Service Plays Sunday 4/3/11

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Today's NHL Picks

NY Rangers at Philadelphia

The Flyers look to take advantage of a Rangers team that is 1-5 in the last 6 meetings between the two teams. Philadelphia is the pick (-155) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155). Here are all of today's picks.
<table id="table1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SUNDAY, APRIL 3
Time Posted 8:30 a.m. EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 1-2: NY Rangers at Philadelphia (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.020; Philadelphia 12.268
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 3-4: Buffalo at Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 12.868; Carolina 11.995
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+120); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 5-6: St. Louis at Columbus (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.789; Columbus 10.295
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 7-8: Minnesota at Detroit (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.420; Detroit 10.754
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-230); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 9-10: Tampa Bay at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.930; Chicago 12.542
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-180); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 11-12: Dallas at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.521; Anaheim 10.964
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+150); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 13-14: Calgary at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.446; Colorado 10.753
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-145); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 5px;">
</td></tr></tbody></table>
 
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Today's NBA Picks

Denver at LA Lakers

The Nuggets look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Denver is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+7). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SUNDAY, APRIL 3
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 501-502: Phoenix at San Antonio (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.930; San Antonio 125.361
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 503-504: Denver at LA Lakers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.110; LA Lakers 127.186
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 198
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 202
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+7); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 505-506: Utah at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 110.523; Sacramento 121.772
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 11; 192
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 507-508: Cleveland at New York (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 111.442; New York 116.354
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 5; 222
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 11 1/2; 216
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+11 1/2); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 509-510: Orlando at Toronto (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 118.858; Toronto 114.394
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 511-512: Miami at New Jersey (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.136; New Jersey 112.176
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 14; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 11; 198
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-11); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 513-514: Detroit at Boston (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.074; Boston 121.574
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 11; 185
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+11); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 515-516: Washington at Charlotte (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 104.435; Charlotte 117.175
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 12 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 517-518: Indiana at New Orleans (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.560; New Orleans 117.322
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 3; 184
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 5; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+5); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 519-520: Atlanta at Houston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.076; Houston 127.791
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 13 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 5 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-5 1/2); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 521-522: Dallas at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 122.909; Portland 125.404
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Over</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

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WEEKLY WINNING SPORTS PICKS

Sunday's Sports Picks:
5* Chicago White Sox -130
4* L.A. Angels -105
3* St. Louis Cardinals -170
3* Nuggets @ Lakers / OVER 202
3* Hawks @ Rockets / OVER 200
 

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NEW LEGEND SPORTS

MLB
3 unit - Chicago White Sox 1st 5 innings -125
3 unit - Cleveland/Chicago OVER 8.5 runs
3 unit - Cincinnati Reds -130

NBA
4 unit - Denver/Los Angeles OVER 202
4 unit - Atlanta/Houston OVER 200
 
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MLB
Write-Up


Sunday, April 3

For first week or two of any season, not lot of stats make sense, but I'll be giving you pitching stats that refer back to LY. We'll start the umpire stats in late April-- will give you pitcher vs team stats until some of the other stats start to become relevant. We're here every day-- enjoy!!!

Hot/cold team trends will start on Monday.

Hot pitchers
-- Arroyo is 3-0, 2.25 in his last four starts. Wolf is 3-2, 1.85 in his last six outings.
-- Oswalt is 3-0, 1.76 in his last seven starts. Norris is 3-1, 3.70 in his last five starts.
-- THudson is 2-0, 3.15 in his last three starts. Zimmerman is 1-0, 1.64 in his last couple starts.
-- Garza is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin is 4-2, 3.06 in his last eight starts.
-- Kuroda is 2-2, 2.68 in his last six home starts.

-- Scherzer is 2-1, 2.61 in his last three starts.
-- Blackburn has a 2.05 RA in his last three starts.
-- Masterson is 2-0, 1.50 in his last four starts. Danks is 2-0, 2.57 in his last two starts.
-- Davis has a 2.94 RA in his last four starts.
-- Chen is 3-0, 1.87 in his last five starts.
-- Buchholz is 2-0, 2.77 in his last four starts.
-- GGonzalez is 1-0, 0.95 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Vazquez is 0-3, 9.16 in his last seven starts. Dickey is 0-3, 3.79 in his last three outings.
-- Garcia is 0-2, 9.90 in his last couple starts. Moseley is 0-2, 5.32 in his last four starts.
-- Ohlendorf is 0-5, 3.98 in his last nine starts.
-- Saunders is 1-3, 6.07 in his last five starts.
-- Zito was in a car accident earlier this week; he is 1-7, 8.22 in his last nine starts.

