Service Plays Sunday 7/11/10

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SPORTS WAGERS

July 11, 2010 - 2:30 PM

@ Johannesburg

Netherlands +3.00 over Spain Pinnacle

Netherlands +1.67 (to win the WC) over Spain Pinnacle

The Netherlands has been playing up and down to their opponents throughout this installment of the World Cup. During the group stage they never left 3rd gear. The Dutch narrowly, but confidently, defeated the likes of Denmark, Japan and Cameroon en route to a sweep of group E. In their Round of 16 match the 2-1 score line doesn't do the Netherlands any justice, as the lone Slovak goal came via an erroneous penalty kick in the dying seconds of the game. The Dutch then did the unthinkable in scoring two unanswered second half goals to claim a 2-1 victory over a heavily favored Brazil. They came out sluggish against the Uruguayans in their semifinal match but again scored two goals in the second half, this time to claim a 3-2 victory. The Spaniards have continually picked up momentum throughout the course of the tournament. Things certainly looked bleak for "La Furia Roja" when they dropped their opening match 1-0 to Switzerland. That result is still one of the biggest upsets of this World Cup and although it happened just 24 days ago, it seems like ancient history now. Spain responded with convincing victories over the Hondurans and Chileans to claim victory in group H. The Spaniards went on to win all three of their knockout stage matches by the slimmest of margins at 1-0. However, they completely dominated the impactful statistics in all three of those matches. Most impressively they have surrendered just nine shots on target and dominated possession 58-42% in matches facing elimination. The issue with Spain, however, is they are dependant on finding that perfect opportunity and making good on it. The Dutch are very capable of shutting down the Spaniards, as its defending enters this match rather underrated. Two of the five goals they have surrendered in the tournament came via penalty kicks and they were able to hold an electrifying Brazil to just one goal. The Dutch also have the advantage of seeing what "sitting back" did for the Germans and are full aware that they will have to push forward if they want to be crowned World Cup champions. The "Oranje" sport one of the best combos in the world of football in Snejder and Robben and you can rest assure they will leave an impression on this World Cup final. The Netherlands certainly aren't lacking confidence entering the match, as they are currently riding a 25-game unbeaten streak that extends over two years. It's hard to bet against the likes of David Villa, Andres Iniesta and Xavi (all Golden Ball nominees) but the fact of the matter is that Spain offers no value entering this match at just slightly over even money. The name of the game is value and that rests solely on the side of the Netherlands. They’re a capable underdog that has all the right tools to break through the Spanish midfield and defense. The Dutch have better than a puncher's chance in this one and taking 3-1 on them is just too hard to pass up. Hup Holland Hup! Play: Netherlands +3.00 (Risking 1 unit) Play: Netherlands +1.67 to win the World Cup (Risking 1 unit).

The above selections are courtesy of Robert Reid Jr.
 
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NICK PARSONS


GAME: Netherlands @ Spain Jul 11, 2010 2:30PM
SPORT: Soccer Picks
PICK: over
REASON FOR PICK: There are many options when wagering on soccer; this play is based off Pinnacle Sports Book on the "over" 2 goals +101:

First off, I'd like to thank everyone that's joined me for the 2010 World Cup! It's truly been a special one for me. I've had many big *10* WINNERS including my ONE AND ONLY W.C. "TOTAL OF THE YEAR" on the Argentina/Germany "over" (4-0 German destruction) and my "GAME OF THE YEAR" on Netherlands over Uruguay!

I'm also JUST coming off my *10* "TOP TOTAL" on the Spain/Germany "under" (1-0 laugher).

I'm 17-8-5 (67%) with my paid/free 2010 World Cup picks…and guess what?! It's not over folks!

I've just posted my *10* WORLD CUP WINNER!

Don't miss out!

But back to business: What more can be said about these two sides that hasn't literally been said millions of times by every news and sporting agency across the globe already?

Netherlands is a massive underdog here as oddsmakers aren't giving them much of chance to score against the stingy Spaniards.

However, I believe the Dutch will find the back of the net in this one, which in turn will force Spain to open it up itself.

