Bob Balfe
England PK
Both teams could have played better in Group play and are very similarly matched on both sides of the ball. The difference here is that England already passed their speed bump in Group play and have since stepped up their defense and goaltending. Look for England to win in a thriller late in the match. Take England as a pick (-140).
Argentina -1
Argentina might be the best team remaining in the tournament and they will have no problem handling the speed of Mexico. Messi has proven he is the most thrilling player in the world and he has yet to score a goal. Look for Argentina to win the time of possession and advance with virtually no problems today. Take Argentina -1 (+115).
Pittsburgh Pirates +215
Ross Ohlendorf is winless this season, but will have a great shot against Gio Gonzalez, who was struggled and appears to be very inferior in his past few starts. Pittsburgh is not a good road team, but they have shown some signs of improvement and have hit the ball well (just never able to generate runs). This is a favorable line for Pittsburgh as Gonzalez is not a -200 caliber pitcher. Look for the Pirates to avoid the sweep today.
England PK
Both teams could have played better in Group play and are very similarly matched on both sides of the ball. The difference here is that England already passed their speed bump in Group play and have since stepped up their defense and goaltending. Look for England to win in a thriller late in the match. Take England as a pick (-140).
Argentina -1
Argentina might be the best team remaining in the tournament and they will have no problem handling the speed of Mexico. Messi has proven he is the most thrilling player in the world and he has yet to score a goal. Look for Argentina to win the time of possession and advance with virtually no problems today. Take Argentina -1 (+115).
Pittsburgh Pirates +215
Ross Ohlendorf is winless this season, but will have a great shot against Gio Gonzalez, who was struggled and appears to be very inferior in his past few starts. Pittsburgh is not a good road team, but they have shown some signs of improvement and have hit the ball well (just never able to generate runs). This is a favorable line for Pittsburgh as Gonzalez is not a -200 caliber pitcher. Look for the Pirates to avoid the sweep today.
SPORTS WAGERS
Germany +1.04 over England
England has a slight edge in head to head World Cup play with 12 wins to Germany's 10 and the other 5 matches all ended in stalemate. When the draw for World Cup groupings was completed it was thought that England would have no problem marching through USA, Slovenia and Algeria. It was, however, nothing close to the "walk in the park" that everyone expected. They were off to a great start against Team USA when captain Steven Gerrard scored in the 4th minute of the match but all momentum was lost when Robert Green squandered away an English victory by fumbling the ball into his own net. Since that goal the English have been snake bitten. They settled for a draw against Algeria in one of the most dreadful matches of the tournament and then did just enough to defeat Slovenia by a score of 1-0. England really hasn't found their stride yet and at times have looked uninspired and lazy. Germany had to deal with a much tougher group. They completely demoralized the Aussies with a dominating 4-0 victory in its opener. Their loss to Serbia was nothing more than an offshoot of horrible officiating. The referee in that match was handing out more cards than a blackjack dealer at Caesars Palace. The Germans had to play with just 10 men from the 37th minute on and without their primary striker Miroslav Klose. Down a man, Germany dominated the 2nd Half and would have tied the match if Lukas Podolski could have only converted his penalty kick. The Germans rebounded with a very clinical 1-0 victory over Ghana. Mesut Ozil was instrumental for Germany, scoring the match-winning goal on a marvelous kick. The Germans have played better football than the British to this point and pulling the trigger on them in this match would be much easier if not for some key injuries. Cacau has already been ruled for the match and both Schweinsteiger and Boateng are expected to play through their ailments. The latter two took part in Saturday's training sessions, but if Schweinsteiger is not near 100% it would be a huge blow to the German side. He adds experience and leadership, which is always crucial for a team brimming with young talent. It was very evident that the German attack missed Miroslav Klose in their last match and his return will be of great importance.