-- Hughes is 2-4, 6.23 in his last six starts.
-- Cecil has a 7.09 RA in his last six starts.
-- Baltimore prospect Britton was 3-4, 2.98 in 12 starts at AAA Norfolk LY; this is his first big league start.
-- Kazmir is 1-2, 5.68 in his last four starts.
-- Harrison has an 8.14 RA in his last four starts.
-- Fister is 1-3, 5.61 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Vazquez starts. Under is 12-5 in Dickey's last 17 starts.
-- Over is 3-0-2 in last five Arroyo starts. Five of last six Wolf starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Norris starts.
-- Six of last eight THudson road starts stayed under the total.
-- Over was 6-3-1 in Moseley's starts LY.
-- Four of last five Garza home starts went over the total. Under is 5-2 in last seven Ohlendorf starts.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Garcia starts.
-- Seven of last ten Kuroda starts stayed under the total; 5:00 first pitch in LA means more shadows if its a sunny day.

-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Scherzer starts.
-- Five of last six Masterson starts stayed under the total. Three of last four Danks starts went over.
-- Six of last eight Blackburn starts stayed under the total. Eight of last nine Cecil starts went over.
-- Last five Davis starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Kazmir starts.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Buchholz starts.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in Fister's last four road starts.

Pitchers vs teams last year
-- Vazquez was 1-1, 0.69 (one run/13 IP) against the Mets LY. Dickey was 1-1, 6.38 in three starts vs Florida.
-- Wolf was 1-1, 3.24 in four starts vs Cincinnati LY. Arroyo lost 3-2 at Milwaukee last July 26, throwing a CG.
-- Oswalt is pitching against his former team for the first time. Norris was 0-1, 4.15 in two starts vs Philly LY.
-- THudson was 2-1, 2.88 in five starts vs Washington LY. Zimmerman beat the Braves 8-3 Sept 24 (one run/five IP).
-- Garcia blanked San Diego for six innings May 26, in a game Padres eventually won 2-1 in 13 innings.
-- Ohlendorf was 0-0, 2.08 in two starts against the Cubs LY.
-- Chacin was 2-1, 3.22 in four starts vs Arizona LY. Saunders was 1-1, 6.75 vs Colorado for the Snakes LY.
-- Kuroda lost 3-0 at home to Giants Sept 5 (three runs in 8 IP).

-- Scherzer won 3-1 in Bronx Aug 16, tossing six shutout innings.
-- Masterson was 1-1, 3.22 in four starts vs Chicago LY. Danks was 1-1, 5.23 against Cleveland LY.
-- Blackburn lost 2-1 to Toronto Oct 3 (two runs/seven IP). Cecil beat the Twins 8-1 July 8 (one run/seven IP).
-- Davis was 1-1, 3.72 in three starts vs Baltimore LY.
-- Chen beat the Angels 4-1 in Anaheim July 3 (one run/7.1 IP). Kazmir beat Royals 7-2 here last June 2 (one run/5.2 IP).
-- Buchholz lost 3-0 to Texas at home last April 22 (three runs/6.2 IP). Harrison allowed six runs in four IP at Boston last April 21.
-- GGonzalez was 3-0, 2.84 in four starts vs Seattle LY. Fister was 3-1, 3.33 against Oakland LY.
 

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OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick Sunday is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (+11.5) to the NY Knicks.

Reasoning: Sure Cleveland stinks and talent wise can’t hold a candle to Amare, Carmelo and the Knicks but somehow Byron Scott’s squad is 3-0 this season against the boys from New York and to get a dozen or so tonight seems like a bit much.