On the other side of the pitch: Remember, this is a Holland club that beat Brazil, and then a tough Uruguay team in the semi's, 3-2!

Some would suggest that the Netherlands haven't looked "up to par" in either of their last two victories and are "lucky" to be in the Final; to that I say: WHAT?!

Brazil is a monster; any team would have a tough time against it, including Spain. The fact that Netherlands knocked it off the way that they did is a testament to how deep and talented this club is.

Bottom line: Neither side has won the World Cup; I believe both will be pushing the tempo on Sunday; consider a second look at the OVER 2 goals +101 in the 2010 World Cup Final!

Good luck gentlemen…N Parsons
 
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Sunday Baseball

100* Play NY Yankees (-235) over Seattle
Game starts at 4:10 PM EST

New York has won 7 of the last 8 games and they have also won 10 of the last 12 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs. C.C. Sabathia has won 18 of the last 20 games as a road favorite of -175 or higher and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.14.

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50* Play Tampa Bay (-230) over Cleveland

Game starts at 1:40 PM EST


Cleveland has lost 9 of the last 12 games vs. Tampa Bay on the road and they have also lost 15 of the last 19 games as an underdog of +175 to +250. Justin Masterson has lost 17 of the last 21 road games and he is 1-5 in road games this season with an ERA of 6.70.


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50* Play Milwaukee (-180) over Pittsburgh

Game starts at 7:10 PM EST



Pittsburgh has lost 18 of the last 20 games vs. Milwaukee on the road and they have also lost 22 of the last 26 road games as an underdog of +125 to +200. Pittsburgh has lost 6 of the last 7 overall games and they have also lost 14 of the last 17 games after batting .225 or worse over the last 10 games.



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Canadian Football



100* Play Montreal (-5) over Edmonton

Game starts at 7:00 PM EST



Montreal has won 16 of the last 18 games coming off a road game and they have won 23 of the last 27 games when playing in the 1st two weeks of the season. Montreal has won 10 of the last 12 games when playing on a Sunday and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games coming off a road loss.
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DUNKEL MLB

Boston at Toronto

The Red Sox look to bounce back from yesterday's loss and build on their 7-1 record in Daisuke Matsuzaka's last 8 starts as a road favorite from -110 to -150. Boston is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 11
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Atlanta at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 14.758; NY Mets (Santana) 15.431
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-135); Under

Game 953-954: San Francisco at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.128; Washington (Hernandez) 15.308
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Over

Game 955-956: Cincinnati at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Maloney) 16.064; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.218
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+155); Over

Game 957-958: St. Louis at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Hawksworth) 15.983; Houston (Rodriguez) 14.635
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 13.624; Milwaukee (Wolf) 14.574
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-200); Under

Game 961-962: San Diego at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 16.220; Colorado (Francis) 14.987
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+110); Over

Game 963-964: Florida at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanabia) 14.724; Arizona (Enright) 14.243
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-110); Over

Game 965-966: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Silva) 15.842; LA Dodgers (Padilla) 14.939
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Under

Game 967-968: Minnesota at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 14.739; Detroit (Oliver) 14.312
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-125); Under

Game 969-970: Boston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.812; Toronto (Litsch) 14.841
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Over

Game 971-972: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.113; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.957
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-240); Under

Game 973-974: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 16.606; White Sox (Hudson) 16.322
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-130); Under

Game 975-976: Baltimore at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Arrieta) 14.512; Texas (Wilson) 15.364
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-300); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-300); Under

Game 977-978: LA Angels at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.836; Oakland (Cahill) 14.909
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-110); Under

Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.059; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.172
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-240); Over
 
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DUNKEL WNBA

Chicago at New York

The Liberty look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against teams with a losing SU record. New York is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 11
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: Chicago at New York (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 111.057; New York 115.397
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 153
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-3); Over
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KIKI SPORTS

Sunday July 11th

1 unit Atlanta/ Mets UNDER 7.5
2 units San Fran +105
1 unit Colorado -130

WORLD CUP FINAL :
2 units Spain +100
 
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Sunday, July 11

Hot pitchers
-- Santana is 1-0, 0.56 in his last two starts; Mets are 7-1 if they give him three or more runs (1-8 if not). Lowe has a 2.97 RA in his last five starts.
-- Nationals won last eight LHernandez home starts. Bumgarner has 3.27 RA in his first three big league starts.
-- WRodriguez is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
-- Richard is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
-- Padilla is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts. Silva is 1-0, 2.75 in his last three starts.

