Service Plays Thursday 09/10/09

ace911 · Sep 10, 2009

Michael Cannon
Thursday's Plays...
20 Dime ?

Titans-Steelers OVER

Take the over tonight between the Titans and Steelers.

I?ve studied this matchup for over a month now and while I?ve waffled on the side I have never doubted the total.

This game is going to go over and it wouldn?t surprise me if it hits by the end of the 3rd quarter.

The public thinks otherwise as the number opened at 37 but quickly dropped two points to the current 35. Although I don?t put any weight in what the public does when I handicap a matchup, I do believe that they are reading too much into the respective defenses in this game.

The main thing that Tennessee has to deal with defensively is the loss of tackle Albert Haynesworth. He is a perennial All-Pro and although Tennessee still boasts a stout defense, they will feel the void that was left when Haynesworth signed with Washington.

On the other side of the ball, the Steelers return the league?s top stop-unit and one that can potentially be better with Lawrence Timmons replacing the departed Larry Foote as one of the inside linebackers. But Timmons is out with an injury, so the Steelers will have to wait a week to see what his potential impact will be.

That?s not to say the Steelers will not perform up to their lofty standards, but I still think this number is too low on the total.

The Steelers have historically performed very well offensively in Week 1 and it wouldn?t surprise me if they did so tonight. But their offensive line remains a question mark and that?s why I didn?t necessarily like them to cover the side in this game. Besides, in Week 1 you?re more prone to mistakes on offense because the cohesiveness just isn?t there after playing sparingly in the preseason.

As we all know turnovers lead to easy points, thus making the over even more easily attainable.

You also can?t forget that the Titans were the only team to put up over 300 yards of offense against the Steelers in last year?s 31-14 blowout win in Week 16.

The over for Pittsburgh is on streaks of 4-1 overall, 7-0 in Week 1 action, 13-4 against the AFC and 39-16-2 at Heinz Field.

The total has also gone over in six of the last seven meetings between these two overall and seven of the last eight battles in Pittsburgh.

All we need is a final score of 20-17 for this game to go over.

Take the over as I see the defending champs winning at home.

10 Dime ?

GEORGIA TECH

Lay the points with Georgia Tech tonight at home over Clemson.

Clemson starts freshman Kyle Parker at quarterback and I just don?t trust him in this spot on the road against a Top-20 team.

Georgia Tech coach Paul Johnson has that confusing triple-option attack on offense and the Tigers have to adjust after playing against the spread attack that Middle Tennessee State ran last week.

Clemson running back C. J. Spiller sat out the second half of last week?s game after an apparent hamstring injury and if he?s not at full strength that will further hamper the Tigers? chances here.

Georgia Tech has 19 returning starters from last year and that experience only makes them that much more attractive at home under the prime-time lights.

Lay the points with Georgia Tech as they grab the win and cover.

Warchant · Sep 10, 2009

Stephen Nover

15-DIME OVER Steelers/Titans -

Under the total often is the way to go in Week 1, but not in this matchup. The oddsmaker has set a low total, but the situation and the way the offenses will attack these quality defenses dictate more of a wide open game than many anticipate.

Look for the Titans to throw more against the Steelers. Tennessee has upgraded its passing attack with the additions of wide receivers Nate Washington and rookie Kenny Britt, who looked outstanding during preseason. Washington practiced on Tuesday, but may not play because of a hamstring. He played for the Steelers last year and has been helpful to Kerry Collins in pointing out Pittsburgh defensive tendencies.

The Titans put up 31 points on the Steelers last year. The key was the Steelers could only sack the immobile Collins once. The Titans do an excellent job of pass-blocking and center Kevin Mawae is expected to start after being out. The Steelers aren't expected to have one of their better defensive players in linebacker Lawrence Timmons, who is doubtful with an ankle injury.

Titans coach Jeff Fisher isn't afraid to gamble on special teams when he's an underdog. He's proven that with on-side kicks and fake punts.

I see Pittsburgh opening its offense up, too. The Titans' defense lost their best player, tackle Albert Haynesworth, and also no longer has highly-respected coordinator Jim Schwartz. Tennessee's defense still will be good, but not dominant.

This is a huge revenge spot for Pittsburgh and it's a nationally televised game. The Steelers usually are at their best in these situations. The loss of Haynesworth hurts the Titans' run defense, which means Ben Roethlisberger should be even more effective in his play-action passes.

