EZWINNERS
EZ's Plays For Sunday
A brutal 0-4 day on Saturday. Time for a big bounce back day in the NFL on Sunday. Five plays on my card. Best of luck!
-EZ
3* (310) Atlanta Falcons +3
The Steelers came up with a huge win last week in Cincinnati, but they can't be trusted to win by a margin on the road when favored. Atlanta put up a good fight last week in Green Bay and despite their losing record are still in first place in the horrible NFC South. The Steelers defense has allowed a lot of quarterbacks to put up big numbers this season and I expect Matt Ryan to do the same with or without injured wide receiver Julio Jones. Take the points.
3* (314) Cleveland Browns -1
This is a huge payback game for the Bengals as the Browns hammered them in Cincinnati on a Thursday night in the first meeting, but I like Cleveland to sweep the series today. Johnny Football gets the start at quarterback for Cleveland and I believe he will jump start the lifeless Cleveland offense with his ability to improvise and run the ball. The Browns defense is finally playing as expected and the Bengals haven't beat a winning team on the road this season. Play on Cleveland.
3* (315) Miami Dolphins +7.5
Despite being a revenge game, this could be a potential flat spot for the Patriots after back to back road games at Green Bay and San Diego. New England has a pretty easy schedule the rest of the way and this is by no means a must win game for the Patriots. For Miami the same can't be said. The playoffs begin today for the Dolphins and a loss will pretty much end their season. The Dolphins defense has been solid all year and the New England offense has slowed the pace the last couple of weeks. I expect a top notch effort from Miami. Take the points.
3* (317) Tampa Bay Bucs +3
Carolina quarterback Cam Newton is out this week after being involved in a car wreck this week so Derrick Anderson makes his second start of the season against Tampa Bay just like in week one. The Bucs have been much more competitive the last month of the season. Carolina is coming off of a blowout road win at New Orleans leans last week, but this Carolina team in Jekyll and Hyde and can't be trusted as a favorite. Take the points.
3* (329) San Francisco 49ers +9.5
Seattle looks like they are finding their stride, while San Francisco looks like they are fading fast. The Seahawks impressive road win parlayed with the 49ers loss to the Raiders has inflated this line. Only once have the Niners been this big of an underdog under Jim Harbaugh and they won that game straight up. San Francisco still has a dominate defense and games between these two teams are usually low scoring affairs. In a rivalry game anything is possible. Take the points.
EZ's Plays For Sunday
A brutal 0-4 day on Saturday. Time for a big bounce back day in the NFL on Sunday. Five plays on my card. Best of luck!
-EZ
3* (310) Atlanta Falcons +3
The Steelers came up with a huge win last week in Cincinnati, but they can't be trusted to win by a margin on the road when favored. Atlanta put up a good fight last week in Green Bay and despite their losing record are still in first place in the horrible NFC South. The Steelers defense has allowed a lot of quarterbacks to put up big numbers this season and I expect Matt Ryan to do the same with or without injured wide receiver Julio Jones. Take the points.
3* (314) Cleveland Browns -1
This is a huge payback game for the Bengals as the Browns hammered them in Cincinnati on a Thursday night in the first meeting, but I like Cleveland to sweep the series today. Johnny Football gets the start at quarterback for Cleveland and I believe he will jump start the lifeless Cleveland offense with his ability to improvise and run the ball. The Browns defense is finally playing as expected and the Bengals haven't beat a winning team on the road this season. Play on Cleveland.
3* (315) Miami Dolphins +7.5
Despite being a revenge game, this could be a potential flat spot for the Patriots after back to back road games at Green Bay and San Diego. New England has a pretty easy schedule the rest of the way and this is by no means a must win game for the Patriots. For Miami the same can't be said. The playoffs begin today for the Dolphins and a loss will pretty much end their season. The Dolphins defense has been solid all year and the New England offense has slowed the pace the last couple of weeks. I expect a top notch effort from Miami. Take the points.
3* (317) Tampa Bay Bucs +3
Carolina quarterback Cam Newton is out this week after being involved in a car wreck this week so Derrick Anderson makes his second start of the season against Tampa Bay just like in week one. The Bucs have been much more competitive the last month of the season. Carolina is coming off of a blowout road win at New Orleans leans last week, but this Carolina team in Jekyll and Hyde and can't be trusted as a favorite. Take the points.
