I agree with this-I got lucky and hit a 12 team parlay a few years ago risking $10-yet I don't "quite" consider myself a handicapping genius-in fact that is why I come here to get picks from folks who are a heck of a lot better than I am in picking games on an everyday basis.
ps IMO most of the sports services over time are not profitable-it is a matter of hopping on and hopping off a hot one at the right time, meaning that there is luck involved also.
ps If anyone cares, I went back and checked-it was actually only a 10 team parlay I hit-still very lucky though and haven't hit one since. lol