Gambler World
Game: LA Angels at LA Dodgers
Current Line: LA Dodgers (-125)
Over/Under: 8
Play On: LA Dodgers (-125)
Inside the Board Room:
It is quite hard in any sport to take all the games from a series, let alone when the two teams are based just a few miles apart. The Dodgers have won the first two games of the series from the Angels and today send Carlos Monasterios to the mound to face the Angels Jered Weaver. after two consecutive great outings Weaver got a bit shelled in his last start, giving up 6 runs in 6 innings vs. the A's just 5 days ago. The Dodgers have won all four games that Monasterios has started. The Dodgers probably wish that more of their games are on Sundays, where they have gone 6-3 so far this year. It may be time for Monasterios to move out of the spot starter role for the Dodgers.
Take the Dodgers!
Game: LA Angels at LA Dodgers
Current Line: LA Dodgers (-125)
Over/Under: 8
Play On: LA Dodgers (-125)
Inside the Board Room:
It is quite hard in any sport to take all the games from a series, let alone when the two teams are based just a few miles apart. The Dodgers have won the first two games of the series from the Angels and today send Carlos Monasterios to the mound to face the Angels Jered Weaver. after two consecutive great outings Weaver got a bit shelled in his last start, giving up 6 runs in 6 innings vs. the A's just 5 days ago. The Dodgers have won all four games that Monasterios has started. The Dodgers probably wish that more of their games are on Sundays, where they have gone 6-3 so far this year. It may be time for Monasterios to move out of the spot starter role for the Dodgers.
Take the Dodgers!
Indian Cowboy
18 of 22 Winning Days in MLB
34-12-2 (74%) last 35 Days
2-0 Friday Sweep, 2-0 Saturday Sweep
8-2-2 in June (80% (+$2400)), June of 2009 = 77%. The goal is to go 80% this month.
Last month: 20-10-2 (66%), $2200.
WNBA: 8 of 12 Winning Days (5* Winner yesterday), Back to Back Winning Weeks
2-0-1 in MLB 5*s
4-0 in WNBA 5*s
5-Unit Play. Take #977. Take Seattle Mariners +102 over San Diego Padres (Sunday @ 4:00pm est)
We have everything that we want in an edge in a ballgame for an underdog. The Mariners come off losing back to back games to the Padres in the first two contests between these two teams. The Mariners lost once in the bottom of the ninth a couple days back 3-4 and most recently 1-7. But, this team does have Felix on the mound today and he comes off one of his worst starts of the year giving up seven runs in six innings of work against the Rangers. To show you how well Felix has pitched this year, just consider that even after that performance, his era is still a respectable 3.77 as prior to that start, Felix had put together five straight quality starts. And, the last time he faced the Padres he ended up falling short as his team lost 1-8. Certainly, Felix has motivation to do well today to avenge that loss, bounce-back from a tough start at Texas and help his team to avoid being possibly swept by this team. Clayton is a high quality pitcher. Note that Clayton faced the Mariners earlier this year and ended up winning 2-1 by giving up seven hits in as many innings. With nearly 70% taking the Padres here, I think that is reason to be wary of the favorite here as well and I think that if there was a spot for the Mariners to pick up a ballgame, it very well could be here behind King Felix. The Padres are 2-5 when Clayton faces a team with a losing record, 2-6 when Clayton comes off a quality appearance and the Mariners are 8-1 in Hernandez's last 9 interleague starts.
4-Unit Play. Take #654. Take Indiana Fever -5.5 over Connecticut Sun (Sunday @ 6:00pm est)
Its very difficult to beat a team in back to back games especially as it relates to a home and home. These two teams just hooked up and as expected Connecticut was dominant at home. The Sun are very difficult to beat at home, and when they win at home, they cover. Now, the Fever face this team immediately again at home and they look to avenge that loss which they likely will. Indiana is a very good bounce-back team and is the same team that lost earlier this year to Tulsa 74-79 and then came back home to kill San Antonio 79-57 as similar -5.5 favorites. I'm not saying that Indiana hammers Connecticut by that margin today, but I am saying that they are likely to bounce-back well. Do note that Connecticut has not had the same bite this year on the road as they have had at home losing to Washington and Atlanta (otherwise covering at home nicely). I look for Indiana to take out some frustration, make some adjustments and likely get the win and cover here today. The Sun are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven road games and the Sun are 1-5 in their last six meetings in Indiana.
