Service Plays Thursday 10/2/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF

Thursday's games
Appalachian State trailed Southern Miss 20-14 last week, scored tying TD with 0:06 left, then had PAT blocked and lost 21-20, even though ASU outgained Southern Miss by 66 yards. ASU beat Eagles last three years, by 7-3-21 points- they won three of last four visits here. Eagles are pretty good, losing to NC State/Ga Tech on road by combined total of five points- they won 28-6 at South Alabama last week, even though they only completed six passes the whole game.

Oklahoma State doesn't play a road game until October 11, because they lost 7 starters on both sides of ball; OSU lost 37-31 to Florida State on a neutral field, so they're pretty good- they're 24-9 in last 33 games as a home favorite. Cowboys won last five games with Texas Tech, scoring 59 ppg in last three meetings, winning by 18-38-60 points. Tech failed to cover its last four visits here. Red Raiders gave up 438 rushing yards in last game, a 49-28 home loss to Arkansas- it was so bad they fired their defensive coordinator, saying he coached under the influence. Really.

Arizona State is 2-3 in last five games with UCLA; last three series tilts were decided by total of 8 points. Sun Devils lost QB Kelly; major step down to backup Bercovici, who threw four passes LY, is 9-17 this year. ASU won easily at New Mexico/Colorado, but they have to scale back their offense bigtime now. Bruins gutted out 20-17 win at Texas behind backup QB Neuheisel; check Hundley's (elbow) status for this. There is a big dropoff for them if Hundley sits, but not as much as ASU has. UCLA lost four of last six visits here; they're 5-2 as road underdogs in Mora era. Sun Devils are 9-4 as home favorites under Graham.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

marc lawrence late phone plays

OREGON

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 2nd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Thursday, 10/2/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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#901 DETROIT @ #902 BALTIMORE
TV: 5:37 PM EST, TBS
Line: Tigers -115, Total: 7 -105

The Detroit Tigers are enjoying their fourth straight American League Central Division crown but are still looking for their first World Series title since 1984. The Baltimore Orioles, who host the Tigers in Game #1 of the American League Division Series on Thursday evening, are appearing in the postseason for the second time in three years after a drought of 15 seasons. The AL East champion Orioles battled into the last week of the campaign for the best record in the American League after running away with the division.

Detroit has been in postseason mode for the last month while fighting off the Kansas City Royals in the Central and appear primed for the series with Justin Verlander coming around to solidify the rotation. The question with the Tigers has always been the bullpen, but closer Joe Nathan did manage to put together four straight scoreless appearances to close the regular season and Anibal Sanchez has been added to the setup mix. Baltimore does not have the big-name starters like Detroit but overcame the loss of Manny Machado and Chris Davis on offense thanks in part to a bullpen that ranked third in the American League with a 3.10 ERA.

PITCHING MATCHUP
•Tigers RH Max Scherzer (18-5, 3.15 ERA, WHIP: 1.175) - Scherzer is set to make a killing in free agency this winter and can only increase his market value with another successful postseason. The reigning Cy Young Award winner appeared in four playoff games last fall and went 2-1 with a 2.82 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 22 1/3 total innings. Scherzer has not faced Baltimore since a pair of starts in 2013, when he allowed four runs in 14 innings.

--SCHERZER is 34-8 (+20.7 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.8, OPPONENT 3.2.

--SCHERZER is 40-11 (+22.4 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.5, OPPONENT 3.4.

•Orioles RH Chris Tillman (13-6, 3.34 ERA, WHIP: 1.225) - Tillman had a string of 20 straight starts allowing three or fewer earned runs come to an end in his final regular-season turn at Toronto on Friday, when he was reached for four runs and 11 hits in six frames. The 26-year-old did not walk a batter in that start and has issued two or fewer free passes in each of his last five outings. Tillman last faced the Tigers in Detroit on April 6 and held them to one run on five hits in 8 1/3 innings to pick up the win.

--TILLMAN is 18-4 (+13.5 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 4.8, OPPONENT 3.0.

--TILLMAN is 9-1 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 4.5, OPPONENT 2.4.

--TILLMAN is 15-5 UNDER (+9.3 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 4.2, OPPONENT 2.9.

•PREGAME NOTES: The Tigers took five of six in the regular-season series, though all six contests happened before mid-May.... Orioles 1B Steve Pearce (wrist) missed five of the final nine games, but will be in Thursday's lineup.... Detroit 1B Miguel Cabrera went 10-for-25 with a pair of home runs and nine RBIs in the six meetings with Baltimore and finished the season strong with a 1.118 OPS in September.... Tillman is 25-16 when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.... Scherzer is 19-5 versus teams whose hitters strike out seven or more times per game this season.