I am not going to act as if the Cavaliers are going to sweep the season series because they’re not. The Knicks are going to win this game and fatten themselves up a bit as this soft schedule comes to bare but Mike D’Antoni’s team still is not playing well defensively and therefore can’t be laying such a hefty price.
The Knicks looked flat out lousy in having to come back to defeat the Nets the other night allowing Brook Lopez and Kris Humphries to control a lot of the paint and are just not very good right now.

Since the trade with Denver things have gone fairly rough. Yes the New Yorkers looked really good in the comeback win down in South Beach about a month ago, and I do expect some wins coming up, but there have been a lot of losses since and therefore to get a number like this is certainly worth it. JJ Hickson has been playing at a high level and guys like Baron Davis, Ramon Sessions and Boobie Gibson are capable and worthy of a play tonight.

15-60 is beyond dreadful but three of those victories came against the Knicks and maybe, just maybe, there’s something to that. Even if not a dozen is a ton to get and always-backdoor territory.

For more information: That’s right, a 400,000* on UConn outright and a 300,000* On Butler. The only loser was the 200,000* Pirates plus 165 blowing a 3-0 8th inning lead. I am absolutely feeling great and continually destroying that Crookie and I mean destroying!

A pair of Sunday winners as I begin a new week with the same incredible results. Get another big-time 400,000* NBA underdog winner plus a 300,000* afternoon lock on the diamond. Two more fire hot locks! Rivers picks are up now at OffshoreInsiders.com

Veteran writer Vegas Matty debuts Tuesday with premium picks exclusively on OffshoreInsiders.com. He is a sample of what you will get.

Denver Nuggets (46-29) at Los Angeles Lakers (55-20)

Analysis: The two-time defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers have been nearly unstoppable since the All-Star break with an unreal 17-1 record straight-up. But the Lakers have been much more mortal against the spread during that stretch with a 12-6 mark, including 3-4 in their past seven games. These Denver Nuggets will also be playing LA for the first time since getting rid of Carmelo Anthony, their former star who took his talents to the Big Apple in a blockbuster trade right before the Lakers went on their run. The Nuggets enjoyed past success against Los Angeles with Anthony, going 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings. They have been a better team without him though with a 14-4 record and incredible 15-2-1 ATS mark. The Lakers expended a lot of energy on Friday during their comeback from a 17-point deficit in the second quarter at Utah in an eventual 96-85 victory, and they are just 24-23 ATS when playing on one day of rest this season. That trend alone makes this game a toss-up, and the others also point in Denver’s direction. Since this is a nationally televised game, the line is a bit inflated with more people betting LA. Take the Nuggets to keep it close and stay within the seven points.

Pick: Nuggets +7

San Francisco Giants (1-2) at Los Angeles Dodgers (2-1)

Analysis: The San Francisco Giants looked like the defending World Series champions on Saturday in a 10-0 rout of the Los Angeles Dodgers, but do not forget what happened in the first two games of this series. The Dodgers outdueled the Giants on the mound, which is exactly what should happen on Sunday Night Baseball. In the latest meeting, LA’s Ted Lilly got knocked out after giving up four runs in 4.2 innings, but Hiroki Kuroda should be able to right the ship and give the home team a series victory against their division rivals. Kuroda had a 3.39 ERA last season, and that number was up just slightly vs. the Giants at 3.56. He also owns San Francisco’s Freddy Sanchez, who has only two hits in 12 career at-bats against him. Barry Zito takes the mound for the Giants after getting into an auto accident in West Hollywood on Wednesday. Zito was deemed fit to pitch after a throwing session on Friday, but that does not mean he was able to go back in time to find his Cy Young form. He was so bad at the end of last season (1-10 with a 5.19 ERA in his last 15 appearances) that he was left off San Francisco’s postseason roster during the team’s World Series run. Zito went 0-3 against the Dodgers last year, getting just five runs of support. LA slugger Matt Kemp has more hits against Zito (18) than any other pitcher, so look for him to shine and allow the Dodgers faithful to go home happy.

