Handicapper: Nick Parsons
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels - Thursday September 10, 2009 10:05 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 8 (-110) (Game of the Month)
Writeup: For a number of different reasons I feel we're getting good value on the "over" in this situation: Atlanta pitcher Derek Lowe took a loss against the Reds on Friday; he tossed seven innings, allowing three earned runs on seven hits. Lowe struck out five and walked two, giving up one homer and his ERA dropped slightly to 4.36 with the performance; his ERA raises to 4.87 on the road. Two of his last three starts have gone "over" the number and I look for this trend to continue this evening. His counterpart is Roy Oswalt; Atlanta remains the only NL opponent, besides Houston, that the right-hander has never beaten. He’s 0-2 with a 6.18 ERA in six starts; the total has gone over in two of Oswalt's last three games as well. Although Atlanta has had problems putting points on the board the last few games, it is in fact interesting to note that the Braves have seen the total go over the posted number in 53 of 86 vs. right-handed starters on the year. Look for the Braves to turn things around at the plate as they pursue their first series win in over two weeks; good value on the OVER! *7*