BIGFELLA SPORTS
25* MLB CWS-130
25* Fat Pockets NCAAFB Purdue +11 ML- OPENIn his first year after taking over for Purdue's winningest coach Joe Tiller, Danny Hope pulled off the shocker of all shockers. His team beat Rose Bowl-bound Ohio State 26-18 in West Lafayette, Ind.The amazing parts in the upset hit all levels. Ohio State was a two-touchdown favorite and had just beaten Wisconsin. The Boilermakers had lost five in a row, albeit all close games.Hope got his guys prepared for Ohio State. It set off a closing stretch that included four wins in the final six games.This squad lost about 5 or 6 games by less than 6 points last season and with a full year under the Coach I look for this team to put it together a bit!You have ND and national TV with the arrival of Coach Kelly coming into this one. Purdue lost 24-21 last season and will be that much better this season. Irish have key losses in talent and Kelly will be under the spotlight which is all we need as the public will ride the Irish and I will cash a play that is posted in August to start the seasonLook at these results and if you throw out the Wisky stinker they hung around and against some good teams!!!Date Opponent / Event Location Time / Result09/05/09 vs. Toledo West Lafayette, Ind. W, 52-3109/12/09 at Oregon Eugene, Ore. L, 38-3609/19/09 vs. Northern Illinois West Lafayette, Ind. L, 28-2109/26/09 vs. Notre Dame West Lafayette, Ind. L, 24-2110/03/09 vs. Northwestern West Lafayette, Ind. L, 27-2110/10/09 at Minnesota Minneapolis, Minn. L, 35-2010/17/09 vs. Ohio State West Lafayette, Ind. W, 26-1810/24/09 vs. Illinois West Lafayette, Ind. W, 24-1410/31/09 at Wisconsin Madison, Wis. L, 37-011/07/09 at Michigan Ann Arbor, Mich. W, 38-3611/14/09 vs. Michigan State West Lafayette, Ind. L, 40-3711/21/09 at Indiana Bloomington, Ind. W, 38-21
NFL Week #1
Analysis will come later on when we get closer to game day or like 2 weeks before.
50* GREEN PLAY Atlanta Falcons -250* GREEN PLAY BONUS Green Bay Packers -1
25* MLB CWS-130
25* Fat Pockets NCAAFB Purdue +11 ML- OPENIn his first year after taking over for Purdue's winningest coach Joe Tiller, Danny Hope pulled off the shocker of all shockers. His team beat Rose Bowl-bound Ohio State 26-18 in West Lafayette, Ind.The amazing parts in the upset hit all levels. Ohio State was a two-touchdown favorite and had just beaten Wisconsin. The Boilermakers had lost five in a row, albeit all close games.Hope got his guys prepared for Ohio State. It set off a closing stretch that included four wins in the final six games.This squad lost about 5 or 6 games by less than 6 points last season and with a full year under the Coach I look for this team to put it together a bit!You have ND and national TV with the arrival of Coach Kelly coming into this one. Purdue lost 24-21 last season and will be that much better this season. Irish have key losses in talent and Kelly will be under the spotlight which is all we need as the public will ride the Irish and I will cash a play that is posted in August to start the seasonLook at these results and if you throw out the Wisky stinker they hung around and against some good teams!!!Date Opponent / Event Location Time / Result09/05/09 vs. Toledo West Lafayette, Ind. W, 52-3109/12/09 at Oregon Eugene, Ore. L, 38-3609/19/09 vs. Northern Illinois West Lafayette, Ind. L, 28-2109/26/09 vs. Notre Dame West Lafayette, Ind. L, 24-2110/03/09 vs. Northwestern West Lafayette, Ind. L, 27-2110/10/09 at Minnesota Minneapolis, Minn. L, 35-2010/17/09 vs. Ohio State West Lafayette, Ind. W, 26-1810/24/09 vs. Illinois West Lafayette, Ind. W, 24-1410/31/09 at Wisconsin Madison, Wis. L, 37-011/07/09 at Michigan Ann Arbor, Mich. W, 38-3611/14/09 vs. Michigan State West Lafayette, Ind. L, 40-3711/21/09 at Indiana Bloomington, Ind. W, 38-21
NFL Week #1
Analysis will come later on when we get closer to game day or like 2 weeks before.
50* GREEN PLAY Atlanta Falcons -250* GREEN PLAY BONUS Green Bay Packers -1
Fantasy Sports Gametime
Sunday Baseball
50* Play Milwaukee (-200) over Houston (Bonus)
Game starts at 2:10 PM EST
Milwaukee has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 23 of the last 28 games when playing as a favorite of -200 or higher. Yovani Gallardo is 6-2 vs. Houston over his career with an ERA of 2.72 and he has an ERA of 2.71 in all starts this season.
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50* Play Philadelphia (-200) over NY Mets (Bonus)
Game starts at 8:00 PM EST
Philadelphia has won 13 consecutive home games when the total posted is between 7 and 7.5 runs and they have also won 13 of the last 16 games as a favorite of -200 or higher. Roy Halladay has won 7 of the last 8 games vs. division opponents and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.75.
