does not want to take chances with his young quarterback, Chad Henne, nor does Carolina coach John Fox want to risk an interception with his turnover-prone quarterback, Jake Delhomme. Henne only has two touchdown passes in the last four games.

The Dolphins are without their best weapon, running back Ronnie Brown. That makes their wildcat formation much easier to defend. The short practice week makes it difficult to adjust without Brown and limits any tricks or new plays.

Carolina suffered a key offensive injury, too, last week. Out is star left tackle Jordan Gross. He was the Panthers' best offensive lineman. Pass rushing star Joey Porter is back for Miami. He can take advantage of Gross' absence to wreak havoc.

The Saints were the Panthers' only opponent to score more than 21 points in the last seven games against them.

I see the Dolphins feeding Ricky Williams the ball 35 times while Carolina also has a lopsided margin of running plays compared to passes. That means the clock keeps moving and this total stays under.

Confirmed.
GL!
 

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Gina's NFL Predictions
Thursday, November 19th, 8:20 p.m. est.
Miami Dolphins (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (4-5)
Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte, North Carolina
This Thursday night battle between two comparable 4-5 teams could go either way. Take the points! Miami is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog. Contrary, Carolina is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.


Miami Dolphins +3

Gina's NBA Predictions
Thursday, November 19th, 2009 8:30 p.m. est.
Utah Jazz (5-6) at San Antonio Spurs (4-5)
The Jazz have lost 20 straight in San Antonio, but Utah hammered the Spurs, 113-99 just two weeks ago on November 5 in Utah. Take the points!

Utah Jazz +7½
 

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Mr.A (Sports Rumble)

Thursday, November 19th, 2009 820 PM EST.
Miami Dolphins (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (4-5)
Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte, North Carolina
The Panthers are 1-3 ATS at home this season, while the Dolphins are 8-3 ATS in its last 11 on the road. Expect a close low scoring ground battle tonight in North Carolina.
Oddsmakers: Carolina as a -3 point home favorite with the total listed at 42½ 'over'.
Miami Dolphins +3
Under - 42½

NBA
Thursday, November 19, 2009 (Eastern Times)
Time Game Selections
8:00 PM Phoenix (10-2) at New Orleans (4-8) Phoenix Suns -6
10:30 PM Chicago (6-4) at L.A. Lakers (8-3) Los Angeles Lakers -9½

CFB
Thursday, November 19th, 2009 7:30 PM EST.
Colorado Buffaloes (3-7) at (12) Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-2)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, Oklahoma
The Buffaloes are having a bad season and just don't win on the road. Colorado has lost 11 straight contests away from home, 3-21 in its last 24 road games.

Oddsmakers: Oklahoma State as a -17 point home favorite with the total listed at 47½ 'over'.
Oklahoma State Cowboys -17
 

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Johnny Guild (Sports Rumble)

Thursday November 19th, 2009 7:30 PM EST.
Colorado Buffaloes (3-7) at (12) Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-2)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, Oklahoma
Home Record: Colorado 3-2; Oklahoma State 5-2
Road Record: Colorado 2-4; Oklahoma State 5-1
All-Time Series: Colorado (26-18-1)
Last Meeting: 11/15/08 (Oklahoma State, 30-17 at Colorado)

Colorado Buffaloes have been dreadful, just 3-7 this season and have played badly on the road. Colorado is 0-5 away from homed this season and a nasty 3-21 in its last 24 road games. Take the Oklahoma State Cowboys to batter the struggling Buffaloes in Oklahoma. I expect this clash to get very ugly for the Buffaloes. The Cowboys are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games as a home favorite against Big 12 opponents.

Colorado is 3-3 ATS in its last 6 games.
Colorado is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games on the road.
Oklahoma State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games

7:30 PM EST. Colorado (3-7) at (12) Oklahoma State (8-2) Oklahoma State Cowboys -19
 

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