Service Plays Sunday 9/12/10

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AccuScore Best Picks

NFL2010-09-13481 San Diego Chargers v 482 Kansas City Chiefs
SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KC +4.5
Over/Under line is 44.5
San Diego Chargers-4.5
AccuScore Point Spread Line is San Diego Chargers -6

NFL2010-09-12 467 Indianapolis Colts v 468 Houston Texans
SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HOU +2
Over/Under line is 46.5
Indianapolis Colts-1
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Indianapolis Colts -4

NFL2010-09-12 469 Oakland Raiders v 470 Tennessee Titans
SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEN -6
Over/Under line is 40.5
Oakland Raiders+6
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Tennessee Titans -5

MLB 2010-09-12 969 Baltimore Orioles +228 v 970 Detroit Tigers -245
SIDE VALUE: Detroit Tigers -245
AccuScore gives the Detroit Tigers a 75.8% chance of winning which is higher than the money line odds indicate.

MLB 2010-09-12 953 Pittsburgh Pirates +234 v 954 Cincinnati Reds -251
MONEY LINE: Cincinnati Reds -251
AccuScore gives the Cincinnati Reds a 72.8% chance of winning.

MLB 2010-09-12 979 Boston Red Sox v 980 Oakland Athletics
UNDER 7.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 7

MLB 2010-09-12
963 Arizona Diamondbacks +177 v 964 Colorado Rockies -189
MONEY LINE: Colorado Rockies -189
AccuScore gives the Colorado Rockies a 59.7% chance of winning.
 

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Craig Davis


75 DIME
NFL Sunday Night Game of the Year

Dallas Cowboys -3.5
 

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jeff benton sunday 50 dime NFL sunday night game of the year

2-1 yesterday plus 30 dimes plus $290. overall, 112-135-7 minus 450.

Sunday's Action
50 DIME selection on the DALLAS COWBOYS over the Redskins in the Sunday night primetime NFL game. The Cowboys are laying 3½ points on the road, and you know I’m a big beliaver in not getting “hooked” on key numbers like 3, 4 and 7. Because of that, I want you to purechase the half-point and drop the Cowboys from -3½ to -3.





10 DIME selection on the HOUSTON TEXANS over the Colts in early NFL action. Houston is a 1 1/2 to 2-point home underdog both here in Vegas and offshore.








COWBOYS








Let’s start here: The entire NFL community is beyond giddy about Mike Shanahan’s arrival in Washington D.C., and I say rightfully so – I mean, have you seen the list of the Redskins’ recent head coaches? For once, Daniel Snyder hit a home run with a sideline leader. But if we’re going to examine this objectively, it’s important to review what Shanahan did in the first year of his previous head coaching stops.





Here’s what such an examination reveals: In 1988, Shanahan took over a Raiders franchise that was 5-10 the year prior to his arrival (a strike-shortened 1987 season). In his first year, the Raiders went 7-9. An improvement? Sure. A savior? Hardly. Then after being unceremoniously – and inexplicably– dumped by Al Davis after just that one 7-9 season, Shanahan eventually landed in Denver in 1995, when he took over a John Elway-led Broncos program that had gone 7-9 the year prior to his arrival. Well, Shanahan’s first year with the Broncos yielded an 8-8 record – just a one game improvement from the previous year. The three ensuing seasons? Denver went a combined 39-9 in the regular season and won two Super Bowls.





The point? Fans in the nation’s capital should NOT expect immediate miracles with their Redskins. It takes times to turn around an NFL franchise in despair, and while I do believe Shanahan can get the job done eventually, it’s not going to happen overnight. In fact, if you take Shanahan’s first-season results with the Raiders and Broncos and assume a similar impact in Washington, you’re looking at an improvement of one to two games from last year. Which would put the Redskins (4-12 last year) at no better than 6-10.





OK, so the question now becomes this: Do you see one of those six wins coming tonight against Dallas, a legit Super Bowl contender? Clearly, I don’t. First off, forget about the Cowboys’ preseason struggles – they had some injury issues on the offensive line, and there was no way coach Wade Phillips was going to put Pro Bowl QB Tony Romo at unnecessary risk (for once, Phillips made a bright decision). Now that the bullets are flying for real, you’re going to see a Cowboys squad that much more resembles the one that won the NFC East last year by closing the regular season on an 8-3 run, capped by a 24-0 rout of the Eagles in Week 17.





The very next week, Dallas pounded Philadelphia once again in the playoffs, rolling 34-14 as a 3½-point home chalk. Throw in a 20-16 win in Philly in early November, and the Cowboys went 3-0 SU and ATS against the Eagles last year. Surely you’re aware that the Eagles’ quarterback in those three games was Donovan McNabb, who is now guiding the Redskins’ offense. So in three games against the Cowboys last year, McNabb went 0-3 SU and ATS, leading his offense to a grand total of 30 points, including just one touchdown.