The English might build on their 1-0 victory over Slovenia and come out with their best effort of the tournament. However, this is not a German side that will ever lay down and die. This match figures to be a very tight and physical contest and that might favor the conditioning and youthful legs of the German side. It's very possible that these teams could play to a draw after both regulation and extra time. If that was to happen Germany would certainly have the upper hand, due to the penalty kick fragility in the collective English psyche. England was eliminated by Germany on penalties in the 1990 World Cup in Italy and the 1996 Euro Cup in England. Their two most recent eliminations from international competitions came via penalty kick losses to Portugal in both Euro 2004 and the 2006 World Cup in Germany. England is a public team, gambling wise, that take a tremendous amount of action in their own country and from their fans around the world. For example, if England was to win the World Cup one British bookmaking company would have to pay out over $75 million. This will be a grueling match between two of the superpowers of European football. Germany offers all of the VALUE taking plus money in a contest that will be decided by the narrowest of margins. Play: Germany +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
Germany +1.04 over England
England has a slight edge in head to head World Cup play with 12 wins to Germany's 10 and the other 5 matches all ended in stalemate. When the draw for World Cup groupings was completed it was thought that England would have no problem marching through USA, Slovenia and Algeria. It was, however, nothing close to the "walk in the park" that everyone expected. They were off to a great start against Team USA when captain Steven Gerrard scored in the 4th minute of the match but all momentum was lost when Robert Green squandered away an English victory by fumbling the ball into his own net. Since that goal the English have been snake bitten. They settled for a draw against Algeria in one of the most dreadful matches of the tournament and then did just enough to defeat Slovenia by a score of 1-0. England really hasn't found their stride yet and at times have looked uninspired and lazy. Germany had to deal with a much tougher group. They completely demoralized the Aussies with a dominating 4-0 victory in its opener. Their loss to Serbia was nothing more than an offshoot of horrible officiating. The referee in that match was handing out more cards than a blackjack dealer at Caesars Palace. The Germans had to play with just 10 men from the 37th minute on and without their primary striker Miroslav Klose. Down a man, Germany dominated the 2nd Half and would have tied the match if Lukas Podolski could have only converted his penalty kick. The Germans rebounded with a very clinical 1-0 victory over Ghana. Mesut Ozil was instrumental for Germany, scoring the match-winning goal on a marvelous kick. The Germans have played better football than the British to this point and pulling the trigger on them in this match would be much easier if not for some key injuries. Cacau has already been ruled for the match and both Schweinsteiger and Boateng are expected to play through their ailments. The latter two took part in Saturday's training sessions, but if Schweinsteiger is not near 100% it would be a huge blow to the German side. He adds experience and leadership, which is always crucial for a team brimming with young talent. It was very evident that the German attack missed Miroslav Klose in their last match and his return will be of great importance.
The English might build on their 1-0 victory over Slovenia and come out with their best effort of the tournament. However, this is not a German side that will ever lay down and die. This match figures to be a very tight and physical contest and that might favor the conditioning and youthful legs of the German side. It's very possible that these teams could play to a draw after both regulation and extra time. If that was to happen Germany would certainly have the upper hand, due to the penalty kick fragility in the collective English psyche. England was eliminated by Germany on penalties in the 1990 World Cup in Italy and the 1996 Euro Cup in England. Their two most recent eliminations from international competitions came via penalty kick losses to Portugal in both Euro 2004 and the 2006 World Cup in Germany. England is a public team, gambling wise, that take a tremendous amount of action in their own country and from their fans around the world. For example, if England was to win the World Cup one British bookmaking company would have to pay out over $75 million. This will be a grueling match between two of the superpowers of European football. Germany offers all of the VALUE taking plus money in a contest that will be decided by the narrowest of margins. Play: Germany +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
Hot pitchers
-- Latos is 3-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
-- Moyer is 3-1, 1.36 in his last four starts in Philly.
-- Arroyo is 2-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Mets won last four Niese starts (3-0, 3.25).
-- Tigers are 8-1 with Verlander when they score more than three runs, 0-4 when they don't. Hanson is 2-0, 0.66 in his last two home starts.
-- Danks is 3-0, 2.05 in his last three starts. Dempster has a 2.45 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Vargas is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin is 1-1, 1.54 in his last two starts.
-- JGarcia is 6-2, 2.17 in his last eleven starts.
-- Rangers are 4-0 when Hunter starts (3-0, 3.09). Oswalt is 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
-- Lester is 8-1, 2.09 in his last 12 starts. Lincecum is 3-0, 2.05 in his last three starts.
-- Dodgers won seven of last nine Kershaw starts. Pettitte is 4-1, 2.66 in his last six outings.
Cold pitchers
-- ASanchez is 2-2, 5.04 in his last four starts.
-- Cecil is 0-2, 9.00 in his last couple starts (11 runs/11 IP).
-- Talbot is 0-2, 8.10 in his last three starts.
-- Baker is 1-2, 4.97 in his last four starts.
-- Lopez is 1-4, 5.81 in his last seven starts.
-- Atilano is 1-3, 5.81 in his last four starts. Guthrie is 0-5, 5.57 in his last five outings.
-- Davis is 0-4, 7.32 in his last four starts.
-- Chen is 2-2, 4.67 in five starts this season.
-- Narveson has a 6.47 RA in his last six starts.
-- GGonzalez is 0-2, 5.71 in his last three starts. Pirates lost last four Ohlendorf starts (0-3, 7.04).
-- ESantana is 1-2, 7.41 in his last three starts.
Totals
-- 11 of last 14 games at Citi Field stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last twelve Padre road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 12-5 in last seventeen Washington road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Arizona games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-0-1 in last ten Hanson starts.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Oswalt starts.
-- Eight of last ten Cardinal games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Milwaukee games.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in last seventeen Oakland home games.
