BONES BEST BET (MLB)
DODGERS RL (-1.5) +100 *3*
Let’s discuss how bad Cahill is – ESPECIALLY against the Dodgers. Cahill owns a 1.61 WHIP and a 5.06 ERA on the season and a 2.20 WHIP and a 7.24 ERA over his last 3 starts. Now against the Dodgers this season Cahill has been unbelievably bad. He has made 3 starts against the Dodgers this season giving up no less than 5 ER and has gone no deeper than 4IP. In those 3 starts he has an ERA of 13.78, a WHIP of 2.79 and is clearly 0-3 against the Dodgers this season. Now match that up with Greinke who has been lights out this season with his typical sub 3 ERA and low 1′s WHIP and we love the Dodgers here.
MARINERS ML + MARINERS / RANGERS UNDER 8.5 +208 *2*
The Mariners are winners of 5 straight while the Rangers are losers of 8 in a row. This pitching matchup is pretty great with Paxton vs Holland. Paxton in 47 innings this season owns a 1.08 WHIP and a 1.91 ERA. Holland has only made one start since coming back from injury but it was a 7 inning 1 run gem. Last season against the Mariners, Holland allowed just 5 ER through 4 games and 25.2 innings pitched – incredible numbers. Difference being that these aren’t the same Mariners and Holland certainly will not have the dynamic offense behind him that he did last year. We do think these pitchers keep this total very low and the better team earns the win.
ASTROS ML + ASTROS / ATHLETICS UNDER 7.5 +368 *2*
The Astros are actually red hot having won 7 of 10 overall – and put their best pitcher on the mound today – plenty of value here. Keuchel has been great this season with a 1.19 WHIP and a 3.03 ERA. In 3 starts against Oakland this year he owns an ERA of just 2.03 having allowed only 5 ER through 22.1 innings. Hammel has been better for Oakland of late, which is why we like the under – however the Astros did rough him up in an A’s uniform already. This is a big value parlay here!
ANGELS ML + ANGELS / TWINS OVER 9 +202 *2*
The Angels have won 8 of 10 overall and seen the over in 5 of their last 6 games. The Angels have seen an average of 10.20 runs per game over their past 5, while the Twins have seen 11.80! The pitching matchup suggests big numbers with Wilson vs Darnell. CJ Wilson owns a 1.45 WHIP and a 4.66 ERA this season – but owns much worse stats of late with a 1.76 WHIP and a 5.28 ERA over his past 3 starts. Logan Darnell has made two starts and they have both been a train-wreck going a combined 9 innings with a WHIP of 2.22 and an ERA of 11.00. Expect this Angels offense to be all over Darnell.
BRAVES ML + BRAVES/MARLINS UNDER 7.5 +209 *2*
The Braves have only went over 7.5 in 2 of 10 games and the Marlins in 4 of 10. Teheran has a 1.08 WHIP and ERA under 3.00 this year. The Braves are 17-12 when he starts and they are 10-16 o/u. The Marlins are only 4-8 when Hand starts this year and the Braves hit lefties better than righties.
DODGERS RL (-1.5) +100 *3*
Let’s discuss how bad Cahill is – ESPECIALLY against the Dodgers. Cahill owns a 1.61 WHIP and a 5.06 ERA on the season and a 2.20 WHIP and a 7.24 ERA over his last 3 starts. Now against the Dodgers this season Cahill has been unbelievably bad. He has made 3 starts against the Dodgers this season giving up no less than 5 ER and has gone no deeper than 4IP. In those 3 starts he has an ERA of 13.78, a WHIP of 2.79 and is clearly 0-3 against the Dodgers this season. Now match that up with Greinke who has been lights out this season with his typical sub 3 ERA and low 1′s WHIP and we love the Dodgers here.
MARINERS ML + MARINERS / RANGERS UNDER 8.5 +208 *2*
The Mariners are winners of 5 straight while the Rangers are losers of 8 in a row. This pitching matchup is pretty great with Paxton vs Holland. Paxton in 47 innings this season owns a 1.08 WHIP and a 1.91 ERA. Holland has only made one start since coming back from injury but it was a 7 inning 1 run gem. Last season against the Mariners, Holland allowed just 5 ER through 4 games and 25.2 innings pitched – incredible numbers. Difference being that these aren’t the same Mariners and Holland certainly will not have the dynamic offense behind him that he did last year. We do think these pitchers keep this total very low and the better team earns the win.
