Pointwise Red Sheet
RATING: KANSAS CITY 89
KANSAS CITY 38 - Denver 17 - (1:00) --
Line opened at KansasCity minus 6½, and is now minus 8. Revenge is in the
air. A few weeks ago, the Broncos caught the Chiefs off a pair of OT games, & as home dogs,
romped to a 49-29 win. KC has since responded with a couple of wins by a combined score of 73-37.
They rank #1 in rushing offense (Charles: another 173 RYs LW), while the Broncs bring in the 31st
ranked rushing defense, thus an obvious mismatch. Denver's offense depends almost entirely on
Orton, as they're 32nd in rushing. KC 10-2 ATS host avenger, & Broncs 8-16 ATS on the Dec road.
air. A few weeks ago, the Broncos caught the Chiefs off a pair of OT games, & as home dogs,
romped to a 49-29 win. KC has since responded with a couple of wins by a combined score of 73-37.
They rank #1 in rushing offense (Charles: another 173 RYs LW), while the Broncs bring in the 31st
ranked rushing defense, thus an obvious mismatch. Denver's offense depends almost entirely on
Orton, as they're 32nd in rushing. KC 10-2 ATS host avenger, & Broncs 8-16 ATS on the Dec road.
RATING: KANSAS CITY 89
The Football Expert (( Selection ))
Michael Greedy's
$10,000 Guaranteed Winner: Tennessee Titans -3
Too often the thought process of: "what have you done for me lately" enters into bettors mind. At first glance you see a Jacksonville team that has covered the last 4 games, and won their last 3 of 4 straight up. Then you see a Titans team, thats lost 4 straight and hasn't covered in any of those matches. You would think that Jacksonville is the obvious choice, and that would be wrong, and the reason books stay in business. I am telling you that Titans win this game or I am out of business. The line opened at 3, and I pounded it. It's slowly going to 3.5, but dont let that stop you. Just buy the extra half point to be safe, but I am expecting a double digit win for Titans. Titans have the better players, better offense, better defense, and the better situation going into this game.
In the previous meeting this year between these two squads, I took Titans -3 on the road for a Game of the Month Winner. Now the Titans are at home and giving the same 3 points, even though they blew out the Jaguars earlier in the year. This set up only has happened because of the "what have you done for me lately" mentality. The Jaguars are playing the back end of back to back road games, which is a disadvantage. Jaguars have not covered in back to back road games in the last 5 season. In fact, they have lost both ends 2 out of last 6. Back to back road games is tough for any team, much less for a team that doesn't have that much talent and is over achieving like Jacksonville is. To make this game matter that much more, is both teams are still very relevant in the playoff race. Jacksonville leads the AFC South, and Titans are just one game back. Titans aren't coming into this game playing for pride, they win this game, they have a shot at the playoffs. This is a MUST WIN for the Tennessee Titans so Expect their best.
The Titans offense is better statically and talent wise. Titans average 23.4 ppg, while Jaguars average 21.6 ppg. Their average has taken a big dip since they lost both Quarterbacks, Vince Young and Kerry Collins but yet is still better than a healthy Jaguars team. Before both QBs went down, this team was actually averaging 28 PPG. With Rusty Smith as their starter, they average just 11 points in 3 games. This shows the importance of QB play and leadership, even if you are a not passing offense. The Titans have that explosive ability as they have scored more than 28 points 4 times thus far this season. Obviously the best player on the offense is RB Chris Johnson. Chris Johnson will be going for his 3rd straight 100 yard game against the Jaguars. He went for 111 yards earlier this year, and you expect a heavy dose of Johnson this game. The Titans are 11th in the league in rushing, and Johnson is a proud guy that wants to prove that he can carry this team to an AFC South Title. Even at full strength, the Jaguars offense isn't as potent as the Titans, but the Jaguars come into this game missing a playmaking receiver in Mike Sims-Walker.
But it's not just the offensive advantage, the Titans bring in a better Defense into this meeting too. The Jaguars defense is actually HORRIBLE. They are ranked in the bottom 3rd of every major defensive category, including giving up 26.7 points per game, 27th in the league. This team doesn't do anything well, and cannot dominate anyone. In fact, this defense has not held ANY opponent on the year to less than 17 points per game. It doesn't get better for Jaguars either as they lost their best pass rusher and offseason acquisition 3 games ago when Aaron Kampmann went down. As for our Tennessee Titans, they are ranked 10th in points allowed, only allowing 19 PPG. This is the same defense that held Jacksonville to just 3 points earlier this year. Titans like to bring the heat on Defense, and are tied for 2nd in the league with most sacks on the year with 32. Jaguars have just 20 sacks on the year and again rank in the 20s in that category.
