Sunday's NFL Week 2 preseason betting primer
With the first regular-season Sunday just three weeks away, the preseason schedule has just three games left in Week 2. Here are betting notes for Sunday's two exhibition matchups:
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers (-4.5, 41.5)
* The Broncos' first-team offense played longer than expected in the team's preseason opener against the Seattle Seahawks, but it remains to be seen how that might affect how much time Peyton Manning and the others see against San Francisco. The running back battle behind injured starter Montee Ball is expected to intensify, with undrafted rookie Juwan Thompson competing with Ronnie Hillman and C.J. Anderson.
* San Francisco head coach Jim Harbaugh says Blaine Gabbert will be the first quarterback off the bench Sunday, spelling starter Colin Kaepernick despite going just 3-of-11 for 20 yards and an interception - good for a 1.7 passer rating - in last week's preseason opener against the Baltimore Ravens. The defensive line is expected to receive a boost with the return of several players from injury, including nose tackle Ian Williams (ankle).
Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers (-3, 40.5)
* The Chiefs will give their first-team offense the entire first half against the Panthers, while hoping quarterback Alex Smith and Co. will be able to do better than the 28 yards and two first downs in managed in the preseason opener against Cincinnati. Bettors should be on the lookout for more special-teams magic after the Chiefs had three touchdown returns - two interceptions and a punt return - against the Bengals.
* Head coach Ron Rivera says Cam Newton will play at least one quarter in his first preseason action, but the veteran quarterback - who is returning from surgery on his left ankle - may wind up with a workload similar to that of his Kansas City counterpart Smith. Expect Newton to seek out electrifying wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin early and often; the rookie has looked sensational in camp and has been lauded for his chemistry with Newton.
With the first regular-season Sunday just three weeks away, the preseason schedule has just three games left in Week 2. Here are betting notes for Sunday's two exhibition matchups:
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers (-4.5, 41.5)
* The Broncos' first-team offense played longer than expected in the team's preseason opener against the Seattle Seahawks, but it remains to be seen how that might affect how much time Peyton Manning and the others see against San Francisco. The running back battle behind injured starter Montee Ball is expected to intensify, with undrafted rookie Juwan Thompson competing with Ronnie Hillman and C.J. Anderson.
* San Francisco head coach Jim Harbaugh says Blaine Gabbert will be the first quarterback off the bench Sunday, spelling starter Colin Kaepernick despite going just 3-of-11 for 20 yards and an interception - good for a 1.7 passer rating - in last week's preseason opener against the Baltimore Ravens. The defensive line is expected to receive a boost with the return of several players from injury, including nose tackle Ian Williams (ankle).
Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers (-3, 40.5)
* The Chiefs will give their first-team offense the entire first half against the Panthers, while hoping quarterback Alex Smith and Co. will be able to do better than the 28 yards and two first downs in managed in the preseason opener against Cincinnati. Bettors should be on the lookout for more special-teams magic after the Chiefs had three touchdown returns - two interceptions and a punt return - against the Bengals.
* Head coach Ron Rivera says Cam Newton will play at least one quarter in his first preseason action, but the veteran quarterback - who is returning from surgery on his left ankle - may wind up with a workload similar to that of his Kansas City counterpart Smith. Expect Newton to seek out electrifying wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin early and often; the rookie has looked sensational in camp and has been lauded for his chemistry with Newton.
HARRY BONDI
NFL Preseason Bonus Play
SAN FRANCISCO (-5) over Denver
4 p.m. ET
Houston us another pre-season winner last night and tonight we again turn to a team at home off a bad pre-season loss. San Francisco Head Coach Jim Harbaugh doesn’t like to lose regular season games, pre-season games or even intra-squad games! The 49ers’ look awful in losing to Baltimore 23-3 last week so we don’t look for Harbaugh to take this game lightly. Even though it is just a pre-season game it is the first game at the new Levi Stadium ans we expect Colin Kaepernick to play several series before giving way to back up Blaine Gabbert who really struggled against Baltimore and really needs a good showing to solidify his position. Denver gots its victory at home over the Super Bowl Champion Seahawks last week so we expect Broncos head man John Fox to put less emphasis on today’s game. Broncos defense got lit up in the second half last week so we expect Gabbert and the other San Francisco reserves to have a field day. 49ers have been a good preseason play under Harbaugh’s covering 63% of the time and do it again this afternoon.
