KELSO
100 UNIT* NFL* Washington Redskins +7
50 UNIT* NFL* Baltimore Ravens -3.5
25 UNIT* NFL* New England Patriots -9
10 UNIT* NFL* Philadelphia Eagles -14
5 UNIT* NFL* Chicago Bears -1
3 UNIT* NFL* Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5
5 UNIT* NBA* Indiana Pacers -4
5 UNIT* NCAAFB* Florida International Golden Panthers +1.5
100 UNIT* NFL* Washington Redskins +7
50 UNIT* NFL* Baltimore Ravens -3.5
25 UNIT* NFL* New England Patriots -9
10 UNIT* NFL* Philadelphia Eagles -14
5 UNIT* NFL* Chicago Bears -1
3 UNIT* NFL* Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5
5 UNIT* NBA* Indiana Pacers -4
5 UNIT* NCAAFB* Florida International Golden Panthers +1.5
HRC NFL PREMIUM-Sunday, December 26th
Capper: Robcat (Handicappers Paradise)
========================
2* Action (non-rated)
5* Selection
8* Premium
10* Premium
15* Diamond
*******************************
Selections:
[116] Buffalo |5*|+9|B+0|Network N/A|@ 1:00 pm EST
[118] New York-Chicago UNDER|5*|36|B+0|Network N/A|@ 1:00 pm EST
[105] Detroit-Miami UNDER|5*|41|B+0|Network N/A|@ 1:00 pm EST
NFL YTD 32-19
Capper: Robcat (Handicappers Paradise)
========================
2* Action (non-rated)
5* Selection
8* Premium
10* Premium
15* Diamond
*******************************
Selections:
[116] Buffalo |5*|+9|B+0|Network N/A|@ 1:00 pm EST
[118] New York-Chicago UNDER|5*|36|B+0|Network N/A|@ 1:00 pm EST
[105] Detroit-Miami UNDER|5*|41|B+0|Network N/A|@ 1:00 pm EST
NFL YTD 32-19
Sunday NFL Play- GC
On Sunday the NFL System Club Play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 130 at 4:05 eastern. The Chargers are in a negative system today that plays against road favorites of 6.5 or more off a win of 20 or more points, if they scored 42 or less and their opponent did not lose by 20 or more. This system has cashed 26 of 38 times. The Chargers also fall into another late season system that plays against teams on the road off 3 or more straight home games if they are off a win of 10 or more. Look for the Bengals to hang around here and get the cover. On Sunday its the NFL Revenge Goy backed with a 98% Power system that leads a solid NFL Card that has 3 more high percentage system winners and the Sunday night 94% Totals play. I also have 2 big Power system in the College Bowl game and a Top notch NBA System Play of the day direct from the database. For the Bonus Play take the Bengals. bol GC
On Sunday the NFL System Club Play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 130 at 4:05 eastern. The Chargers are in a negative system today that plays against road favorites of 6.5 or more off a win of 20 or more points, if they scored 42 or less and their opponent did not lose by 20 or more. This system has cashed 26 of 38 times. The Chargers also fall into another late season system that plays against teams on the road off 3 or more straight home games if they are off a win of 10 or more. Look for the Bengals to hang around here and get the cover. On Sunday its the NFL Revenge Goy backed with a 98% Power system that leads a solid NFL Card that has 3 more high percentage system winners and the Sunday night 94% Totals play. I also have 2 big Power system in the College Bowl game and a Top notch NBA System Play of the day direct from the database. For the Bonus Play take the Bengals. bol GC
jeff benton
Jeff Benton Sunday's NFL Action
25 Dime NFL release on the BUCCANEERS as a home chalk against the Seahawks in a late-afteanoon clash. Tampa Bay is laying 6½ points across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. This number has been holding steady all week, but you definitely should still moenitor the odds and if it drops to Bucs -6, pounce on it immediately. At the same time, if it goes up to Bucs -7 move quickly to grab 6½ wherever you can.
15 Dime NFL release on the LIONS as a road underdog against the Dolphins in an early-afternoon contest. Detroit is catching 3½ points across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. Obvidusly, this is a very key number in the NFL, and while I would guess the number would go down to 3 before it goes up to 4, if there’s any opportunity for you to get Detroit at +4, do so.
BUCCANEERS
Tampa Bay has been bitten badly by the injury bug the last few weeks, losing a slew of key players to season-ending injuries (mostly on the defensive side of the football). That, along with a healthy dose of late-season bad luck, has contributed to the team’s 1-3 slump (three losses by a combined 14 points, including last week’s 23-20 overtime loss to Detroit.
So why side with the Bucs today? Because they still have a shot (an outside shot, but a shot nonetheless) to make the playoffs; because their opponent is making the always-difficult trek from the Pacific Northwest to central Florida; and, most importantly, because the Seahawks are an abysmal football team.
Let’s tackle that latter point: Going back to Halloween, Seattle has dropped six of its last eight games. The two wins? 31-14 at home over Carolina (a game Seattle trailed 14-0) and 36-18 at Arizona. Throw in a 22-10 home win over the Cardinals on Oct. 24, and the Seahawks’ last three wins have come against two teams with a combined record of 6-23.
The six losses? Get a load of this: 33-3 at Oakland; 41-7 vs. the New York Giants; 34-19 at New Orleans, 42-24 vs. Kansas City; 40-21 at San Francisco; and, last week, 34-18 vs. Atlanta.
I’ll do the math for you: In their last six games against teams not named the Panthers and Cardinals, the Seahawks are 0-6 SU and ATS. The cumulative scoreboard: Opponents 224, Seahawks 92. Margins of defeat: 30, 34, 15, 18, 19 and 16 points!
In fact, when the Seahawks have lost this year, they’ve gone down HARD, as their other two defeats came against St. Louis and Denver by scores of 20-3 and 31-14, respectively. Thus Seattle sits at 6-8 with all eight losses being by at least 15 points! And the defense gave up an average of 34.4 points per game!
By comparison, if you give the Bucs a mulligan for last week’s overtime setback to Detroit, their other five losses were to the Steelers, Saints, Falcons (twice) and Ravens. Combined record of those four teams: 43-10, with all four squads sitting with double-digit wins right now!
A few final points to ponder: While this has been the year of the underdog in the NFL, it hasn’t applied to Seattle’s games lately. The favorite has covered in seven of the Seahawks’ last eight games, including the last five in a row, with Seattle going 0-4 ATS in its last four as an underdog. Speaking of pointspread trends, Seattle has failed to cash in 16 of 21 as a road underdog, nine of 13 as a ‘dog of 3 ½ to 10 points, 34 of 51 on the road, nine of 11 on grass, five of six in December and 18 of 26 against winning teams.
At the same time, the Bucs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six against losing teams and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five after a non-cover.
LIONS
Detroit halted the longest road losing skid in NFL history at 26 with last week’s impressive 23-20 overtime win at Tampa Bay. First the Lions kept the Bucs out of the end zone on a first-and-goal situation late in the fourth quarter, forcing Tampa to kick a field goal to go up 20-17 with 1:39 to play. Then Detroit marched down the field and got a 28-yard field goal as time expired to force overtime, followed by a 34-yard field goal in OT to end the lengthy road losing streak and post its second straight win overall.
Today the Lions return to Florida, only heading a little farther south to Miami for a matchup with the Dolphins, who started out 2-0, then lost two in a row, then had a bye week and since that point they’ve alternated wins and losses 10 straight games, including alternating spread-covers in their last eight.
If you believe in that alternating pattern then Miami should be the play today, seeing that the Dolphins are coming off last week’s 17-14 loss to Buffalo (a defeat that eliminated the Fish from playoff contention). To me, however, that alternating thing is trumped by Miami’s startling home-road split this year. The Dolphins are 6-1 SU and ATS on the road but a shocking 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS at home. The bizarre part? The Dolphins are actually outgaining their visitors by an average of nearly 40 yards per game (335.3-296.6), but they’ve been outscored by more than 6 points per game (22.6-16).
Miami’s home woes aren’t just limited to this season, by the way. The Fish are just 17-44-1 ATS in their last 62 games in South Beach, including 6-28 ATS in their last 34 as a home chalk. They’re also in ATS slumps of 13-27-1 against losing teams, 16-35 as a favorite regardless of venue and 6-20 when laying 3½ to 10 points.
As for the Lions, once again they’ve won two in a row (the win at Tampa was preceded by a 7-3 home win over Green bay), and they’re also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall, 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a big underdog (3½ to 10 points), 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a victory and 6-1 ATS in their last seven after a spread-cover.
Bottom line: Detroit’s last three games were decided by 3, 4 and 4 points and five of their last seven games were decided by four points or fewer, while Miami’s last three games ended in final scores of 13-10 (loss), 10-6 (win) and 17-14 (loss), and half of the Dolphins 14 games have been decided by five points or fewer.
I sense another tight contest here (especially with how badly Miami’s offense has struggled). And with veteran QB Shaun Hill due back under center for the Lions and with Miami QB Chad Henne regressing badly (QB ratings of 37.8, 58.3 and 86.9 the last three weeks), I’ll grab the points with the spunky visitor that clearly hasn’t quit on the season.
Jeff Benton Sunday's NFL Action
25 Dime NFL release on the BUCCANEERS as a home chalk against the Seahawks in a late-afteanoon clash. Tampa Bay is laying 6½ points across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. This number has been holding steady all week, but you definitely should still moenitor the odds and if it drops to Bucs -6, pounce on it immediately. At the same time, if it goes up to Bucs -7 move quickly to grab 6½ wherever you can.
15 Dime NFL release on the LIONS as a road underdog against the Dolphins in an early-afternoon contest. Detroit is catching 3½ points across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. Obvidusly, this is a very key number in the NFL, and while I would guess the number would go down to 3 before it goes up to 4, if there’s any opportunity for you to get Detroit at +4, do so.