3* (329) San Francisco 49ers +9.5
Seattle looks like they are finding their stride, while San Francisco looks like they are fading fast. The Seahawks impressive road win parlayed with the 49ers loss to the Raiders has inflated this line. Only once have the Niners been this big of an underdog under Jim Harbaugh and they won that game straight up. San Francisco still has a dominate defense and games between these two teams are usually low scoring affairs. In a rivalry game anything is possible. Take the points.
CHASE DIAMOND
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons
10* Atlanta Falcons+3-115
This game features the 8-5 Steelers at the 5-8 Falcons. The Falcons know they must win if they want to win the NFC south and off a rough loss to the Packers there is no wiggle room left. They know the Saints have a good chance to win at the Bears Monday Night so expect the Falcons to be all hands on deck. Falcons play much better at home and while the Steelers need the win also they also have the Chiefs and Bengals on deck at home. This line opened as the Falcons as a 1 point favorite but has gone to +3 Falcons a huge move pushed by public money. 63% of the public are riding the road Steelers expect the Falcons to step up and win outrite but buy this line to 3 and take the Falcons for a 10* winner.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons
10* Atlanta Falcons+3-115
This game features the 8-5 Steelers at the 5-8 Falcons. The Falcons know they must win if they want to win the NFC south and off a rough loss to the Packers there is no wiggle room left. They know the Saints have a good chance to win at the Bears Monday Night so expect the Falcons to be all hands on deck. Falcons play much better at home and while the Steelers need the win also they also have the Chiefs and Bengals on deck at home. This line opened as the Falcons as a 1 point favorite but has gone to +3 Falcons a huge move pushed by public money. 63% of the public are riding the road Steelers expect the Falcons to step up and win outrite but buy this line to 3 and take the Falcons for a 10* winner.
Wunderdog Sports Free pick
NFL Game: San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Time: Sunday 12/14 4:25 PM Eastern
Pick: San Francisco 49ers+10 (-105)
The San Francisco 49ers are all done in most people’s minds. The Niners have fallen to 7-6 on the season, and probably have to win out to make the playoffs. The Jim Harbaugh controversy has reached fever-pitch and most feel he and his team have checked out. As a result, Jim Harbaugh will see his first double-digit underdog spread since joining the NFL. But, hold on. This is still a solid, skilled, and veteran team with their season on the line vs. a hated rival, so I expect them to deliver a strong game in Seattle. As much as the Niners offense has struggled, teh defense is playing at an elite level, allowing just 16.5 points per game over their last four. The Seahawks seem to be turning it up a notch, winning three straight games. But, the offense has not been very good all season. They beat this San Francisco team by 16 on the road just a few short weeks ago, so you have to wonder how much respect they will give the 49ers, having beaten them easily recently. Seattle won a big game in Philly last week, and the one they really need comes next week against division leader Arizona, so they are in danger of taking a bit off the fastball against San Fran. I think Seattle is one of the top teeams in the league and they likely do enough to win this one, but I also think San Francisco does enough to stay close. The Niners are 25-12-2 ATS in their last 39 off a loss, and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning home record. Take the points on San Francisco in this one.
NFL Game: San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Time: Sunday 12/14 4:25 PM Eastern
Pick: San Francisco 49ers+10 (-105)
The San Francisco 49ers are all done in most people’s minds. The Niners have fallen to 7-6 on the season, and probably have to win out to make the playoffs. The Jim Harbaugh controversy has reached fever-pitch and most feel he and his team have checked out. As a result, Jim Harbaugh will see his first double-digit underdog spread since joining the NFL. But, hold on. This is still a solid, skilled, and veteran team with their season on the line vs. a hated rival, so I expect them to deliver a strong game in Seattle. As much as the Niners offense has struggled, teh defense is playing at an elite level, allowing just 16.5 points per game over their last four. The Seahawks seem to be turning it up a notch, winning three straight games. But, the offense has not been very good all season. They beat this San Francisco team by 16 on the road just a few short weeks ago, so you have to wonder how much respect they will give the 49ers, having beaten them easily recently. Seattle won a big game in Philly last week, and the one they really need comes next week against division leader Arizona, so they are in danger of taking a bit off the fastball against San Fran. I think Seattle is one of the top teeams in the league and they likely do enough to win this one, but I also think San Francisco does enough to stay close. The Niners are 25-12-2 ATS in their last 39 off a loss, and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning home record. Take the points on San Francisco in this one.
StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets
NFL | NY JETS at TENNESSEE
Play On – Underdogs or pick (TENNESSEE) poor offensive team – scoring 17 or less points/game, after allowing 35 points or more last game
59-26 over the last 10 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
5-1 this year. ( 83.3% | 3.9 units )
NFL | DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA
Play On – Road teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (DALLAS) after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games
69-39 over the last 10 seasons. ( 63.9% | 0.0 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 0.0 units )
NFL | PITTSBURGH at ATLANTA
Play On – Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PITTSBURGH) off a road win, in the second half of the season
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )
NFL | NY JETS at TENNESSEE
Play On – Underdogs or pick (TENNESSEE) poor offensive team – scoring 17 or less points/game, after allowing 35 points or more last game
59-26 over the last 10 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
5-1 this year. ( 83.3% | 3.9 units )
NFL | DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA
Play On – Road teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (DALLAS) after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games
69-39 over the last 10 seasons. ( 63.9% | 0.0 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 0.0 units )
NFL | PITTSBURGH at ATLANTA
Play On – Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PITTSBURGH) off a road win, in the second half of the season
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )
CHICAGO SPORTS CONNECTION
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Sunday early evening...
Bulls -4 @ Heat
Heat back in Miami for a sandwich home game.
Just back from a 5 game roadie...ended up in Denver and Utah Wednesday & Friday.
Home for one game...then back on the road for a Tuesday game (Atlanta ?)
Bulls are healthy right now.
...and really starting to gel.
I watched their win Friday night at home vs Portland.
...a great win that saw Derrick Rose starting to get back to his old self.
Driving to the bucket more..playing more aggressively.
The Bulls bench outscored Portlands 40-15.
This team is really playing well...and they are a very good road team.
Miami has lost 5 of their last 6 home games....all by at least 6 points... a few by double digits.
Bulls should take care of business here.
Laying the 4 with confidence.
GL2us
CSC
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Sunday early evening...
Bulls -4 @ Heat
Heat back in Miami for a sandwich home game.
Just back from a 5 game roadie...ended up in Denver and Utah Wednesday & Friday.
Home for one game...then back on the road for a Tuesday game (Atlanta ?)
Bulls are healthy right now.
...and really starting to gel.
I watched their win Friday night at home vs Portland.
...a great win that saw Derrick Rose starting to get back to his old self.
Driving to the bucket more..playing more aggressively.
The Bulls bench outscored Portlands 40-15.
This team is really playing well...and they are a very good road team.
Miami has lost 5 of their last 6 home games....all by at least 6 points... a few by double digits.
Bulls should take care of business here.
Laying the 4 with confidence.
GL2us
CSC
Jack Preosta / NBA & NCAAB / Sunday 12/14
On his website:
Toronto Raptors -6.5 (-110) /NBA/
San Antonio Spurs -3 (-110) /NBA/
Utah Jazz - Washington Wizards under 195.5 (-110) /NBA/
Los Angeles Lakers -3 (-110) /NBA/
George Washington -1 (-110) /NCAAB/
St. Peters +11.5 (-110) /NCAAB/
Manhattan -1 (-110) /NCAAB/
Kent State (-110) /NCAAB/
Dartmouth -3.5 (-110) /NCAAB/
Depaul -2 (-110) /NCAAB/
Clemson -5.5 (-110) /NCAAB/
Western Michigan +1.5 (-110) /NCAAB/
On his website:
Toronto Raptors -6.5 (-110) /NBA/
San Antonio Spurs -3 (-110) /NBA/
Utah Jazz - Washington Wizards under 195.5 (-110) /NBA/
Los Angeles Lakers -3 (-110) /NBA/
George Washington -1 (-110) /NCAAB/
St. Peters +11.5 (-110) /NCAAB/
Manhattan -1 (-110) /NCAAB/
Kent State (-110) /NCAAB/
Dartmouth -3.5 (-110) /NCAAB/
Depaul -2 (-110) /NCAAB/
Clemson -5.5 (-110) /NCAAB/
Western Michigan +1.5 (-110) /NCAAB/
NHL
Hot teams
-- Toronto won four in row, eight of last ten games.
-- Blackhawks lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Rangers won six of their last nine games.
Cold teams
-- Kings lost three of their last four games.
-- Calgary lost last four games, scoring seven goals.
-- Edmonton lost 14 of its last 15 games.
Series records
-- Road team won last five LA-Toronto games.
-- Flames lost five of last seven games with Chicago.
-- Rangers lost three of last four games with Edmonton.
Totals
-- Six of last eight Los Angeles games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Calgary-Chicago games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Ranger games went over the total.
Back-to-back
-- Maple Leafs are 4-2 if they played night before.
-- Chicago is 3-2 if it played the night before.
