John Ryan
Game: Clemson at Wake Forest Oct 9 2008 7:45PM
Prediction: Wake Forest
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Wake Forest ? AiS shows a 73% probability that Wake Forest will win this game by 3 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 76-39 ATS for 66% since 2002. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is a good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. Wake is in a solid role for this game noting that they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a good team sporting a win percentage of 60% to 75% over the last 3 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Wake Forest is also 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. HC Bowden has not displayed much resiliency when on an ATS losing streak. He is 10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of Clemson. Further, Clemson has a 3-2 mark with 3 of those wins coming against some of the worst teams in the country. They lost to Maryland and Alabama while defeating the Citadel, South Carolina State, and NC State. Wake has had a far more challenging schedule having defeated Mississippi ( who defeated Florida) Baylor, and won at Florida State. They got caught looking ahead to this game losing to Navy last week. Well, now there is NO look ahead and their focus is squarely on this important ACC conference game. Take Wake Forest.