-- Under is 9-2 in last eleven Colorado road games.
-- Eight of last eleven Dodger home games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight San Francisco home games went over the total.
Hot Teams
-- Mets won 13 of their last 16 home games.
-- Phillies won six of their last nine games. .
-- Padres are 18-8 in their last 26 road games.
-- Orioles won their last three games, scoring 24 runs.
-- White Sox won their last 11 games, allowing total of 24 runs.
-- Braves won 15 of their last 16 home games.
-- Reds won their last five games, allowing 13 runs.
-- Rangers won 14 of their last 16 games.
-- Brewers are 10-5 in their last fifteen games at Miller Park. Mariners won seven of their last nine games..
-- Angels won 16 of their last 23 games. Rockies won six of last nine.
-- Bronx won six of its last nine games.
-- A's are now 8-0 against the Pirates in interleague play.
-- Giants won seven of their last nine home games.
Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Twins are 10-17 in their last 27 road games.
-- Cubs are 8-16 in their last twenty-four games.
-- Astros lost 10 of their last 14 games.
-- Blue Jays are 4-9 in last 13 games away from Toronto.
-- Tigers lost 12 of their last 16 road games.
-- Nationals lost ten of their last eleven road games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last eleven road games.
-- Indians lost 11 of their last 12 games.
-- Arizona is 2-16 in its last 18 road games. Rays are 7-11 in their last eighteen home games.
-- Royals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Pirates lost their last 16 road games.
-- Dodgers lost seven of their last nine games.
Umpires
-- SD-Fla-- Five of last six Bell games went over the total.
-- Min-NY-- Favorite won six of last seven Davis games.
-- Phil-Tor-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Drake games.
-- StL-KC-- Home team won five of last six Demuth games; favorites are 9-2 in his last eleven games behind the dish.
-- Hat-Tex-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Reilly games.
-- Az-TB-- Five of last six Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- Det-Atl-- Underdogs are 4-2 (+$359) in last six Hickox games.
-- army.com is North America's favorite website.
-- Sea-Mil-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Estabrook games.
-- Wsh-Balt-- Under is 9-3 in Tschida's last 12 games behind plate.
-- Clev-Cin-- Five of last six Barrett games went over the total.
-- Bos-SF-- Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Dimuro games.
-- NY-LA-- Under is 7-3-2 in last dozen Guccione games.
-- Chi-Chi-- Four of last five Darling games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-A's-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Kulpa games.
-- Col-LA-- Home team won six of last eight Runge games.
AL leads NL 125-113 in interleague play, after AL went 10-4 in games Saturday; as far as totals go, over is 107-105-8-63-47-3 in NL parks, 44-58-5 in AL stadiums, which makes little sense, since DH games are expected to be higher scoring, but they haven't been. Under was 11-3-1 Saturday, as the Year of the Pitcher continues.
-- Latos is 3-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
-- Moyer is 3-1, 1.36 in his last four starts in Philly.
-- Arroyo is 2-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Mets won last four Niese starts (3-0, 3.25).
-- Tigers are 8-1 with Verlander when they score more than three runs, 0-4 when they don't. Hanson is 2-0, 0.66 in his last two home starts.
-- Danks is 3-0, 2.05 in his last three starts. Dempster has a 2.45 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Vargas is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin is 1-1, 1.54 in his last two starts.
-- JGarcia is 6-2, 2.17 in his last eleven starts.
-- Rangers are 4-0 when Hunter starts (3-0, 3.09). Oswalt is 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
-- Lester is 8-1, 2.09 in his last 12 starts. Lincecum is 3-0, 2.05 in his last three starts.
-- Dodgers won seven of last nine Kershaw starts. Pettitte is 4-1, 2.66 in his last six outings.
Cold pitchers
-- ASanchez is 2-2, 5.04 in his last four starts.
-- Cecil is 0-2, 9.00 in his last couple starts (11 runs/11 IP).
-- Talbot is 0-2, 8.10 in his last three starts.
-- Baker is 1-2, 4.97 in his last four starts.
-- Lopez is 1-4, 5.81 in his last seven starts.
-- Atilano is 1-3, 5.81 in his last four starts. Guthrie is 0-5, 5.57 in his last five outings.
-- Davis is 0-4, 7.32 in his last four starts.
-- Chen is 2-2, 4.67 in five starts this season.
-- Narveson has a 6.47 RA in his last six starts.
-- GGonzalez is 0-2, 5.71 in his last three starts. Pirates lost last four Ohlendorf starts (0-3, 7.04).
-- ESantana is 1-2, 7.41 in his last three starts.
Totals
-- 11 of last 14 games at Citi Field stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last twelve Padre road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 12-5 in last seventeen Washington road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Arizona games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-0-1 in last ten Hanson starts.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Oswalt starts.