NFL Preseason Bonus Play
SAN FRANCISCO (-5) over Denver
4 p.m. ET
Houston us another pre-season winner last night and tonight we again turn to a team at home off a bad pre-season loss. San Francisco Head Coach Jim Harbaugh doesn’t like to lose regular season games, pre-season games or even intra-squad games! The 49ers’ look awful in losing to Baltimore 23-3 last week so we don’t look for Harbaugh to take this game lightly. Even though it is just a pre-season game it is the first game at the new Levi Stadium ans we expect Colin Kaepernick to play several series before giving way to back up Blaine Gabbert who really struggled against Baltimore and really needs a good showing to solidify his position. Denver gots its victory at home over the Super Bowl Champion Seahawks last week so we expect Broncos head man John Fox to put less emphasis on today’s game. Broncos defense got lit up in the second half last week so we expect Gabbert and the other San Francisco reserves to have a field day. 49ers have been a good preseason play under Harbaugh’s covering 63% of the time and do it again this afternoon.
Diamond Trends - Sunday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Orioles are 10-0 since September 26, 2012 as a favorite after being shutout for a net profit of $1000.
PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:
When Mat Latos starts the Reds are 10-0 since May 22, 2012 as between a -140 favorite and +110 underdog after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $1005.
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
The Cubs are 16-0 OU since May 03, 2008 as a road favorite after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series.
CHOICE TREND:
The Padres are 0-12 since July 31, 2013 as a dog when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1200 when playing against.
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Orioles are 10-0 since September 26, 2012 as a favorite after being shutout for a net profit of $1000.
PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:
When Mat Latos starts the Reds are 10-0 since May 22, 2012 as between a -140 favorite and +110 underdog after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $1005.
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
The Cubs are 16-0 OU since May 03, 2008 as a road favorite after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series.
CHOICE TREND:
The Padres are 0-12 since July 31, 2013 as a dog when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1200 when playing against.
SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS: 405-355-12 YTD
Bonus Play: Boston -135 vs Houston
Sunday 8/17 Service Play's
Once again our 5* play was a winner but failed to cover the RL. We also went 3-1 overall but ended the day 1-3 due to failing to cover the RL. This streak of bad luck has to change soon and hopefully today will be the day!! Let's ride this out and get back on track!! We want this to be a FUN DAY Sunday!
MLB
San Francisco RL -1.5 +125
Baltimore +115
St. Louis RL -1.5 +120
LA Angels RL -1.5 +105
Bonus Play: Boston -135 vs Houston
Sunday 8/17 Service Play's
Once again our 5* play was a winner but failed to cover the RL. We also went 3-1 overall but ended the day 1-3 due to failing to cover the RL. This streak of bad luck has to change soon and hopefully today will be the day!! Let's ride this out and get back on track!! We want this to be a FUN DAY Sunday!
MLB
San Francisco RL -1.5 +125
Baltimore +115
St. Louis RL -1.5 +120
LA Angels RL -1.5 +105
Against the Number
430 UNDER 40.5 Kansas City Chiefs/Carolina Panthers
Last weeks high scoring affair at Arrowhead was a bit of a mirage on the part of the Chiefs. 28 of the Chiefs 41 points came down to a 69 yard pass, a kick return and two interception returns. Not exactly easily repeatable stuff. Now they hit the road against a team that knows defense is going to have to be 60%+ of their recipe for success. On the other sideline, the Panthers will be welcoming back their superstar Cam Newton. However, I can only imagine he’ll play a quarter or less on his surgically repaired ankle, and when he IS in there he’ll be seeing a very different team around him from last year. With a completely overhauled receiving corps, it would be understandable if the first few series for the Panthers are nothing more than a “run through the motions and get comfortable” exercise. Joe Webb has the leg up on the 3rd string spot and will likely play a large portion of the game as Derek Anderson’s backup role is not in question. If that’s the case it can go on of two ways. He has the ability to threaten our total, or he’s inconsistent enough to squander opportunities. We’ll hope for the latter. This game just feels like a lot of backups and 3rd stringers, pretty limited play books, some hard hitting, and a low score.
430 UNDER 40.5 Kansas City Chiefs/Carolina Panthers
Last weeks high scoring affair at Arrowhead was a bit of a mirage on the part of the Chiefs. 28 of the Chiefs 41 points came down to a 69 yard pass, a kick return and two interception returns. Not exactly easily repeatable stuff. Now they hit the road against a team that knows defense is going to have to be 60%+ of their recipe for success. On the other sideline, the Panthers will be welcoming back their superstar Cam Newton. However, I can only imagine he’ll play a quarter or less on his surgically repaired ankle, and when he IS in there he’ll be seeing a very different team around him from last year. With a completely overhauled receiving corps, it would be understandable if the first few series for the Panthers are nothing more than a “run through the motions and get comfortable” exercise. Joe Webb has the leg up on the 3rd string spot and will likely play a large portion of the game as Derek Anderson’s backup role is not in question. If that’s the case it can go on of two ways. He has the ability to threaten our total, or he’s inconsistent enough to squander opportunities. We’ll hope for the latter. This game just feels like a lot of backups and 3rd stringers, pretty limited play books, some hard hitting, and a low score.
