Service Plays Sunday 9/7/14

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Colts @ Broncos-- Denver was 6-0 LY before losing 39-33 at Indy in Week 7; they had 12 penalties, three turnovers (-2) and ran for just 64 yards in game they trailed 26-14 at half. Colts had 11-yard edge in field position; only one of their four TD’s was on drive longer than 50 yards. Indy lost three of last four road openers, with all three losses by 10+ points; the last six years, they’re 0-6 vs. spread in Week 1 games. Manning is 9-5 vs spread in home openers; Denver is 22-3 SU in last 25 home openers, covering four of last five; this figures to be emotional day, with declining health of Bronco owner Bowlen. Over is 5-1-1 in Denver’s last seven Mile High openers.
 
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8:30 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 8 games when playing Denver
Denver is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
 
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•Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos (-7.5, Over/Under 55.5)
Colts’ Denver Domination vs. Broncos’ Kicker Conundrum

This Sunday Night Football matchup will likely play banker to most books on the first Sunday of the season, meaning there’s going to be a ton of money funneling into this primetime finale. And that loot will likely ride on the foot of Broncos seat-filler Brandon McManus, who is holding down the kicker spot with stud leg Matt Prater serving a four-game suspension. McManus has been collecting dust since booting for Temple in 2012 and could face some less than ideal kicking conditions at Mile High (chance of thunderstorms Sunday night).

The Colts have won and covered in six-straight meetings with the Broncos, including a tight 39-33 victory at home last season. Indianapolis’ defense was able to get to Peyton Manning four times in that game, forced four fumbles – recovering two – and grabbed one interception, leaving Prater to be called upon for two field goals. Colts opponents connected on just 78.79 percent of their field goal attempts in 2013 – a strange but convenient stat – and blocked a field goal for a 61-yard TD return in their win over Seattle. Indianapolis is known for nail bitters and with that half-point hook on the spread, a single missed field goal from McManus could spell doom for Denver backers.
 
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•Indianapolis Colts (2013: 12-6 SU, 11-7 ATS) - Indianapolis had back-to-back fortunate years and regression has to set in soon. Seven of their wins came by single digits last season. The Colts defense was good against the bad teams, but awful against the good teams, so they need to make improvements if they want to go forward. Despite their 23 wins over the last two seasons, the Colts will likely regress in 2014.

•Denver Broncos (2013: 13-3 SU, 10-5-1 ATS) - At the age of 38, just two years after a potential career ending neck injury, Peyton Manning may be just one hit away from retirement. An injury to Manning would likely be devastating for the Broncos, who don’t have an experienced backup. Manning isn’t the only veteran that could be considered an injury risk, Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware are both coming off injuries, Ware is 32 years old and Miller has yet to play this preseason.
 
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•Colts @ Broncos-- Denver was 6-0 last year before losing 39-33 at Indianapolis in Week #7; they had 12 penalties, three turnovers (-2) and ran for just 64 yards in game they trailed 26-14 at half. Colts had 11-yard edge in field position; only one of their four touchdowns was on drive longer than 50 yards. Colts lost three of last four road openers, with all three losses by 10+ points; the last six years, they’re 0-6 versus spread in Week #1 games. Manning is 9-5 versus spread in home openers; Denver is 22-3 straight-up in last 25 home openers, covering four of last five; this figures to be emotional day, with declining health of Bronco owner Bowlen. Over is 5-1-1 in Denver’s last seven Mile High openers.
 
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NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 1
By JASON LOGAN

Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-7.5, 55)

Colts’ Denver domination vs. Broncos’ kicker conundrum

This Sunday Night Football matchup will likely play banker to most books on the first Sunday of the season, meaning there’s going to be a ton of money funneling into this primetime finale. And that loot will likely ride on the foot of Broncos seat-filler Brandon McManus, who is holding down the kicker spot with stud leg Matt Prater serving a four-game suspension. McManus has been collecting dust since booting for Temple in 2012 and could face some less than ideal kicking conditions at Mile High (chance of thunderstorms Sunday night).

The Colts have won and covered in six-straight meetings with the Broncos, including a tight 39-33 victory at home last season. Indianapolis’ defense was able to get to Peyton Manning four times in that game, forced four fumbles – recovering two – and grabbed one interception, leaving Prater to be called upon for two field goals. Colts opponents connected on just 78.79 percent of their field goal attempts in 2013 – a strange but convenient stat – and blocked a field goal for a 61-yard TD return in their win over Seattle. Indianapolis is known for nail bitters and with that half-point hook on the spread, a single missed field goal from McManus could spell doom for Denver backers.
 
