Don Wallace
NBA Finals
Sunday June 12th, 2011
Release Time - 2:52 PM CENTRAL
ROTATION - 712# - 3UNIT* - MIAMI -4.5 (-110) - BOOKMAKER.COM (8:00 EST)
ANALYSIS: LeBron James may have compiled probably the quietest triple-double in Finals history with 17 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists, while playing a game-high 46 minutes, however, Game 6#may prove to be the biggest challenge of his NBA career. James immediately dispelled rumors that he was mentally and physically fatigued by going for a triple-double in Game Five. He knows this is the moment of truth for the Miami Heat. He went to the Finals with the Cavaliers and came up short. Now, he's in an elimination game with both Wade and Bosh by his side. However, James isn't alone in the challenge. The Heat have to make key defensive changes after Game Five. The big adjustment that the Heat need to make will be slowing down J.J. Barea. Miami had done a great job of keeping the point guard from going on a scoring grind, but Barea heated up in Game Five. Dallas finally found its groove offensively by converting an incredible 13 of 19 from three-point range, while shooting 56% from the floor. Once again, the Mav's were led by Dirk Nowitzki with 29 points, while Dallas had 5 other players score in double figures for the second straight game. The Mavs became only the second team to break the 100-point mark against Miami in the postseason. Since 1996, we are seeing the 10th Game 6#, as the team leading 3-2 have closed out the series seven of the last nine Finals. Last season, Los Angeles came back to Staples Center down 3-2 to Boston, but the Laker's pulled out a pair of wins on their home floor to claim the NBA title. It has been slightly profitable to make a stand with the team holding the 3-2 edge in this stretch, as these teams have compiled a 5-4 ATS record. For Game 6#, look for James to get in the grind and aggressively take the ball to the rack and draw contact. Combined with Bosh and Wade hitting key shots down the stretch ,the Heat close the curtains on any 4th quarter comeback today. MIAMI 98 DALLAS 91