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50* Play LA Dodgers (-185) over Washington (Bonus)
Game starts at 4:00 PM EST
Washington has lost 77 of the last 121 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 62 of the last 89 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Jason Marquis has won 26 of the last 44 games when pitching in the month of August and he is 0-3 in all starts this season with an ERA of 20.52.
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Sunday Baseball
50* Play Milwaukee (-200) over Houston (Bonus)
Game starts at 2:10 PM EST
Milwaukee has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 23 of the last 28 games when playing as a favorite of -200 or higher. Yovani Gallardo is 6-2 vs. Houston over his career with an ERA of 2.72 and he has an ERA of 2.71 in all starts this season.
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50* Play Philadelphia (-200) over NY Mets (Bonus)
Game starts at 8:00 PM EST
Philadelphia has won 13 consecutive home games when the total posted is between 7 and 7.5 runs and they have also won 13 of the last 16 games as a favorite of -200 or higher. Roy Halladay has won 7 of the last 8 games vs. division opponents and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.75.
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50* Play LA Dodgers (-185) over Washington (Bonus)
Game starts at 4:00 PM EST
Washington has lost 77 of the last 121 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 62 of the last 89 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Jason Marquis has won 26 of the last 44 games when pitching in the month of August and he is 0-3 in all starts this season with an ERA of 20.52.
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Demarco for today anyone?
Sunday's Plays
Big play on Toronto and Morrow over Tampa and Sonnanstine with both starting pitchers specified
Small play on Oakland and Cahill over Texas and Lewis. Again both starters must be specified. The A's are currently -120.
Small play on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Saunders over San Diego and Latos. Both schedeled pitchers must go for their respectdive teams or this play would be null and void. As I release this selecthon at 6 AM Pacific, the D'Backs are +135 in Las Vegas and offshore.
Small play on the Brewers - 1 1/2 Runs with Gallardo over the Astros and Wright, noting both starters. Milwaukee is -105 on the Run Line.
Sunday's Plays
Big play on Toronto and Morrow over Tampa and Sonnanstine with both starting pitchers specified
Small play on Oakland and Cahill over Texas and Lewis. Again both starters must be specified. The A's are currently -120.
Small play on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Saunders over San Diego and Latos. Both schedeled pitchers must go for their respectdive teams or this play would be null and void. As I release this selecthon at 6 AM Pacific, the D'Backs are +135 in Las Vegas and offshore.
Small play on the Brewers - 1 1/2 Runs with Gallardo over the Astros and Wright, noting both starters. Milwaukee is -105 on the Run Line.
SUPER SPORTS GROUP
LAA v. Detroit 1:05pm
9* PICK: Angels ML +120 Game Best bet of the day #1
Tampa Bay v. Toronto 1:05pm
9* PICK: Rays ML +110 Game Best bet of the day #2
NY v. Philadelphia 1:35pm
8* PICK: UND8R 6.5 Game -105
San Fran v. Atlanta 1:35pm
7* PICK: B7aves RL (-1.5) +165 Game
Cincinnati v. Chicago 2:20pm
8* PICK: UND8R 11 Game
7* PICK: Re7s RL (-1.5) +110 Game
LAA v. Detroit 1:05pm
9* PICK: Angels ML +120 Game Best bet of the day #1
Tampa Bay v. Toronto 1:05pm
9* PICK: Rays ML +110 Game Best bet of the day #2
NY v. Philadelphia 1:35pm
8* PICK: UND8R 6.5 Game -105
San Fran v. Atlanta 1:35pm
7* PICK: B7aves RL (-1.5) +165 Game
Cincinnati v. Chicago 2:20pm
8* PICK: UND8R 11 Game
7* PICK: Re7s RL (-1.5) +110 Game
Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: New York Mets (r) at Philadelphia Phillies (r) Aug 8 2010 1:35PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies (r)
Reason: 25* graded play on Philadelphia using the Run Line as they take on the Mets set to start at 1:35 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Phillies will cover the run line easily. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 65-29 making 43.4 units since 1997. Play on home favorites against a 1.5 run line with the associated Money Line ranging between +135 to -190 and having won 12 or more of their last 15 games winning between 45-55% of their games on the season. More on Philly starter Halladay in a minute, but the Mets are just 2-13 against the run line (-15.8 Units) in road games when facing a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons. Halladay has been extremely tough in his last five starts at Citizens Bank Park, going 4-0 with a 0.43 ERA. It's where he faced the Mets in his lone start against them this year, pitching a three-hitter in a 10-0 victory May 1. Despite a 1-0 victory last night that ended the Phillies 12 game home winning streak, the Mets are not hitting the ball well at this point. Over the past seven days they are batting just 229 with a .294 OBP and scoring just 2.7 runs per game. Despite shitting out the Phillies, the bullpen has posted an 8.15 ERA and a 1.924 WHIP over the past seven games. Moreover, in 58 road games they have posted a 5.00 ERA and a 1.638 WHIP