GREG SHAKER
2* 954 Mia / 953 ARI – OVER 7
Analysis: This series has not produced many runs and certainly the last 2 games have not but we are likely to have some scored today with the way these two throwers have been throwing and what is considered one of the Best OVER Umps in the game. HP Ump Meals is OVER at 14-7 this year and his games have seen 9.6 per game. Collmenter is on a 3 game drought and Koehler has surrendered at least 3 runs in 5 of his last 7 outings plus he has not faired well facing these DBacks. Last time pitching at his he gave up 7 runs in just 3 innings worked. OUCH! There are other reasons why we have a fair number here of 8.2 and the drop off the 7.5 to 7 gives us this play.
2* 954 Mia / 953 ARI – OVER 7
Analysis: This series has not produced many runs and certainly the last 2 games have not but we are likely to have some scored today with the way these two throwers have been throwing and what is considered one of the Best OVER Umps in the game. HP Ump Meals is OVER at 14-7 this year and his games have seen 9.6 per game. Collmenter is on a 3 game drought and Koehler has surrendered at least 3 runs in 5 of his last 7 outings plus he has not faired well facing these DBacks. Last time pitching at his he gave up 7 runs in just 3 innings worked. OUCH! There are other reasons why we have a fair number here of 8.2 and the drop off the 7.5 to 7 gives us this play.
River City Sharps
The Mariners Chris Young has treated the Sharps and our clients pretty well this season and he will get the ball this afternoon opposing Robbie Ray and the Detroit Tigers. Ray is taking the spot in the rotation vacated by Anibal Sanchez when he went on the DL. Young has been a workhorse for these Mariners this season, who still find themselves right in the thick of the Wild Card race in the AL. We have some questions whether Ray can get the job done for the Tigers as he wasn't exactly lighting the world on fire while pitching for Triple-A Toledo. This will be his second start in the rotation, the first was a 4-2 loss to the Pirates on Tuesday. The Mariners have been a really solid road play, especially against the better teams in the AL. They are 15-6 in their last 21 road games vs. teams with a winning record and 4-0 over Young's last four starts. Conversely, the Tigers are just 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. teams with a winning mark. Young and the Mariners get the final game of this series this afternoon. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - SEATTLE MARINERS (-105)
The Mariners Chris Young has treated the Sharps and our clients pretty well this season and he will get the ball this afternoon opposing Robbie Ray and the Detroit Tigers. Ray is taking the spot in the rotation vacated by Anibal Sanchez when he went on the DL. Young has been a workhorse for these Mariners this season, who still find themselves right in the thick of the Wild Card race in the AL. We have some questions whether Ray can get the job done for the Tigers as he wasn't exactly lighting the world on fire while pitching for Triple-A Toledo. This will be his second start in the rotation, the first was a 4-2 loss to the Pirates on Tuesday. The Mariners have been a really solid road play, especially against the better teams in the AL. They are 15-6 in their last 21 road games vs. teams with a winning record and 4-0 over Young's last four starts. Conversely, the Tigers are just 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. teams with a winning mark. Young and the Mariners get the final game of this series this afternoon. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - SEATTLE MARINERS (-105)
LineCatchers
Coming off a 3-1 night on my MLB Plays on Saturday, we head into Sunday’s action on a 14-7 MLB run and look to continue that going with todays plays. I have 6 MLB Plays going today including my MLB GOW Play, this is my top rated play of the week.
The LA Dodgers have dropped he first 2 games of this mini 3 game series against the Brewers and will look to get a W when Dan Haren takes the mound this afternoon. Haren has been very inconsistent this season and comes into this game with a 10-9 record in 24 starts this year. He has pitched to a 4.50 ERA in 140 IP which ranks 3rd worst in the NL among starting pitchers who have worked at least 140 IP in 2014. In 6 ‘Day’ starts this season, Haren has been rocked for 23 ER in just 35 2/3 IP. He is 2-4 with a 5.80 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in those matinee games whilst opponents have hit a lofty .325 against him.
Wily Peralta gets the nod for the Brewers and he comes into todays match up with a 14-7 record in 24 starts this season. The righty has pitched to a 3.46 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 151 IP in 2014 and the Brewers are 15-9 in games Peralta has started. Peralta is 1-1 in 2 career outings against the Dodgers with an ERA of 8.21 and 2.01 WHIP. Peralta has struggled with his command in 11 road starts this year, he has issued 9 walks in his last 3 road outings opponents are hitting .270 in 9 ‘Day’ games against Peralta this season.
I feel the value is defiantly on the OVER in this mach up, especially with the line currently at 8. Both teams have hit the baseball pretty well over the last week and the Over is 14-7 when you combine Peralta and Haren’s Home/Road starts.