•KEY STATS
--DETROIT is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in road games versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 2.8, OPPONENT 2.4.

--BALTIMORE is 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 2.7, OPPONENT 4.0.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: BALTIMORE is 8-10 (+1.1 Units) against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons. 9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Over= +0.6 Units.

--Games This Season: DETROIT is 5-1 (+3.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season. 3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season Over= +0.0 Units.

--All Games At BALTIMORE Over The Last 3 Seasons: DETROIT is 6-3 (+2.3 Units) against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons. 4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Over= -0.1 Units, Under= -0.7 Units.

--Games Played At BALTIMORE This Season:DETROIT is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season. 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season Under= +0.7 Units.

--Tigers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
--Tigers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.
--Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. Orioles.
--Orioles are 4-0 in Tillmans last 4 starts vs. Tigers.

•RECENT TRENDS
--DET is 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.
--DET is 5-1 in their last 6 during Game #1 of a series.
--Under is 7-0-1 in DET last 8 Divisional Playoff road games.

--BAL is 7-1 in their last 8 versus American League Central.
--BAL is 4-0 in Tillmans last 4 starts versus American League Central.
--Under is 6-0-1 in BAL last 7 during Game #1 of a series.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS:Play Under - Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor on base percentage (<=.320) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.300) - American League, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL).
(224-143 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.0%, +63.3 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 7.5, Money Line=-112.3
The average score in these games was: Team 3.6, Opponent 3.6 (Total runs scored = 7.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 173 (46.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (53-46, +1.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (144-100, +31.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (293-203, +64.2 units).
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#903 KANSAS CITY @ #904 LA ANGELS
TV: 9:07 PM EST, TBS
Line: Angels -170, Total: 8 -120

Jered Weaver will try to cool down Kansas City when the Los Angeles Angels host the revved-up Royals in Game #1 of the American League Division Series on Thursday night. Kansas City recorded a wild 9-8, 12-inning victory over the Oakland Athletics in Tuesday’s wild-card game, stealing seven bases to match a postseason record and scoring twice in the bottom of the 12th for the win. The Angels led the American League with 98 victories and won the AL West by 10 games.

There was a lot of chatter about Garrett Richards supplanting Weaver as Los Angeles’ ace until Richards suffered a season-ending knee injury. Weaver ended up tied for American League lead in victories and he is being counted on to step up in a postseason in which Los Angeles expects to reach the World Series. The Royals, who displayed big-time resilience in the wild-card victory, will start Jason Vargas – Weaver’s former college teammate at the University of Long Beach State.

PITCHING MATCHUP
•Royals LH Jason Vargas (11-10, 3.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.278) - Vargas had a rough September, going 1-3 with a 6.57 ERA in five outings. He had a 6.10 ERA in two no-decisions against Los Angeles this season and is 5-4 with a 3.02 ERA in 15 career appearances (14 starts) against the Angels. Vargas went 9-8 with a 4.02 ERA for Los Angeles in 2013 before leaving as a free agent and signing with Kansas City.

--VARGAS is 19-7 against the run line (+14.6 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 5.2, OPPONENT 4.0.

•Angels RH Jered Weaver (18-9, 3.59 ERA, WHIP: 1.209) - Weaver didn’t face the Royals this season and is 7-4 with a 2.21 ERA in 12 career starts. This will be his fourth career postseason start and he is 2-1 with a 2.61 ERA in six appearances (three starts). Weaver went 3-2 with a 3.66 ERA in five September starts and gave up three homers while losing to Seattle in his final regular-season start.

--WEAVER is 22-3 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.3, OPPONENT 2.4.

--WEAVER is 21-7 (+12.3 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 5.2, OPPONENT 3.5.

--WEAVER is 10-0 UNDER (+10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 3.3, OPPONENT 1.7.

--WEAVER is 44-19 UNDER (+22.1 Units) in home games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.5, OPPONENT 2.7.

--WEAVER is 11-2 UNDER (+8.6 Units) in home games versus an American League team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 3.7, OPPONENT 2.3.

--WEAVER is 46-20 UNDER (+23.1 Units) in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.3, OPPONENT 2.6.

