Service Plays Sunday 12/14/14

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | MIAMI OHIO at WRIGHT ST
Play Against - Home teams as a favorite or pick (WRIGHT ST) off an upset win as a road underdog, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

CBB | DARTMOUTH at JACKSONVILLE ST
Play Against - An underdog vs. the money line (JACKSONVILLE ST) off a road loss, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team
161-57 since 1997. ( 73.9% | 68.8 units )

CBB | W MICHIGAN at PACIFIC
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (PACIFIC) after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record
84-42 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% | 37.8 units )
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Navy (-15) on Saturday and likes the Bengals on Sunday.

The deficit is 1153 sirignanos.
 
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MADDUX SPORTS (NFL)

Minnesota +7.5 (20*)
Dallas +3.5 (10*)
Washington +7 (10*)
San Francisco +10 (10*)
Atlanta+3 (10*)
 
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Joe Gavazzi

STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK
New York Jets (-2-) at Tennessee Titans 4:05 ET
Every week in the NFL, I select one team which will dominate their opponent at the point of attack. We know that teams who outrush their opponent by 30+ yards are a 74% ATS winning play. As well, teams who run 30+ times in a game while their opponent does not, is an 82% point spread winner, while it is an 84% ATS proposition to play against a team who runs for 22 or fewer times in a game, if our team does not. This type of thinking has resulted in a 10-4 ATS record on NFL STEAMROLLERS this season. Two weeks ago, Houston steamrolled this very Tennessee defense in a 45-21 victory. Last week, I again used Houston to Steamroll the Jags. They obeyed with a 173-74 overland yardage edge in a 27-13 win and cover.

This week, we go back to fading that Titan’s defense, which is among the worst in the league. For the season, Tennessee allows teams to run 33 times per game, highest in the league. They are also outrushed by a margin of 142-86 per game. Compare that to the Jets’ running numbers, which finds an offense that averages 32 rushes per game, while outrushing their opponents 150/4.7 to 87/3.5. If HC Ryan has learned one thing this season, it is to keep the ball out of the hands of his Quarterbacks. Again last week, despite outrushing Minnesota 168-114, the Jets threw a pick 6 that ended the game in OT. I’m fully aware that it is not easy to back a New York team who is 0-6 SU away for the season, but the Titans are quickly becoming the worst team in the league. Dating to last year, this team is on a 3-16 ATS slide. This year, they are 2-11 SU on a 7 game losing streak. They are also just 1-5 SU ATS on their home field after absorbing a 36-7 smashing by the Giants here last week. In that game, they were outrushed by the New Yorkers 142-61 and outgained 402-207. To say that Tennessee has tossed the towel would be an understatement. They enter today at 0-3 SU ATS, being outscored 124-52 in those three games, while failing to the point spread by a combined 54 points.

In a game between 2-11 SU teams, each of whom is going nowhere, we back the dominant running game and running defense as the Jets cruise to their first road victory of the year by a surprisingly comfortable double-digit margin.
 
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Linemakers
kc & over
atlanta
houston
clev & under
pats
carolina
wash & under
buff
minn
sf & under
dal & over
saints
 
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Jason Sample:
Alright, everything is 1U, but obviously I'm taking a stronger position on some things since they're in different plays.

Chargers +5
Chargers TT O23
Cincy +7 / Hou +14.5 / NE -2 (+150) 7TR
Seahawks TT O23.5
Sea -3.5 / Bills +11 / Cowboys +10 (+150) 7TR
Det/NE/KC/Balt/Sea MLs (+164)
GB/NE/Balt MLs (+110)

Season: 66-56-2 (+18.86)
 
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[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Denver at San Diego[/h] The Broncos head to San Diego today to face a Chargers team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games. Denver is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-4). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (12/10)
Game 305-306: Oakland at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 127.155; Kansas City 134.771
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 7 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 10 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+7 1/2); Under
Game 307-308: Jacksonville at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 124.599; Baltimore 135.961
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 11 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 14; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+14); Under
Game 309-310: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 135.767; Atlanta 131.390
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2 1/2); Under
Game 311-312: Houston at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 134.235; Indianapolis 138.303
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4; 54
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Over
Game 313-314: Cincinnati at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 131.747; Cleveland 128.315
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Pick; 44
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati; Over
Game 315-316: Miami at New England (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 136.444; New England 142.038
Dunkel Line: New England by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New England by 7 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+7 1/2); Under
Game 317-318: Tampa Bay at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 124.503; Carolina 132.956
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Carolina by 5; 42
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-5); Over
Game 319-320: Washington at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 120.205; NY Giants 131.298
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 11; 44
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-6 1/2); Under
Game 321-322: Green Bay at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 140.821; Buffalo 138.550
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 6; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+6); Over
Game 323-324: Minnesota at Detroit (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 129.159; Detroit 139.578
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Detroit by 7 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-7 1/2); Under
Game 325-326: NY Jets at Tennessee (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 122.810; Tennessee 123.285
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+2); Under
Game 327-328: Denver at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 140.176; San Diego 133.229
Dunkel Line: Denver by 7; 46
Vegas Line: Denver by 4; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-4); Under
Game 329-330: San Francisco at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 136.559; Seattle 144.109
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 7 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Seattle by 10 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+10 1/2); Under
Game 331-332: Dallas at Philadelphia (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 135.433; Philadelphia 136.386
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 50
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Under
 
