SPORTSWAGERS
MLB
Toronto @ CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI -1½ +170 over Toronto
(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.40)
Instead of using Friday’s miracle comeback to turn things around, the Blue Jays went right back to their bad habits yesterday and got whacked 11-1 for their 11th loss in their past 14 games. The Jays staff has given up 33 runs over the past four games and now it is R.A. Dickey’s turn against the hottest offense in baseball. Current Reds’ batters own a .909 OPS against Dickey and the veteran knuckleballer has been yielding a lot of home runs lately. Dickey left his last start with tightness in his groin and has scuffled on the road this season with a 5.13 ERA. He’s been mediocre the entire year to begin with (15 starts - 4.08 ERA, 1.39 WHIP) and his horrible skills while pitching from the stretch have torpedoed his overall skills. Dickey is walking too many batters, he’s been tagged for eight jacks in the past six games and he’ll be facing a Cinci team that has scored a league-high 53 runs over the past six games. This start isn’t likely to turn out well.
The Jays hit home runs and that’s how they score. If they’re not hitting bombs, they’re as meek as a mouse lately. On Thursday in New York, Toronto hit two, two runs shots and scored 4 runs. On Friday, they belted out four jacks in the 14-run outburst. 72% of the Jays’ runs over the past 15 games have come via the long ball and that’s a difficult way to live. The problem Toronto faces here is that Johnny Cueto does not give up many HR’s. In eight home starts covering 59 innings, Cueto has been taken yard just six times and two of those came in one game on a windy night against the Brewers. Cueto has allowed just one home run in his last seven starts. He comes into this game with a 1.92 ERA and an even more impressive 1.68 ERA at home. He has an oppBA of .169 and at home that BAA drops to .153. Cueto also has a 52% groundball rate and an elite line-drive rate of 16%. Cueto has a great chance to absolutely breeze through this Toronto lineup, as the Jays continue to swing for the fences every AB. It’s the red-hot Reds’ offense that is likely to connect and go deep a few times and put up another crooked number.
MLB
Toronto @ CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI -1½ +170 over Toronto
(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.40)
Instead of using Friday’s miracle comeback to turn things around, the Blue Jays went right back to their bad habits yesterday and got whacked 11-1 for their 11th loss in their past 14 games. The Jays staff has given up 33 runs over the past four games and now it is R.A. Dickey’s turn against the hottest offense in baseball. Current Reds’ batters own a .909 OPS against Dickey and the veteran knuckleballer has been yielding a lot of home runs lately. Dickey left his last start with tightness in his groin and has scuffled on the road this season with a 5.13 ERA. He’s been mediocre the entire year to begin with (15 starts - 4.08 ERA, 1.39 WHIP) and his horrible skills while pitching from the stretch have torpedoed his overall skills. Dickey is walking too many batters, he’s been tagged for eight jacks in the past six games and he’ll be facing a Cinci team that has scored a league-high 53 runs over the past six games. This start isn’t likely to turn out well.
The Jays hit home runs and that’s how they score. If they’re not hitting bombs, they’re as meek as a mouse lately. On Thursday in New York, Toronto hit two, two runs shots and scored 4 runs. On Friday, they belted out four jacks in the 14-run outburst. 72% of the Jays’ runs over the past 15 games have come via the long ball and that’s a difficult way to live. The problem Toronto faces here is that Johnny Cueto does not give up many HR’s. In eight home starts covering 59 innings, Cueto has been taken yard just six times and two of those came in one game on a windy night against the Brewers. Cueto has allowed just one home run in his last seven starts. He comes into this game with a 1.92 ERA and an even more impressive 1.68 ERA at home. He has an oppBA of .169 and at home that BAA drops to .153. Cueto also has a 52% groundball rate and an elite line-drive rate of 16%. Cueto has a great chance to absolutely breeze through this Toronto lineup, as the Jays continue to swing for the fences every AB. It’s the red-hot Reds’ offense that is likely to connect and go deep a few times and put up another crooked number.