•PREGAME NOTES: The teams split six regular-season meetings this season.... Los Angeles LF Josh Hamilton (shoulder) pronounced himself ready after missing 22 of the final 23 regular-season contests.... Kansas City DH Raul Ibanez is 15-for-36 with four homers against Weaver, while LF Alex Gordon is 4-for-20 with nine strikeouts.... Weaver is 34-11 in home games, 33-11 at home when the total is 7 to 8.5, and 36-14 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last three seasons.... The Royals are 21-8 after having won six or seven of their last eight games, and 9-0 against the money line after scoring nine runs or more this season.

•KEY STATS
--KANSAS CITY is 47-23 UNDER (+20.1 Units) versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.6, OPPONENT 3.9.

--LA ANGELS are 17-6 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was LA ANGELS 3.4, OPPONENT 3.1.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: LA ANGELS is 13-9 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons. 11 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Over= +0.3 Units.

--Games This Season: LA ANGELS is 3-3 (+0.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season. 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season Over= +0.9 Units.

--All Games at LA ANGELS Over The Last 3 Seasons: KANSAS CITY is 6-6 (+2.3 Units) against LA ANGELS over the last 3 seasons. 7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Over= +2.9 Units.

--Games Played At LA ANGELS This Season: LA ANGELS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season. 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season Over= -0.1 Units, Under= -0.1 Units.

--Royals are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.
--Under is 8-3 in Weavers last 11 starts vs. Royals.
--Angels are 6-0 in Weavers last 6 starts vs. Royals.
--Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.
--Under is 5-1 in Weavers last 6 home starts vs. Royals.

•RECENT TRENDS
--KC is 4-0 in their last 4 versus American League West.
--KC is 5-1 in their last 6 road games versus a RH starter.
--Under is 4-0 in Vargas' last 4 starts following a team loss LG.

--LAA are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff home games.
--LAA are 4-1 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games.
--Under is 7-1-1 in Weavers last 9 Thursday starts.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Under - All teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) against a below average American League hitting team (AVG <=.265), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games.
(127-68 since 1997.) (65.1%, +52.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-110.1
The average score in these games was: Team 3.8, Opponent 3.9 (Total runs scored = 7.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 102 (53.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-4, +15.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-10, +24.2 units).
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NFL | MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points versus division opponents, off a upset win as an underdog
75-37 over the last 10 seasons. ( 67.0% | 34.3 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

NFL | MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) off a upset win as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9
156-64 since 1997. ( 70.9% | 0.0 units )

NFL | MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
Play Against - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (MINNESOTA) off an upset win as a home underdog
221-134 since 1997. ( 62.3% | 73.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday Night Football: Vikings at Packers

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-9, 47.5)

Aaron Rodgers implored anxious fans of the Green Bay Packers to "relax" and then went out and made sure they were able to do just that with a brilliant performance in a lopsided rout at bitter rival Chicago on Sunday. With a much brighter outlook surrounding the team, Rodgers and Green Bay will host another NFC North opponent when the Minnesota Vikings pay a visit on Thursday night. The Packers are 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings, including a 26-26 tie at home last November.

Minnesota is hoping it won't have to start its third quarterback in as many weeks after rookie Teddy Bridgewater injured an ankle during last week's 41-28 victory over visiting Atlanta. Bridgewater, the No. 32 pick in this year's draft, threw for 317 yards and ran for a touchdown Sunday in his first career start, but exited the game in the fourth quarter due to an ankle injury. Vikings coach Mike Zimmer said he is "hopeful" Bridgewater will play after an MRI exam came back clean, but the quarterback did sit out Monday's practice.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network. LINE: Packers -9. O/U: 47

LINE HISTORY: After opening as Green Bay -10, the line has since dropped to -9 on Wednesday. The total has seen a big drop after opening at 50, it now rests at 47.5.

INJURY REPORT: Vikings - LB Chad Greenway (Out-Ribs), QB Teddy Bridgewater (Ques-Thurs) Packers - WR Jarrett Boykin (Out-Knee).

