Larry Ness
8* Baltimore -120
Baltimore gave away one-run leads in both the 7th and 9th innings last night (good news for me!), before losing 7-5 in 11 innings. The loss denied them a chance to win five straight for the second time this season. It’s back to the drawing board this afternoon and look for the Orioles to take the rubber game of this series with a pitching matchup of Wade Davis and Brian Matusz. Davis had a strong se~cond half last season and then went 4-0 over a five-game stretch (team was 5-0) earlier this season for the Rays. However, he’s winless in his last five starts (he’s 0-2 and the team 0-5) while posting a 7.22 ERA. His slump began with a 6-0 loss to Baltimore in Tampa on May 14 (5.1 IP / 7 hits / 4 ERS), which dropped him to 1-3 with a 5.79 ERA in his last five starts against the Orioles (team is 1-4). As for Matusz, he makes just his third start of 2011, as he missed the first two moths because of a rib injury. The lefty’s only gone 5.2 and 5.1 innings in those two starts but he’s allowed a total of just three ERs (2.45 ERA), picking up a win and a no decision (Orioles won both games). Going back to the end of last season, Matusz is 7-0 over his last 10 starts (team is 10-0) while posting a 1.74 ERA. Take the home team.
8* Chicago White Sox -145
The A’s were able to produce four runs in the 9th inning on Friday (after two outs), ‘escaping’ with a 7-5 win at Chicago. Howe~ver, it was business as usual on Saturday, as the A’s lost 3-2, dropping their 11th game in their last 12. The A’s have been outscored in this current 12-game stretch 70-39 and there is no reason to think that the team averaging 3.25 RPG over its last 12 games or the one batting .239 on the year while averaging 3.58 RPG will have much luck here vs Chicago’s Phil Humber. The 28-year-old righty was a former first-round pick of the NY Mets but entered this season having made just 26 appearances (only two starts) in his previous five seasons with the Mets, Twins and Royals. However, he got a chance in the Chicago rotation this season because Peavy opened the season on the DL and he’s seemingly found a home. He’s 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 13 appearances, including 11 starts. He’s allowed three ERs or less in NINE of his 11 starts and hasn’t lost since April 30, going 4-1 with a 2.37 ERA in his last eight starts (team is 5-3). The White Sox’s win last night gives them EIGHT wins in their last 12 and all that’s standing in the way of completing this 10-game homestand at 6-4 is the inexperienced Guillermo Moscosco, who is pitching for an A’s team which is in dreadful slump. Moscosco spent the last two years with the Rangers (made just 11 relief appearances, including just one last year) and was called up from the minors May 24 by the A’s. He’s made five appearances(three starts), allowing 17 hits in 19 innings (3.32 ERA) with almost as many walks (7) as Ks (9). We don’t know too much about him but we know his team is in a HUGE funk. Meanwhile, Humber gets another win.
8* LA Angels -145
The Angels entered last night’s game having lost EIGHT of their last nine (including SIX straight) while not scoring more than three runs in any game. However, LA scored four in the second inning alone, eventually winning 7-5 victory. I used the Angels last night and will back them again today. Rookie Tyler Chatwood takes the mound this afternoon and he’s done a decent job this season, going 3-3 with a 3.79 ERA in 12 starts (team is 6-6). His biggest problem has been a lack of support. He hasn’t received a single run of support in any of his last three starts. In each of his three losses this season the Angels haven’t scored while he’s been in the game and that’s been the case in SIX of his 12 starts this year. No reasonable person can expect that to be the case here, as the Royals (just 7-17 on the road TY while allowing 5.67 RPG) will send Vin Mazzaro to the mound. Mazzaro was traded along with minor league pitcher Justin Marks to the Kansas City Royals for David DeJesus on November 10, 2010. After starting the 2011 season in the minors, he was recalled by the Royals to replace the injured Bruce Chen on May 10. As the saying goes, “he should have stayed down on the farm.” For some reason (one which ONLY manager Ned Yost knows), Mazzaro was allowed to stay in a May 16 game vs the Indians while he allowed 14 runs i~n 2.1 innings in an appearance out of the bullpen during a 19–1 loss to Cleveland. Making a point I’ll note that the 14 ERs were the most allowed in MLB history in 2.1 innings or less, were two short of the MLB record regardless of innings and were tied for the MLB record for most since 1947 with two others. No reliever since World War II has allowed 14 runs in a game and no pitcher has ever allowed 14 runs in less than three innings! Mazzaro was sent back to the minors after that debacle but returned on June 7 after Sean O'Sullivan was placed on DL. The next day, Mazzaro allowed eight hits and six ERs over five innings in an 8-5 home loss to the Blue Jays. Chatwood deserves some run support and he gets it here.