Service Plays Sunday 2/9/14

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DAVID BANKS

NBA
Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics
The Dallas Mavericks (30-21, 29-22 ATS) are trying to hold on to the eighth
and final playoff spot in the loaded Western Conference as they journey
east to visit the Boston Celtics (18-33, 25-25-1 ATS) at TD Garden Sunday
evening at 6:00 ET in a game carried on NBA TV. The Mavericks lead the ninth
seeded Memphis Grizzlies by 2 games in the West, while it has been a difficult
transition season for the Celtics with their core players for many years now
playing mostly in Brooklyn, as Boston is in fourth place in the Atlantic
Division, although rather incredibly the Celtics are only 8 games behind the
first place Raptors.

And the news is not all brutal for Boston under first year NBA Coach Brad
Stevens. The Celtics are showing improvement as they have won three straight
games following a 99-89 win over Sacramento on Friday, and the last holdover
from the recent glory days, point guard Rajon Rondo, is coming ever so
closer to being back in game shape after missing about a year with a torn ACL.
Rondo did not play in the win over the Kings after playing a season-high 32
minutes in Philadelphia on Wednesday, where he registered eight points, 11
assists, nine rebounds and two steals in a stat-filling performance. Rondo
will play in this game on three days of rest and he is averaging 11.8 points,
8.5 assists and 6.3 rebounds over his last four games while averaging about
29 minutes in those games. If he continues to provide that kind of spark to
an otherwise young Boston team, the Celtics do still have time to make a
sneaky playoff run in the watered down Eastern Conference.

The Celtics may also be catching the Mavericks at the perfect time, as
besides this being the beginning of a three-game Eastern trip, as well as the
beginning of a stretch of six road games in seven games with the only home
contest being vs. the Miami Heat, Dallas also suffered a key injury in a 103-81
win over the Utah Jazz Friday when Monta Ellis suffered a hamstring injury
and he is not expected to play here. Thus the Mavs will be without his 19.5
points plus 5.8 assists per game, and remember that Dallas is also trying to
monitor the minutes of Shawn Marion, as the veteran just returned from a
shoulder injury. And the Mavericks need all the offense they can get
considering that the defense is ranked 23rd on the NBA in points against at 102.3 per
game and a distressing 28th out of 30 NBA teams in field goal percentage
allowed at 46.5 percent. Comparatively the Celtics are ninth in points against
at just 98.7 per game, so this is not a good game for the Dallas offense to
be short-handed.

Dallas will almost certainly be a small favorite here and the underdogs are
6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings. Also, the Celtics are 5-2 ATS
in their last seven games vs. teams with winning straight up records, while
the Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. the Atlantic
Division.
PICK: BOSTON CELTICS+4.5
 

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Sports Investors USA (21-7 on the week for 27 units), Absolutely demolished it yesterday, sweeping with 10-0 on his plays. He has had a great week.

Today his plays are:

Knicks +9.5
Bulls -1.5
Kings +5
Philly +15
 
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Joe Gavazzi CBKB


Western Michigan (-4) at Northern Illinois 4:30 ET
3% Western Michigan -4


Enough is enough. I am talking about 3 consecutive underdog wins by this Northern Illinois team. In the last 10 days, the Huskies have upset Miami Ohio, Ball State and Kent State. Prior to that, on this court, there were losses as home dog to Buffalo, Ohio U. and Kent State by 8 or more points. Those 3 losses were to teams very similar to today’s visitor. Home court not normally an ally for Northern Illinois who is just 18-34 SU 3+Y as host. Last year, Western whipped Northern on this court by a count of 71-34. Forewarned by the recent shenanigans of the Huskies, look for another convincing victory by the visiting Broncos.




Clemson at Syracuse (-14) 6:00 ET ESPNU
3% Clemson +14


Syracuse has had 8 days to calm down from their home court victory vs. Duke. Yet this game should look very similar to the 61-55 victory over Notre Dame on Monday. Clemson is the same type of Defensive Dandy who will slow the pace and limit possessions. And the long term record of Boeheim as superior conference home favorite and off a win is under 40%. Cannot make this any stronger, however, with the recollection of the Tigers 19 point loss at North Carolina and 33 point whipping at Pitt.




Creighton (-3) at St. John’s 7:00 ET FS1
3% St. John’s +3


The notable edge in speed and athleticism for St. John’s was apparent in the 1st meeting between these two. St. John’s stormed back from being down double digits to lose by only a 63-60 score. McDermott’s triple at the buzzer was the difference. That narrow loss on January 28th was the only defeat for St. John’s in a recent 5-1 SU, ATS spurt. Look for the Red Men to use that fundamental advantage and the change in venue to flip that result and pull the shocking upset against a Creighton team who formerly has only 3 defeats.