Need I remind you that the weapons McNabb had in Philadelphia last year were FAR more explosive than the ones he now has in Washington? Need I also remind you that McNabb missed a bunch of critical training-camp practices (and three preseason games) this summer because of a bum ankle – an ankle this is still far from 100 percent, an ankle that the Cowboys will undoubtedly target tonight with their fierce pass rush?





Bottom line: McNabb and Shanahan instantly upgrade the Redskins’ talent portfolio. But it takes a lot more than an aging former All-Pro quarterback and a coach who has been away from the game for two years to turn chicken crap into chicken soup. And when you consider that Dallas went to D.C. last December and waltzed to a 17-0 win as a 7-point road favorite – outgaining the Redskins 393-208 in winning their third straight in this rivalry – there’s no doubt who the right side is in this contest.





Oh, by the way: The Redskins (3-11 ATS last 14 home games) have mustered up a whopping 16 total points in those three losses to Dallas!











TEXANS





I smell a trap. Stick with me here: The Texans have dropped five of their last six season-openers (all SU and ATS). The Texans faced the Colts 16 times since the Houston franchise was reestablished in 2004, winning exactly once. The Texans are missing a key defense member in linebacker/reigning Defensive Rookie of the Year Brian Cushing (suspended for PEDs), and injuries will force Houston to start a rookie cornerback … against Peyton Manning.





And, despite all this, the Colts are laying less than a field goal today. Why is that? Oh, I don’t know, perhaps because Vegas is trying to entice big Indy money because it knows the right side is the Texans? Well, those suckers who do bet the Colts deserve what they’re about to get, because Houston is winning this football game – in part because it HAS to win it (if ever there was a must-win game in Week 1 of the season, this is it for Houston) and in part because they’re simply a better all-around team.





You read that correctly: The Texans have more talent than Indianapolis. It’s a fact. They just don’t have a Hall of Fame quarterback (but they do have a very good one in Matt Schaub).





Funny thing is Houston has shown many times that it can hang with the Colts – in fact, if football were a 3½-quarter game, the Texans would be much better than 1-15 against Indy. They just need to learn how to close, and now that they’re much more mature than they’ve ever been – and now that the Texans’ improving defensive line can take advantage of a depleted Colts offensive line and pressure Manning consistently – I’m convinced today is the day the Texans come of age.





Two things to keep in mind: 1) Indy has limped out of the gate the last two years, losing 29-13 as a 10-point favorite to the Bears two years ago and barely getting by Jacksonville 14-12 as a seven-point chalk last year (and the Colts were at HOME for both those games); and 2) the Texans have had this game circled the entire offseason – this is their statement game, and they’ll hit the field with even greater intensity than they normally would for a season opener.
 
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MLB DUNKEL

San Francisco at San Diego
The Giants look to bounce back from yesterday's 1-0 loss and build on their 10-4 record in Tim Lincecum's last 14 road starts. San Francisco is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 12

Game 951-952: Philadelphia at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Oswalt) 16.008; NY Mets (Niese) 15.290
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-170); Over

Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burres) 14.368; Cincinnati (Cueto) 13.548
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-270); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+230); Under

Game 955-956: Florida at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 15.460; Washington (Zimmermann) 14.393
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Under

Game 957-958: St. Louis at Atlanta (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 14.327; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.498
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-240); Over

Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Monasterios) 13.974; Houston (Figueroa) 15.635
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Coleman) 14.771; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.482
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-190); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over

Game 963-964: Arizona at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.999; Colorado (Chacin) 16.671
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-200); Under

Game 965-966: San Francisco at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.517; San Diego (Latos) 14.655
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Over

Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Toronto (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.613; Toronto (Marcum) 15.434
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Over

Game 969-970: Baltimore at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 17.113; Detroit (Verlander) 16.069
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-250); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+210); Under

Game 971-972: Minnesota at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.981; Cleveland (Talbot) 15.320
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Under

Game 973-974: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.323; White Sox (Harrell) 14.214
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Moseley) 16.564; Texas (Lee) 15.775
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+150); Over

Game 977-978: Seattle at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 14.035; LA Angels (Haren) 14.680
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Under

Game 979-980: Boston at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.834; Oakland (Braden) 14.602
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+105); Over
 
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Sunday, September 12

Hot pitchers
-- Oswalt is 5-0, 1.85 in his last seven starts.
-- Cueto is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Figueroa is 2-1, 3.21 in his last five starts.
-- Chacin is 3-0, 2.08 in his last four starts. Kennedy is 3-0, 2.12 in his last five starts.
-- Latos is 3-0, 1.38 in his last six starts. Lincecum is 2-0, 2.45 in his last couple outings.