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SNF - Colts at Broncos

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at DENVER BRONCOS
Line & Total: Denver -8 & 56

The Broncos’ road to Super Bowl redemption begins with a Sunday night showdown against the Colts in Week 1.

The 2013 regular season ended with Denver Broncos atop the AFC West and tied for the league’s best record at 13-3. Peyton Manning led his team to the Super Bowl, but the game didn’t play out the way they thought it would. Denver was beat down 43-8 by the Seahawks and that loss resulted in plenty of offseason changes.

The Indianapolis Colts, on the other hand, just have their goals set on continuing to improve behind their franchise QB Andrew Luck. They should be able to win the AFC South again this season, regardless of whether or not they improve on their 11-5 record from a year ago.

The last time these teams met 11 months ago, the Colts spoiled Manning's return to Indy by defeating the Broncos 39-33 as 6.5-point underdogs in Indianapolis. That win improved the Colts to 9-3 (SU and ATS) when playing the Broncos since 1992. But John Fox is 16-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 point as the coach of Denver.

One key player for each team in this game is suspended -- OLB Robert Mathis for Indy and WR Wes Welker for Denver -- and the only significant injury is Broncos LB Danny Trevathan (leg) who is out indefinitely.

The Colts have become a playoff team a lot faster than many imagined when they lost Peyton Manning to free agency just a few years back. Andrew Luck was just what this team needed and he has turned Indy into a playoff team that is on the verge of being able to make deep playoff run.

Last season, Luck threw for 3,822 yards with 23 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Denver’s weakness on defense is defending the pass, so it’s a good chance for the Colts to open up the playbook and let Luck do his thing.

This team often relies too much on its running game, especially since the acquisition of Trent Richardson last season. Richardson has a career average of 3.3 yards per carry and is likely in what will be a make or break year.

The Colts have improved defensively over the past two seasons. Last year, they allowed just 231.9 yards per game through the air (13th in NFL) but they will need to improve their pass rush. They allowed 125.1 yards per game on the ground (26th in NFL) last year and that number will need to get better in the 2014 season.

The Broncos are a star-studded squad that dominated the rest of the league last season until they met their match in the Super Bowl. Seattle exposed the Broncos’ defense and had them re-evaluating themselves in the offseason. Denver allowed 254.4 yards per game through the air (27th in NFL) and 101.6 yards per game on the ground (8th in NFL) last season.

The passing yards were a bit inflated because teams needed to throw late often when they were getting blown out. The Broncos saw the Super Bowl beatdown as a sign that they needed to get more talent on the defensive side of the ball, and they did just that by acquiring DE DeMarcus Ware, CB Aqib Talib and SS T.J Ward. When they get themselves fully healthy, opposing offenses will be afraid of this matchup.

Denver will also return the league’s best offense in 2014. Peyton Manning is healthy and back at it after a season in which he shattered league records with 5,477 passing yards and 55 touchdowns, while tossing only 10 interceptions in 2013.

His offense will now feature second-year pro Montee Ball as the workhorse running back. Ball was a force in college and should be able to make up for the production lost with Knowshon Moreno heading to Miami. New WR Emmanuel Sanders will be targeted often in place of Eric Decker, who signed a big deal to play for the Jets.
 
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Giants go for sweep

San Francisco (78-64) at Detroit (77-65)

First pitch: Sunday, 8:05 p.m. ET

Line and Total: Tigers -105, Giants -105, Total 8.5

Two of baseball’s juggernauts go toe-to-toe on Sunday night as San Francisco travels east to Detroit and faces the Tigers.

The Giants are working their way towards another playoffs and have won seven of their past nine games going into Friday. They did lose their last series in Colorado though, with the two clubs combining to score 49 runs over the three-game set. On Wednesday, San Francisco had 10 hits, but was trounced 9-2 after going only 1-for-7 with runners in scoring position. C Buster Posey (.305 BA) has been on a tear of late and is 28-for-58 (.483) with six doubles, 6 HR, 20 RBI and 16 runs in his past 13 contests. Detroit has allowed the Royals to take over the AL Central, as the club sits two games behind K.C. following Saturday’s action.

The Tigers were on a 9-4 run entering the weekend, and did very well to start the week; taking 3-of-4 games against the Indians, but lost the first two games to the Giants. They scored 25 runs in the four games, even while being shut out in the one loss, and earned a victory on Thursday by a score of 11-4 in 14 innings. DH Victor Martinez (.332 BA) has been the best player on one of the best offensive teams this year, and is 14-for-36 (.389) with three doubles, four homers, 9 RBI and 10 runs in his past 10 games. Looking to help their teams to wins in this contest will be starters RHP Tim Hudson (9-9, 3.08 ERA) of the Giants and LHP Kyle Lobstein (0-0, 3.18 ERA) for the host Tigers. San Francisco has done well on the road, posting a record of 40-31 (.563) in away games while Detroit is 35-32 (.522) in Comerica Park. The Tigers would like to forget the last time these two clubs met up, as the Giants swept Detroit in four games at the 2012 World Series. In the series, the usually potent Tigers' offense scored a meager six runs on 20 hits while San Francisco’s starters earned three wins.

