Marc Lawrence's PLAYBOOK
Clemson over WAKE FOREST by 1
Wonder when Clemson and Wake last teed it off with BOTH teams riding an
embarrassing SU loss as double-digit home chalk? Not quite two weeks ago,
the Deacons laid 17 points to Navy and got torpedoed, 24-17, while the timid
Tigers were performing a Vegas-worthy disappearing act in the second half of
their huge 20-17 failure against Maryland. When choosing between two such
red-faced participants, our database weighs in on the visitors’ side: home chalk
off an outright home favorite loss laying 14 or more points will never pay the
bills, going just 18-30 ATS lately – including 2-12 since 2005. Throw the Tigers’
19-8 spread mark as dogs off a SUATS defeat into the mix with Jim Grobe’s 1-6
ATS record playing with rest and the Clemson cats start to look downright lean
and hungry. We’re hip to the fact that Wake Forest has cashed in fi ve of the last
six get-togethers but ol’ reliable, our SMART BOX on page 3, tells us to trust in
the Tigers here. Who are we to argue!
HOUSTON over Uab by 21
Houston is another group of cats playing off a bye week but the Cougars get to
ride the momentum of their stunning 41-24 smackdown of East Carolina into
Robertson Stadium today. That dominating win snapped an 18-game losing
streak against ranked foes and elevated Houston’s 2008 passing attack to a
mind-bending 400 yards per game under fi rst-year coach Kevin Sumlin. Don’t
let the Coogs’ 2-3 SU record scare you away. UH is 4-1 ‘In The Stats’ this year and
has dealt itself a 13-1 ATS winning hand in games they win SU as a favorite off
one win exact, a number that warrants further attention when compared to the
Blazers’ woeful 0-17 SU record in their last 17 roadies. UAB played their most
complete game of the season last week in a narrow 3-point loss to Memphis
(outyarded the Tigers) but the Cougars look primed to pounce today