-- Marcum is 1-1, 1.93 in his last four starts.
-- Verlander is 3-1, 3.15 in his last six starts.
-- Slowey is 3-1, 2.78 in his last six starts.
-- Harrel allowed one run in six IP in his only start, a 6-1 win over the A's back on July 30.
-- Haren is 1-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Niese is 1-2, 11.02 in his last three starts.
-- Burres is 1-2, 6.93 in his last five starts.
-- Volstad has a 9.90 RA in his last two starts, but Florida is 3-1 in his last four, scoring 36 runs. Zimmerman is 0-0, 5.02 in three starts for the Nationals this season.
-- Gallardo is 0-2, 8.16 in his last five starts. Coleman allowed four runs in six IP in both of his last two starts.
-- Padilla is 1-2, 10.13 in his last three starts.
-- Lohse is 1-4, 11.22 in his last five starts. Hudson is 1-2, 4.44 in his last four starts.

-- Niemann is 0-3, 20.70 in his last three starts.
-- Tillman is 1-5, 8.01 in seven starts this season.
-- Talbot is 1-6, 6.30 in his last ten starts.
-- O'Sullivan is 0-5, 7.25 in eight starts for the Royals.
-- Rangers lost last five Lee starts (0-3, 9.21); he missed his last start with a bad back. Moseley has a 6.41 RA in his last four starts, but Bronx won last three, scoring 31 runs.
-- Braden is 1-3, 3.60 in his last four starts. Beckett is 1-3, 7.07 in his last six starts.
-- Vargas is 0-4, 7.61 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Over is 8-4 in Florida's last twelve road games.
-- Seven of last eight Niese starts went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Cincinnati's last nine games.
-- Over is 7-2 in Atlanta's last nine home games.
-- Nine of last ten Houston home games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Cub road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-4 in Arizona's last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 10-2 in last twelve games at Petco Park.

-- Last seven Tampa Bay road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-2 in last eleven Cleveland home games.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Baltimore road games.
-- Six of last seven Bronx road games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Kansas City road games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Braden's last seven starts.
-- Seven of Angels' last eight home games all stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
-- Phillies are 9-3 in their last twelve games. Mets won three of their last four contests.
-- Braves won three of their last four games.
-- Astros are 15-6 in their last twenty-one home games.
-- Cubs are 8-2 in their last ten road games.
-- Colorado won its last nine games, scoring 58 runs.
-- Giants won six of their last eight road games.

-- Tampa Bay won its last three games, scoring 36 runs.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last eight games.
-- Orioles won six of their last seven games. Tigers are 9-4 in their last 13 games, but lost the last two.
-- Rangers won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Oakland is 10-4 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Angels won their last three games, scoring 15 runs.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost their last four games, scoring total of five runs.
-- Reds lost five of their last seven games. Pirates lost 17 of their last 18 road games.
-- Cardinals are 3-12 in last 15 road games.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last seven games.
-- Padres lost 12 of their last 16 games.

-- Blue Jays are 4-9 in their last thirteen games.
-- Indians lost five of their last six home games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last nine games. White Sox lost four of their last five games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost five of their last six games.
-- Red Sox are 4-9 in their last thirteen games.
-- Mariners lost eight of last ten road games.

Umpires
-- Fla-Wsh-- Under is 8-3-1 in last dozen Bell starts.
-- Phil-NY-- Favorites won six of last seven Wolf games.
-- StL-Atl-- Underdogs are 6-3 (+$605) in last nine BWelke games.
-- LA-Hst-- Under is 10-5 in last 15 Hohn games; home team won eight of his last nine games behind the dish.
-- Chi-Mil-- Underdog is 8-4 (+$548) in last dozen Rapuano games; four of his last five games went over the total.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Last four Davidson games stayed under the total.
-- SF-SD-- Home team won five of last six Cuzzi games.
-- Az-Colo-- Underdogs are 3-2 (+$293) in last five Davis games.

-- TB-Tor-- Four of last five Reilly games went over the total.
-- Sea-LAA-- Underdogs are 6-3 (+$441) in last nine Kellogg games.
-- Blt-Det-- Underdogs are 7-4 (+$664) in last 11 Cousins games.
-- KC-Chi-- Nine of last ten Drake games stayed under the total.
-- Min-Clev-- Home team won six of last seven Gorman games.
-- NY-Tex-- Home team won nine of last ten Marquez games, with six of last seven going over the total.
-- Bos-A's-- Five of last six Wendelstedt games stayed under the total.
 