Tim Hudson has defied age, and as a 39-year-old has posted his best ERA since 2010 while having the best control (1.6 BB/9) of his career. In a day where so many of the young pitchers are throwing in the high 90's, Hudson has been successful with a fastball averaging 89.1 MPH and has struck out a mere 5.8 batters per nine innings in 2014. His ability to get batters to hit the ball on the ground has always been a strength for him and his 54% ground-ball rate ranks 12th in the league among starting pitchers (entering Friday). He has had a superb year, but Hudson has allowed five earned runs in two of his past four starts while the Giants have taken a loss in five of his past 10 outings.

Over his 16-year career, Hudson has started against Detroit 14 times with solid results, going 9-2 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.17 WHIP, and has tossed three complete games. Both 3B Miguel Cabrera (12-for-28, 3 RBI) and OF Torii Hunter (9-for-31, 1 HR, 6 RBI) have had solid at-bats against the veteran, but OF Rajai Davis (1-for-6, 2 K's) has not done well in his limited time against the righty. The Giants’ bullpen has been phenomenal this season, going 26-14 (.650) with a 2.87 ERA and 1.07 WHIP, and is 40-for-57 (70%) in save opportunities heading into the series. Santiago Casilla (1.79 ERA, 14 saves) has already blown four saves as the closer, and has been lucky with batters hitting .233 BABIP against him.

Kyle Lobstein has pitched well enough to continue getting starts with a Detroit club that is in the middle of a playoff race, and the last time out he allowed two runs on five hits while striking out 10 batters (3 walks) over 5.1 frames against Cleveland. His strikeouts were certainly the most surprising stat in this game as he averaged 7.8 K/9 in 146 Triple-A innings this season before joining the Tigers. One problem that Lobstein has shown is control, as he has already walked eight batters over his first 17 innings at the major-league level (4.2 BB/9). When facing the Giants for the first time, the youngster will need to be weary as he goes against C Buster Posey who leads the team in average (.305), home runs (19) and RBI (78), and has struck out in just 11.4% of his at-bats.

On the other hand, SS Brandon Crawford (.228 BA) has really struggled, and has struck out in 24% of his at-bats while failing to get a hit in six of his past 10 games played. Before Friday, Detroit’s bullpen had gone 18-16 (.529) with a 4.30 ERA and 1.48 WHIP, and had successfully converted 34-of-48 (71%) saves. Joe Nathan (5.04 ERA, 29 saves) has six blown saves on the season and has walked a career-high 4.5 batters per nine innings while hitters have batted a high .324 BABIP.
 
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8:07 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
 
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SAN FRANCISCO (78 - 64) at DETROIT (77 - 65) - 1:05 PM
TIM HUDSON (R) vs. KYLE LOBSTEIN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 104-62 (+33.1 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 78-64 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-19 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-31 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-21 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 78-64 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 44-33 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-54 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
HUDSON is 50-26 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 104-57 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 49-25 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 163-90 (+39.3 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 77-65 (-6.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 35-32 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 22-26 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 60-58 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 35-32 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 19-23 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 32-32 (-9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 (+2.6 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
HUDSON is 9-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.174.
His team's record is 10-4 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-2.7 units)

KYLE LOBSTEIN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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Hopefully you guys are learning your lesson it's only the first week so there is still plenty of time to make up for this weekend. Going through the thread I notice that one service had an extremely good day and no I'm with this service or whatever that word is the forums use for guys http try and promote a service. Like I said I was just going through the day to see who did what and found these guys were on top of the list..


Diamond Dog Sports
#902: Marlins: +135 (3.5*) WINNER (OUTRIGHT)
Listed Pitchers: Teheran/Hand


#926: Rangers: +130 (1.5*) WINNER (OUTRIGHT)
Listed Pitchers: Paxton/Holland



#907/908: Cardinals/Brewers: Over 7.5 (-110) (2.5*) WINNER
Listed Pitchers: Wainwright/Nelson






#929/930: Giants/Tigers: Over 8.5 (-110) (2.5*) PENDING
Listed Pitchers: Hudson/Lobstein






Added Plays
#469/470: Jaguars/Eagles: Over 51.5 (-110) (0.5*) WINNER




#475: Bills: +7.5 (-130) (1*) WINNER (OUTRIGHT)

What are your favorite lotto numbers?
 

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