-- Rangers are 1-2 if they played night before.
Hot teams
-- Toronto won four in row, eight of last ten games.
-- Blackhawks lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Rangers won six of their last nine games.
Cold teams
-- Kings lost three of their last four games.
-- Calgary lost last four games, scoring seven goals.
-- Edmonton lost 14 of its last 15 games.
Series records
-- Road team won last five LA-Toronto games.
-- Flames lost five of last seven games with Chicago.
-- Rangers lost three of last four games with Edmonton.
Totals
-- Six of last eight Los Angeles games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Calgary-Chicago games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Ranger games went over the total.
Back-to-back
-- Maple Leafs are 4-2 if they played night before.
-- Chicago is 3-2 if it played the night before.
-- Rangers are 1-2 if they played night before.
NBA
Hot Teams
-- Golden State won last 15 games, covered last five (10-3 A). Pelicans won three of last four games, covered six of last eight.
-- Bulls won/covered five of last seven games (5-3 AF).
-- Wizards won seven of last eight games (4-6 HF).
-- Lakers are 4-3 in their last seven games (0-2 F, 0-0 AF).
-- Thunder won five in row, seven of last eight games (4-2 HF, 4W).
-- Raptors won four of their last six games (5-1 AF).
Cold Teams
-- Miami lost five of last seven games (0-2 HU).
-- Jazz lost ten of last eleven games (4-6 AU, 4L).
-- Minnesota lost 14 of its last 17 games (3-5 HU).
-- Suns lost their last four games (3-3 AU).
-- New York lost nine of last ten games (2-4 HU).
-- Spurs lost two of their last three games (3-5 AF, 3L). Denver lost five of its last six games (2-1 HU).
Series Records
-- Warriors won their last eight games with New Orleans.
-- Heat won five of last seven games with Chicago.
-- Jazz won four of last five games with Washington.
-- Lakers lost four of last five games with Minnesota.
-- Suns won last two games with Thunder, after losing previous 11.
-- Knicks won four of last six games with Toronto.
-- Spurs won 12 of last 16 games with Denver.
Totals
-- Six of last seven Golden State games stayed under.
-- Last four Miami home games went over total.
-- Last three Utah road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota home games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Oklahoma City home games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in Toronto's road games.
-- Seven of last eight Denver games stayed under.
Back-to-Backs
-- Golden State is 3-1 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Denver is 2-2 vs spread if it played the night before.
Hot Teams
-- Golden State won last 15 games, covered last five (10-3 A). Pelicans won three of last four games, covered six of last eight.
-- Bulls won/covered five of last seven games (5-3 AF).
-- Wizards won seven of last eight games (4-6 HF).
-- Lakers are 4-3 in their last seven games (0-2 F, 0-0 AF).
-- Thunder won five in row, seven of last eight games (4-2 HF, 4W).
-- Raptors won four of their last six games (5-1 AF).
Cold Teams
-- Miami lost five of last seven games (0-2 HU).
-- Jazz lost ten of last eleven games (4-6 AU, 4L).
-- Minnesota lost 14 of its last 17 games (3-5 HU).
-- Suns lost their last four games (3-3 AU).
-- New York lost nine of last ten games (2-4 HU).
-- Spurs lost two of their last three games (3-5 AF, 3L). Denver lost five of its last six games (2-1 HU).
Series Records
-- Warriors won their last eight games with New Orleans.
-- Heat won five of last seven games with Chicago.
-- Jazz won four of last five games with Washington.
-- Lakers lost four of last five games with Minnesota.
-- Suns won last two games with Thunder, after losing previous 11.
-- Knicks won four of last six games with Toronto.
-- Spurs won 12 of last 16 games with Denver.
Totals
-- Six of last seven Golden State games stayed under.
-- Last four Miami home games went over total.
-- Last three Utah road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota home games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Oklahoma City home games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in Toronto's road games.
-- Seven of last eight Denver games stayed under.
Back-to-Backs
-- Golden State is 3-1 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Denver is 2-2 vs spread if it played the night before.
StatFox Super Situations
NBA | LA LAKERS at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, on Sunday games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
NBA | LA LAKERS at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more
151-74 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.1% | 57.1 units )
16-4 this year. ( 80.0% | 9.1 units )
NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DENVER
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )
NBA | LA LAKERS at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, on Sunday games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
NBA | LA LAKERS at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more
151-74 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.1% | 57.1 units )
16-4 this year. ( 80.0% | 9.1 units )
NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DENVER
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )
