Dr. Bob Hoops
HOUSTON (+2.5) vs L.A. Clippers
12:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 752
This has been a very odd series. The Rockets looked like they didn’t care in losing games 3 and 4 by a combined 58 points then rebounded in a favorable situation to win game 5 by 21 points. The surprise was a Rockets’ comeback from a 19 point deficit to win by 12 in Los Angeles in game 6 to set up this deciding game. Home teams in game 7 may be 35-23-2 ATS overall but home teams that are priced as the inferior team (from -3 to dog) are 1-5 straight up and 0-6 ATS in game 7. The Clippers would also apply to a solid 59-18 ATS playoff bounce-back situation at -2 or better. The problem is that my ratings favor Houston by a point, so the line value favors the Rockets, who appear to have regained their form. The situation favors the Clippers but the line value favors Houston and I’d lean slightly with Houston at +2 ½ points or more but would have no opinion at +2 or less. My math projects 219.5 total points and I get 223 total points using the average pace of this series so I don’t see much value in the total.
HOUSTON (+2.5) vs L.A. Clippers
12:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 752
This has been a very odd series. The Rockets looked like they didn’t care in losing games 3 and 4 by a combined 58 points then rebounded in a favorable situation to win game 5 by 21 points. The surprise was a Rockets’ comeback from a 19 point deficit to win by 12 in Los Angeles in game 6 to set up this deciding game. Home teams in game 7 may be 35-23-2 ATS overall but home teams that are priced as the inferior team (from -3 to dog) are 1-5 straight up and 0-6 ATS in game 7. The Clippers would also apply to a solid 59-18 ATS playoff bounce-back situation at -2 or better. The problem is that my ratings favor Houston by a point, so the line value favors the Rockets, who appear to have regained their form. The situation favors the Clippers but the line value favors Houston and I’d lean slightly with Houston at +2 ½ points or more but would have no opinion at +2 or less. My math projects 219.5 total points and I get 223 total points using the average pace of this series so I don’t see much value in the total.
Smart Sport Investments
Risk 4.00 to win 3.20 [956] New York Mets -125 vs Milwaukee Brewers
Risk 3.00 to win 4.14 [971] Toronto Blue Jays +138 vs Houston Astros
Risk 5.00 to win 4.07 [969] Tampa Bay Rays -123 vs Minnesota Twins
Risk 5.00 to win 6.25 [752] Houston Rockets ML+125 vs Los Angeles Clippers
Risk 3.00 to win 4.26 [975] Chicago White Sox +142 vs Oakland Athletics
Risk 5.00 to win 4.10 [961] Washington Nationals -122 vs San Diego Padres
Risk 3.00 to win 4.08 [979] Detroit Tigers +136 vs St Louis Cardinals
Risk 4.00 to win 3.20 [956] New York Mets -125 vs Milwaukee Brewers
Risk 3.00 to win 4.14 [971] Toronto Blue Jays +138 vs Houston Astros
Risk 5.00 to win 4.07 [969] Tampa Bay Rays -123 vs Minnesota Twins
Risk 5.00 to win 6.25 [752] Houston Rockets ML+125 vs Los Angeles Clippers
Risk 3.00 to win 4.26 [975] Chicago White Sox +142 vs Oakland Athletics
Risk 5.00 to win 4.10 [961] Washington Nationals -122 vs San Diego Padres
Risk 3.00 to win 4.08 [979] Detroit Tigers +136 vs St Louis Cardinals
