Service Plays Thursday 1/14/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Lineback

Premium Selections

[501-502] 4* Chicago Bulls/Boston Celtics UNDER 196.5 -110 | 8:00p ET
Chicago playing better basketball, fueled by their improved outside shooting lately. However, team have not faced a similar type Boston defense in recent memory. You have to go back 4+ weeks to find a similar offensive challenge. Bulls scored 87 pts vs. Lakers on 12/15, 80 vs. same Celtics on 12/12 & 87 vs Cleveland on 12/4. Plus, always more difficult to hit from outside on road. And, Da Bulls live & die by the outside shot (no real inside threat; Noah??). Boston #2 defensive team in league, allowing only 93.8 ppg. In addition, Celts #6 in fg% allowed & 3pt fg% allowed (44.6, 33.6). Team only allowing 5.6 3pt fgpg (#5). More importantly, Boston playing second b2b in 5 nights and will be missing Garnett & Wallace. Hence, team should have tired legs and will have to rely on more defense tonight IMO. As a result, believe Boston will contest every shot (no easy buckets) & try to slow game down and control possessions, especially late in game.

 

[THESTONE]

BIG AL's NCAA HOOPS CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR!
At 11 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels over Gonzaga.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

California Sports

5 celtics
4 ntexas
3 cleve st
3 longbeach st

 

[BetToWin33]

pregame coupon 10 bucks off jets10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dwayne Bryant WRITE - UP

Gonzaga at Saint Mary's CA
Bet: Saint Mary's CA -4.5

The "sharps" hit this one almost right away. This line opened at Saint Mary's -3 and was hit within minutes, pushing it to -3.5. And just minutes after that it was hit again, pushing it to -4. And that line move is despite the fact that most of the bets coming in have been on Gonzaga, including money-line bets and exotics. I'm disappointed that I missed out on the -4, but I feel we still have a strong play at -4.5.

Gonzaga has only played two true road games this season, and they were beaten by Michigan State in their only big road test. St. Mary's has been extremely tough at home, and I like the fact that the Gaels are one of very few teams that can match Gonzaga's size. St. Mary's actually has the 4th-best effective height rating in thenation at +5.3, which tops the Bulldogs' #13 ranking at +3.9.

When looking at Gonzaga's road performances compared to Saint Mary's home performances, I see several huge edges for the Gaels. First, the Gaels score 87.8 ppg on 52.2% shooting at home, and they'll be going against a Gonzaga road defense allowing 76.5 ppg on 47% shooting. But Gonzaga's road offense, which averages 76 points on 41.7% shooting, would face a Gaels' home defense allowing only 64.1 ppg on just 40% shooting. Even if we look at overall numbers, Saint Mary's holds edges in rebound margin, free-throw shooting, and 3-point shooting.

Bottom line: The "sharps" definitely have their money on the Gaels. And looking at the stats from these two teams, I can see why. Gonzaga's #14 ranking is just a bull's eye for the unranked Gaels. And having the game on national TV (ESPN2) only adds to the Gaels' motivation. Lay it with Saint Mary's.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Duke's Sports

Washington (-8') for 2 Units

A pretty good Washington team is overdue to get on track after a three game slide, and it should come here. Washington is 9-3 ATS off a SU loss and sports a 6-2 ATS mark vs the Cardinal. Washington should be able to impose tight defense at home and open up their scoring vs a Stanford team that allows a generous 85 ppg on the road. Stanford, which is coming off two impressive wins vs rebuilding USC and UCLA, has lost six straight vs teams above .500. Washington the call.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JB Mayer 1.14

1461 NCAA-B Jan 14
7:00p The Citadel vs Tennessee Chat
Take: Tennessee Chat -1½-110
-=TOP PLAY=- $110.00
BetUS in 3h

Premium
1462 NCAA-B Jan 14
7:00p NC Greensboro vs Western Carolina
Take: Western Carolina -16-110 $110.00
BetUS in 3h

Premium
1463 NCAA-B Jan 14
7:00p Auburn vs Tennessee
Take: Auburn +14-110 $110.00
BetUS in 3h

Premium
1464 NCAA-B Jan 14
8:00p Youngstown State vs Valparaiso
Take: Valparaiso -5-110
-=TOP PLAY=- $110.00
Bodog in 4h

