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TPG

  • Spread Football - 256 Washington Redskins -5 -105 for Game:
  • Total Football - 261 New England Patriots/Minnesota Vikings under 48½ -105 for Game:
  • Football - 263 New Orleans Saints/Cleveland Browns under 48½ -105 for Gam:
  • Football - 273 New York Jets +7½ -107 for Game:
  • Football - 271 Houston Texans/Oakland Raiders over 40 -105 for Game:
  • Football - 267 St. Louis Rams +5½ -105 for Game:
  • Football - 269 Seattle Seahawks/San Diego Chargers over 44 -105 for Game:
  • Football - 265 Atlanta Falcons +5½ -108 for Game:
  • Football - 264 Cleveland Browns +6 -105 for Game:
  • Football - 262 Minnesota Vikings +3½ -105 for Game:
  • Football - 275 Kansas City Chiefs/Denver Broncos under 50½ -105 for Game:
  • Spread Football - 251 Detroit Lions +1.5:
  • NFL[280] INDIANAPOLIS -2.5 -130:
  • NFL [277] CHICAGO +7:
  • NFL [257] DALLAS +4:
  • #NFL [253] MIAMI ML:
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Joined
May 19, 2007
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Diamond Dog Sports

#255: Jaguars: +6.0 (-105) (1.5*)

#260: Giants: +1.5 (-105) (0.5*)

#273/274: Jets/Packers: Over 46.5 (-105) (0.5*)


#955: Marlins: +105 (5)

Listed Pitchers: Koehler/Buchanan

#953/954: Cubs/Pirates: Under 7.5 (-110) (1.5)
Listed Pitchers: Turner/Volquez

#967/968: Rays/Blue Jays: Over 8.0 (-105) (3.5)
Listed Pitchers: Archer/Buehrle
 

New member
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Apr 3, 2014
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The Sheep's Moves


  • 275 Kansas City +13 (-120) $1000
  • 1275 Under 27 Kc-Den 1st Half $1000
  • 1253 Miami +1/2 (-120) 1st Half $1000
  • 275 Under 51 Kc-Den $1000 open order*
  • 267 St Louis +5 $1000
  • 265 Atlanta +5 1/2 $1000
  • 262 Minnesota +4 buy back $1000
  • 251 Detroit ml +110 $1000
  • Sun Nfl - 261) New England -3 $1000
  • Sun Nfl - 254 Under 43 Mia-Buf $1000 Open Order*
  • Nfl Future - Carolina Panthers Under 8 1/2 (-180) Season Wins $1000
 
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VegasButcher

#1: Buffalo Bills -1

Divisional game, under-valued home team, and an opponent coming off a big home upset win. This is a great spot to back the Bills. Sure Miami looked ‘good’ last week, but New England wasn’t able to stop the run whatsoever (193 yards for 5.5 RY/A) which enabled Tannehill to look ‘better’ than his usual mediocre self. Bills have a stout D-line and excellent secondary, so I don’t expect things to be as easy offensively for Miami. On the other side, the Dolphins are missing a number of their key linebackers and Buffalo’s run-game should be the difference in that one. Buffalo’s run-game shredded the Bears in week 1 and I expect them to be just as effective at home. Bills are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 2-0 SU/ATS at home in the last two years. Miami is getting way too much respect in this one.

#2: New England Patriots -3 @ -120

The Patriots had ZERO consecutive losses last year and you would have to go back to Week 2 and Week 3 of the 2012 season to find the last time this team lost 2 games in a row. It just doesn’t happen very often with this team. I’m banking on it NOT happening again today. Belichick is still a premier coach in the game, Brady is still one of the most competitive players in the league, and overall the Pats are one of the better bounce-back organizations in all of football. New England’s run-D looked horrendous last week, but with Peterson out of the lineup, the matchup won’t be as challenging. Matt Asiata (AP’s backup) has a 3.8 RY/A average in his career so clearly he’s not as dynamic of a playmaker. Of course this will provide more opportunities to Patterson which is a risk, but I’m counting on Belichick to effectively game-plan for this. Don’t forget that the Pats are familiar with Cassell and should be able to figure out ways to neutralize him in this matchup. New England gets back to their winning ways tonight.

#3: Teaser (6.5 pts):
San Francisco 49ers -0.5 / New Orleans Saints +1.5

#4: Teaser (6.5 pts):
San Francisco 49ers -0.5 / Tennessee Titans +3.5

#5: Teaser (6.5 pts):
San Francisco 49ers -0.5 / San Diego Chargers +11.5

#6: Teaser (6.5 pts):
San Francisco 49ers -0.5 / Houston Texans +3.5

#7: Teaser (6.5 pts):
San Francisco 49ers -0.5 / Philadelphia Eagles +9.5

Yes, there’s a lot of risk associated with San Francisco on these teasers, but I really don’t see them losing tonight’s game. Bears got decimated by Buffalo’s offense, and that’s with EJ Manuel leading the charge. With Kaepernick at QB for the Niners, this Bears D is going to struggle all game long. I just don’t see them stopping this San Fran attack on a consistent basis. On the other side, Bears are having some major issues. Both Marshall and Jeffery are doubtful to suit up and their starting center (Garza) and starting guard (Slauson) are already OUT. This Bears’ O-line stayed healthy for 16 games last season but are already dealing with major issues in week 2 of this year. This San Fran D might not be as good as they’ll be later in the year (when some key guys return) but they should be able to rattle Cutler regardless. A few years ago Bears came into San Francisco and got destroyed losing 32-7. That was a prime-time MNF game and Kaepernick absolutely dominated the game. Well, today is a prime-time SNF game and this will also be a home-opening for Levi’s stadium. The way things are lining up, a blowout by the Niners isn’t out of the question today. I’ll be very surprised if they lose this game.

Saints – don’t expect NO to lose 2 games in a row. Last week was a divisional game @ ATL, which is always a tough one but things should get much easier against a weak Cleveland squad. Breeze not playing well outside is a myth and expect New Orleans to come away with a win.

Titans – teasing through a 0 being a bad proposition is inaccurate, especially since you can cover two KEY numbers…both 3’s. So going from Titans -3 to Titans +3.5 gives a lot of value, especially considering they’re a better team this year.

Texans – same logic as with the Titans. We get Houston +3.5 facing a terrible Oakland squad. Last week Oakland managed 158 TOTAL yards, with a 3.2 YPP average. They allowed 6.2 YPP to the Jets mediocre offense. Houston showed that they’re very stout defensively and though I hate backing Fitzpatrick on the road, Raiders is a type of an opponent were doing so isn’t as bad of a bet. Houston wins and even if it’s close, we have line value in our favor with this teaser.

Chargers – to me, San Diego is one of the better teams in the league and definitely a playoff team. Fading Seattle is typically a bad bet, but when you can get +11.5 on a home team, that’s a lot of value. I expect a close game here.

Eagles – Philly is a better team than the Colts, and teasing them up to +9.5 just provides additional value.
 

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