Pick: Dodgers -140
 

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JIMMY BOYD
3* CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* NBA* Dallas Mavericks, +4
3* MOUND MISMATCH* MLB* Boston Red Sox , ML
4* TOTAL DOMINATOR* NBA* New York Knicks, Under 216
 

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SPORTS WAGERS

PORTLAND –4 over Dallas

The Mav’s own one of the best records in the league and that’s because they always beat the teams they’re supposed to beat. Rarely does Dallas lose to teams like the Clippers, Kings, Nets, T-Wolves, etc. They even beat a lot of .500 or slightly better teams. However, when they play the elite teams in this league, they’re a different club and it’s not for the better. Against the Lakers in L.A. on Thursday night in a game they wanted badly they were embarrassed in a 28-point loss. The Mav’s have won 15 of their last 23 games but let’s have a close look at whom they’ve beaten. Aside from beating the Warriors twice, Dallas has also beaten Houston, Sacramento (twice), Minnesota (twice), Toronto, Indiana, Washington, Philly, the Knicks, Phoenix, Utah and the Clip Joint. Among those teams, Phoenix, Utah and the Knicks are all in free-fall mode while the rest are all garbage with the exception of Philly and Houston. Over that same stretch the Mav’s played but could not beat San Antonio, the Lakers (twice), Memphis, Denver, New Orleans, Portland and Golden State last night. The Mav’s are a club that’s built to beat bad teams. They rank 27th in the league in points in the paint and they rank 29th in the Association in second chance opportunities. They rarely get an offensive board and must hit a high percentage from the perimeter to even have a chance. They do against bad teams. It’s also worth noting that the Mav’s will play their fourth game in five nights against one of the most determined and tough-minded squads in the league. Play: Portland –4 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).


Baltimore +136 over TAMPA BAY

Last season the Orioles stumbled badly out of the gate to a 2-16 start and never really recovered until Buck Showalter - their third manager of the campaign - took the reins. The O's were 34-23 under Showalter and it’s carried over to this year where the O’s have won their first two games. Armed with potential superstars like Adam Jones, Nick Markakis and Matt Wieters, Baltimore added a bevy of veterans like Derrek Lee, J.J. Hardy and Vladimir Guerrero this offseason, giving them the makings of a pretty solid lineup from top to bottom. Lefty Zach Britton will make his major-league debut and he’s a highly touted youngster that has the minor-league credentials to make an immediate impact. Britton has a good low-90s sinking fastball and a quality slider. He gets tons of groundball outs and it’s been reported that he might be the best groundball pitcher in the minors. Britton went 3–0 in the spring with a 1.35 ERA and he’ll face a Rays squad that has scored two runs in the first two games of the year. Not only did the Rays lose Carl Crawford, Carlos Pena and Jason Bartlett but they also lost Evan Longoria to an injury yesterday. Wade Davis had some decent second half numbers last season but there are some concerns. He has a high fly-ball profile and he also had an alarmingly high LOB% of 78%. That’s a huge number that should not be ignored. The O’s can’t wait to get back on the field today while the Rays are pressing at the plate and it sure diesn't help that they've never seen Britton. Play: Baltimore +136 (Risking 2 units).


AHAHEIM -½ +102 over Dallas (REG)

It really doesn’t get much better than this. It’s been a long season for every team and you can triple that for these Western clubs that have been in a playoff-like battle for position for weeks upon weeks. The Ducks have a shot to clinch a playoff spot here and you can expect this extremely dangerous host to leave nothing on the table. Anaheim and its fans will be completely jacked up to clinch and frankly, they couldn’t have handpicked a riper intruder. Incidentally, Anaheim is very warm with seven wins in its last nine games and over that stretch they scored four goals or more in five of those games. Meanwhile, the Stars have thrown in the proverbial towel. Dallas’ last grasp of air occurred yesterday when they absolutely had to have a win against the Kings and it didn’t happen. The Stars lost their sixth straight game and their eighth game in their last nine to drive the final nail in their coffin. After a long season and with virtually no shot of making the playoffs one really has to question what is going to motivate them here. The Stars are a mentally dejected team playing their fifth straight on the road against a team that can clinch and we just can’t envision for a second this one turning out any other way. Play: Anaheim -½ +102 (Risking 2 units).