Oregon State at Arizona (-15) 7:00 ET ESPN
4% Oregon State +15


Led by the improvements of Cooke on the perimeter and Mooreland on the interior, this Oregon State team has made steady improvements throughout conference play. In 5 PAC 12 road games, no loss has been by more than 11 points as they have not lost a game the entire season by more than 12 points. Reports from Arizona confirm that the 0-5 ATS downer of the wrong #1 Wildcats will continue. 3rd year HC Miller must remake this team after the key loss of interior court Ashley. Hollis/Jefferson filled in admirably against Oregon Thursday night. York provides excellent perimeter pop to replace the triples of Ashley. But in spite of the solid play of those replacements, the Cats could garner only a 2 point victory against an Oregon team that is 3-8 SU in league play. Again tonight, any victory will sabotage a home team in a role that has seen them go 7-28 ATS (1-4 ATS this year) following a conference home victory.




NBA


NY Knicks at OKC Thunder (-9-) 1:00 ET ABC
3% OKC -9-


All greater than .500 NBA teams are 163-109 ATS (60%) following a defeat this season. No team is better off a loss in the NBA in recent seasons than OKC which is 36-13 ATS including 8-3 ATS this year following a defeat. A shocking 103-102 loss at Orlando Friday Night will ignite the Thunder this afternoon. In the absence of Westbrook, OKC has gone 17-6 SU including recent runs of 12-2 SU and 10-3 ATS. Thunder 11-4 ATS home when not laying double digits. Play the better and more motivated team on their strong home court.




Memphis Grizzlies (-3-) at Cleveland Cavaliers 6:00 ET
3% Memphis -3-


Cleveland is a nonsensical 8-2 ATS as home dog on a court where they are just 11-13 SU, 12-14 ATS. Despite the Cavs victory at Washington Friday night, we want no part of this malfunctioning team who is 5-11 ATS following a victory. Continuing Cleveland’s downturn finds them on negative runs of 1-6 SU, 3-11 ATS. Memphis is off a victory last night at Atlanta to increase their recent record to 17-6 SU, 16-7 ATS that includes a recent run of 12-4 SU since the trade for Lee and the return of Gasol. The Grizz have allowed 87 PPG L12 games. That is far superior to a Cleveland team who allows more than 100 PPG.




Dallas Mavericks (-4) at Boston Celtics 6:00 ET NBC
3% Dallas -4


The recent Boston victories have come vs. weak teams including sub .500 Sacramento on Friday and at Philadelphia on Wednesday. Even with those wins, the Boston decline remains at 8-21 and 5-16 SU along with 11-20 ATS. The Celtics are just 4-9 SU, ATS at home. Far prefer the veteran Mavericks who enter on a 4 game winning streak. They are among the best travelers in the NBA with a long time road record of 44-22 ATS including 17-5 ATS recently. They are far more trustworthy than Boston even with the return of Rondo.




__________________________________________________ _______________________________________________
Michigan State at Wisconsin (-3) 1:00 ET CBS


Payne has returned for Michigan State but they are still without Big Man Dawson while the sprained wrist of Appling continues to cause problems. Michigan State has lost only to North Carolina, Michigan and Georgetown compiling a record of 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS in Big 10 play. After a 16-0 SU start, the Badgers have lost their way of late with a record of 2-5 SU, ATS to drop to 5-5 SU in Big 10 play, 4 games behind the Spartans. Most shocking has been 3 consecutive losses on their home floor to Michigan, Northwestern and Ohio State. Look for a huge bounceback by the Badgers behind HC Ryan who is 25-10 ATS on this court as a home favorite of 6 or less points. That goes hand in glove for our purposes with an Izzo record of 18-32 ATS as road dog of 6 or less points.
 
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Dave Essler CBB Total Sun, 02/09/14 - 2:00 PM
double-dime bet - 826 S.Miss / 825 Charlotte - UNDER 137.0
Analysis: I'd like to see what direction this total heads, if for no other reason that to make sure
we get the best number, but I like where it is so off we go. Write up a bit later in the morning.
 