Paid and confirmed by mrmil0 and I

Typhoon · Sep 10, 2009

Burns

Main Event = Pitt Under

Roast = Clemson

paid & confirmed by me

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 10, 2009

ATS Lock Club

4 Steelers

marksdolphins · Sep 10, 2009

Freddy Wills

**All Sport Top Plays = 25-9 Last 34! 3-Dime CFB
Tonight's POD for College Football is a guaranteed play backed with a full in depth analysis! If you want to catch this game for a good hour before the NFL game starts jump on board with a winning POD it's a 3-Dime winner (1-5scale)!

clemson+6

4-Dime MLB POD + 1D Bonus **21-3 L24 POD's
That's right I'm on a 21-3 run on MLB PODs.. and another win yesterday as we keep rolling along without missing a beat. With limited games tonight was able to find my POD as well as a bonus 1-Dimer. Make sure you pick this play up guaranteed to profit backed with a full in depth analysis!

astros/braves under 8

**3-Dime NFL POD **Top Plays 25-9 Last 34 Top Play
My top plays are the bread and butter in my arsenal. Tonight the exciting NFL season opens and I can't wait to watch this game. I think one team takes a step back this year and I think one team remains the same! Get the play with a full in depth analysis!

steelers-6

Paid and confirmed

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 10, 2009

MustWinSports

25 DIME Georgia Tech

5 DIME Tennessee/Pittsburgh Over (Spectacular Seven)
(8-1 +28.3 DIMES Spectacular Seven)

Born2Booze · Sep 10, 2009

RatedPicks

3 Units Clemson +5.5

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 10, 2009

SAM CLAYTON

25 DIME - TITANS +6.5

Usually I'm not one to jump right into football right off the bat and considering how successful we've been on the diamond, this might concern some of you. However, when I see a spread this large in a game that I feel will most likely be decided by a field goal, I'm going to take the points and run like hell.

How quickly we forget that the Titans came out of the gate last season stronger than anybody in the NFL, winning their first 10 games of the 2008 campaign. Tennessee went on to beat down Pittsburgh 31-14 on Dec. 21 and they finished with the league's best record (13-3) before falling apart in the playoffs -- where as we all know -- anything can happen. And as common as player turnover rates are now-a-days, both of these teams are almost identical this season, with the exception of DT Albert Haynesworth leaving Tennessee for Washington and former Steelers wideout Nate Washington crossing over to play for the Titans. Both losses hurt, sure, but I really don't believe they are drastic enough to point toward a blowout of any kind.

If anything, I think it's the Titans that will be more motivated coming into this game given the fact that they went from Super Bowl hopefuls to being knocked out in the divisional round against Baltimore. Tennessee has everything to prove and the journey to February starts tonight with a big game at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh won the Holy Grail when all was said and done and now they are the hunted this time around. The bullseye is on the Steelers' chest and every single team that plays them this season is going to play to the whistle and beyond. And given how savvy and aware Jeff Fisher is when it comes to spreads (refer back to the Buffalo preseason game when the punter knelt in the endzone for a push and Fisher was seen smiling on the sideline), you know for a fact he's reminded his team all week long about the slap in the face that Vegas gave his squad about being six points worse than the Steelers.

I feel this is going to be an extremely close game because of how versatile Tennessee's offense is. It's one of the best flowing in all of football and they can hurt you in so many different ways. It starts with super-efficient Kerry Collins, who threw for 2,500+ yards and 12 touchdowns last year. Yes, I'm aware those aren't the most impressive numbers, but it's the way Collins plays the position. It's the way he picks up the rush and sees the field. He's a great decision-making veteran that doesn't make many mistakes and I love giving him an additional six points plus to play around with. The rushing game is a perfect mix of thunder and lightning with LenDale White and Chris Johnson and larger-than-life Algae Crumpler is holding down the fort at tight end, where he is a mammoth pass catcher and even better blocker off the line. And for all the qualms about Pittsburgh being the reigning No. 1 defensive unit in the NFL, Tennessee checked in at No. 2 allowing only 14.6 points per game.

Tennessee has won four of the last six meetings against Pittsburgh and the underdog is 5-1 against the spread over that span. I wouldn't be shocked one bit if the Titans pulled this one out, but in all honestly, I think a Jeff Reed field goal is the slim difference on opening night. Take the Titans and the points and be excited about the start of a brand new season. I hope you're ready for some football.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 10, 2009

JACK JONES

15* Houston Astros -118

Take the red hot Houston Astros against the ice cold Atlanta Braves tonight. The Astros have won 5 of their last 6 with the Braves dropping 6 of their last 7. Houston starter Roy Oswalt has quietly went 8-5 this season with a 3.77 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, the Astros have won in each of his last 2 starts, and they are 7-5 when he pitches for them at home. Derek Lowe started off hot for the Braves, but has not put up impressive numbers this season. He is 13-9, but he has a 4.36 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 29 starts this season. He is simply giving up too many hits. With the Astros playing their best baseball this season, they are the value play at home here.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 10, 2009

Gaming Today

nats ov 9
sea +175
laa un 8.5

college
clem +5.5

newty81 · Sep 10, 2009

[FONT=&quot]Lenny Del Genio's[FONT=&quot] 20* Thursday Game of the Month is Georgia Tech -5 1/2.