I am putting 10,000 on this game because everything I see supports my side. I am not wrong. I watched these teams all season, and even in the first matchup, on the road, as a favorite I loved the Titans. They won and covered that game in a 30-3 blowout. I expect the same at home. Titans have a TON more talent, and they are better coached. Jack Del Rio is just 6-9 SU against the Titans. I like Collins leading this team, and I expect Moss to be a huge factor in this game. Collins does not have to worry about any pass rush, and given time Collins has a big arm and can get the ball down the field and Moss will have big play in this game. Obviously, I think Johnson carries the offense, and does get his 3rd straight 100 yard game against Jax. Really this difference in this game comes down to defense, as it usually does in the NFL. Jacksonville gives up 27 PPG, and with Collins or Young at QB, Titans score 28 ppg. This is right in line with today. I expect 28 to 31 points scored for Tennessee. But Titans Defense is going to shut down Garrard. Garrard is an immobile QB, that is a sitting duck, will take a hit, and more poor decisions. He has 4 INTs in the last 2 games, and struggles against EVERY team that brings pressure. That is what Tennessee is going to do, they will make Jacksonville one dimensional, and Jacksonville will score 17 or less points.
Final Score: 31-14 Titans Win.
TheSportExperts.com Michael Greedy's $10,000 Guaranteed Winner: Tennessee Titans -3
Michael Greedy's
$10,000 Guaranteed Winner: Tennessee Titans -3
Too often the thought process of: "what have you done for me lately" enters into bettors mind. At first glance you see a Jacksonville team that has covered the last 4 games, and won their last 3 of 4 straight up. Then you see a Titans team, thats lost 4 straight and hasn't covered in any of those matches. You would think that Jacksonville is the obvious choice, and that would be wrong, and the reason books stay in business. I am telling you that Titans win this game or I am out of business. The line opened at 3, and I pounded it. It's slowly going to 3.5, but dont let that stop you. Just buy the extra half point to be safe, but I am expecting a double digit win for Titans. Titans have the better players, better offense, better defense, and the better situation going into this game.
In the previous meeting this year between these two squads, I took Titans -3 on the road for a Game of the Month Winner. Now the Titans are at home and giving the same 3 points, even though they blew out the Jaguars earlier in the year. This set up only has happened because of the "what have you done for me lately" mentality. The Jaguars are playing the back end of back to back road games, which is a disadvantage. Jaguars have not covered in back to back road games in the last 5 season. In fact, they have lost both ends 2 out of last 6. Back to back road games is tough for any team, much less for a team that doesn't have that much talent and is over achieving like Jacksonville is. To make this game matter that much more, is both teams are still very relevant in the playoff race. Jacksonville leads the AFC South, and Titans are just one game back. Titans aren't coming into this game playing for pride, they win this game, they have a shot at the playoffs. This is a MUST WIN for the Tennessee Titans so Expect their best.
The Titans offense is better statically and talent wise. Titans average 23.4 ppg, while Jaguars average 21.6 ppg. Their average has taken a big dip since they lost both Quarterbacks, Vince Young and Kerry Collins but yet is still better than a healthy Jaguars team. Before both QBs went down, this team was actually averaging 28 PPG. With Rusty Smith as their starter, they average just 11 points in 3 games. This shows the importance of QB play and leadership, even if you are a not passing offense. The Titans have that explosive ability as they have scored more than 28 points 4 times thus far this season. Obviously the best player on the offense is RB Chris Johnson. Chris Johnson will be going for his 3rd straight 100 yard game against the Jaguars. He went for 111 yards earlier this year, and you expect a heavy dose of Johnson this game. The Titans are 11th in the league in rushing, and Johnson is a proud guy that wants to prove that he can carry this team to an AFC South Title. Even at full strength, the Jaguars offense isn't as potent as the Titans, but the Jaguars come into this game missing a playmaking receiver in Mike Sims-Walker.
But it's not just the offensive advantage, the Titans bring in a better Defense into this meeting too. The Jaguars defense is actually HORRIBLE. They are ranked in the bottom 3rd of every major defensive category, including giving up 26.7 points per game, 27th in the league. This team doesn't do anything well, and cannot dominate anyone. In fact, this defense has not held ANY opponent on the year to less than 17 points per game. It doesn't get better for Jaguars either as they lost their best pass rusher and offseason acquisition 3 games ago when Aaron Kampmann went down. As for our Tennessee Titans, they are ranked 10th in points allowed, only allowing 19 PPG. This is the same defense that held Jacksonville to just 3 points earlier this year. Titans like to bring the heat on Defense, and are tied for 2nd in the league with most sacks on the year with 32. Jaguars have just 20 sacks on the year and again rank in the 20s in that category.