BUCCANEERS
Tampa Bay has been bitten badly by the injury bug the last few weeks, losing a slew of key players to season-ending injuries (mostly on the defensive side of the football). That, along with a healthy dose of late-season bad luck, has contributed to the team’s 1-3 slump (three losses by a combined 14 points, including last week’s 23-20 overtime loss to Detroit.
So why side with the Bucs today? Because they still have a shot (an outside shot, but a shot nonetheless) to make the playoffs; because their opponent is making the always-difficult trek from the Pacific Northwest to central Florida; and, most importantly, because the Seahawks are an abysmal football team.
Let’s tackle that latter point: Going back to Halloween, Seattle has dropped six of its last eight games. The two wins? 31-14 at home over Carolina (a game Seattle trailed 14-0) and 36-18 at Arizona. Throw in a 22-10 home win over the Cardinals on Oct. 24, and the Seahawks’ last three wins have come against two teams with a combined record of 6-23.
The six losses? Get a load of this: 33-3 at Oakland; 41-7 vs. the New York Giants; 34-19 at New Orleans, 42-24 vs. Kansas City; 40-21 at San Francisco; and, last week, 34-18 vs. Atlanta.
I’ll do the math for you: In their last six games against teams not named the Panthers and Cardinals, the Seahawks are 0-6 SU and ATS. The cumulative scoreboard: Opponents 224, Seahawks 92. Margins of defeat: 30, 34, 15, 18, 19 and 16 points!
In fact, when the Seahawks have lost this year, they’ve gone down HARD, as their other two defeats came against St. Louis and Denver by scores of 20-3 and 31-14, respectively. Thus Seattle sits at 6-8 with all eight losses being by at least 15 points! And the defense gave up an average of 34.4 points per game!
By comparison, if you give the Bucs a mulligan for last week’s overtime setback to Detroit, their other five losses were to the Steelers, Saints, Falcons (twice) and Ravens. Combined record of those four teams: 43-10, with all four squads sitting with double-digit wins right now!
A few final points to ponder: While this has been the year of the underdog in the NFL, it hasn’t applied to Seattle’s games lately. The favorite has covered in seven of the Seahawks’ last eight games, including the last five in a row, with Seattle going 0-4 ATS in its last four as an underdog. Speaking of pointspread trends, Seattle has failed to cash in 16 of 21 as a road underdog, nine of 13 as a ‘dog of 3 ½ to 10 points, 34 of 51 on the road, nine of 11 on grass, five of six in December and 18 of 26 against winning teams.
At the same time, the Bucs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six against losing teams and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five after a non-cover.
LIONS
Detroit halted the longest road losing skid in NFL history at 26 with last week’s impressive 23-20 overtime win at Tampa Bay. First the Lions kept the Bucs out of the end zone on a first-and-goal situation late in the fourth quarter, forcing Tampa to kick a field goal to go up 20-17 with 1:39 to play. Then Detroit marched down the field and got a 28-yard field goal as time expired to force overtime, followed by a 34-yard field goal in OT to end the lengthy road losing streak and post its second straight win overall.
Today the Lions return to Florida, only heading a little farther south to Miami for a matchup with the Dolphins, who started out 2-0, then lost two in a row, then had a bye week and since that point they’ve alternated wins and losses 10 straight games, including alternating spread-covers in their last eight.
If you believe in that alternating pattern then Miami should be the play today, seeing that the Dolphins are coming off last week’s 17-14 loss to Buffalo (a defeat that eliminated the Fish from playoff contention). To me, however, that alternating thing is trumped by Miami’s startling home-road split this year. The Dolphins are 6-1 SU and ATS on the road but a shocking 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS at home. The bizarre part? The Dolphins are actually outgaining their visitors by an average of nearly 40 yards per game (335.3-296.6), but they’ve been outscored by more than 6 points per game (22.6-16).
Miami’s home woes aren’t just limited to this season, by the way. The Fish are just 17-44-1 ATS in their last 62 games in South Beach, including 6-28 ATS in their last 34 as a home chalk. They’re also in ATS slumps of 13-27-1 against losing teams, 16-35 as a favorite regardless of venue and 6-20 when laying 3½ to 10 points.
As for the Lions, once again they’ve won two in a row (the win at Tampa was preceded by a 7-3 home win over Green bay), and they’re also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall, 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a big underdog (3½ to 10 points), 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a victory and 6-1 ATS in their last seven after a spread-cover.
Bottom line: Detroit’s last three games were decided by 3, 4 and 4 points and five of their last seven games were decided by four points or fewer, while Miami’s last three games ended in final scores of 13-10 (loss), 10-6 (win) and 17-14 (loss), and half of the Dolphins 14 games have been decided by five points or fewer.
I sense another tight contest here (especially with how badly Miami’s offense has struggled). And with veteran QB Shaun Hill due back under center for the Lions and with Miami QB Chad Henne regressing badly (QB ratings of 37.8, 58.3 and 86.9 the last three weeks), I’ll grab the points with the spunky visitor that clearly hasn’t quit on the season.