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ther; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:10.0pt; line-height:115%;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style>[FONT=&quot]We just do not see Clemson being able to stop Georgia Tech’s triple option here. Last week, they relied on having the better athletes as well as running the ball and special teams to defeat an over matched Middle Tennessee State team. Ga Tech HC Johnson was not happy with his team’s performance (five fumbles), despite 335 yards rushing.
We always love taking a look at the home team on Thursday night games (crowd is all fired up) and Clemson couldn't defeat GT at home last year (L 21-17, +2) despite it being the Jackets 1st year in Johnson’s system. Tech has a habit of fast starts, illustrated by a 16-5 ATS run the first two weeks of the season since '92. In their last two visits to Atlanta, Clemson has scored a combined 12 points.[/FONT]

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 10, 2009

ALATEX MLB
PLAY for TODAY

20* Houston Under 7.5

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 10, 2009

From a good friend!

Craig Davis

Thursday's Lineup

30 DIME ---- STEELERS

Here it is... my favorite time of the year. Since I spend a lot of my time running my fantasy football website, you know I analyze these players on a daily basis and I've been counting the days until I could start helping you unload on your man/book with these NFL plays. I finished last year's playoffs on an 8-3 run and capped it off with a 75-dime easy winner on the Arizona Cardinals. I own the NFL and I'm going to start the season off in style, with a nice simple Thursday night winner on the defending Super Bowl champion Pittsburgh Steelers.

The general public is all over the Titans in this one and for good reason... they were amazing ATS last season and dominated the Steelers in their regular season Week 15 affair to the tune of a 31-14 pounding. Let's keep something in perspective, though. The Steelers clearly had the toughest schedule in all of football and were coming off a brutal stretch of games. They were due for a letdown... kinda like the same letdown the Titans had when they were pummeled by the Jets earlier in the year. I've come to realize betting on the NFL is all about perception. The general perception is that Pittsburgh is laying too many points against a team that ranked in the top 5 in defense, even if the game is at home. Tennessee is a ball-control offense that doesn't make too many mistakes, and plays well enough on defense to keep the team in every game.

The problem with Tennessee begins up front, with the off-season loss of DT Albert Haynesworth. If you don't think that loss is going to affect this team's run defense, think again. He caused so much trouble to opposing offensive lines that they simply had to double team him and hope the rest of the line could manage the other linemen and backers. Without Haynesworth, this unit is completely different and will have to learn to adjust to life without him. And it's not like the Steelers can't run the ball. Let's remember that Willie Parker is 100% healthy and has a history of dominating in Week 1 of the NFL's regular season.

Last season in Week 1 vs. Houston, Parker rushed for 138 yards and 3 TDs. In 2007, he rushed for 109 yards against Cleveland and in 2006 he rushed for 119 yards against Miami. How about 2005? Parker rushed for 161 yards and a TD against Tennessee, including 48 yards receiving in a 38-7 win. So you see... for whatever reason Parker and the Pittsburgh running game completely dominate in Week 1 and there's no reason for me to believe it will change in 2009.

Tennessee still has question marks at wide receiver, and until Nate Washington proves that he's 100%, I'm not sure any of the other receivers put a scare in Pittsburgh. Oh sure, they do have talent at TE, but let's keep in perspective that Pittsburgh has some of the best linebackers and safeties in football. They might bend but they won't break. Tennessee's runners (Chris Johnson and LenDale White) will do their best to get the Tennessee running game going, but they'll be facing literally the same rush defense that dominated the NFL last season. Yards and scores will be hard to come by and I'm calling for a 23-10 Pittsburgh win at home tonight.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 10, 2009

The Duke's Sports

Complimentary NCAA Football Play for Thursday

Georgia Tech (-5) for 2 Units

Clemson/G Tech 7:30: The 'Jackets were a cash cow last year in Paul Johnson's debut in the ACC. And what was really impressive is how he guided the most youthful team (75 players were either freshmen or sophomores) team in the conference to a 6-2 ATS mark in the conference. And we still believe he'll keep his now seasoned cast hungry. Johnson returns 9 starters on offense and 7 on defense. And despite the pre-season buzz about Clemson, Dabo Swinney is not going to out-coach Paul Johnson, who gets the most out of his players; and he has got developed talent this year. Tigers are just 3-
8 ATS on Thursdays and 2-6 ATS vs teams above .500. Thursday night home teams have gone an impressive 12-3 ATS and we won't jump off that trend here.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 10, 2009

Dave Malinsky

4* Tennessee +6

icethekicker · Sep 10, 2009

ATS Lock Club

4 Steelers

fly73 · Sep 10, 2009

RatedPicks

3 Units Clemson +5.5

fly73 · Sep 10, 2009

Apache

NFL
22 tenn
12 tenn over

COLLEGE
17 GT

fly73 · Sep 10, 2009

Diceituponline

Fireman:

Ravens under 36 = 20 Dimes

Bama:

Paradise Play of the Day

Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 vs. Tennessee Titans = 10 Dimes

Gino:

Steelers -6.5 for 10 Dimes....double stamp it....mega dice!

Hammer:

Tonight take the Over (35) in the Tenn/Pitt. game for 10 Dimes

fly73 · Sep 10, 2009

Rob Homyak

Premium Play - NFL

Tennessee vs. Pittsburgh

5 Units on Pittsburgh

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