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Chip Chirimbes's Pick Pack

NBA Daily Picks

Premium Plays
Matchup: Philadelphia at L.A. Clippers
Time: 9:35 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: L.A. Clippers (-15 -105)
Line Source: 5Dimes
Posted on: February 9, 2014 @ 11:03:28 AM EST


Philadelphia at L.A. Clippers 9:30 ET
Clippers (-) over 76ers- After a quick start to the NBA season we are now getting what we originally expected from the 76ers and that is a weak line-up that can't compete on a day to day basis. Philadelphia has dropped their last five games while the Clippers who expect the return of Chris Paul tonight have gone 12-6 in his absence. Even though the 76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings they are actually 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Los Angeles. None of that matter tonight as the Clippers are primed to blow this team out. Take LOS ANGELES!

Matchup: Sacramento at Washington
Time: 6:05 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Sacramento (+5.5 -110)
Line Source: The Greek
Posted on: February 9, 2014 @ 11:14:56 AM EST

ATTENTION MEMBER: The 'Big Game Player' is off Saturday's NBA 3-0 SWEEP and has another trio of winners for Sunday's action. DON'T MISS IT!


Sacramento at Washington 6:00 ET
Kings (+) over Wizards- The Wizards have fought for weeks to get to the .500 mark and once they reached it they have had a letdown and now lost their last two. The Kings who won their last two at home started their road trip with a loss at Boston but are encouraged by having won the last three in the series including the last two in Washington. Get this the Wizards are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a losing record. That's it! Take SACRAMENTO!

Matchup: Memphis at Cleveland
Time: 6:05 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Cleveland (+4 -110)
Line Source: Jerry's Nugget
Posted on: February 9, 2014 @ 11:13:30 AM EST


Memphis at Cleveland 6:00 ET
Cavaliers (+) over Grizzlies- Cleveland may be one of the bottom-feeders in NBA action but they have been able to give Memphis fits in recent years. Last night the Grizzlies set an NBA modern shot-clock record with only one attempted free throw in their 79-76 win over Atlanta as they have won 12 of their last 15. The lowly Cavaliers just broke a six-game losing streak with a win over Washington on Friday. The oddity surrounding this contest is that Cleveland is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in Cleveland. With this 'number' being so low the odds-makers believe the Cavs who are at .500 ATS at home have a shot. Take CLEVELAND!

 
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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick


Game: Creighton at St. John's (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Creighton -2.5 (-105) at 5Dimes


St. John's is off a win at Providence, but the Red Storm is 5-12 ATS following a straight up win and 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Into Madison Square Garden comes powerhouse Creighton, No. 12 in the nation, and the Bluejays are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Creighton owns double-digit wins over Nebraska, Arizona State, Cal, Marquette, Seton Hall, Xavier, Butler, No. 4 Villanova, and Georgetown behind Doug McDermott (25.3 points per game, 7.2 rebounds per game, 42.6% 3FG). Creighton is on an 11-4 ATS run, 30-9 ATS in their last 39 Sunday games, and the Bluejays are 8-3 ATS against a team with a winning record. These teams recently met, and Creighton won 63-60, but allowed 43% shooting, shot 49%, and won the battle of the boards by +6. Play Creighton!
 
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GC: NBA Play

Sunday card has 6* 36-1 NBA Game of the Month, an Early 5* 93% Totals system and a 14-0 Dominator system. NBA Cases 2 of 3 on Saturday and Remains at or near the top of several Leader Boards. There is also an NCAAB RPI Power Angle Play up. NBA System Play below.

On Sunday the NBA system is on the Dallas Mavericks. Game 809 at 6:05 eastern. This game fits a Powerful system that has cashed 93%of the time the last 19+ Seasons and plays against Non Division home dogs with rest that covered by 7+ points as a home dog in their last game and are playing an opponent that also covered by 7+ points as a home favorite of 5 or more and scored 100 or more points. Dallas has covered the last 4 here in Boston and has won 21 of the last 25 vs losing teams in the second half of a season the past 2 years. Boston is 4-18 straight up and 7-15 to the spread vs South West Division teams. Look for Dallas to emerge with a win and cover. The Sunday card has 4 Plays, led by the 6* NBA 36-1 Game of the Month Power system side, a 14-0 Dominator system and an Early 5* Totals system. NBA Remains in the top 3 On most Major Leader boards after cashing 32 of 3 on Saturday. In NCAAB Action there is a Triple Perfect RPI Power Angle play up. Jump on and end the week big. For the Bonus Play Take Dallas. GC
 

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Cleveland Insider (SIDES)

5* Wisconsin Badgers -4 over the Michigan State Spartans
 

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