Fabulous Freddy @ half bets
grabbed his plays tonight cuz he has his total of the week and he's on 17-8 NBA run.. 3-0 this week on totals so far so i'm interested to see how his total of the week goes-
grabbed his plays tonight cuz he has his total of the week and he's on 17-8 NBA run.. 3-0 this week on totals so far so i'm interested to see how his total of the week goes-
THURSDAY'S PLAYS:
Youngstown St. @ Loyola Chicago- 8:00pm et (3** play) Since the 2006 season the over/under where teams who are coming of 2 losses and going over in both games playing a conference team with a line of 7-9.5 is 62-25-1 in favor of the over. The average total sits at 145 and the total for this game has opened at 132.5 giving us 12.5 points to work with. Youngstown is 10-1-1 in their last 12 Thursday games and for the over to hit I believe they have to play step by step with Loyola and I beleive they will. The over is 7 of 9 in the last 9 meetings between the two with at least 1 team regularly scoring in the 70s. The Over is also 7-3 in Youngstown's last 10 games as a dog. We feel all of this provides with enough value to jump on the over. Take Over 132.5 (3** play)
Western Kentucky @ UL Monroe- 8:00pm et (4** play) Wktky after struggling as of late with their numbers in their last 5 compared to how they have done in the conference will get a break on Thursday when they play the worst team in the conference. UL Monroe sitting at 3-7 while WKtky is 9-2. WKtky has shot 49.5% and defended 43.5% in conference play compared to Monroe who have shot 39.7% and 49.7% defensive. Wkty has a +8.4 rebound margin in conference play compare to Monroe's +0.2 and something that has hurt Western Kentucky as of late turn overs should not be an issue tonight as UL Monroe forces just 9.6 TO's per game. I expect Western Kentuckies recent rebounding to really help them tonight as they are +10.6 rebounds in their last 5. LA Monroe also falls under an 8-29ATS trend that went 4-1ats last night in our favor. We will follow this again on Western Kentucky. The trend is play against a team who is coming off a loss of greater than 12 points that is playing an opponent as a home dog. The period is a rolling average of the last 5 games. The margin of victory in this trend is 11.5 points with the spread at 6.5 points this gives us plenty of room to spare. Take Western Kentucky +6.5 (4** play)
LA Lakers @ Boston Celtics- 8:00pm et (3** play- on a 17-8 run in NBA) Boston and the Lakers will finally play a quality team again tonight. Their last 5 games for each team has been made up of the following cup cakes, Raptors, Knicks, Grizzlies, Twolves, Bobcats, Pistons, Kings. The totals have been out rageous and you are seeing it take shape here tonight with the total at 206. Boston coming off a buzzer beater win against the 76ers but lost ATS and went over in the game are now 7 point favorites against the Lakers tonight. The over/under for teams who fall under that trend of winning, losing ats, and going over playing where the line is 6-7.5 is 14-36 in favor of the Under (72%) Average total amount of points scored in those games are 196, 10 points lower than what the total is at now. The last time these two teams met on Christmas and the final total was just 175 points. It seems as though defense is played when two quality teams meet despite exellent offenses on both sides. I believe Vegas has inflated this line due to the amount of points each team has scored as of late, but as I said before against who? Take Under 206 (3* play)
Arizona @ Oregon State- 8:30pm et (7** Total of the Week!- 7-3ats in my last 10 7* plays dating back to December 18th) The total opened up at 124.5 and has risen a point or more in a few different places. Arizona has consistently gone over 42-20-1 in their last 63 Thursday games. Tonight the Over falls under a few different trends that we really like. The total when teams (Arizona) win straight up and ats and go over the total for three straight games and are playing a conference team is 43-13. That is 76.8% in favor of the over and it dates back to the 2006 season. The aveage total scored under this trend is 146.8 points which is more than 20 points over the line that Vegas gives us. In another trend when a team (Arizona) goes over at home for 2 games while winning SU and ATS and are playing any opponent as favorites 3-6points the total is 30-12 since 2000 season with an average total average of 143.5pts. Any way you swing it you see the over hitting. Arizona is more than capable of scoring 80 points here against Oregon State. They are averaging 89.3ppg over their last 3 against opponnents who give up 53.2, 68.9, and 67.8. Oregon State gives up 63.4 points this year and 63.8 when at home. I see Arizona easily getting into the 70's here tonight which will force Oregon State to do the same. Take the Over 125 (7** Total of the Week)