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 78 percent chance of thunderstorms in Green Bay. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Coming off the upset of Atlanta, Minnesota heads to Green Bay on short rest as big dog on Thursday. The Vikes are 1-5 ATS after scoring 30 or more points. Green Bay halted its two-game skid and has a short turnaround for its 3rd straight divisional game Thursday. The Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games." Matt Fargo,

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Thursday night's game opened Green Bay 9.5 and to our surprise smart money came on the dog and currently we have -9 -105. Teddy Bridgewater sprained his ankle in the last game and even though the team says his ankle is doing much better he has yet to practice on Monday or Tuesday. If he cannot play Christian Ponder will get the start so you can expect the line to go to 10.5." Scott Kaminsky.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Bridgewater was not the only rookie to make a big impression in Sunday's win. Running back Jerick McKinnon, a converted quarterback out of Georgia Southern, ran for 135 yards on 18 carries as Minnesota rolled up 241 of its 558 yards on the ground after failing to score a TD in its previous seven quarters. Jarius Wright added eight catches for 132 yards to help spark an offense that has already lost stud running back Adrian Peterson following allegations of child abuse as well as starting quarterback Matt Cassel and tight end Kyle Rudolph to injury. Bridgewater on Tuesday declined to give a percentage on his chances of playing and his unavailability would open the door for former first-round pick Christian Ponder.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (2-2 SU, 1-2-1 ATS, 3-1 O/U): Following pair of meager offensive outputs in losses sandwiched around a come-from-behind victory over the New York Jets, Rodgers was spectacular in the 38-17 romp in Chicago, throwing for 302 yards and fourth touchdowns while compiling a 151.2 passer rating. Jordy Nelson caught two more scoring passes and leads the league with 33 catches and 459 yards while fellow wideout Randall Cobb also went over 100 yards receiving and added two touchdowns to give him five on the season. There are concerns about second-year back Eddie Lacy, who has yet to surpassed 48 yards in a game following his 1,178-yard campaign as a rookie. The defense also is struggling, allowing 235 yards rushing and 496 total to the Bears.

TRENDS:

*Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
*Packers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
*Over is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings.
*Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay.

CONSENSUS: 54.71 percent are taking the Packers -9 with 69.8 percent taking the over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

Vikings (2-2) @ Packers (2-2)— Minnesota won 41-28 in Bridgewater’s first career start; he sprained ankle late in game, is expected to play here, but it is his first road start. Vikings scored 34-41 points in their two wins, 7-9 in losses- they ran ball for 186-241 yards in their two wins, 54-59 in losses. Pack is 23-15 in last 38 games as a home favorite, 3-5 in last eight. Vikings are 8-4 in last 12 games as a road underdog. Green Bay is 7-1-1 in last nine series games, 4-0-1 in last five here, winning by 4-38-9-14 points; their OL struggles show up in running game- they’re averaging 73 ypg on ground, not good. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 5-7 vs spread. Three of four Viking games stayed under total; three of four Packer games went over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | KANSAS CITY at LA ANGELS
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
285-114 since 1997. ( 71.4% | 91.0 units )
56-32 this year. ( 63.6% | 1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | DETROIT at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 49-38 (+22.9 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.1)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play Thurs Tigers w/ Scherzer -110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Thursday

Florida Atlantic -3.5 first half

Arizona +13.5 first half

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Giants on Wednesday and likes the Tigers on Thursday.

The deficit is 573 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo flying with Birds

Volquez was nowhere near up to the task so the Pirates were unable to patch together a victory Wednesday night, causing Hondo’s deficit to expand to 1,525 ellises.

Thursday night: Mr. Aitch will take a 10-unit shot with the Birds over the Tigers in their division series. Also, 10 on Tillman to help the Orioles nip Scherzer in Game 1.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Detroit at Baltimore[/h] The Tigers open up their ALDS series in Baltimore today and come into the contest with a 4-0 record in Max Scherzer's last 4 starts as a road favorite. Detroit is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 2 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Detroit at Baltimore (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 17.322; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.706 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Over

Game 903-904: Kansas City at LA Angels (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 14.212; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.778 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Paul Leiner

100* Arizona/Oregon Over 78.5
100* Houston -3
50* Tigers -110

 

[pascal5757]

BeatYourBookie


THURSDAY

10* Play Minnesota +8.5 over Green Bay (Top NFL Play)

Green Bay is 1-4 ATS after scoring 35 points or more in their last game
Green Bay is 3-6 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in their last game


10* Play FAU -6.5 over FIU (Top NCAA Play)

Florida Atlantic is 12-3 ATS in road games the last three seasons
Florida Atlantic is 15-3 ATS when playing with six or less days of rest


10* Play Central Florida +3.5 over Houston (Top NCAA Play)

Central Florida is 15-2 SU vs. conference opponents the last three seasons
Central Florida is 11-1 SU after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games


10* Play Arizona +24 over Oregon (Top NCAA Play)

Arizona is 13-4 SU when the total posted is greater than 63 points
Arizona is 11-2 SU coming off an OVER the total in their last game

 

[pascal5757]

BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Baltimore +105 over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY)

Baltimore is 37-18 when playing on a Thursday
Baltimore is 49-38 when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher
Baltimore is 78-52 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs


10* Play Kansas City +170 over LA Angels (MLB TOP PLAY)

Kansas City is 47-34 in road games this season
Kansas City is 64-48 in night games this season
Kansas City is 21-8 after having won six or seven of the last eight games

 

[pascal5757]

XpertPicks

THURSDAY BASEBALL

• Play Kansas City +170 over Los Angeles Angels---Top Play (Risk 10% of your Bankroll)

9:10 PM EST

Kansas City has won 47 of the last 81 road games and they have won 64 of the last 112 night games. Kansas City has won 9 consecutive games after scoring nine runs or more in their last game and they have won 21 of the last 29 games after having won six or seven of the last eight games.

• Play Baltimore +105 over Detroit---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

 

[pascal5757]

XpertPicks

THURSDAY

TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY

• Play Florida Atlantic -6.5 over Florida International----RISK 35% OF YOUR BANKROLL

7:00 PM EST

Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 road games and they have covered the spread in 15 of the last 18 games when playing with six or less days of rest. Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games when playing in the month of October and they have covered the spread in 6 consecutive games after allowing 37 or more points in their last game.

• Play Central Florida +3.5 over Houston----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• Play Arizona +24 over Oregon---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play Florida Atlantic -6.5 over Florida International (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Florida International has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread when playing as a home underdog of 7 points or less and they have lost 22 of the last 29 games against the spread coming off two or more UNDER the totals. Florida International has lost 16 of the last 21 games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games and they have lost 23 of the last 34 games against the spread when playing in the month of October.


5000* Play Central Florida +3.5 over Houston (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Central Florida has won 7 consecutive games when playing in the month of October and they have won 9 of the last 11 games after they forced one or less turnovers in their last game. Central Florida has won 10 of the last 12 games after scoring 37 points or more in their last game and they have won 4 consecutive games when playing on a Thursday.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

50* Play Arizona +24 over Oregon (BONUS NCAA PLAY)
50* Play Minnesota +8.5 over Green Bay (BONUS NFL PLAY)

 

[pascal5757]

Kevin's Pick(s):
That's a tough loss as we got a complete game shutout from Bumgarner, but Volquez didn't pitch too well leading to a 8-0 Giants victory.
- No system play from me today
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ L.A. Angels - ANGELS -1.5 (+126)
Listed Pitchers: Vargas vs. Weaver
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.52 units)
I haven't lost that badly in quite a long time as I did on Tuesday. Entertaining game nevertheless. The Royals earned the right to play the Angels tonight, winning in dramatic fashion over the Athletics. I wish I could tell you I like betting on post-season baseball more than the regular season, but it doesn't take a statistician to tell you tell you chances of winning go down with such small cards.
Not to say we can't win money, I have made money the past two playoffs. Tonight the Royals try and have short memories, as the celebration is over and they look towards a series with the Angels. I think Kansas City is going to make a good series out of it, but in game 1 I don't see it. It will be hard for them not to have a hangover effect after winning their first post-season win in decades. The Angels will have the benefit of going with their ace, Jered Weaver, while Kansas will have to go with Jason Vargas. Vargas is one of the more inconsistent pitchers in the majors. He started off horribly, had a good stretch, and now is pitching some of his worst ball of the season. His last three starts have yielded an ERA of 9.60 with a 1.66 WHIP. His last four starts have produced 4, 5, 5, and 4 runs against. Additionally, Vargas has given up 22 runs in his last five starts. The Angels are hitting .270 against left-handed pitching. I can't say that Weaver has been lights out, 3.60 ERA his last three starts, but before allowing 4 in his last start, Weaver went 8 in a row without allowing more than 3 runs. The Royals haven't played Weaver since 2012, in two starts he allowed just 2 runs. Vargas gave up 6 runs in his last start against the Angels this season. The Angels are not just supposed to win a series this year, they're a favorite to win it all. They should show some muscle immediately tonight. At a pretty nice price I'll take them at -1.5.

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play Baltimore +105 over Detroit (TOP MLB PLAY)

Baltimore has won 38 of the last 63 games after scoring one run or less in their last game and they have won 91 of the last 152 games after having lost two of the last three games. Baltimore has won 72 of the last 122 games after batting .240 or worse over the last ten games and they have won 90 of the last 143 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

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50* Play Kansas City +170 over Los Angeles Angels (BONUS MLB PLAY)