CHICAGO -½ -104 over Tampa Bay (REG) Pinnacle

The Blackhawks can’t clinch a playoff spot with a win - not mathematically - but they’re certainly aware that a win here and they’re 99.9% guaranteed their spot in the postseason and everything sets up perfectly for them to do just that. The Lightning will play their third game in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs after a win in Minnesota yesterday. They’ll also turn to their seldom-used back-up goaltender Mike Smith here. Smith has played twice in the past month. The Blackhawks are rested, they’ve won six of seven at the United Center overall and have won seven of their last eight home games against the Bolts. A packed house with a chance to all but clinch assures a strong effort from the home side and a very likely win to go along with it. Play: Chicago -½ -104 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).
 

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2011 MLB Handicapper tracking updated

Big Al 1-2 (Passed Yest)
Ben Burns 3-2 (2-1 Yest)
Larry Ness 5-0 (3-0 Yest)
Lenny Del Genio 4-3 (1-1 Yest)
Matt Fargo 3-2 (0-2 Yest)
OWAD and 5*s 6-1 (2-0 Yest)
Scott Rickenbach 2-3 (2-0 Yest)
Scott Spreitzer 5-0-1 (2-0 Yest)
Teddy Covers 2-1 (1-0 Yest)

if anyone wants me to add any other cappers and has a verifiable record since opening day let me know and I will add them to the list..these are just some that I follow..thx Leo
 
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Gold Sheet

SAN ANTONIO 100 - Phoenix 91—Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili could
both be returning soon for Spurs, who could especially use the “Big
Fundamental” back on the floor after losing SU all four in his recent absence
thru March 30, suddenly making S.A.’s hold on the top playoff spot in the West
look a bit tenuous. But we don’t have much interest backing a Phoenix side that
has spit the bit in the past two weeks to fall out of the West playoff discussion,
losing and failing to cover its last four thru March 31, and appeared to reach the
breaking point in another 4th-Q collapse last Wednesday vs. the Thunder, with
Steve Nash and Vince Carter both hit with Ts and Zabian Dowdell and Aaron
Brooks ejected in the 4th Q. With the banged-up Nash in single-digit scoring in
three of his last four games prior to facing Clips on Friday, and Alvin Gentry in
no rush to get Mickael Pietrus back on the floor with his recent shin woes, not
sure we want fading Phoenix, even if Duncan and Ginobili remain out. 10-San
-1 112-110 (208), SAN -11 118-110 (213); 09-PHO -2 116-104 (210), SAN -4
113-110 (206), PHO -6' 112-101 (209) TV—ABC

LA LAKERS 99 - Denver 95—Here’s an interesting measuring stick for
Denver, which gets a look at the Lakers (a possible playoff foe) for the first time
since the Nuggets’ fortunes turned for the better after the Carmelo Anthony
trade-deadline deal. Now the Zen Master’s flock must face a re-energized
George Karl team that had dropped only 2 of its last 18 pointspread decisions
heading into April. Much of Denver’s uptick (13-4 SU since the Carmelo trade
thru March 31) has to do with improved defense, and Karl has since admitted
that he might not have been demanding enough with Anthony on the stop end.
Illustrating that new defensive resolve, note Denver’s 11-3 “under” mark its last
14 before facing Sacto on Friday night. And for the Lakers’ considerable
straight-up successes since the All-Star break (they’re 15-1 thru March 30),
they had still covered only 5 of their last 11 prior to Thursday vs. the Mavericks,
and just 2 of last 7 at Staples Center. Also note that L.A. has covered only one
of six tries vs. the Nuggets. 10-DEN +3 118-112 (212), La -1 107-97 (210); 09-
DEN -4 105-79 (211), Den +8 126-113 (200), LA -6 95-89 (209), DEN -2 98-96
(204) TV—ABC