Marc Lawrence
USA vs. Portugal
Bonus Play: Draw
Scoreboard watching for the Americans? You bet. How the U.S. approaches this second of three group stage matches will certainly be impacted by the results of the Germany-Ghana clash being played 24 hours earlier. If Germany prevails and goes to six points (zero for Ghana), look for the Yanks to play it very close to the vest against Ronaldo and Company. A draw could be a very positive result, all because Portugal was hammered by four goals in its opening match against the Germans. A stalemate would leave the U.S. with four points and a "plus one" in the all-important tie-breaker category. Even a four-goal defeat of the Americans by Germany in the final Group G, which is highly unlikely, would force Portugal to beat Ghana by a similar margin. We recommend betting 1-unit on the USA-Portugal match to end in a draw.
USA vs. Portugal
Bonus Play: Draw
Scoreboard watching for the Americans? You bet. How the U.S. approaches this second of three group stage matches will certainly be impacted by the results of the Germany-Ghana clash being played 24 hours earlier. If Germany prevails and goes to six points (zero for Ghana), look for the Yanks to play it very close to the vest against Ronaldo and Company. A draw could be a very positive result, all because Portugal was hammered by four goals in its opening match against the Germans. A stalemate would leave the U.S. with four points and a "plus one" in the all-important tie-breaker category. Even a four-goal defeat of the Americans by Germany in the final Group G, which is highly unlikely, would force Portugal to beat Ghana by a similar margin. We recommend betting 1-unit on the USA-Portugal match to end in a draw.
Wunderdog Sports
Complimentary MLB Pick for June 22nd, 2014
Game: San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Time: Sunday 06/22 4:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Arizona +135 (moneyline) at 5Dimes
Fifth straight road game for San Francisco, a team in a huge slump on a 2-9 run. The Giants are 2-6 against a right-handed starter, and face Mike Bolsinger, who has walked just eight in 30 innings with 28 strikeouts. In fact, he's only walked two at home in 14+ innings. The Giants are 3-8 in Madison Bumgarner's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Arizona has plenty of offensive punch, 12th in runs scored, 11th in slugging, and batting average. The Diamondbacks are 9-4 against the NL West, so grab the home dog. Play the Diamondbacks.
Complimentary MLB Pick for June 22nd, 2014
Game: San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Time: Sunday 06/22 4:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Arizona +135 (moneyline) at 5Dimes
Fifth straight road game for San Francisco, a team in a huge slump on a 2-9 run. The Giants are 2-6 against a right-handed starter, and face Mike Bolsinger, who has walked just eight in 30 innings with 28 strikeouts. In fact, he's only walked two at home in 14+ innings. The Giants are 3-8 in Madison Bumgarner's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Arizona has plenty of offensive punch, 12th in runs scored, 11th in slugging, and batting average. The Diamondbacks are 9-4 against the NL West, so grab the home dog. Play the Diamondbacks.
Diamond Trends - Sunday
By Vince Akins
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Marlins are 11-0 since May 16, 2004 within 20 cents of pickem after being shutout and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1160.
PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:
When Tommy Milone starts the Athletics are 11-0 since April 24, 2012 at home after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $1115.
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
The Royals are 0-12 (+$1,230) in database history with a total under 10 after a game where they left 0 or 1 runners on base as a team.
CHOICE TREND:
The Blue Jays are 0-10 since May 21, 2009 as a 140+ dog after a 5+ run loss and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.
ACTIVE TRENDS:
When Max Scherzer starts the Tigers are 13-1 since May 30, 2010 as a favorite after giving up 2 or more home runs for a net profit of $1165.
By Vince Akins
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Marlins are 11-0 since May 16, 2004 within 20 cents of pickem after being shutout and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1160.
PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:
When Tommy Milone starts the Athletics are 11-0 since April 24, 2012 at home after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $1115.
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
The Royals are 0-12 (+$1,230) in database history with a total under 10 after a game where they left 0 or 1 runners on base as a team.
CHOICE TREND:
The Blue Jays are 0-10 since May 21, 2009 as a 140+ dog after a 5+ run loss and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.
ACTIVE TRENDS:
When Max Scherzer starts the Tigers are 13-1 since May 30, 2010 as a favorite after giving up 2 or more home runs for a net profit of $1165.
