Tony George
Georgia Tech +9
GT has been more impressive is this tourney and their size and rebounding will be keys in this game. These 2 split the season games, but I have watched Duke struggle with Virginia and Miami, both of whom are not good teams. While Duke is the better team overall, I think laying 9 points in this spot, in a championship game, in a week of underdog covers all over the place, is way too many points. Duke has not covered a game in this tourney, and are 2-4-2 ATS their last 8 games. Play 1 Unit on Georgia Tech.
Georgia Tech +9
GT has been more impressive is this tourney and their size and rebounding will be keys in this game. These 2 split the season games, but I have watched Duke struggle with Virginia and Miami, both of whom are not good teams. While Duke is the better team overall, I think laying 9 points in this spot, in a championship game, in a week of underdog covers all over the place, is way too many points. Duke has not covered a game in this tourney, and are 2-4-2 ATS their last 8 games. Play 1 Unit on Georgia Tech.
Dwayne Bryant
Mississippi St +7
Yesterday we rolled with Kentucky as our Top Play, as the Wildcats avenged their earlier loss to Tennessee. Today I'm making the unpopular choice to fade vastly talented Kentucky. The bottom line for me in this one is motivation. As I mentioned, Kentucky avenged their earlier loss to Tennessee in HUGE fashion, 74-45. The Wildcats have to be feeling fat & happy coming off that huge win, especially knowing they'll definitely be in "The Big Dance." And since they already defeated the Bulldogs this season, I can't see Kentucky being too motivated to gain any kind of margin here.
The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are one of those bubble teams. They need this game to ensure an invite to the NCAA Tournament. That doesn't mean they'll win this game, but it should mean that we will get maximum effort for the full 40 minutes. They'll also be playing with revenge from an 81-75 OT home loss to Kentucky back on 2/16. In that game, the Bulldogs shot just 38.6% from the field, had only half as many free throw attempts & free throws made, AND were -20 (yes, MINUS 20) in rebounds. And Kentucky still needed OT to get the win!
As I said earlier, this one is all about motivation. The revenge-minded Bulldogs need this win; Kentucky does not. The Bulldogs already proved they can hang with the Wildcats despite getting clearly outplayed, and they have the confidence of knowing that they won this SEC Tournament last season. Kentucky lost just two games all season. They avenged their loss to South Carolina with a 21-point win and followed that with a loss to Tennessee. Yesterday, Kentucky avenged their loss to Tennessee with a huge 29-point win. If the pattern holds true, we should see a bit of a flat performance from Kentucky coming off that huge revenge win. Grab the points with Mississippi State.
Mississippi St +7
Yesterday we rolled with Kentucky as our Top Play, as the Wildcats avenged their earlier loss to Tennessee. Today I'm making the unpopular choice to fade vastly talented Kentucky. The bottom line for me in this one is motivation. As I mentioned, Kentucky avenged their earlier loss to Tennessee in HUGE fashion, 74-45. The Wildcats have to be feeling fat & happy coming off that huge win, especially knowing they'll definitely be in "The Big Dance." And since they already defeated the Bulldogs this season, I can't see Kentucky being too motivated to gain any kind of margin here.
The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are one of those bubble teams. They need this game to ensure an invite to the NCAA Tournament. That doesn't mean they'll win this game, but it should mean that we will get maximum effort for the full 40 minutes. They'll also be playing with revenge from an 81-75 OT home loss to Kentucky back on 2/16. In that game, the Bulldogs shot just 38.6% from the field, had only half as many free throw attempts & free throws made, AND were -20 (yes, MINUS 20) in rebounds. And Kentucky still needed OT to get the win!
As I said earlier, this one is all about motivation. The revenge-minded Bulldogs need this win; Kentucky does not. The Bulldogs already proved they can hang with the Wildcats despite getting clearly outplayed, and they have the confidence of knowing that they won this SEC Tournament last season. Kentucky lost just two games all season. They avenged their loss to South Carolina with a 21-point win and followed that with a loss to Tennessee. Yesterday, Kentucky avenged their loss to Tennessee with a huge 29-point win. If the pattern holds true, we should see a bit of a flat performance from Kentucky coming off that huge revenge win. Grab the points with Mississippi State.
Lenny Del Genio
Mississippi St +7.5
The Bulldogs have to win this game to make the NCAA Tournament. Their only other chance would be if Minnesota were to get annihilated in the Big Ten final. Only problem is that MSU is at the disadvantage of playing first, so winning outright would probably be a good idea. They have had no problem in the SEC Tournament the last two years, winning this event in 2009 and they have now covered six straight conference tournament games following yesterday's 10-point win over Vanderbilt. The market is too high on Kentucky after the Wildcats 74-45 win over Tennessee yesterday and they don't have to do anything but show up here. John Calipari's team is a #1 seed, but not the #1 overall seed, win, lose or draw here. They literally have nothing to play for. Prior to a six-point home loss in February, MSU had beaten Kentucky three straight times. The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS away from home playing with revenge. UK is 0-6 ATS after allowing 50 points or less their previous game. MSU is 7-1 ATS after allowing 55 pts or less. Mississippi State is our 25* Conference Tourney Game of the Year.
Mississippi St +7.5
The Bulldogs have to win this game to make the NCAA Tournament. Their only other chance would be if Minnesota were to get annihilated in the Big Ten final. Only problem is that MSU is at the disadvantage of playing first, so winning outright would probably be a good idea. They have had no problem in the SEC Tournament the last two years, winning this event in 2009 and they have now covered six straight conference tournament games following yesterday's 10-point win over Vanderbilt. The market is too high on Kentucky after the Wildcats 74-45 win over Tennessee yesterday and they don't have to do anything but show up here. John Calipari's team is a #1 seed, but not the #1 overall seed, win, lose or draw here. They literally have nothing to play for. Prior to a six-point home loss in February, MSU had beaten Kentucky three straight times. The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS away from home playing with revenge. UK is 0-6 ATS after allowing 50 points or less their previous game. MSU is 7-1 ATS after allowing 55 pts or less. Mississippi State is our 25* Conference Tourney Game of the Year.
<DT class=dtPgTop>Sun, 03/14/10 - 1:00 PM VR's Morning Moves | CBB Total <DT class=dtPgSub>triple-dime bet 890 Temple / 889 Richmond Under 117.0 Bodog <DD class=ddPgMid>Analysis: *** CBB CONFERENCE FINAL MORNING MOVES 3* BOMB ***
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