***SACRAMENTO 109 - Utah 95—Although Utah already owns the hattrick
at Sacto’s expense this season, the fourth win over the Kings doesn’t figure
to come easy. That’s because Sacto is flat-out playing better basketball lately
than the Jazz, who jumped the rails a few months ago and have yet to regain
traction under interim HC Ty Corbin, whose chances of securing the job on a
full-time basis have to be under review, as Utah continues to lose (now six
straight in latest slump thru March 31) on his watch and suffered the ultimate
indignity of losing at home on March 28 to the Wizards, who had only beaten
Cleveland on the road this season prior to visiting Salt Lake City. And now
injuries are piling up for the Jazz, with starters Andrei Kirilenko, Devin Harris,
and Raja Bell all expected to miss Friday’s game vs. the Lakers with various leg
injuries, and whispers that all might not be right between C Al Harrington and
Corbin, who sat Big Al for the duration of the OT period in the loss vs.
Washington. Not good. Note that Kings took a 5-game spread unbeaten streak
into Friday night’s test vs. Denver, and trade-deadline addition G Marcus
Thornton has continued his stellar play, scoring 27 in Wednesday’s competitive
loss at hot Denver. Although hearts are beginning to sag in Sacto with the
realization the Maloofs are probably bound for Anaheim, the Kings are at least
giving their faithful fans something to remember in their likely final weeks in the
River City. 10-UTA -10' 94-83 (197), Uta -2 107-104 (200), UTA -7' 109-102 (OT-
208); 09-Sac +15' 104-99 (206), UTA -8' 101-94 (203), SAC +7 103-99 (201)
 
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Gold Sheet

NEW YORK 109 - Cleveland 104—Hard as it is to believe, Cleveland has
beaten New York three straight this season, including a win over the “Carmelo
Knicks” on March 4 at The Q. New York’s defensive deficiencies since the trade
that brought Carmelo and Chauncey Billups to the Big Apple were highlighted
that night when the Cavs hit 57% beyond the arc and withstood a 41-point
barrage from Amar’e Stoudemire. Spike Lee and other Knicks fans, however,
are hoping that the recent slump might have ended with consecutive wins in the
past week vs. Orlando and New Jersey, but with only 2 covers in their last 12,
Mike D’Antoni’s troops are hardly a reliable favorite these days. Meanwhile, the
Cavs have been energized the past week by Baron Davis’ presence, which has
helped result in much-improved shooting stats, as Cleveland has notched two
of its three best shooting efforts of the year in the past week, hitting 55.6% in the
shock March 29 win over the Heat and 52.2% the next night in a one-point loss
at Charlotte. Besides Davis, J.J. Hickson picking up the pace, scoring 21 ppg
and hauling in 10 rpg vs. Heat and Bobcats, while the bench totaled an
impressive 70 points in those two games combined. Given New York’s ongoing
defensive lapses, that sort of new-found potency should at least reward the
Cavs with another cover vs. an unreliable host. 10-CLE +5 109-102 (OT-211),
CLE +8 115-109 (220), Cle +12' 119-115 (217); 09-Cle -8 100-91 (203), CLE -
12' 113-106 (201), CLE -11' 124-93 (213)

Orlando 100 - TORONTO 95—Toronto obviously had Orlando’s attention
the last time these two got together, when the Magic routed the Raptors by 40
at Amway Center back on Jan. 21. Most interesting about that scoreline was
Orlando’s breathtaking second-half blitz, outscoring Toronto 65-31 in the final
24 minutes, with Dwight Howard (31 & 19) almost unstoppable. Of course,
Magic were on alert that night after losing by 4 at Air Canada Centre back in
November, and we would assume Stan Van Gundy will use that result as a
reminder to Magic to keep on their toes north of the border. But if the price
inflates too high, not sure we have much interest in backing Orlando, which is
almost cemented into the East’s 4th playoff slot and not likely to put a huge
premium on this result, especially with a handful of contributors (such as
Quentin Richardson, Chris Duhon, and J.J. Redick) all nursing nagging injuries
and potentially absent. Raptors have occasionally risen vs. heavyweight sides
this season (wins over Thunder...twice, plus Bulls, Celtics, Mavs and Magic),
and trade-deadline addition ex-Wake Forest F James Johnson from Chicago
providing some much-needed help on the boards in recent weeks. 10-Tor +14'
110-106 (200), ORL -12 112-72 (206); 09-Orl -5' 125-116 (200), Orl -3' 104-96
(207), ORL -11 118-99 (207), Tor +7' 108-103 (205)