GC: MLB Play
On Sunday the Run line Play is on the NY .Yankees on the run line at -1.5 runs. Game 966 at 2:05 eastern. The Yankees fit a solid 25-3 Power system in this game that plays on certain home favorites with a total that is 8 or less and are off a home favored win by 5 or more runs on 10+ hits, vs an opponent off a road dog loss by 5 or more runs and scored 2 or less runs on 5 or more hits. The Yankees are clicking on all cylinders right now and have won 5 straight. They average over 5 runs per game vs division teams and have won all 3 times as a home favorite in this range. The Orioles have lost 8 of 11 on Sunday. They have C. Tillman going and he has not been as good as last year. Tillman has an elevated 5.96 road era and a 6.70 era vs the Yankees. He will have to take on Tanaka this year and the Yanks have won 12 of his 14 starts. He is is 6-1 at home with a 1.86 era and and already has an easy win here vs Baltimore. Look for the Yankees to coast in this one. On Sunday end the week big with another Powerful MLB and World Cup card. The lead play i the Sunday Night Game of the Month from a Perfect system, We also have a Huge MLB Totals Play from a system that has lost just once since 2004 and a 100% World Cup Database Angle. Jump on now and put the power of this cutting edge material on your side. For the Bonus Play take the NY. Yankees on the run line. GC
Sunday card has the ESPN Sunday Night Game of the Month with a 100% system and a Solid 100% World Cup Power angle play and a Huge Early totals system that has lost just once in 11+ years. MLB Run line Play below.
On Sunday the Run line Play is on the NY .Yankees on the run line at -1.5 runs. Game 966 at 2:05 eastern. The Yankees fit a solid 25-3 Power system in this game that plays on certain home favorites with a total that is 8 or less and are off a home favored win by 5 or more runs on 10+ hits, vs an opponent off a road dog loss by 5 or more runs and scored 2 or less runs on 5 or more hits. The Yankees are clicking on all cylinders right now and have won 5 straight. They average over 5 runs per game vs division teams and have won all 3 times as a home favorite in this range. The Orioles have lost 8 of 11 on Sunday. They have C. Tillman going and he has not been as good as last year. Tillman has an elevated 5.96 road era and a 6.70 era vs the Yankees. He will have to take on Tanaka this year and the Yanks have won 12 of his 14 starts. He is is 6-1 at home with a 1.86 era and and already has an easy win here vs Baltimore. Look for the Yankees to coast in this one. On Sunday end the week big with another Powerful MLB and World Cup card. The lead play i the Sunday Night Game of the Month from a Perfect system, We also have a Huge MLB Totals Play from a system that has lost just once since 2004 and a 100% World Cup Database Angle. Jump on now and put the power of this cutting edge material on your side. For the Bonus Play take the NY. Yankees on the run line. GC
TopShelfPicks
Raider
Washington ML (-128) vs Atlanta Tanner Roark takes the hill today against Atlanta and he has been pitching well lately. In his last 8 starts, covering 51.2 innings he has given up just 41 hits, 1.00 WHIP and a 1.92 ERA. During the month of June he is 3-1 with a 1.38 ERA. He has been a bit of a tough luck loser at home this year, with a 3-3 record, but just a 1.58 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 2.34 BAA. Against Atlanta, he had a rough outing at Turner Field but that was back in April and he has been pitching much better of late. In his only other appearance against Atlanta (again in Turner Field) last year, he surrendered 1 hit in 4 innings of relief pitching. Atlanta starter Ervin Santana has been going the other way. He started lights out this season, but in his last 7 starts (covering 42.1 innings) he has allowed 29 ER (6.17 ERA), on 51 hits and a WHIP of 1.61. Washington would like to salvage a split in this series and hold onto first place in the NL East. Today I think they get it done.
Leans
New York Mets ML (-104) at Miami
Chicago Cubs ML (-120) vs Pittsburgh
Milwaukee/Colorado Under 10.5
Raider
Washington ML (-128) vs Atlanta Tanner Roark takes the hill today against Atlanta and he has been pitching well lately. In his last 8 starts, covering 51.2 innings he has given up just 41 hits, 1.00 WHIP and a 1.92 ERA. During the month of June he is 3-1 with a 1.38 ERA. He has been a bit of a tough luck loser at home this year, with a 3-3 record, but just a 1.58 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 2.34 BAA. Against Atlanta, he had a rough outing at Turner Field but that was back in April and he has been pitching much better of late. In his only other appearance against Atlanta (again in Turner Field) last year, he surrendered 1 hit in 4 innings of relief pitching. Atlanta starter Ervin Santana has been going the other way. He started lights out this season, but in his last 7 starts (covering 42.1 innings) he has allowed 29 ER (6.17 ERA), on 51 hits and a WHIP of 1.61. Washington would like to salvage a split in this series and hold onto first place in the NL East. Today I think they get it done.