-- Pavano is 4-0, 2.96 in his last six starts.
-- Niemann has 2.42 RA in his last four starts.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 3.69 in his last five starts.
-- Wilson is 2-1, 2.41 in his last four starts.
-- Cahill is 7-1, 2.78 in his last ten starts. Weaver is 2-1, 1.98 in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 7-0, 2.05 in his last seven starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Maloney allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his first '10 start, a 3-0 loss. Hamels is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Wolf is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Lincoln is 1-2, 5.63 in four road starts.
-- Francis is 0-1, 9.15 in his last four starts. Hawksworth is 1-2, 5.85 in four starts this season.
-- Sanabia has thrown 8.1 big league innings, all in relief, allowing four runs; he was 5-1, 2.03 in 14 starts in AA Southern League. Enright is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts, pitching total of 10.2 innings.

-- Oliver is 0-2, 8.56 in three starts this season.
-- Indians lost seven of last eight Masterson road starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 0-1, 5.63 in his last three starts. Litsch is 0-3, 7.30 in his five starts this season.
-- Arrieta is 0-2, 7.78 in his last four starts.
-- DHudson was 1-1, 3.38 in 18.2 IP in majors LY, starting two games; he is 11-4, 3.27 in 17 AAA starts this year.
-- Rowland-Smith is 1-8, 6.98 in his last ten starts.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve San Francisco road games went over.
-- Under is 14-5-1 in last 20 Cincinnati road games.
-- Under is 11-3-2 in last sixteen Atlanta games.
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Houston games.
-- Under is 7-0-3 in last ten Pittsburgh road games.
-- Eight of last eleven games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- 11 of last 13 Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Six of Cubs' last seven road games went over the total.

-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Toronto games.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen games at Comerica Park.
-- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Cleveland road games.
-- Over is 14-6 in last 20 Baltimore games.
-- Under is 8-3 in White Sox' last eleven home games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Oakland home games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Bronx road games.

Hot Teams
-- Giants won five of their last six games. Nationals won four of their five rubber games at home.
-- Phillies are 9-3 in last eleven home games.
-- Braves won seven of their last nine games.
-- Astros won six of their last seven home games.
-- Rockies won 15 of their last 18 home games.
-- Florida is 7-4 in rubber game of a series, 4-2 on road.
-- Dodgers are 8-4 in their last twelve games. Cubs won five of their last seven road games.

-- Tigers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Rays won nine of their last eleven games.
-- White Sox won last seven games, allowing total of 11 runs. Royals are 8-4 in their last twelve games, 6-3 in last nine on road.
-- Orioles won their last three games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Bronx won nine of its last eleven road games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost last three games, scoring a total of three runs.
-- Padres lost four of their last five games.
-- Reds lost their last three games, all on walk-off hits.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Brewers lost five of last seven home games. Pirates lost 20 of their last 22 road games, scoring eight runs in last four.
-- Diamondbacks lost six of their last eight games.

-- Red Sox lost five of their last six games. Toronto is 3-9 in its last 13.
-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Indians lost four of their last five games.
-- Rangers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Angels lost seven of last nine games. A's lost four of last five.
-- Mariners lost six of their last seven home games.

Umpires
-- Atl-NY-- Underdog won five of last six (+$467)Darling games.
-- SF-Wsh-- Under is 11-3 in last fourteen Wolf games.
-- Cin-Phil-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Tichenor games.
-- StL-Hst-- Seven of last nine Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- There are no trends that stand out about ump Guccione
-- SD-Col-- Five of last six Hickox games went over the total.
-- Fla-Az-- Four of last five Hernandez games stayed under total.
-- Chi-LA-- Last six Layne games stayed under the total.

