Service Plays Sunday 5/2/10

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DUNKEL NHL

Montreal at Pittsburgh

The Canadiens look to bounce back from their 6-3 loss in Game 1 and take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is 2-7 in its last 9 games after scoring 5 goals or more in the previous game. Montreal is the pick (+240) according to Dunkel, which has the Canadiens favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+240). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MAY 2
Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST
Game 59-60: Montreal at Pittsburgh (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.092; Pittsburgh 11.899
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-290); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+240); Over

Game 61-62: Detroit at San Jose (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.595; San Jose 13.537
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-135); Under
 
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DUNKEL NBA

Utah at LA Lakers

The Lakers look to take advantage of a Utah team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as a road underdog. LA is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-7). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MAY 2
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
Game 571-572: Milwaukee at Atlanta (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 120.252; Atlanta 121.679
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+9 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Utah at LA Lakers (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.303; LA Lakers 126.375
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 199
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-7); Over
 

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Stephen Nover 50 Dime 5/2 Sunday Play

50 Dime winner on the Lakers/Utah UNDER .
 
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John Ryan

5* graded play on the Washington Nationals as they take on the Florida Marlins set to start at 1:10 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the nationals will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 48-37 making 51.2 units since 2004. Play against home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season and averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season. Nats are a solid 10-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season. Marlins are just 6-17 (-15.7 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start over the last 2 seasons. Take the Nationals.
 
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Football Direct/Sports Betting Prof

Norway Tippeligaen

Kongsvinger v Viking Stavanger FK**
A bet: Win Bet Viking
 
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Grad betting

Bugarska,
Chernomorets Bourgas - Slavia Sofia :bet on Chernomorets @(bet365)2,10


Atalanta Bergamo - Bologna FC:bet on Atalanta @(bet365)1,80
 
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Pure Lock FREE MLB PLAY for Sunday!
MLB: PITTSBURGH @ LA DODGERS 4:10 PM EST
PLAY ON: LA DODGERS (KARSTENS/KURODA) LISTED
 

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From Football Jesus website and text message:
UNDER Utah/Lakers
 
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Redzone Sports JR O'Donnell
Bonus Play

1* Phillies +120

Jr. O has the bases swagger to roll with and play on the 13-10 Phillies @ home today as this is a huge statement game by the Boys from the city of brotherly love. Yes the Phillies are running out aging (2-2, 5.+ ERA). J. Moyer who will not be the public side here tonight This is huge gut play for our camp as the -130 line for the Mets is way way too cheap. We note that J Moyer has been pounded @ CBP (0-4 last 5 and a poor 7+ ERA) while Johan Santana brings a 3-1 and 2+ ERA. The Phillies finally knocked the cover off the baseball Saturday 13 hits and 9 runs and that momentum carries over tonight vs. the Mets. We will roll the Phillies tonight with the crafty J Moyer as they find a way to win tonight.
 
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ATS Lock Club

3 Units on Detroit (-120) over LA Angels, 1:05pmET
3 Units on Texas (+105) over Seattle, 4:10pmET
 
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Gina

Sunday, May 2nd, 2010

Cincinnati Reds (12-12) at St. Louis Cardinals (16-8)
(R) Aaron Harang (1-3) vs. (R) Chris Carpenter (3-0)

Go with the Cardinals at Busch Stadium with their ace Chris Carpenter on the hill. Carpenter looks to take his seventh straight start against Cincinnati. The Reds have lost 17 of its last 23 games against the Cardinals in St. Louis.

Cincinnati's right-hander Aaron Harang is 1-2 with a 9.19 ERA in his last three starts. Harang is 7-11 with a 4.57 ERA in his career against St. Louis. The Reds are 2-5 in Harang's last 7 starts versus the Cardinals, 0-4 in his last four in St. Louis.

St. Louis' right-hander Chris Carpenter is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts and is 6-0 with a 1.26 ERA in his last six starts against the Reds. The Cardinals have won Carpenter's last 6 starts versus the Reds.
MLB

St. Louis Cardinals -260


Sunday, May 2nd, 2010 1:00 p.m. est.
Milwaukee Bucks (49-39) at Atlanta Hawks (56-32)

Both teams have played poorly away from home, but great at home. Atlanta has won nine of their last ten games at home, going 7-3 against the spread. Look for the Hawks to grab a victory this afternoon at Phillips Arena, but laying 9 points is a bit hefty. The Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Go with the Bucks to make decisive Game 7 a hard fought battle.

Milwaukee Bucks +9
 
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HammerTheBook

SUNDAY, MAY 2, 2010


ROTATION 5711/572: 3-UNITS: MILWAUKEE BUCKS @ ATLANTA HAWKS (BUCKS +9 1/2)


ROTATION 707/708: 3-UNITS: UTAH JAZZ @ LOSS ANGELES LAKERS (JAZZ +7 1/2)

ROTATION 959/960: 3-UNITS: MILWAUKEE BREWERS @ SAN DIEGO PADRES (OVER 7 1/2 RUNS)

ROTATION 975/976: 5-UNITS: BOSTON RED SOX @ BALTIMORE ORIOLES (RED SOX -145)

ROTATION 969/970: 4-UNITS: LOS ANGELES ANGELS @ DETROIT TIGERS (UNDER 8 1/2 RUNS)

ROTATION 953/954: 3-UNITS: HOUSTON ASTROS @ ATLANTA BRAVES (UNDER 9-RUNS)

ROTATION 959/960: 3-UNITS: MILWAUKEE BREWERS @ SAN DIEGO PADRES (PADRES ML PLAY +105)
 
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Prediction Machine
LA-7 Normal Play
11-13 playoffs, He had Boston +7.5 yest 0-1

Against the Spread Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS
West Los Angeles Lakers Utah Jazz (7.5) 12.8 59.6% Calc -->
East Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks 9.5 (9.5) 50.4% Calc -->


Straight-Up Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Favorite Underdog Points For Points Against Win% SU
West Los Angeles Lakers Utah Jazz 107.5 94.8 67.4%
East Atlanta Hawks Milwaukee Bucks 100.7 91.2 64.0%


Over/Under Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Better Seed Worse Seed Line Total Points Pick Pick%
East Atlanta Hawks Milwaukee Bucks 185.5 191.8 OVER 57.5% Calc -->
West Los Angeles Lakers Utah Jazz 202.5 202.3 UNDER 51.0% Calc -->

Key
65%+ 3X Normal Play
62% - 65% 2X Normal Play
57% - 62% Normal Play
53% - 57% Weak Play (but playable)
< 53% No Pick
 

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