I am putting 10,000 on this game because everything I see supports my side. I am not wrong. I watched these teams all season, and even in the first matchup, on the road, as a favorite I loved the Titans. They won and covered that game in a 30-3 blowout. I expect the same at home. Titans have a TON more talent, and they are better coached. Jack Del Rio is just 6-9 SU against the Titans. I like Collins leading this team, and I expect Moss to be a huge factor in this game. Collins does not have to worry about any pass rush, and given time Collins has a big arm and can get the ball down the field and Moss will have big play in this game. Obviously, I think Johnson carries the offense, and does get his 3rd straight 100 yard game against Jax. Really this difference in this game comes down to defense, as it usually does in the NFL. Jacksonville gives up 27 PPG, and with Collins or Young at QB, Titans score 28 ppg. This is right in line with today. I expect 28 to 31 points scored for Tennessee. But Titans Defense is going to shut down Garrard. Garrard is an immobile QB, that is a sitting duck, will take a hit, and more poor decisions. He has 4 INTs in the last 2 games, and struggles against EVERY team that brings pressure. That is what Tennessee is going to do, they will make Jacksonville one dimensional, and Jacksonville will score 17 or less points.
Final Score: 31-14 Titans Win.
TheSportExperts.com Michael Greedy's $10,000 Guaranteed Winner: Tennessee Titans -3
Michael David 12-5
Miami
Jacksonville
Green Bay
Saints Over
Selection- Miami Dolphins
Miami comes into this matchup with an impressive 7-4 ATS mark this year while going 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. On the other Cleveland is been trying to play the role of the dream killer but they have failed to cover the number in the past 3 games which has dropped them to 4-7 ATS and 2-3 on the road this year. In their last 3 games Cleveland is giving up 384 yards per game. In the mean time Miami is only giving up 263 yards. Everyone will be expecting the matchup of Peyton Hillis and the running game against the two headed monster of Miami but this game will come down to under center and with Colt McCoy not getting a full week of practice and sharing time with Jake I will bank on Chad Henne and the Dolphins.
Selection- Jacksonville Jaguars
This game is a prime example of two teams heading in opposite directions. A team that just might throw in the towel and another that has been a little bit of surprise in its division. Theres nothing like the old saying of riding the hot hand and that’s what were going to do here. Jacksonville enters todays matchup on a 4 game ATS winning streak and 3-1 SU. On the other end the Titans haven’t covered the mark since October. Two things will play into this game and its Defense and red zone scoring. The Jags have the upper hand in that matchup on both ends and taking the points today is the right side.
Selection- Green Bay Packers
Theres nothing worst for a west coast team to head east and have to play at 1 oclock. Except if that west coast team is leaving 60 degree weather and entering the lovely 20 degree weather of Green Bay. One big factor to consider in this huge line is the 49ers horse is out for the rest of the year. This is a big blow to a team that relies on 1 man to carry them down the field. Factor into the mix that Green Bay lost its control over the division. Green Bay also is on 4-1 ATS mark in their last 5 while San Fran is 2-3. In their last 3 games Green Bay is outscoring their opponents by 21 points. With all this said I feel comfortable laying the number here.
Over/Under of the week: Over Saints
Miami
Jacksonville
Green Bay
Saints Over
Selection- Miami Dolphins
Miami comes into this matchup with an impressive 7-4 ATS mark this year while going 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. On the other Cleveland is been trying to play the role of the dream killer but they have failed to cover the number in the past 3 games which has dropped them to 4-7 ATS and 2-3 on the road this year. In their last 3 games Cleveland is giving up 384 yards per game. In the mean time Miami is only giving up 263 yards. Everyone will be expecting the matchup of Peyton Hillis and the running game against the two headed monster of Miami but this game will come down to under center and with Colt McCoy not getting a full week of practice and sharing time with Jake I will bank on Chad Henne and the Dolphins.
Selection- Jacksonville Jaguars
This game is a prime example of two teams heading in opposite directions. A team that just might throw in the towel and another that has been a little bit of surprise in its division. Theres nothing like the old saying of riding the hot hand and that’s what were going to do here. Jacksonville enters todays matchup on a 4 game ATS winning streak and 3-1 SU. On the other end the Titans haven’t covered the mark since October. Two things will play into this game and its Defense and red zone scoring. The Jags have the upper hand in that matchup on both ends and taking the points today is the right side.
Selection- Green Bay Packers
Theres nothing worst for a west coast team to head east and have to play at 1 oclock. Except if that west coast team is leaving 60 degree weather and entering the lovely 20 degree weather of Green Bay. One big factor to consider in this huge line is the 49ers horse is out for the rest of the year. This is a big blow to a team that relies on 1 man to carry them down the field. Factor into the mix that Green Bay lost its control over the division. Green Bay also is on 4-1 ATS mark in their last 5 while San Fran is 2-3. In their last 3 games Green Bay is outscoring their opponents by 21 points. With all this said I feel comfortable laying the number here.
Over/Under of the week: Over Saints
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