Vegas Sports Experts
The VSE Thursday Hoops Power Plays are:
VSE Power Plays
10* Take Illinois (+3) over Wisconsin (NCAA Power Play)
Wisconsin
• 1-6 ATS in home games when the total posted is between 120 and 129.5 points
• 1-6 ATS coming off a conference game this season
• 0-6 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 8 days
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5* Take Philadelphia (-5) over Indiana (NBA Bonus Play)
Philadelphia
• 9-0 ATS when playing in February home games the last 2 seasons
• 2-0 SU & ATS when the total posted is greater than 200 points
• 2-0 SU & ATS coming off two or more consecutive home losses by 5 or more
Bonus Hoops & NHL Plays are:
3* Take Oregon State (+5.5) over Arizona (NCAA)
3* Take Washington (-300) over Los Angeles (NHL)
The VSE Thursday Hoops Power Plays are:
VSE Power Plays
10* Take Illinois (+3) over Wisconsin (NCAA Power Play)
Wisconsin
• 1-6 ATS in home games when the total posted is between 120 and 129.5 points
• 1-6 ATS coming off a conference game this season
• 0-6 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 8 days
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5* Take Philadelphia (-5) over Indiana (NBA Bonus Play)
Philadelphia
• 9-0 ATS when playing in February home games the last 2 seasons
• 2-0 SU & ATS when the total posted is greater than 200 points
• 2-0 SU & ATS coming off two or more consecutive home losses by 5 or more
Bonus Hoops & NHL Plays are:
3* Take Oregon State (+5.5) over Arizona (NCAA)
3* Take Washington (-300) over Los Angeles (NHL)
Winning Angle Plays for Thursday
NCAA
Play Florida Atlantic (+2.5) over New Orleans* (Top NCAA Play)
New Orleans has lost 12 of the last 15 games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have also lost 3 consecutive games vs. Florida Atlantic. New Orleans has lost 6 consecutive games against the spread after covering the spread in the last game.
Play Arizona State (-8) over Oregon* (Top NCAA Play)
Oregon has lost 9 consecutive games and they have also lost 12 of the last 13 games as an underdog. Oregon is allowing an average of 76 points a game on defense at home this season.
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NBA Hoops
Play Philadelphia (-5) over Indiana* (NBA Bonus Play)
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NHL
Play Washington (-300) over Los Angeles (NHL Bonus Play)
NCAA
Play Florida Atlantic (+2.5) over New Orleans* (Top NCAA Play)
New Orleans has lost 12 of the last 15 games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have also lost 3 consecutive games vs. Florida Atlantic. New Orleans has lost 6 consecutive games against the spread after covering the spread in the last game.
Play Arizona State (-8) over Oregon* (Top NCAA Play)
Oregon has lost 9 consecutive games and they have also lost 12 of the last 13 games as an underdog. Oregon is allowing an average of 76 points a game on defense at home this season.
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NBA Hoops
Play Philadelphia (-5) over Indiana* (NBA Bonus Play)
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NHL
Play Washington (-300) over Los Angeles (NHL Bonus Play)
Hey fellas check this out - remember that website roottowin.com, they are pawning this off as there Bonus Play. they are listing there millionaire play as a Bonus Play on his other website. i just dont know what to think of his millionaire pick now-
:think2:
Wayne Root
roottowin.com
Free Pick
Thursday, February 05, 2009
-Louisiana Tech (+13½) over Nevada
10:05 PM -- Lawlor Events Center
jim hurley inner circle
3*
Seton Hall (-5) over St Johns
9:00 PM -- Prudential Center
Seton Hall by 14-15
2*
Florida State (-8½) over Georgia Tech
7:00 PM -- Donald L. Tucker Center
2*
Portland (+10½) over Gonzaga
11:00 PM -- Chiles Center
rare 3 star play. was eyeballing all these plays prior to seeing any plays today. dont understand the hall line or the portland line. good luck.