Miami 105 - NEW JERSEY 93—Miami seemed to get a wake-up call after
last Tuesday’s shocking loss at Cleveland by bouncing back strongly the next
night at Washington. The tour of the bottom of the league continued on Friday
at Minneapolis and tonight at Newark, and it’s not too much of a stretch to
presume a focused Heat effort a stone’s throw from the Big Apple, where
LeBron has delivered many highlight-reel performances and was right at home
his last visit to the Pru Center on Halloween, leading a balanced Heat attack with
20 points (in only 28 minutes of court time) in Miami’s easy 101-78 cruise. The
Nets have a bit different look since then, but maybe not a better look if Deron
Williams’ nagging wrist injury continues to keep him out of action. New Jersey’s
offense has been short-circuiting without Williams, contributing to 8 losses in
last 9 outings thru March 31, and cracking the century mark only once in that
stretch, vs. the defense-poor Knicks. Still in mix for the East’s No. 2 playoff
seed, we must assume Miami will bring the same focus to this one as it did last
Wednesday when scoring 123 and shooting 58% in a win and cover vs. the
beatable Wizards. 10-Mia -9 101-78 (188), MIA -17' 101-89 (189); 09-MIA -13
81-80 (179), Mia -7 87-84 (187), Mia -6' 99-89 (187), MIA -5 94-86 (2OT-189)
 
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Gold Sheet

CHARLOTTE 93 - Washington 84—Charlotte making a gutsy bid for the
last East playoff slot, cobbling together a unlikely 4-game win streak (each by 1
or 2 points) heading into Friday night’s game vs. Orlando despite dealing with a
series on ongoing injuries, including Stephen Jackson’s balky hamstring that
continues to make his status questionable. Others such as Boris Diaw (scored
26 last Wednesday in 1-point win over Cavs) have stepped into the breach, but
the question is if we want to lay points with a low-variance side like the Bobcats.
Given that the opponent is Washington, we’d consider it, especially since
Wizards (despite a rare road win at Utah last Monday and recent contributions
of Xavier rookie G Jordan Crawford) are just 12-24 vs. the line away, and might
be minus Nick Young with a lingering left knee injury, as well as John Wall, who
is looking at a league suspension after taking a swing at Miami’s Zydrunas
Ilgauskus last Wednesday at the Verizon Center. “Under” might be more
preferable, with Washington that way in 12 of its last 17 thru March 31, and
Bobcats “under” 10 of last 16 heading into Friday night’s game vs. Magic. 10-
Cha +1 93-85 (188), WASH -3' 108-75 (186), CHA -4 104-89 (189); 09-Cha +3'
92-76 (193), CHA -8 94-92 (189), Cha -6' 95-86 (OT-182), CHA -10 107-96 (181)
NEW ORLEANS 102 - Indiana 101—Indiana gaining a bit of traction the
past week with home wins and covers over the Celtics and Pistons that have
temporarily repelled Charlotte’s late bid to overtake Pacers for the last East
playoff slot. Helping Indiana’s recent surge have been solid contributions from
the bench, which added 47 points to the cause in last Wednesday’s win over
Detroit, with G Mike Dunleavy’s return from a broken left thumb suffered on Feb.
22 adding a bit more pop to Frank Vogel’s reserve corps. New Orleans looks
like it will hang on to its West playoff slot despite C David West’s ACL injury, as
the Hornets had won 2 of 3 without the big Xavier man heading into Friday
night’s game vs. Memphis, thanks largely to the contributions of Sacto tradedeadline
addition Carl Landry, who has scored 21.3 ppg since stepping into
West’s starting role. But with Pacers finding a second wind and probably
approaching this contest with a bit more urgency, we’re reluctant to lay any
points with host New Orleans. 10-IND -3' 94-93 (191); 09-No +2' 101-96 (208),
NO -4' 107-101 (205)

***HOUSTON 111 - Atlanta 96—Houston is running out of time to catch
Grizzlies, Hornets, or Blazers for final West playoff berth, although a string of
focused efforts in that pursuit over the past month makes us more comfy to
recommend Rockets vs. Atlanta, which appears locked into the 5th postseason
spot in the East. Houston has been rather effective lately at home, winning 8 of
last 10 at Toyota Center entering last Friday’s matchup vs. the Spurs, and
Rockets had covered 11 of last 16 overall heading into that contest vs. San
Antonio. And the undersized Houston frontline (with 6-6 Chuck Hayes the
shortest starting C in NBA history!) isn’t overmatched by the Hawks, who aren’t
very big themselves. Remember that Rockets beat Atlanta by 6 back on Jan.
15 at Philips Arena when hitting 54% from floor and outrebounding Hawks 44-
32. Meanwhile, Houston’s current plight was summed up by G Kyle Lowry after
last Wednesday’s bitter loss at Philly. “We have to win every game from here
on out,” said the ex-Villanova star. “It’s as simple as that.” It’s not going to be
that simple, but for this one vs. Atlanta, we’ll take Lowry at his word. 10-Hou +8
112-106 (204); 09-ATL -7 105-103 (203), Atl +1 102-95 (198)

