Dr. Bob
Sunday College Opinion
ILLINOIS (-1) over Michigan State
Rotation #866 – 1 pm Pacific
Michigan State applies to a negative 24-72-1 ATS road letdown situation tonight and Illinois is 30-9 ATS in home games following a home victory (14-5 ATS under coach Bruce Weber), but my ratings favor the Spartans by a point in this game, so I’ll just lean with Illinois at -1 or better in this game. I’d take Illinois in a 2-Star Best Bet at +1 or more.
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one Sunday Best Bet.
Rotation #828 Kansas (-4) 3-Stars at -5 or less, 2-Stars at -5 1/2 or -6.
3 Star Selection
***KANSAS (-4) over Missouri
11:00 AM Pacific - Rotation 828
Missouri has beaten up on teams at home, but the Tigers have struggled away from home against quality teams, losing by 4 to Xavier and by 16 points to Illinois on neutral floors while dropping road games at Nebraska by 5 points and at Kansas State by 16 points. Missouri did win by 2 points at Oklahoma State and by 4 points at Texas, but their 6 games away from home against good teams have resulted in an average score of 70-76 and those games were 7 ½ points easier on average than this game at Kansas. Struggling on the road against decent teams is nothing new for the Tigers under coach Mike Anderson, whose team is 9-21 ATS in road or neutral games against teams with a win percentage of greater than .550, including 5-15 ATS if their opponent is coming off a win (1-5 ATS this season). Kansas coach Bill Self had an inexperienced team at the beginning of the season but the Jayhawks are much improved and playing at a consistently high level now. After an up and down November and December the Jayhawks are 12-1 straight up and 10-2-1 ATS in Big 12 play with their only loss being a 2 point spread covering loss at Missouri. Kansas applies to a decent 82-27-6 ATS home revenge situation at -5 or less and Missouri applies to a negative 16-55-2 ATS subset of a negative 74-153-9 ATS road letdown situation that is based on their long win streak. My ratings using all games for both teams this season would favor Kansas by 4 ½ points, but using only games for each team against quality opposition results in a prediction of Kansas by 7 points and using conference games only would favor the Jayhawks by 7 ½ points. I’ll take Kansas in a 3-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less and for 2-Stars at -5 ½ or -6 points.
Sunday College Opinion
ILLINOIS (-1) over Michigan State
Rotation #866 – 1 pm Pacific
Michigan State applies to a negative 24-72-1 ATS road letdown situation tonight and Illinois is 30-9 ATS in home games following a home victory (14-5 ATS under coach Bruce Weber), but my ratings favor the Spartans by a point in this game, so I’ll just lean with Illinois at -1 or better in this game. I’d take Illinois in a 2-Star Best Bet at +1 or more.
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one Sunday Best Bet.
Rotation #828 Kansas (-4) 3-Stars at -5 or less, 2-Stars at -5 1/2 or -6.
3 Star Selection
***KANSAS (-4) over Missouri
11:00 AM Pacific - Rotation 828
Missouri has beaten up on teams at home, but the Tigers have struggled away from home against quality teams, losing by 4 to Xavier and by 16 points to Illinois on neutral floors while dropping road games at Nebraska by 5 points and at Kansas State by 16 points. Missouri did win by 2 points at Oklahoma State and by 4 points at Texas, but their 6 games away from home against good teams have resulted in an average score of 70-76 and those games were 7 ½ points easier on average than this game at Kansas. Struggling on the road against decent teams is nothing new for the Tigers under coach Mike Anderson, whose team is 9-21 ATS in road or neutral games against teams with a win percentage of greater than .550, including 5-15 ATS if their opponent is coming off a win (1-5 ATS this season). Kansas coach Bill Self had an inexperienced team at the beginning of the season but the Jayhawks are much improved and playing at a consistently high level now. After an up and down November and December the Jayhawks are 12-1 straight up and 10-2-1 ATS in Big 12 play with their only loss being a 2 point spread covering loss at Missouri. Kansas applies to a decent 82-27-6 ATS home revenge situation at -5 or less and Missouri applies to a negative 16-55-2 ATS subset of a negative 74-153-9 ATS road letdown situation that is based on their long win streak. My ratings using all games for both teams this season would favor Kansas by 4 ½ points, but using only games for each team against quality opposition results in a prediction of Kansas by 7 points and using conference games only would favor the Jayhawks by 7 ½ points. I’ll take Kansas in a 3-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less and for 2-Stars at -5 ½ or -6 points.
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Ferringo for Sunday. Went 8-9 yesterday.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #823 Bowling Green (+10.5) over Akron (Noon, Sunday, March 1)
3-Unit Play. Take #831 Cincinnati (+8.5) over Syracuse (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #857 Siena (-8) over Canisius (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #866 Illinois (-1) over Michigan State (4 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
Today's Teasers
We were really sharp with these yesterday and they were one of the bright spots. However, as always, we will honor your record without these teasers. Meaning, if I have a losing day with my straight picks (above) and you have a one-day package then we'll honor that. That said, I have been tearing it up with these teaser plays over the last two months and my job is to make you money, by any means necessary.