ASTROS ML + ASTROS / ATHLETICS UNDER 7.5 +368 *2*
The Astros are actually red hot having won 7 of 10 overall – and put their best pitcher on the mound today – plenty of value here. Keuchel has been great this season with a 1.19 WHIP and a 3.03 ERA. In 3 starts against Oakland this year he owns an ERA of just 2.03 having allowed only 5 ER through 22.1 innings. Hammel has been better for Oakland of late, which is why we like the under – however the Astros did rough him up in an A’s uniform already. This is a big value parlay here!
ANGELS ML + ANGELS / TWINS OVER 9 +202 *2*
The Angels have won 8 of 10 overall and seen the over in 5 of their last 6 games. The Angels have seen an average of 10.20 runs per game over their past 5, while the Twins have seen 11.80! The pitching matchup suggests big numbers with Wilson vs Darnell. CJ Wilson owns a 1.45 WHIP and a 4.66 ERA this season – but owns much worse stats of late with a 1.76 WHIP and a 5.28 ERA over his past 3 starts. Logan Darnell has made two starts and they have both been a train-wreck going a combined 9 innings with a WHIP of 2.22 and an ERA of 11.00. Expect this Angels offense to be all over Darnell.
BRAVES ML + BRAVES/MARLINS UNDER 7.5 +209 *2*
The Braves have only went over 7.5 in 2 of 10 games and the Marlins in 4 of 10. Teheran has a 1.08 WHIP and ERA under 3.00 this year. The Braves are 17-12 when he starts and they are 10-16 o/u. The Marlins are only 4-8 when Hand starts this year and the Braves hit lefties better than righties.
BONES BETS BET
NINERS @ COWBOYS – OVER 50 -110 *6* BEST BET
Absolutely LOVE this total! The Cowboys 2014 defense may go down as the worst defense in the history of the NFL when all said and done. They were absolute garbage last year and are now missing Ware, Lee, and Scandrick. The Niners defense which is known to be one of the best in the league will also have serious holes in the first month of the season as they will be without Smith, Bowman and Dorsey. In the 2013 season, the 49ers scored 31+ points 8 times. The Cowboys on the other hand allowed 31+ points 7 times. Week 1 sometimes scares over bettors away as they can be under the belief that teams come out slow…week 1 last year the Cowboys beat the Giants 36-31 and the Niners went into Lambeau and knocked off the Packers 34-28.
NINERS @ COWBOYS – OVER 50 -110 *6* BEST BET
Absolutely LOVE this total! The Cowboys 2014 defense may go down as the worst defense in the history of the NFL when all said and done. They were absolute garbage last year and are now missing Ware, Lee, and Scandrick. The Niners defense which is known to be one of the best in the league will also have serious holes in the first month of the season as they will be without Smith, Bowman and Dorsey. In the 2013 season, the 49ers scored 31+ points 8 times. The Cowboys on the other hand allowed 31+ points 7 times. Week 1 sometimes scares over bettors away as they can be under the belief that teams come out slow…week 1 last year the Cowboys beat the Giants 36-31 and the Niners went into Lambeau and knocked off the Packers 34-28.
Hopefully you guys are learning your lesson it's only the first week so there is still plenty of time to make up for this weekend. Going through the thread I notice that one service had an extremely good day and no I'm with this service or whatever that word is the forums use for guys http try and promote a service. Like I said I was just going through the day to see who did what and found these guys were on top of the list..