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[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]San Antonio at Denver[/h] The Spurs head to Denver tonight where they are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games versus the Nuggets. San Antonio is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 801-802: Utah at Washington (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 113.262; Washington 122.251
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 9; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 11; 195
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+11); Under
Game 803-804: Chicago at Miami (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.297; Miami 113.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 8; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 195
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-4); Over
Game 805-806: Golden State at New Orleans (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 123.158; New Orleans 124.516
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 807-808: LA Lakers at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 115.397; Minnesota 110.571
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5; 208
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 213
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-3); Under
Game 809-810: Phoenix at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.235; Oklahoma City 121.833
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 208
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7); Over
Game 811-812: Toronto at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 122.397; New York 112.797
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 9 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 200
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6); Under
Game 813-814: San Antonio at Denver (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.532; Denver 118.411
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 198
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3 1/2); Under
 
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[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Butler at Tennessee[/h] The Bulldogs head to Tennessee today and come into the contest with a 3-12 ATS record in their last 15 Sunday games. Tennessee is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Volunteers favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-1). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 815-816: George Washington at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 64.024; Penn State 61.295
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 3
Vegas Line: George Washington by 1
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (-1)
Game 817-818: Fordham at St. John's (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 50.990; St. John's 70.571
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 17
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-17)
Game 819-820: Temple at Villanova (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 56.781; Villanova 79.708
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 23
Vegas Line: Villanova by 17
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-17)
Game 821-822: Butler at Tennessee (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 66.551; Tennessee 70.016
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 1
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-1)
Game 823-824: Kent State at AR-Little Rock (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 54.239; AR-Little Rock 51.345
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Kent State
Game 825-826: Illinois State at DePaul (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 60.975; DePaul 61.745
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 1
Vegas Line: DePaul by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+2 1/2)
Game 827-828: Louisiana Tech at Syracuse (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 58.435; Syracuse 68.918
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 8
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-8)
Game 829-830: Auburn at Clemson (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 57.506; Clemson 60.468
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 3
Vegas Line: Clemson by 6
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+6)
Game 831-832: NC-Wilmington at Louisville (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 49.454; Louisville 84.000
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 28 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-28 1/2)
Game 833-834: Miami (OH) at Wright State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 49.363; Wright State 56.754
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+10)
Game 835-836: Marshall vs. West Virginia (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 50.997; West Virginia 66.395
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+17 1/2)
Game 837-838: Oakland at Michigan State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.742; Michigan State 74.349
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 20
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-20)
Game 839-840: Western Michigan at Pacific (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 55.002; Pacific 53.874
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 1
Vegas Line: Pacific by 2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+2)
Game 841-842: St. Peter's at Seton Hall (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 52.964; Seton Hall 71.566
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 11
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-11)
Game 843-844: Montana State at Wyoming (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.527; Wyoming 61.209
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 21
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+21)
Game 845-846: Dartmouth at Jacksonville State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 49.394; Jacksonville State 43.306
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 6
Vegas Line: Dartmouth by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (-3 1/2)
Game 847-848: Rutgers vs. Manhattan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 55.314; Manhattan 54.467
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+1 1/2)
Game 849-850: Wofford at NC State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 55.293; NC State 71.570
Dunkel Line: NC State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 851-852: Samford at Wake Forest (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 39.492; Wake Forest 53.921
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 17
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+17)
Game 853-854: Southern Utah at Boise State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 39.616; Boise State 66.755
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 27
Vegas Line: Boise State by 24
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-24)
Game 855-856: Portland at Sacramento State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 55.778; Sacramento State 46.615
Dunkel Line: Portland by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 857-858: Eastern Washington at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 58.203; Washington 70.721
Dunkel Line: Washington by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-9)
Game 859-860: Montana at WI-Milwaukee (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 50.664; WI-Milwaukee 55.259
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (-2 1/2)
Game 861-862: Mississippi Valley State at Northwestern (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 30.499; Northwestern 60.321
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 30
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 20
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-20)
 
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[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]Los Angeles at Toronto[/h] The Kings head to Toronto today where they are 4-0 in their last 4 games versus the Maple Leafs. Los Angeles is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-130). Here are all of today's NHL picks.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Los Angeles at Toronto (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.671; Toronto 11.557
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-130); Under
Game 53-54 Calgary at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.743; Chicago 10.908
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+170); Over
Game 55-56: NY Rangers at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.715; Edmonton 9.809
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-135); Under
 

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Football Crusher
Houston Texans +7 over Indianapolis Colts
(System Record: 40-5, won last game)
Overall Record: 40-40-2

Rest of the Plays
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 over Carolina Panthers
San Diego Chargers +4.5 over Denver Broncos
New York Giants -6.5 over Washington Redskins
 

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Hockey Crusher
Toronto Maple Leafs +111 over LA Kings
(System Record: 36-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 36-25-1

Rest of the Plays
New York Rangers -134 over Edmonton Oilers
Chicago Blackhawks + Calgary Flames UNDER 5.5
 

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Basketball Crusher
George Washington -1 over Penn St
(System Record: 21-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 21-23
-1

Rest of the Plays
Utah Jazz +11 over Washington Wizards
Arkansas-Little Rock PK over Kent St
Phoenix Suns +6.5 over OKC
 

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Soccer Crusher
Anderlecht + Oostende OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 675-23, lost last game)
Overall Record: 675-563-103
 
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Steve Budin - CEO

Sunday's Play

The Cali-Cartel has a 50 Dime play on Kansas City at home versus Oakland. The Chiefs are -10 at the overwhelming majority of Vegas and offshore books I've checked as of 1:20 A.M. Eastern.
 

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