Service Plays Thursday 05/21/09

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<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Eastern Conference Finals
Game 2, best-of-7
Carolina vs. PITTSBURGH: TOO CLOSE TO CALL


Western Conference Finals
Game 2, best-of-7
L.A. LAKERS 108, Denver 103
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Today's NHL Picks

Carolina at Pittsburgh

The Penguins look to go up 2-0 in the series and build on their 8-3 record in their last 11 postseason games as a favorite between -150 and -200. Pittsburgh is the pick (-200) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 21
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST (5/20)
Game 7-8: Carolina at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.346; Pittsburgh 14.415
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200); Under
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Today's NBA Picks

Denver at LA Lakers

The Nuggets look to bounce back from their 105-103 loss in Game One and build on their 12-2 ATS record in their last 14 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Denver is the underdog pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by just 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 21
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 505-506: Denver at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 126.851; LA Lakers 131.241
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 209 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+5 1/2); Under
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Today's MLB Picks

Cleveland at Kansas City

The Royals look to bounce back from yesterday's 6-5 loss and build on their 12-1 record in Zack Greinke's last 13 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Kansas City is the pick (-185) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-185). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 21
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.942; Cincinnati (Owings) 14.403
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+105); Under
Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 13.824; Washington (Stammen) 14.728
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Washington (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-125); Over
Game 955-956: Colorado at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 14.034; Atlanta (Medlen) 14.176
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-120); Over
Game 957-958: Arizona at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Scherzer) 13.872; Florida (Miller) 15.441
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+115); Over
Game 959-960: Milwaukee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 15.261; Houston (Oswalt) 16.730
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-125); Over
Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Marshall) 15.830; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.747
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+130); Under
Game 963-964: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.599; San Diego (Correia) 15.742
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+140); Under
Game 965-966: Texas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 17.330; Detroit (Jackson) 16.280
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+125); Over
Game 967-968: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.307; White Sox (Colon) 13.833
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-115); Under
Game 969-970: Cleveland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Pavano) 15.083; Kansas City (Greinke) 16.113
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-185); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-185); Over
Game 971-972: Oakland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 15.040; Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.208
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-200); Over
Game 973-974: Baltimore at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Eaton) 14.024; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 16.898
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 3; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-285); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-285); Under
Game 975-976: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Ray) 16.008; Boston (Lester) 15.238
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+155); Under
Game 977-978: LA Angels at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Saunders) 14.929; Seattle (Bedard) 16.075
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+105); Over
 
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Underground Sports Connection

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->200* Washington Nationals
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MLB: 5/21

Over 8.5 Runs (-120) Arizona (Schezer) / Florida (Miller) 7:10 ET 1 Unit

Houston (Oswalt) -145 / Milwaukee (Suppan) 8:05 ET1.5 Units

Texas (Millwood) +115 / Detroit (Jackson) 1:05 ET 1 Unit

-End bettingasabusiness.com
 

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NBA Playoffs: 5/21

Western Conference Finals: Game 2
Denver - LA Lakers 9:05 ET ESPN

3 Plays: Total Risk 3.75 Units
LA Lakers -5.5 / Denver 1.5 Units
Under 211.5 Denver / LA Lakers 1 Unit
Parlay: LAL (ML) -240 & Under 211.5 Risk 1 Unit to win 1.71 Units
It took all Denver had in game 1, including Carmelo Anthony scoring 39 on 14-20 from the field, to keep it close but the Nuggets still couldn't get the win. So now what tonight? Defense on both ends of the court. We were on the over in game 1 you'll remember and wound up falling just 6.5 points short even after a 41 point 3rd quarter seemingly did us in. If there was another 30 seconds in the game we most likely would have squeaked it out, but even if we did we know we were on the wrong side. Big time adjustments were made at the half in game 1, especially by Denver. The Nuggets held LA to just 19 points in the 3rd quarter and 20 in the first 10:07 of the 4th quarter (before the intentional fouling session) and we look for them to pick up right where they left off. This is not the building Denver wants to get into a shoot out in so we look for them to continue the defensive intensity tonight and try and keep the crowd out of it as much as possible. We like LA to come away with the win to take full control of the series and keeping home court in tact. We feel game 1's scare will have woke the Lakers up making them very attentive tonight. We're backing our plays up with a money line parlay which will offset our LA -5.5 play just in case there's another win and non cover.

-End
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Tom Freese

20* No Brainer

Denver at LA Lakers
Play: Denver +5.5

The Lakers are in a 52-20 ATS Play Against System that says to Go Against teams after a win by 6 points or less against an opponent that scored 100 or more points 4 straight games. Denver is 22-6 ATS their last 28 games vs. winning teams and they are 10-0 ATS in their Playoffs games this year. The Nuggets are 121-10 ATS with revenge and they are 10-1 ATS after allowing 100 or more points in 4 straight games. 20* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON DENVER +
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