PORTLAND 108 - Dallas 104—These two are notorious for their closelycontested
battles, with all three decisions this season by 5 points or fewer, and
only one of last seven decided by more than six points. The favored side has
also only covered one of those seven meetings, but without much cushion to be
provided either way by the oddsmakers, it’s simply pick-a-winner time in this
one. Though Dallas has more road wins (27) than any team thru March 30, this
is at the end of a grueling 6-game trip for Mavericks, and Portland has won six
straight at Rose Garden thru March 31, including a recent 3-point success over
Dallas on March 15 when LaMarcus Aldridge (30 points) proved hard for Mavs
to stop. Indeed, Metroplex native Aldridge seems to save his best for his old
hometown team, scoring 31 ppg in the three previous meetings this season. In
possible playoff preview, slight lean to the home-court edge that has worked
well for Blazers lately. 10-DAL -6' 103-98 (184), DAL -3 84-81 (181), POR +2
104-101 (190); 09-Port +5' 85-81 (187), Port +8' 114-112 (OT-193), PORT -3'
101-89 (192), Dal +5 83-77 (191) TV—NBA NETWORK
 
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GREAT LAKES SPORTS

NBA Selections:

4* (502) San Antonio 1:05est
3* (508) New York 6:05est

Major League Baseball Selections:

4* (975) LA Angels (with Kazmir) 2:10est
3* (970) Cleveland (with Masterson) 1:05est
 
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FantasySportsGametime

Play LA Angels (-105) over Kansas City (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 2:10 PM EST

Kansas City has lost 45 of the last 76 games when the line posted is between -100 to -150 and they have also lost 60 of the last 92 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers.

Play NY Mets (+130) over Florida
Starts at 1:10 PM EST

Mets pitcher, RA Dickey has won 10 of the last 13 games as an underdog of +100 to +150 and Marlins pitcher, Javier Vazquez has lost 9 of the last 13 home games as a favorite of -125 to -175.

Play Milwaukee (+115) over Cincinnati
Starts at 1:10 PM EST

Milwaukee pitcher, Randy Wolf has won 13 of the last 22 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is 10-3 vs. Cincinnati over his career with an ERA of 3.13.
 
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GC MLB Play- Sunday

Sunday Western Conference Total of the Month with 100% System + MLB Totals Play. MLB and NBA Cash Big On Saturday with Texas and Memphis NCAAB Splits With Butler and Kentucky. Free MLB Play below

On Sunday the Bonus Play is on the Florida Marlins. Game 952 at 1:10 eastern. The Marlins have newly acquired J. Vazquez on the mound here today. While he was mediocre in the American League he always been much better in his National league starts. One team he been superb against is the New York Mets. In his last 3 starts vs the Mets he has allowed just 2 runs in 20 innings with no home runs. Today he opposes Knuckle baller RA. Dickey. In his outings last year Dickey was a pleasant surprise. However he was inept vs the Marlins in 4 starts he had a 7.36 era, His last 2 starts vs Florida were of particular concern as he allowed 10 earned runs in just 12 innings. The Mets have been sub par as a road dog from +125 to +150 the last 3 years losing 26 of 37 times. The Marlins are 28-16 and +6 units as a home favorite from -125 to -150. Look for the Marlins to take the Finale here today. On Sunday I have the Western Conference Total of the Month backed with a 100% Totals system that beats the line by more than 15 points. I also have a solid MLB Totals Play. For the Bonus Play take the Florida Marlins. GC
 

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Wayne root

Billionaires------------San Antonio
No Limit----------------NJ Nets
 

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