-- Eight of last ten Cardinal games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Milwaukee games.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in last seventeen Oakland home games.
-- Under is 9-2 in last eleven Colorado road games.
-- Eight of last eleven Dodger home games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight San Francisco home games went over the total.
Hot Teams
-- Mets won 13 of their last 16 home games.
-- Phillies won six of their last nine games. .
-- Padres are 18-8 in their last 26 road games.
-- Orioles won their last three games, scoring 24 runs.
-- White Sox won their last 11 games, allowing total of 24 runs.
-- Braves won 15 of their last 16 home games.
-- Reds won their last five games, allowing 13 runs.
-- Rangers won 14 of their last 16 games.
-- Brewers are 10-5 in their last fifteen games at Miller Park. Mariners won seven of their last nine games..
-- Angels won 16 of their last 23 games. Rockies won six of last nine.
-- Bronx won six of its last nine games.
-- A's are now 8-0 against the Pirates in interleague play.
-- Giants won seven of their last nine home games.
Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Twins are 10-17 in their last 27 road games.
-- Cubs are 8-16 in their last twenty-four games.
-- Astros lost 10 of their last 14 games.
-- Blue Jays are 4-9 in last 13 games away from Toronto.
-- Tigers lost 12 of their last 16 road games.
-- Nationals lost ten of their last eleven road games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last eleven road games.
-- Indians lost 11 of their last 12 games.
-- Arizona is 2-16 in its last 18 road games. Rays are 7-11 in their last eighteen home games.
-- Royals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Pirates lost their last 16 road games.
-- Dodgers lost seven of their last nine games.
Umpires
-- SD-Fla-- Five of last six Bell games went over the total.
-- Min-NY-- Favorite won six of last seven Davis games.
-- Phil-Tor-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Drake games.
-- StL-KC-- Home team won five of last six Demuth games; favorites are 9-2 in his last eleven games behind the dish.
-- Hat-Tex-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Reilly games.
-- Az-TB-- Five of last six Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- Det-Atl-- Underdogs are 4-2 (+$359) in last six Hickox games.
-- army.com is North America's favorite website.
-- Sea-Mil-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Estabrook games.
-- Wsh-Balt-- Under is 9-3 in Tschida's last 12 games behind plate.
-- Clev-Cin-- Five of last six Barrett games went over the total.
-- Bos-SF-- Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Dimuro games.
-- NY-LA-- Under is 7-3-2 in last dozen Guccione games.
-- Chi-Chi-- Four of last five Darling games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-A's-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Kulpa games.
-- Col-LA-- Home team won six of last eight Runge games.
AL leads NL 125-113 in interleague play, after AL went 10-4 in games Saturday; as far as totals go, over is 107-105-8-63-47-3 in NL parks, 44-58-5 in AL stadiums, which makes little sense, since DH games are expected to be higher scoring, but they haven't been. Under was 11-3-1 Saturday, as the Year of the Pitcher continues.
Foxsheets 06/27
Super Situations
BOS at SFG
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SAN FRANCISCO) starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
42-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.6% | 26.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.4 units )
STL at KC
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, playing on Sunday
35-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.3% | 23.6 units )
7-5 this year. ( 58.3% | 3.2 units )
Situational Power Trends
COL at LAA
COLORADO is 12-1 (+12.3 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: COLORADO (5.5) , OPPONENT (3.5)
SDP at FLA
SAN DIEGO is 19-10 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in Road games with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games this season.
The average score was: SAN DIEGO (3.9) , OPPONENT (3.2)
Super Situations
BOS at SFG
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SAN FRANCISCO) starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
42-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.6% | 26.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.4 units )
STL at KC
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, playing on Sunday
35-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.3% | 23.6 units )
7-5 this year. ( 58.3% | 3.2 units )
Situational Power Trends
COL at LAA
COLORADO is 12-1 (+12.3 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: COLORADO (5.5) , OPPONENT (3.5)
SDP at FLA
SAN DIEGO is 19-10 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in Road games with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games this season.
The average score was: SAN DIEGO (3.9) , OPPONENT (3.2)
"World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems" - 6/27
Today's Selections
MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)
Series in Progress!
Selection#1 (Game#4) Cleveland +165 1:10 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection#2 (Game#2) Washington +110 1:35 PM
Minnesota Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#3 (Game#1) Chicago Cubs +120 2:05 PM
Series Idle
Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE
Series Idle
Selection #5 (Game#1) NONE
Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE
Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.
Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.
Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.
Today's Selections
MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)
Series in Progress!
Selection#1 (Game#4) Cleveland +165 1:10 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection#2 (Game#2) Washington +110 1:35 PM
Minnesota Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#3 (Game#1) Chicago Cubs +120 2:05 PM
Series Idle
Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE
Series Idle
Selection #5 (Game#1) NONE
Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE
Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.
Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.
Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.