-- Bos-Tor-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Nelson games.
-- Min-Det-- Under is 8-4 in last dozen Cooper games.
-- KC-Chi-- Five of last seven Knight games stayed under total.
-- Clev-TB-- Last five Barry games went over the total.
-- Blt-Tex-- Underdog is 4-2 (+$597) in last six Iassogna games.
-- LA-A's-- Underdog is 10-4 (+$1,053) in last 14 Randazzo games.
-- NY-Sea-- Five of last seven Rapuano games stayed under total.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Braves again Saturday. Sunday it's the Braves.

The deficit is 680 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

Slumping Hondo staggered to his fourth straight de feat yesterday when the Dodgers went down meekly against the Cubs, causing the deficit to expand to 970 torgesons.

Today, he'll close out the front nine by double-dip ping with the Braves and Cubs -- 10 units apiece on Lowe and Silva.
 

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jeff benton sunday

2-0 yesterday PLUS 40 dimes OR $460. overall, 75-87-3 MINUS 210 dimes.

Sunday's Action 20 DIME selection on the Philadelphia Phillies on the run line (-1½ runs) over the Reds. Note that all run-line plays reqaire listing starting pitchers, so both Philadelphia’s Cole Hamels and Cincinnati’s Matt Maloney must start or this play is VOID. As I releaese this play, the Phillies are catohing a +125 price on the run line.


Phillies (-1½)

I know that Cole Hamels hasn’t been a very bettor-friendly pitcher this season. He’s 6-7 with a 4.05 ERA, and the Phillies are 8-9 when he pitches, including 1-7 in his last eight starts (0-4 last four, all as a favorite). However, Hamels has been strong at home, posting a 3.07 ERA and alloaing just 48 hits and 14 walks in 55 2/3 innings (1.11 WHIP).

More importantly, he has flat-out owned the Cincinnati Reds in his career, going 5-0 with a 1.26 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP in six career starts. Not only did the Phillies win all six games, but five were multiple-run victories. And in two career home starts against the Reds – one in 2008, one in 2009 – Hamels surrenedered just one run, six hits and three walks in 16 innings. The final scores of those two games: 5-0 and 22-1!

Collectively, the Reds are batting just .150 in 43 innings against Hamels, and that includes Brandon Phillips (2-for-18), Joey Votto (1-for-6) and Jay Bruce (1-for-9). The one Red who has had at least a little success against Hamels is Scott Rolen (3-for-10, 2 RBIs), but Rolen is expected to miss his third straight game with a back injury.

While the Phillies have won just eight times in Hamels’ 17 starts this season, six of those victories have covered the run line (including three of four at home). In fact, 13 of Philadelphia’s last 17 wins – including seven of the last nine – have been by more than one run.

Finally, this game concledes a 10-game road trip for Cincinnati – it has lost five of the last eight, including consecutive defeats the last two nights – and it comes one day before the All-Star break (in other words, don’t be surprised if the Reds lack a little focus here). On top of that, Cincy is going with Matt Malony on the mound, and this is just the lefty’s second big-league appearance of the season. The first came Wednesday at the Mets, and the Reds lost 3-0, falling to 2-5 in Maloney’s last seven starts going back to June 2000, with Maloney posting a 5.13 ERA in those seven games.



 
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Mr A

San Francisco Giants (46-41) at Washington Nationals (39-49)
(L) Madison Bumgarner (1-2) vs. (R) Livan Hernandez (6-4)
San Francisco Giants +110

Washington as a -120 home favorite over San Francisco with the total listed at 8½'over'

Sunday, July 11, 2010 2:10 p.m. est.
Pittsburgh Pirates (30-57) at Milwaukee Brewers (39-49)
(R) Brad Lincoln (1-3) vs. (L) Randy Wolf (6-8)
Milwaukee Brewers -180
 
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Wicked Good Wagers

17-8 this week, +36 UNITS for a 5 UNIT bettor.

Here are today's picks:

MLB

Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Colorado Rockies PICK
N.Y. Yankees -1.5

Note: Wager to win evenly across all 3 picks.
 

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