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[FONT=&quot]axiumsports[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]September 12th 2010[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Current Bankroll=$1,529.18[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Pick #19-NFL-[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]19)Bet 41.96 to win 40.74 on Detroit/Chicago UNDER 44 -103[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Pick #20-NFL-[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]20a)Bet 20.25 to win 18.75 on Arizona/St Louis OVER 39.5 -108[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]20b)Bet 88.12 to win 81.59 on Arizona/St Louis OVER 39.5 -108[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Pick #21-NFL-[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]21aa)Bet 20.49 to win 18.80 on Dallas/Washington OVER 39.5 -109[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]21ab)Bet 42.53 to win 39.01 on Dallas/Washington OVER 39.5 -109[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]21ba)Bet 20.24to win 18.54 on Dallas/Washington OVER 39.5 -109[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]21bb)Bet 185.05 to win 169.77 on Dallas/Washington OVER 39.5 -109[/FONT]
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with Georgia and Alabama Saturday.

Sunday it's the Browns. The deficit is 65 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

Hondo made a strong move on the deficit yester day, collecting with South Carolina, Michigan and the Braves, while losing only with BYU to lower the DRDs (dirty red digits) to 1,740 ameches.

Today, he'll take a couple of opening day shots with his NFL Best Bets (always a safe maneuver) -- 10 units apiece on the Bears and the well-rested Colts.
 
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PSYCHIC SPORTS PICKS

Psychic (1-5)
2 units Dallas -3
4 units Indianapolis -1(MAJOR)
5 units (WISEGUY)

Sports Lock (1-25)
5 units Indi-Houston UNDER 47.5
10 units Indianapolis -1
20 units Chicago -6

Vegas Express (1-50)
10 units Indianapolis -1
10 units Cleveland +2.5
25 units Atlanta -1
40 units Giants -6

Sports Machine (1-20)
5 units Dallas -3
5 units Green Bay -2.5
10 units Miami -3 POD

SuperLockLine Plus (1-10)
1 units Indianapolis -1
2 units Dallas-Was over 39.5
5 units Dallas -3

NFL Guru (1-10)
3 units Miami -3
3 units Tennessee -6
3 units St Louis +4
 

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It’s time for week 1 NFL winner for Sunday is on the Falcons. This comes from Matt Rivers of the top football handicapper’s web site OffshoreInsiders

It's definitely not the easiest thing to lay anything on the road against Troy Polamalu and what is still a quality Steeler defense but I do believe that the Falcons will win 10 or 11 games and in order to do so this is a big step towards that. Mike Smith and Thomas Dimitroff turned the culture around for this franchise after the whole Mike Vick/Bobby Petrino debacles and this is the third year of that plan.

Matt Ryan is a talented guy with a head on his shoulders and in this, his third year as well, should be able to really start blowing up. Throw in a healthy Michael Turner along with a future Hall of Famer in Tony Gonzalez and a borderline great wide receiver named Roddy White and this offense is going to be just fine, even in Heinz Field. Meanwhile the defense which was much maligned at times last season for being very vanilla and soft should be much improved with Dunta Robinson in the fold, Peria Jeri back from injury, Sean Weatherspoon wreaking havoc and the unit as a whole being far more athletic and stouter.

I do think that Mike Tomlin's Steelers have the potential to rebound from a poor 2009 but without Ben Roethlisberger things are just not going to come easy. Dennis Dixon can be a bit of a matchup problem with his blazing speed but he is still a third stringer for a reason and in what should be a hard fought rough game I think the Birds are going to be the team able to prevail. Atlanta's run defense should be extremely tough to move the ball on and Rashard Mendenhall is in for it a bit.

I do respect the champions from a few seasons back with Polamalu, Harrison, Ward and a few others but there's no Big Ben, Willie Parker or Santonio Holmes and in the end the Falcons are the better team and should show it on the field.

The pick: Atlanta
 
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DCI

Sunday, September 12, 2010

PITTSBURGH 23, Atlanta 19
Carolina 28, N.Y. GIANTS 20
CHICAGO 34, Detroit 15
TENNESSEE 26, Oakland 13
HOUSTON 25, Indianapolis 21
JACKSONVILLE 23, Denver 21
BUFFALO 21, Miami 18
NEW ENGLAND 24, Cincinnati 14
Cleveland 18, TAMPA BAY 16
PHILADELPHIA 30, Green Bay 28
San Francisco 23, SEATTLE 13
Arizona 33, ST. LOUIS 15
Dallas 23, WASHINGTON 10
 
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KIKI SPORTS

Sunday September 12th

3 units Cleveland +3
2 units St. Louis +3.5
1 unit Indy -2
1 unit Oakland +6.5
1 unit Dallas/Wash under 40
 

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