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #844 South Florida (+16) over West Virginia (4 p.m.) AND Take #856 Rider (-0.5) over Fairfield (2 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #831 Cincinnati (+13.5) over Syracuse (2 p.m.) AND Take #857 Siena (-3) over Canisius (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #859 Loyola-Md. (+12.5) over Iona (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1) AND Take #820 Wisconsin (-3) over Michigan (1 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
That's it for today. I also have leans on N.C. State and on Manhattan.
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1.5-Unit Play. Take #823 Bowling Green (+10.5) over Akron (Noon, Sunday, March 1)
3-Unit Play. Take #831 Cincinnati (+8.5) over Syracuse (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #857 Siena (-8) over Canisius (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #866 Illinois (-1) over Michigan State (4 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
Today's Teasers
We were really sharp with these yesterday and they were one of the bright spots. However, as always, we will honor your record without these teasers. Meaning, if I have a losing day with my straight picks (above) and you have a one-day package then we'll honor that. That said, I have been tearing it up with these teaser plays over the last two months and my job is to make you money, by any means necessary.
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #844 South Florida (+16) over West Virginia (4 p.m.) AND Take #856 Rider (-0.5) over Fairfield (2 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #831 Cincinnati (+13.5) over Syracuse (2 p.m.) AND Take #857 Siena (-3) over Canisius (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #859 Loyola-Md. (+12.5) over Iona (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1) AND Take #820 Wisconsin (-3) over Michigan (1 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
That's it for today. I also have leans on N.C. State and on Manhattan.
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Yankee Comps
TODAY'S Bonus Plays
NBA
Boston Celtics -8.5
LA Lakers -4
Denver Nuggets -2
Denver/Indiana Over 215.5
NCAA Hoops
Kansas -4.5
Miami-OH -5
NHL
Pittsburgh Penguins +115
TODAY'S Bonus Plays
NBA
Boston Celtics -8.5
LA Lakers -4
Denver Nuggets -2
Denver/Indiana Over 215.5
NCAA Hoops
Kansas -4.5
Miami-OH -5
NHL
Pittsburgh Penguins +115
Stu's 100 Dime Sunday College Hoops Trio Game #1 (SF1)
Marquette at Lousiville (-8') - Noon EST
Everyone knows what a huge loss it was for Marquette to lose senior point guard Dominic James to a season-ending foot injury last game. Rick Pitino and the Cardinals know, too, but with a chance to still win the Big East, the Cards aren't going to show any mercy today in pounding the Golden Eagles. Yes, Marquette still has some heady players and scorers, but James was the key. Second in the Big East in assist-to-turnover ratio and the team's best on-ball defender, James is not replaceable and will be surly missed against the Cards' relentless pressure defense. Undersized Marquette (no one taller than 6-foot-8 center Dwight Burke) will not have an answer inside for the Cards, who have won and covered four straight and are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS in league games this year. Marquette has not been an oustanding road team (lost by 18 at Nova, lost outright at S. Florida) and are 1-5 ATS in their last six overall. They're also 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three versus Louisville including a 20-point loss at Freedom Hall last year. Terrence Williams, Earl Clark and the rest of the Cards roll today.
LOUISVILLE (-8') 100 Dimes
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Stu's 100 Dime Sunday College Hoops Trio Game #2 (SF2)
Fairfield at Rider (-6) - 2 p.m. EST
It's Senior Day and the three senior Broncs will not disappoint as Rider (6-2 SU and 7-4 ATS runs) will win going away against this roster-depleted Stags team that is just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in its last five games. Fairfield has endured a season of injuries, ilness and suspensions and again will have a small bench (suspended guard Jonathan Han has ben a big loss). This team is just 1-3 SU/ATS its last four on the road and has dropped four of the last five meetings straight-up against Rider including a 66-49 home setback this year and a 29-point loss on the Broncs' home court a year ago. The Stags are only 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS as a dog this year. Rider routed the Stags on Senior Day last year and with five players averaging double figures scoring, it will more of the same today as the Broncs cruise.
RIDER (-6) 100 Dimes
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Stu's 100 Dime Sunday College Hoops Trio Game #3 (SF3)
Georgia (+9) at Arkansas - 4:05 p.m. EST
For a team that has dropped eight straight on the scoreboard and 12 of its last 13, this is just way too many points to cover. Arkansas doesn't even have a senior on its roster and in fact starts three freshmen. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs start a pair of seniors, including guard Terrance Woodbury who was in the starting lineup last March when the Dawgs defeated the Hogs in Atlanta in the SEC Tournament championship game. This two teams are world's away from that game, but I do like how hard the Dawgs have been playing under interim Pete Herrmann. They've won two of their last four games with impressive home wins over Florida and Vandy and now they're ready to do some damage in Fayetteville, where they've won four of their last five. They've played tough at Alabama and South Carolina, they're getting much improved play from new starting point guard from Dustin Ware and they've won and covered three straight over Arkansas. The Hogs may well eke out a win today, but no way they cover this inflated price today.