Diamond Dog Sports
#902: Marlins: +135 (3.5*) WINNER (OUTRIGHT)
Listed Pitchers: Teheran/Hand
#926: Rangers: +130 (1.5*) WINNER (OUTRIGHT)
Listed Pitchers: Paxton/Holland
#907/908: Cardinals/Brewers: Over 7.5 (-110) (2.5*) WINNER
Listed Pitchers: Wainwright/Nelson
#929/930: Giants/Tigers: Over 8.5 (-110) (2.5*) PENDING
Listed Pitchers: Hudson/Lobstein
Added Plays
#469/470: Jaguars/Eagles: Over 51.5 (-110) (0.5*) WINNER
#475: Bills: +7.5 (-130) (1*) WINNER (OUTRIGHT)
Game of the Day: Colts at Broncos
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-8.5, 54)
One of the main reasons Peyton Manning wound up in Denver will be on the opposing sideline when the Broncos kick off their season with a prime-time matchup against Andrew Luck and the visiting Indianapolis Colts on Sunday night. Manning has restored the luster to Denver after he was released in 2012 following neck surgery that caused him to miss the previous season. The league's only five-time MVP led the Broncos to consecutive 13-3 campaigns and a Super Bowl berth last season.
Luck has lived up to his billing as the No. 1 overall pick, guiding Indianapolis to back-to-back 11-win seasons and a pair of postseason appearances, but he dismisses talk of being mentioned as a worthy successor to Manning. "To be honest, even since Day 1 here, it hasn't been an issue. I never came in saying, 'Oh, I have to replace a legend, one of the greatest of all-time,'" Luck said. Colts owner Jim Irsay, who made the decision to jettison Manning in order to draft Luck, will not be in attendance as he serves the first contest of a six-game suspension for violating the league's personal-conduct policy.
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.
LINE HISTORY: The Westgate LV Superbook opened the Broncos as 7-point home faves back in July, but that has moved to -8.5. The book opened the total at 55.5, which moved to 56 briefly, before down to 54.
INJURY REPORT: Colts - WR Reggie Wayne (Probable, knee), LB Erik Walden (Questionable, abdominal), LB Robert Mathis (Eligibible Week 5, suspension). Broncos - WR Wes Welker (Eligible Week 6,
suspension).
WEATHER REPORT: Forecasts call for temperatures in the low-80s and high-70s and a 10 percent chance of rain throughout the game. Wind will blow toward the north endzone at 4 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Colts (+2.25) + Broncos (-3.5) + home field (-3.0) = Broncos -8.75
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Colts are ranked as low as they are because they have been outgained in yardage each of the last two years but an easy schedule can reverse that. Indianapolis is 0-6 ATS in their last six season openers but has covered six straight vs. Denver. Peyton Manning will be out for revenge after losing to his former team last season. Denver is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points, while going 8-0 Over first 8 games last season." Covers Expert Matt Fargo
ABOUT THE COLTS (2013: 11-5, 10-6 ATS, 8-8 O/U, 1st AFC South): Luck has tossed 23 scoring passes in each of his first two years and added to his burgeoning legend as the master of the comeback by rallying Indianapolis from 28 points down in a playoff victory over Kansas City last season. He will have a potent receiving corps with the signing of Hakeem Nicks and the return from injury of veteran Reggie Wayne to join T.Y. Hilton, who blossomed last season with 82 catches for 1,083 yards. The Colts made a bold move last season by trading a No. 1 draft pick for running back Trent Richardson, but he flamed out and averaged only 2.9 yards per carry. Indy's defense will face an added burden against Manning due to the absence of linebacker Robert Mathis, who is serving a four-game suspension after leading the league with 19.5 sacks last season.
ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2013: 13-3, 10-5-1 ATS, 11-5 O/U, 1st AFC West): Denver was a juggernaut last season, becoming the first team in league history to feature five players with at least 10 touchdowns and setting an NFL record with 606 points. Manning shattered single-season league marks with 55 touchdown passes and 5,477 yards, but he'll have to get used to a different cast of characters with the free-agent departures of wide receiver Eric Decker and running back Knowshon Moreno along with a four-game suspension to wideout Wes Welker for violating the substance-abuse policy. The cupboard is hardly bare, with Demaryius Thomas coming off consecutive 1,400-yard receiving seasons and tight end Julius Thomas hauling in 12 TD passes. Montee Ball takes over for Moreno but the biggest changes come on defense with the additions of sack specialist DeMarcus Ware and cornerbacks Aqib Talib and T.J. Ward.