1-1-1 last night unless you bought a half pt like i did on missouri st
added the lakers +7
NSA's Selection
CBB Washington @ California 10:30 20* Washington Pk
CBB Temple @ Xavier 7:00 10* Temple +8.5
CBB Rhode Island @ NC Charlotte 7:30 10* Rhode Island -2.5
CBB Arizona @ Oregon St 8:30 10* Oregon St +5.5
CBB Penn St @ Michigan 7:00 10* Penn St +4.5
NBA LA Lakers @ Boston 8:05 10* Boston -5.5
CBB Washington @ California 10:30 20* Washington Pk
CBB Temple @ Xavier 7:00 10* Temple +8.5
CBB Rhode Island @ NC Charlotte 7:30 10* Rhode Island -2.5
CBB Arizona @ Oregon St 8:30 10* Oregon St +5.5
CBB Penn St @ Michigan 7:00 10* Penn St +4.5
NBA LA Lakers @ Boston 8:05 10* Boston -5.5
ChicagoSportsConnection
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>NBA has been great , but can't find a solid play tonight....only three games scheduled.
Leans on PHIL,LAKERS & UTAH, but nothing official.
PHIL has lost a couple and should bounce back, but IND can score , and occasionally keep road games close.....this # (Phil-5) is too low and may be a trap.
LAKERS getting 7 seems too good to be true, but they played last night and BOST rested.
UTAH (-3) is the play, but I hate to bet a team that is without 2 of their top players (Kirilenko& Boozer).....Dallas will play their 3rd in 4 and beat PORT last night.
Let's just watch and learn in the NBA tonight.
*****************************************************
NCAAB
CLEVELAND ST -2 @ Ill-Chicago........8:00 EDT
ILL-CHIC (10-11) is really struggling.
.......2-8 ATS in L10
.......1-3 SU in L4 @ home.
.......and their best player...Josh Mayo....and another key player(G-Stewart) will not play or will be limited.
CLEV ST (15-8) is 12-5 ATS in their L17 lined games.
........10-6 ATS as a Favorite.
*******************************************
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>NBA has been great , but can't find a solid play tonight....only three games scheduled.
Leans on PHIL,LAKERS & UTAH, but nothing official.
PHIL has lost a couple and should bounce back, but IND can score , and occasionally keep road games close.....this # (Phil-5) is too low and may be a trap.
LAKERS getting 7 seems too good to be true, but they played last night and BOST rested.
UTAH (-3) is the play, but I hate to bet a team that is without 2 of their top players (Kirilenko& Boozer).....Dallas will play their 3rd in 4 and beat PORT last night.
Let's just watch and learn in the NBA tonight.
*****************************************************
NCAAB
CLEVELAND ST -2 @ Ill-Chicago........8:00 EDT
ILL-CHIC (10-11) is really struggling.
.......2-8 ATS in L10
.......1-3 SU in L4 @ home.
.......and their best player...Josh Mayo....and another key player(G-Stewart) will not play or will be limited.
CLEV ST (15-8) is 12-5 ATS in their L17 lined games.
........10-6 ATS as a Favorite.
*******************************************
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
vegas-runner | NBA Total
double-dime bet702 PHI / 701 IND OVER 215.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis: 2* NBA TOTAL
vegas-runner | NBA Total
double-dime bet704 BOS / 703 LAL OVER 205.5 BetUS
Analysis: 2* NBA
vegas-runner | NBA Sides
double-dime bet706 UTA -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 705 DAL
Analysis: 2* NBA
SO FAR...
double-dime bet702 PHI / 701 IND OVER 215.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis: 2* NBA TOTAL
vegas-runner | NBA Total
double-dime bet704 BOS / 703 LAL OVER 205.5 BetUS
Analysis: 2* NBA
vegas-runner | NBA Sides
double-dime bet706 UTA -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 705 DAL
Analysis: 2* NBA
SO FAR...