Premium
1465 NCAA-B Jan 14
8:00p Detroit U vs Wisc Milwaukee
Take: Wisc Milwaukee -4-110
-=TOP PLAY=- $110.00
Bodog in 4h

Premium
1466 NCAA-B Jan 14
10:00p Arizona vs Oregon State
Take: Arizona +2½-110 $110.00
BetUS in 6h

 

[pjoyce5893]

Cleveland Insider 1/14/10

NCAA Hoops

William & Mary -9.5
Tennessee Tech -2.5

NBA
Boston -6.5

 

[pjoyce5893]

Bob Balfe

NBA

Jazz -1 over Cavs

College Basketball

Gonzaga +4 over St. Marys

 

[RawAdreneline]

Mark Roth

2-1 Yesterday * 5-6 This Week- 41.5 Units

10 Units on Butler (-15.5)
10 Units on Stanford (+9)
25 Units SM on Utah Jazz (pk)

Good Luck

 

[fredlynn]

34paytonplace

Nba

Jazz -1

Ncaa

Portland ML +105

 

[brewerfan003]

How many units is "No Limit"?

7 i believe

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

supercolt sports

tenn chat-1.5
denver+1
arizona st -1
san fran+6
oregon st-2.5
california-4
san jose st-1.5
callrvine-1
st mary's ca -4.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PowerPlayWins
Power Lock

Boise St +2

 

[Born2Booze]

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
1/14/10- Thursday Ncaa

3- valpo-5
3- chattanooga-1
3- s alabama -2

DTB #2 hockey service at sportspickmonitor !!!

1- atlanta +123


p/c :drink:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

sports insights:

2009 NHL Games to Watch: 7-5, 58.3%, +4.7 units*
*Source: SportsInsights.com

Sports MarketWatch – NHL Games to Watch

Phoenix Coyotes +117 over New Jersey Devils

One day late of our usual NHL Marketwatch we will be taking the Phoenix Coyotes (26-16-5) to beat the visiting New Jersey Devils (32-11-1). This will be the only meeting between these two teams this season, though an exciting one. The Devils are coming off a goalie's duel vs. the Rangers on Tuesday night, which ended only after a fourth round shootout goal scored by the Devil's Patrik Elias, and had their 5-game road trip cut in half to head back to the Prudential Center to finish a game against the Lightning that was cut when a group of lights went out Friday. This will be the Coyotes third in a stretch of six home games that have not gone as planned so far with losses to the Sharks and Islanders. The Coyotes will be counting on their stand out netminder, Ilya Brysgalov, to stop the well traveled Devils.

The Devils opened at Matchbook at -128 and has since dropped to -118 with the public backing them with 64% of the moneyline bets coming down on the game. We will take the Coyotes to beat the Devils at home with some solid reverse line movement across the board.

Phoenix Coyotes +117 (Matchbook)

Games to Watch (7-5, +4.7 units)
Phoenix Coyotes +117

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

sports exchange
wash st
arizona
loyola marymount

 

[jlway]

RAS totals?

 

[Eagle8]

Has anyone been following a consistent winner for college hoops. One that posts 1-2 games per night? I was thinking of Jefferson, because he was always solid. Any input would be appreciated. Thanks Cpaw for, as always, a great job with this thread.:toast::toast::toast:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DON BEST STEAM (72-45-4 LAST 7 DAYS)

11:41:07am 2010-01-14 516 Mississippi St Over 144
9:09:54am 2010-01-14 557 Boise State +2
9:04:35am 2010-01-14 505 Seton Hall +7
8:53:55am 2010-01-14 510 Bowling Green Under 130½
8:47:59am 2010-01-14 503 Cleveland +1
8:39:13am 2010-01-14 546 CS Northridge -3
8:28:58am 2010-01-14 580 Murray State -18
8:21:44am 2010-01-14 562 San Diego pk
8:17:36am 2010-01-14 542 Michigan -13½
8:16:05am 2010-01-14 573 SE Missouri St +17
8:14:38am 2010-01-14 578 Samford -2
8:10:36am 2010-01-14 522 UL Lafayette pk
8:08:39am 2010-01-14 516 Mississippi St -14