TRENDS:
* Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Colts are 0-6 ATS in their last six games in Week 1.
* Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games in September.
COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, 61.68 percent of wagers are backing the Broncos.
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-8.5, 54)
One of the main reasons Peyton Manning wound up in Denver will be on the opposing sideline when the Broncos kick off their season with a prime-time matchup against Andrew Luck and the visiting Indianapolis Colts on Sunday night. Manning has restored the luster to Denver after he was released in 2012 following neck surgery that caused him to miss the previous season. The league's only five-time MVP led the Broncos to consecutive 13-3 campaigns and a Super Bowl berth last season.
Luck has lived up to his billing as the No. 1 overall pick, guiding Indianapolis to back-to-back 11-win seasons and a pair of postseason appearances, but he dismisses talk of being mentioned as a worthy successor to Manning. "To be honest, even since Day 1 here, it hasn't been an issue. I never came in saying, 'Oh, I have to replace a legend, one of the greatest of all-time,'" Luck said. Colts owner Jim Irsay, who made the decision to jettison Manning in order to draft Luck, will not be in attendance as he serves the first contest of a six-game suspension for violating the league's personal-conduct policy.
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.
LINE HISTORY: The Westgate LV Superbook opened the Broncos as 7-point home faves back in July, but that has moved to -8.5. The book opened the total at 55.5, which moved to 56 briefly, before down to 54.
INJURY REPORT: Colts - WR Reggie Wayne (Probable, knee), LB Erik Walden (Questionable, abdominal), LB Robert Mathis (Eligibible Week 5, suspension). Broncos - WR Wes Welker (Eligible Week 6,
suspension).
WEATHER REPORT: Forecasts call for temperatures in the low-80s and high-70s and a 10 percent chance of rain throughout the game. Wind will blow toward the north endzone at 4 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Colts (+2.25) + Broncos (-3.5) + home field (-3.0) = Broncos -8.75
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Colts are ranked as low as they are because they have been outgained in yardage each of the last two years but an easy schedule can reverse that. Indianapolis is 0-6 ATS in their last six season openers but has covered six straight vs. Denver. Peyton Manning will be out for revenge after losing to his former team last season. Denver is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points, while going 8-0 Over first 8 games last season." Covers Expert Matt Fargo
ABOUT THE COLTS (2013: 11-5, 10-6 ATS, 8-8 O/U, 1st AFC South): Luck has tossed 23 scoring passes in each of his first two years and added to his burgeoning legend as the master of the comeback by rallying Indianapolis from 28 points down in a playoff victory over Kansas City last season. He will have a potent receiving corps with the signing of Hakeem Nicks and the return from injury of veteran Reggie Wayne to join T.Y. Hilton, who blossomed last season with 82 catches for 1,083 yards. The Colts made a bold move last season by trading a No. 1 draft pick for running back Trent Richardson, but he flamed out and averaged only 2.9 yards per carry. Indy's defense will face an added burden against Manning due to the absence of linebacker Robert Mathis, who is serving a four-game suspension after leading the league with 19.5 sacks last season.
ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2013: 13-3, 10-5-1 ATS, 11-5 O/U, 1st AFC West): Denver was a juggernaut last season, becoming the first team in league history to feature five players with at least 10 touchdowns and setting an NFL record with 606 points. Manning shattered single-season league marks with 55 touchdown passes and 5,477 yards, but he'll have to get used to a different cast of characters with the free-agent departures of wide receiver Eric Decker and running back Knowshon Moreno along with a four-game suspension to wideout Wes Welker for violating the substance-abuse policy. The cupboard is hardly bare, with Demaryius Thomas coming off consecutive 1,400-yard receiving seasons and tight end Julius Thomas hauling in 12 TD passes. Montee Ball takes over for Moreno but the biggest changes come on defense with the additions of sack specialist DeMarcus Ware and cornerbacks Aqib Talib and T.J. Ward.
TRENDS:
* Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Colts are 0-6 ATS in their last six games in Week 1.
* Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games in September.
COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, 61.68 percent of wagers are backing the Broncos.
INDIANAPOLIS (12 - 6) at DENVER (15 - 4) - 9/7/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