4-Unit Play. Take #710. Take Under 187.5 Boston Celtics vs. Los Angeles Lakers (Sunday @ 8:00pm est)
I don't think another game can go over until this series returns back to Los Angeles it seems. As this series is in Boston, this game likely stays under. The Under has prevailed in this series and although the last ballgame nearly went over after a monster scoring spurt in the fourth quarter (still didn't matter as I was on the Over and it didn't cash the last ballgame), the prevailing theme has been unders which is what we had taken in every game in the Finals leading up to Game four. As per this game, the line continues to drop despite 66% of the public being on the over today. Both games in Boston have gone under and out of the eight quarters that have been played, seven of them have been a prevailing theme for defense. I look for both of these teams to stick to their trademark today in a very important game five that likely decides how this series will turn out. Boston understands that they cannot go back to Los Angeles needing to win two games in LA. And, the Lakers understand that although this is not a must-win for them, they certainly will look to bounce-back in a big way after the loss similar to what they did in game three. The Under is 4-1-1 for the Lakers in their last six games overall, the Under is 3-1-1 for the Lakers when they are dogged by this margin and the Under is 5-0 for the Celtics when they are favorites by this margin.
18 of 22 Winning Days in MLB
34-12-2 (74%) last 35 Days
2-0 Friday Sweep, 2-0 Saturday Sweep
8-2-2 in June (80% (+$2400)), June of 2009 = 77%. The goal is to go 80% this month.
Last month: 20-10-2 (66%), $2200.
WNBA: 8 of 12 Winning Days (5* Winner yesterday), Back to Back Winning Weeks
2-0-1 in MLB 5*s
4-0 in WNBA 5*s
5-Unit Play. Take #977. Take Seattle Mariners +102 over San Diego Padres (Sunday @ 4:00pm est)
We have everything that we want in an edge in a ballgame for an underdog. The Mariners come off losing back to back games to the Padres in the first two contests between these two teams. The Mariners lost once in the bottom of the ninth a couple days back 3-4 and most recently 1-7. But, this team does have Felix on the mound today and he comes off one of his worst starts of the year giving up seven runs in six innings of work against the Rangers. To show you how well Felix has pitched this year, just consider that even after that performance, his era is still a respectable 3.77 as prior to that start, Felix had put together five straight quality starts. And, the last time he faced the Padres he ended up falling short as his team lost 1-8. Certainly, Felix has motivation to do well today to avenge that loss, bounce-back from a tough start at Texas and help his team to avoid being possibly swept by this team. Clayton is a high quality pitcher. Note that Clayton faced the Mariners earlier this year and ended up winning 2-1 by giving up seven hits in as many innings. With nearly 70% taking the Padres here, I think that is reason to be wary of the favorite here as well and I think that if there was a spot for the Mariners to pick up a ballgame, it very well could be here behind King Felix. The Padres are 2-5 when Clayton faces a team with a losing record, 2-6 when Clayton comes off a quality appearance and the Mariners are 8-1 in Hernandez's last 9 interleague starts.
4-Unit Play. Take #654. Take Indiana Fever -5.5 over Connecticut Sun (Sunday @ 6:00pm est)
Its very difficult to beat a team in back to back games especially as it relates to a home and home. These two teams just hooked up and as expected Connecticut was dominant at home. The Sun are very difficult to beat at home, and when they win at home, they cover. Now, the Fever face this team immediately again at home and they look to avenge that loss which they likely will. Indiana is a very good bounce-back team and is the same team that lost earlier this year to Tulsa 74-79 and then came back home to kill San Antonio 79-57 as similar -5.5 favorites. I'm not saying that Indiana hammers Connecticut by that margin today, but I am saying that they are likely to bounce-back well. Do note that Connecticut has not had the same bite this year on the road as they have had at home losing to Washington and Atlanta (otherwise covering at home nicely). I look for Indiana to take out some frustration, make some adjustments and likely get the win and cover here today. The Sun are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven road games and the Sun are 1-5 in their last six meetings in Indiana.