and a very poor 6-13 record. Phillies are batting 291 with a 371 OBP and scoring 5.1 runs per game over the past seven games an the bullpen is in rested form after several great starts. Mets starter Dickey has not allowed more than three earned runs in his last seven starts, but there is a very high probability that will end today based on the model projections. The Phillies struggled against knuckleballer Wakefield, but the second time they faced him they got to him often. We expect the same and the scouting reports are going to be a big help. Halladay’s last three games have been Cy Young quality if not even better. He has posted a 3-0 record with a 0.75 ERA averaging eight innings per start, allowed just two earned runs, 16 hits, one home run, two walks, and 27 strikeouts. In 12 home starts he has posted a 1.77 ERA with a 0.983 WHIP averaging 8 1.3 innings per start, 12 walks, 83 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings of work. More impressive is that he has allowed just five home runs in the hitter friendly confines of Citizen’s Bank Park. Take the Phillies
Game: New York Mets (r) at Philadelphia Phillies (r) Aug 8 2010 1:35PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies (r)
Reason: 25* graded play on Philadelphia using the Run Line as they take on the Mets set to start at 1:35 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Phillies will cover the run line easily. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 65-29 making 43.4 units since 1997. Play on home favorites against a 1.5 run line with the associated Money Line ranging between +135 to -190 and having won 12 or more of their last 15 games winning between 45-55% of their games on the season. More on Philly starter Halladay in a minute, but the Mets are just 2-13 against the run line (-15.8 Units) in road games when facing a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons. Halladay has been extremely tough in his last five starts at Citizens Bank Park, going 4-0 with a 0.43 ERA. It's where he faced the Mets in his lone start against them this year, pitching a three-hitter in a 10-0 victory May 1. Despite a 1-0 victory last night that ended the Phillies 12 game home winning streak, the Mets are not hitting the ball well at this point. Over the past seven days they are batting just 229 with a .294 OBP and scoring just 2.7 runs per game. Despite shitting out the Phillies, the bullpen has posted an 8.15 ERA and a 1.924 WHIP over the past seven games. Moreover, in 58 road games they have posted a 5.00 ERA and a 1.638 WHIP and a very poor 6-13 record. Phillies are batting 291 with a 371 OBP and scoring 5.1 runs per game over the past seven games an the bullpen is in rested form after several great starts. Mets starter Dickey has not allowed more than three earned runs in his last seven starts, but there is a very high probability that will end today based on the model projections. The Phillies struggled against knuckleballer Wakefield, but the second time they faced him they got to him often. We expect the same and the scouting reports are going to be a big help. Halladay’s last three games have been Cy Young quality if not even better. He has posted a 3-0 record with a 0.75 ERA averaging eight innings per start, allowed just two earned runs, 16 hits, one home run, two walks, and 27 strikeouts. In 12 home starts he has posted a 1.77 ERA with a 0.983 WHIP averaging 8 1.3 innings per start, 12 walks, 83 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings of work. More impressive is that he has allowed just five home runs in the hitter friendly confines of Citizen’s Bank Park. Take the Phillies
Harry Bondi
Comp Play (62% since All Star break)
Cincinatti -2.5 over Dallas
Cincy head coach Marvin Lewis likes to start the pre-season with a win and has won and covered 3 of his last four pre-season openers. Dallas coach Wade Phillips says his starters will only play about 8 plays tonight while Lewis says he will leave his starters in until "they look comfortable". Bengals are playing in Ohio and will have a lot of fans on had for tonight's game so we think it means a little more to them. Hey, it's only the pre-season and the 1st pre-season game at that but we think Cincinnati is the side tonight.
Comp Play (62% since All Star break)
Cincinatti -2.5 over Dallas
Cincy head coach Marvin Lewis likes to start the pre-season with a win and has won and covered 3 of his last four pre-season openers. Dallas coach Wade Phillips says his starters will only play about 8 plays tonight while Lewis says he will leave his starters in until "they look comfortable". Bengals are playing in Ohio and will have a lot of fans on had for tonight's game so we think it means a little more to them. Hey, it's only the pre-season and the 1st pre-season game at that but we think Cincinnati is the side tonight.
SYNDICATE SHARPS (Via Twitter / EliteCappersPicks)
MLB&NFL: (SUNDAY)
NFL **MEMBERS “FREE PREVIEW” PICK**
Sunday
6 “MEMBERS)
MLB: *MEMBERS*
MLB&NFL: (SUNDAY)
NFL **MEMBERS “FREE PREVIEW” PICK**
8:05PM:*5STAR* DALLAS COWBOYS +3.5 (B 1/2) (-120)
Sunday
6 “MEMBERS)1:35PM:*5STAR* WHITE-SOX -ML (-122)
MLB: *MEMBERS*
1:35PM:*5STAR* METS/PHILLIES OVER6.5 (-105)
2ND PICK:*5STAR* MIL BREWERS -RL -1.5 (-110)
MLB *MEMBERS*
MLB *MEMBERS*
4:05PM:*5STAR* OAKLAND A’S -ML (-110)
4:10PM:*5STAR* SD PADRES -ML (-150)