Milwaukee Brewers / LA Dodgers Over 8
Coming off a 3-1 night on my MLB Plays on Saturday, we head into Sunday’s action on a 14-7 MLB run and look to continue that going with todays plays. I have 6 MLB Plays going today including my MLB GOW Play, this is my top rated play of the week.
The LA Dodgers have dropped he first 2 games of this mini 3 game series against the Brewers and will look to get a W when Dan Haren takes the mound this afternoon. Haren has been very inconsistent this season and comes into this game with a 10-9 record in 24 starts this year. He has pitched to a 4.50 ERA in 140 IP which ranks 3rd worst in the NL among starting pitchers who have worked at least 140 IP in 2014. In 6 ‘Day’ starts this season, Haren has been rocked for 23 ER in just 35 2/3 IP. He is 2-4 with a 5.80 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in those matinee games whilst opponents have hit a lofty .325 against him.
Wily Peralta gets the nod for the Brewers and he comes into todays match up with a 14-7 record in 24 starts this season. The righty has pitched to a 3.46 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 151 IP in 2014 and the Brewers are 15-9 in games Peralta has started. Peralta is 1-1 in 2 career outings against the Dodgers with an ERA of 8.21 and 2.01 WHIP. Peralta has struggled with his command in 11 road starts this year, he has issued 9 walks in his last 3 road outings opponents are hitting .270 in 9 ‘Day’ games against Peralta this season.
I feel the value is defiantly on the OVER in this mach up, especially with the line currently at 8. Both teams have hit the baseball pretty well over the last week and the Over is 14-7 when you combine Peralta and Haren’s Home/Road starts.
Milwaukee Brewers / LA Dodgers Over 8
SPORTSWAGERS
CFL
B.C. Lions @ TORONTO
TORONTO +3½ -107 over B.C. Lions
(Risking 2.14 units - To Win: 2.00)
The elephant in the room here is that the Argos will be playing on five days rest after they knocked off the Blue Bombers on Tuesday. Winnipeg got whacked on short rest in that game and now folks are expecting a similar fate for the Argonauts. The first thing every news article writes about regarding this game is the difference in rest, which has had a big influence on the betting line. Argos opened as a 1½-point pooch and that line has shot up to 3½. However, when Winnipeg played in Toronto on Tuesday, they had to travel, the Argonauts do not and that’s a huge difference. Much has also been made about the key offensive injuries to several Argos but Ricky Ray is so good and so accurate that he can compensate or utilize just about anyone. Ray spread the ball around to 10 different receivers against Winnipeg and completed 26 of 33 passes. The Argos 406 yards per game is easily the best mark in the CFL. Toronto's defense is coming on too.
This week we’ve seen two flat teams from the West playing the East when Ottawa nearly upset a lethargic Edmonton club while Montreal came within a whisker of doing the same thing to the Riders in Saskatchewan. Now the Lions are coming off back-to-back wins over Calgary and Hamilton and both were of the intense variety, as they both came right down to the wire. The Lions have a much bigger game on deck next week against Saskatchewan so don’t be surprised if they’re somewhat flat too. Lions QB, Kevin Glenn was named offensive player of the week. Combine that with the “short rest” angle and what we have is an inflated number that has been influenced by the media. We get the better QB, playing for a team that is starting to roil and we also get a nice number on the Double Blue in their own barn. Definite upset possibility.
CFL
B.C. Lions @ TORONTO
TORONTO +3½ -107 over B.C. Lions
(Risking 2.14 units - To Win: 2.00)
The elephant in the room here is that the Argos will be playing on five days rest after they knocked off the Blue Bombers on Tuesday. Winnipeg got whacked on short rest in that game and now folks are expecting a similar fate for the Argonauts. The first thing every news article writes about regarding this game is the difference in rest, which has had a big influence on the betting line. Argos opened as a 1½-point pooch and that line has shot up to 3½. However, when Winnipeg played in Toronto on Tuesday, they had to travel, the Argonauts do not and that’s a huge difference. Much has also been made about the key offensive injuries to several Argos but Ricky Ray is so good and so accurate that he can compensate or utilize just about anyone. Ray spread the ball around to 10 different receivers against Winnipeg and completed 26 of 33 passes. The Argos 406 yards per game is easily the best mark in the CFL. Toronto's defense is coming on too.
This week we’ve seen two flat teams from the West playing the East when Ottawa nearly upset a lethargic Edmonton club while Montreal came within a whisker of doing the same thing to the Riders in Saskatchewan. Now the Lions are coming off back-to-back wins over Calgary and Hamilton and both were of the intense variety, as they both came right down to the wire. The Lions have a much bigger game on deck next week against Saskatchewan so don’t be surprised if they’re somewhat flat too. Lions QB, Kevin Glenn was named offensive player of the week. Combine that with the “short rest” angle and what we have is an inflated number that has been influenced by the media. We get the better QB, playing for a team that is starting to roil and we also get a nice number on the Double Blue in their own barn. Definite upset possibility.