4-Unit Play. Take #710. Take Under 187.5 Boston Celtics vs. Los Angeles Lakers (Sunday @ 8:00pm est)
I don't think another game can go over until this series returns back to Los Angeles it seems. As this series is in Boston, this game likely stays under. The Under has prevailed in this series and although the last ballgame nearly went over after a monster scoring spurt in the fourth quarter (still didn't matter as I was on the Over and it didn't cash the last ballgame), the prevailing theme has been unders which is what we had taken in every game in the Finals leading up to Game four. As per this game, the line continues to drop despite 66% of the public being on the over today. Both games in Boston have gone under and out of the eight quarters that have been played, seven of them have been a prevailing theme for defense. I look for both of these teams to stick to their trademark today in a very important game five that likely decides how this series will turn out. Boston understands that they cannot go back to Los Angeles needing to win two games in LA. And, the Lakers understand that although this is not a must-win for them, they certainly will look to bounce-back in a big way after the loss similar to what they did in game three. The Under is 4-1-1 for the Lakers in their last six games overall, the Under is 3-1-1 for the Lakers when they are dogged by this margin and the Under is 5-0 for the Celtics when they are favorites by this margin.
INDIAN COWBOY
4-Unit Play. Take #654. Take Indiana Fever -5.5 over Connecticut Sun (Sunday @ 6:00pm est)
Its very difficult to beat a team in back to back games especially as it relates to a home and home. These two teams just hooked up and as expected Connecticut was dominant at home. The Sun are very difficult to beat at home, and when they win at home, they cover. Now, the Fever face this team immediately again at home and they look to avenge that loss which they likely will. Indiana is a very good bounce-back team and is the same team that lost earlier this year to Tulsa 74-79 and then came back home to kill San Antonio 79-57 as similar -5.5 favorites. I'm not saying that Indiana hammers Connecticut by that margin today, but I am saying that they are likely to bounce-back well. Do note that Connecticut has not had the same bite this year on the road as they have had at home losing to Washington and Atlanta (otherwise covering at home nicely). I look for Indiana to take out some frustration, make some adjustments and likely get the win and cover here today. The Sun are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven road games and the Sun are 1-5 in their last six meetings in Indiana.
4-Unit Play. Take #654. Take Indiana Fever -5.5 over Connecticut Sun (Sunday @ 6:00pm est)
Its very difficult to beat a team in back to back games especially as it relates to a home and home. These two teams just hooked up and as expected Connecticut was dominant at home. The Sun are very difficult to beat at home, and when they win at home, they cover. Now, the Fever face this team immediately again at home and they look to avenge that loss which they likely will. Indiana is a very good bounce-back team and is the same team that lost earlier this year to Tulsa 74-79 and then came back home to kill San Antonio 79-57 as similar -5.5 favorites. I'm not saying that Indiana hammers Connecticut by that margin today, but I am saying that they are likely to bounce-back well. Do note that Connecticut has not had the same bite this year on the road as they have had at home losing to Washington and Atlanta (otherwise covering at home nicely). I look for Indiana to take out some frustration, make some adjustments and likely get the win and cover here today. The Sun are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven road games and the Sun are 1-5 in their last six meetings in Indiana.
THE DUKE SPORTS
LA Lakers Over (187') for 3 Units
Very tight defensive play by both teams early in Game 4 kept the game "under" however, the Celtics were able to shake loose of the Lakers and open up the scoring late with a 36 point 4th quarter to carry a seemingly lock "under" to a bit of a sweat - 5 points from going "over". With 2 days prep, we feel both teams will have to work on shaking defenders to find open looks. And with LA getting just 2 points on fast breaks Thursday, they will look to run the floor with more transition. The Celtics should oblige with 23-11-1 O/U mark on 2 days of rest. Good value with a scaled back line overdue to get popped.
LA Lakers Over (187') for 3 Units
Very tight defensive play by both teams early in Game 4 kept the game "under" however, the Celtics were able to shake loose of the Lakers and open up the scoring late with a 36 point 4th quarter to carry a seemingly lock "under" to a bit of a sweat - 5 points from going "over". With 2 days prep, we feel both teams will have to work on shaking defenders to find open looks. And with LA getting just 2 points on fast breaks Thursday, they will look to run the floor with more transition. The Celtics should oblige with 23-11-1 O/U mark on 2 days of rest. Good value with a scaled back line overdue to get popped.
