Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks - Sunday March 1, 2009 8:05 pm
Pick: 2 units ATS: Atlanta Hawks +3.5 (-110)
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Atlanta Hawks as they host the Cleveladn Cavaliers slated to start at 8:05 EST and can be seen on ESPN. Upset in the making here as the AiS shows a 70% probability that Atlanta will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and also has a 54% probability of victorious the game. Atlanta is 6-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Look for Atlanta to get off to a fast start and as a result I like a small 1.5* unit play on the first half line. Here is a supporting system that has gone 58-23 for 72% victories since 1996. Play on home dogs of 2 to 3.5 points versus the first half line after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, with a victorious record on the season playing another victorious team. Take Atlanta.
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Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks - Sunday March 1, 2009 8:05 pm
Pick: 2 units ATS: Atlanta Hawks +3.5 (-110)
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Atlanta Hawks as they host the Cleveladn Cavaliers slated to start at 8:05 EST and can be seen on ESPN. Upset in the making here as the AiS shows a 70% probability that Atlanta will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and also has a 54% probability of victorious the game. Atlanta is 6-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Look for Atlanta to get off to a fast start and as a result I like a small 1.5* unit play on the first half line. Here is a supporting system that has gone 58-23 for 72% victories since 1996. Play on home dogs of 2 to 3.5 points versus the first half line after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, with a victorious record on the season playing another victorious team. Take Atlanta.
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Wunderdog NCAA (3-4) -3.9 units Sat.
Pick: 3 units on Loyola Maryland +7.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The regular season finale for both of these teams features the Gaels favored by 7.5 points. Are they worthy of that? Given their 7-10 mark in conference play, and 3-5 ATS record at home, I don't think so. This team has lost seven of their last night games and is 1-4 in their last five games, scoring just 56 points per game. Yes, the Greyhounds are also playing quite badly, but they are not being asked to cover a large number here - they are getting the points. Loyola is 14-2 ATS the past three seasons on the road vs. a losing opponent. Iona is just 1-7 ATS this seeason vs. teams with a record of .400 or worse. Only one way to go in this one.
Game: Cincinnati at Syracuse (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Syracuse -405 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 146 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The Bearcats need a win here to keep hope alive for an NCAA Tournament bid. But I don't think they get it. They are just 3-4 on the road this season vs. conference opponents and 4-6 overall. The Orange are 15-3 at home this season and they are averaging 14 points per game more at home than does Cincy on the road. I expect the Bearcats to again struggle to score here. They are 7-3 UNDER on the road this season. I like Cuse and the UNDER here.
Game: Providence at Rutgers (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 146 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
Providence hasn't played since thier huge win over #1 Pittsburgh. How can this game not be a let down after that? And letdowns usually affect offense more than defense. Their offense takes a huge hit on the road as it is, averaging about 10 points fewer than at home. Rutgers can play defense, especially at home where they allow just 64.2 ppg on the season. In conference games, the Scarlet Knights are getting just 63.3 points per game. I like this game to go UNDER the total.
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Pick: 3 units on Loyola Maryland +7.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The regular season finale for both of these teams features the Gaels favored by 7.5 points. Are they worthy of that? Given their 7-10 mark in conference play, and 3-5 ATS record at home, I don't think so. This team has lost seven of their last night games and is 1-4 in their last five games, scoring just 56 points per game. Yes, the Greyhounds are also playing quite badly, but they are not being asked to cover a large number here - they are getting the points. Loyola is 14-2 ATS the past three seasons on the road vs. a losing opponent. Iona is just 1-7 ATS this seeason vs. teams with a record of .400 or worse. Only one way to go in this one.
Game: Cincinnati at Syracuse (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Syracuse -405 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 146 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The Bearcats need a win here to keep hope alive for an NCAA Tournament bid. But I don't think they get it. They are just 3-4 on the road this season vs. conference opponents and 4-6 overall. The Orange are 15-3 at home this season and they are averaging 14 points per game more at home than does Cincy on the road. I expect the Bearcats to again struggle to score here. They are 7-3 UNDER on the road this season. I like Cuse and the UNDER here.
Game: Providence at Rutgers (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 146 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
Providence hasn't played since thier huge win over #1 Pittsburgh. How can this game not be a let down after that? And letdowns usually affect offense more than defense. Their offense takes a huge hit on the road as it is, averaging about 10 points fewer than at home. Rutgers can play defense, especially at home where they allow just 64.2 ppg on the season. In conference games, the Scarlet Knights are getting just 63.3 points per game. I like this game to go UNDER the total.
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