Leans
New York Mets ML (-104) at Miami
Chicago Cubs ML (-120) vs Pittsburgh
Milwaukee/Colorado Under 10.5
Best Bet Pick
Bruno Bets - Double Play Nationals
This one appears to be a huge pitching mismatch to me. The Nats broke the Bravos' strangle-hold on them at home last night and today could get ugly, IMO. Roark has been an absolute beast at home holding a tiny 1.58 ERA pitching there. I have a lot of key numbers to back this play, but there is one that REALLY stands out....(.212). The Braves road BA. I could add the fact that Atlanta has a combined team BA of .184 against Roark, but why bother?
Let's talk about Santana a bit; LHBs have pasted him to the tune of a .373 OB% and the Nats have a team BA of .293 facing him. L/M is what I expected and I personally will be adding a "half-value" Washington Nationals -1½ (+170) play. I do not expect a ton of scoring here, though. Mostly one-sided, but I'd be very careful if considering the Under. The Nationals may just take out some frustrations here?
Josh Daniels - 1* White Sox
Play we are Taking the Chicago White Sox at plus money. We are looking at Danks (6-5) 3.97 ERA Vs Hughes (7-3) 3.09 ERA. When we look deeper into the numbers we see that Danks on the road over the last 3 years in 4.79 on the road and 2.89 in June. while he has struggled against Minn last 3 season with an ERA of 5.63 his hitters splits are only .278/.347/.444, tells me while he has given up some hits has ran into a little bad luck. Danks is good at going deep into games when he gets over 50 pitches his hitters splits actually go down to .241/.310/.375.
Hughes on the other hand has really struggled against the CWS. He has an ERA this year against them of 7.20, and in the last 3 years at home he is 5.35 at home but this year his first year calling Target Field home his ERA isn't very good either its 4.25. Hughes when he gets deep into games (over 50 pitches) doesn't fair as well as Danks does, his hitters splits actually get a lot higher .304/.346/.544. He gives up a lot of long balls, and that is what the CWS are good at. Today we have 4 premium plays at the site below for only $19, sign up today. Back to this game I see a lot of value in the White Sox. Final Score CWS 7 Min 5.
Bruno Bets - Double Play Nationals
This one appears to be a huge pitching mismatch to me. The Nats broke the Bravos' strangle-hold on them at home last night and today could get ugly, IMO. Roark has been an absolute beast at home holding a tiny 1.58 ERA pitching there. I have a lot of key numbers to back this play, but there is one that REALLY stands out....(.212). The Braves road BA. I could add the fact that Atlanta has a combined team BA of .184 against Roark, but why bother?
Let's talk about Santana a bit; LHBs have pasted him to the tune of a .373 OB% and the Nats have a team BA of .293 facing him. L/M is what I expected and I personally will be adding a "half-value" Washington Nationals -1½ (+170) play. I do not expect a ton of scoring here, though. Mostly one-sided, but I'd be very careful if considering the Under. The Nationals may just take out some frustrations here?
Josh Daniels - 1* White Sox
Play we are Taking the Chicago White Sox at plus money. We are looking at Danks (6-5) 3.97 ERA Vs Hughes (7-3) 3.09 ERA. When we look deeper into the numbers we see that Danks on the road over the last 3 years in 4.79 on the road and 2.89 in June. while he has struggled against Minn last 3 season with an ERA of 5.63 his hitters splits are only .278/.347/.444, tells me while he has given up some hits has ran into a little bad luck. Danks is good at going deep into games when he gets over 50 pitches his hitters splits actually go down to .241/.310/.375.
Hughes on the other hand has really struggled against the CWS. He has an ERA this year against them of 7.20, and in the last 3 years at home he is 5.35 at home but this year his first year calling Target Field home his ERA isn't very good either its 4.25. Hughes when he gets deep into games (over 50 pitches) doesn't fair as well as Danks does, his hitters splits actually get a lot higher .304/.346/.544. He gives up a lot of long balls, and that is what the CWS are good at. Today we have 4 premium plays at the site below for only $19, sign up today. Back to this game I see a lot of value in the White Sox. Final Score CWS 7 Min 5.