GEORGIA (+9) 100 Dimes
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Tony Smith's 100* ACC VIP Winner
Maryland (144') at North Carolina State (-4) - 7:30, EST
Tony's 100* ACC VIP Winner is....
North Carolina State (-4) 100* VIP Winner
King's Sunday 10 Dime College Hoops Trio (BK2)
Marquette (145') at Louisville (-9) - Noon, ET
Brian King's 10 Dime College Hoops Winner #1 is...
Louisville (-9) 10 Dimes
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Missouri (150) at Kansas (-4') - 2:00, ET
Brian King's 10 Dime College Hoops Winner #2 is....
Missouri (+4') 10 Dimes
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Cincinnati () at Syracuse (-8') - 2:00, ET
Brian King's 10 Dime College Hoops Winner #3 is...
Syracuse (-8') 10 Dimes
Howie's 100 Dime NBA Godfather Winner
Utah Jazz (226') at Golden State Warriors (+5) - 9:05, EST
Howie's 100 Dime NBA Godfather Winner is....
Utah Jazz (-5) 100 Dime Godfather Winner<!-- / message -->
Marquette at Lousiville (-8') - Noon EST
Everyone knows what a huge loss it was for Marquette to lose senior point guard Dominic James to a season-ending foot injury last game. Rick Pitino and the Cardinals know, too, but with a chance to still win the Big East, the Cards aren't going to show any mercy today in pounding the Golden Eagles. Yes, Marquette still has some heady players and scorers, but James was the key. Second in the Big East in assist-to-turnover ratio and the team's best on-ball defender, James is not replaceable and will be surly missed against the Cards' relentless pressure defense. Undersized Marquette (no one taller than 6-foot-8 center Dwight Burke) will not have an answer inside for the Cards, who have won and covered four straight and are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS in league games this year. Marquette has not been an oustanding road team (lost by 18 at Nova, lost outright at S. Florida) and are 1-5 ATS in their last six overall. They're also 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three versus Louisville including a 20-point loss at Freedom Hall last year. Terrence Williams, Earl Clark and the rest of the Cards roll today.
LOUISVILLE (-8') 100 Dimes
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Stu's 100 Dime Sunday College Hoops Trio Game #2 (SF2)
Fairfield at Rider (-6) - 2 p.m. EST
It's Senior Day and the three senior Broncs will not disappoint as Rider (6-2 SU and 7-4 ATS runs) will win going away against this roster-depleted Stags team that is just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in its last five games. Fairfield has endured a season of injuries, ilness and suspensions and again will have a small bench (suspended guard Jonathan Han has ben a big loss). This team is just 1-3 SU/ATS its last four on the road and has dropped four of the last five meetings straight-up against Rider including a 66-49 home setback this year and a 29-point loss on the Broncs' home court a year ago. The Stags are only 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS as a dog this year. Rider routed the Stags on Senior Day last year and with five players averaging double figures scoring, it will more of the same today as the Broncs cruise.
RIDER (-6) 100 Dimes
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Stu's 100 Dime Sunday College Hoops Trio Game #3 (SF3)
Georgia (+9) at Arkansas - 4:05 p.m. EST
For a team that has dropped eight straight on the scoreboard and 12 of its last 13, this is just way too many points to cover. Arkansas doesn't even have a senior on its roster and in fact starts three freshmen. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs start a pair of seniors, including guard Terrance Woodbury who was in the starting lineup last March when the Dawgs defeated the Hogs in Atlanta in the SEC Tournament championship game. This two teams are world's away from that game, but I do like how hard the Dawgs have been playing under interim Pete Herrmann. They've won two of their last four games with impressive home wins over Florida and Vandy and now they're ready to do some damage in Fayetteville, where they've won four of their last five. They've played tough at Alabama and South Carolina, they're getting much improved play from new starting point guard from Dustin Ware and they've won and covered three straight over Arkansas. The Hogs may well eke out a win today, but no way they cover this inflated price today.
GEORGIA (+9) 100 Dimes
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Tony Smith's 100* ACC VIP Winner
Maryland (144') at North Carolina State (-4) - 7:30, EST
Tony's 100* ACC VIP Winner is....
North Carolina State (-4) 100* VIP Winner
King's Sunday 10 Dime College Hoops Trio (BK2)
Marquette (145') at Louisville (-9) - Noon, ET
Brian King's 10 Dime College Hoops Winner #1 is...
Louisville (-9) 10 Dimes
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Missouri (150) at Kansas (-4') - 2:00, ET
Brian King's 10 Dime College Hoops Winner #2 is....
Missouri (+4') 10 Dimes
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Cincinnati () at Syracuse (-8') - 2:00, ET
Brian King's 10 Dime College Hoops Winner #3 is...
Syracuse (-8') 10 Dimes
Howie's 100 Dime NBA Godfather Winner
Utah Jazz (226') at Golden State Warriors (+5) - 9:05, EST
Howie's 100 Dime NBA Godfather Winner is....
Utah Jazz (-5) 100 Dime Godfather Winner<!-- / message -->
