Service Plays Sunday 9/14/14

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Michael David

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Larry Ness' 10* AFC/NFC Total G.O.Y. (6-1 all 10*s L3 days!)
My 10* AFC/NFC Total of the Year is on Sea/SD Over at 4:05 ET.


Seattle held Green Bay's offense to 255 yards, which was even less than its league-leading average of 292.3 YPG allowed in 2013. The Seahawks sacked Aaron Rodgers three times and its offense had terrific balance with Russell Wilson completing 19 of 28 for 191 yards with two TDs and no INTs (110.9 QB rating). Marshawn Lynch had 110 rushing yards (two TDS), leading the way for a running game which gained 207 yards. The defending Super Bowl champs are clearly “the team to beat again,” in 2014. More good news come Seattle’s way in that it played the 2014 NFL opener back on Sep 4 (Thursday night), while its opponent on Sunday (the SD Chargers), played the second of two MNF games on Sep 8. Its seems like even the schedule makers are favoring the Seahawks, as if this team needs help.


Seattle has had plenty of time to prepare for the Chargers, who let an 11-point, third-quarter lead slip away in Monday's 18-17 loss to Arizona. Philip Rivers threw for 238 yards and a TD but a snap sailed over his head in the fourth quarter to put San Diego out of FG range and helped the Cardinals get in position to score twice in the final 12 1/2 minutes. San Diego head coach Mike McCoy stressed those types of mistakes can't happen again. "Against a good football team that's coming here on Sunday, you can't give them the opportunities," McCoy said. "You've got to put them away when you have the chance."


It’s safe to say that San Diego will view Seattle as a “good football team.” Seattle’s Percy Harvin is healthy and totaled 160 yards (59 receiving, 41 rushing and 60 on kickoff returns). The Chargers realize they will have their hands full with the Seattle offense as they look to avoid their first 0-2 start since 2008. Seattle produced two 80-yard touchdown drives and another of 70 yards against the Packers.


The Chargers won their final four games of 2013, then won 27-10 at Cincinnati in the playoffs, before losing 24-17 at Denver. To avoid an 0-2 start, San Diego will need to score on this Seattle defense because the Seattle offense is a well-oiled machine which will give all teams trouble in 2014. This game may be close but it WILL have points scored, either way!


Good luck...Larry


Larry Ness' 10* PERFECT STORM (22-8-1 s/NFL 2011)
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Car Panthers at 1:00 ET.


The Detroit Lions were 6-3 after a Week 10 win at the Bears and with division rivals Chicago and Green Bay both dealing with injured No. 1 starters at the QB position (Cutler and Rodgers), the Lions would go 1-6 SU and ATS the last seven weeks of the regular season. The lone win (and cover) came vs a Rodgers-less Green Bay team. The collapse cost Jim Schwartz his job but I see little benefit in the hiring of Jim Caldwell. Matthew Stafford posted his third straight season of more then 4,500 yards passing, throwing for 4,650 with 29 touchdowns, though he also tossed 19 interceptions. Calvin Johnson caught 110 passes for 1,492 yards and 12 scores to pace the league's third-ranked passing offense (280.1 YPG), while Reggie Bush ran for 1,006 yards. Despite its impressive array of offensive talent, Detroit missed the postseason for the 13th time in 14 seasons (note: team has just two winning records in that span). With Detroit, the whole always seems to be LESS than the sum of its parts. My call is that Detroit's lack of discipline will not change under new coach Jim Caldwell.


That’s part of what I wrote in taking the Giants at Detroit this past Monday. I’d say OOOOOPS but it's my belief the 35-14 result in favor of the Lions was due more to the Giants ineptitude than it was to “anything special” regarding the Lions. I’ll test that theory again this Sunday, as the Lions visit Carolina. The Panthers went 11-1 SU (8-3-1 ATS) after a 1-3 start in 2013, including winning their final SEVEN home games, posting a 6-0-1 ATS mark! Carolina survived in Week 1 without Cam Newton (20-14 at Tampa Bay), as Derek Anderson filled in going 24-of-34 performance with 230 yards and two TDs. The Carolina defense, which ended 2013 behind only Seattle in points (15.1 per) and yards (301.3 per) allowed, held the Buccs scoreless until the 4th quarter and forced four TOs!


Detroit’s offense looked in mid-season form against the Giants and its defense limited New York to 197 yards, a total the Detroit had bettered just twice in the previous EIGHT seasons. “Big news” also came in the fact that he Lions' plus-2 turnover margin was a welcome relief for those who witnessed Detroit’s minus-11 mark during a 1-6 stretch that cost them the NFC North. That said, I’m sticking to the belief that it was more a negative commentary on the Giants’ offense, than it was a positive statement on Detroit’s D. Time will tell but NY Giants’ offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, who was hired away from Green Bay to install his West Coast system, has seen Eli and Co. do nothing but struggle in his system through five August games and Week 1 of the 2014 regular season.


Newton's return from a cracked rib makes Carolina's offense far more dynamic than with Derek Anderson at the helm, both on the ground and in the passing game. Carolina made a believer out of me last season, something the Lions have failed to do for decades.


The price here makes this just the right spot for my 1st PERFECT STORM of NFL 2014 and it earns a top rating of 10*s.
 

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