Service Plays Sunday 12/13/09

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FLORIDA OUTLAW

Indianapolis, Minnesota, Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Chicago, Atlanta, Baltimore, Jacksonville, Patriots, Houston, Oakland, Tennessee, Dallas, NYGiants
 

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CAJUN SPORTS

"Total" Selection for Sunday

Game: Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts

Date/Time: Sunday December 13 / 1:00PM EST

Selection: 2* Denver – Indianapolis UNDER 44

Analysis:

Denver is averaging 20.0 points per game while their defense is allowing 16.8 points per game on 17.2 yards per point. Indianapolis is averaging 27.6 points per game and on defense they are giving up only 16.7 points per game on 20.0 yards per point. Both defenses make you work for each scoring opportunity which will benefit us here today as we play the under. Denver has really stepped up when facing teams that average 350 or more yards of offense per game, their last eight games in that situation have all fallen under the posted total. In those eight games Denver averages 17.1 points per game while their opponents average 18.8 points per game. The Colts respond similarly after allowing 375 or more yards of offense in two consecutive games, posting a 7-19 Under mark in those contests. They are also 4-14 Under when playing at home after winning six or more straight games. A check of our systems database reveals four league-wide systems that are active for today’s game. We want to Play UNDER on road underdogs of seven or more points the week after a straight up win on the road as a favorite in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. These teams have gone ‘under’ at a rate of 0-10 under since 1994. Play UNDER on NFL teams who won by seven or more points in each of the last two weeks, these teams have gone ‘under’ at a rate of 18-41 ‘under’ since 2008. If they are installed as an underdog that record improves to 3-21 ‘under’ since 2008. We have two systems that are active for the Colts and they tell us to Play UNDER on a home favorite of seven or more points after a straight up win at home as a touchdown or more favorite in their last game, these teams are 1-16 ‘under’ since 2007. The fact that the Broncos are on a current winning streak of at least two games also favors the under. Play UNDER on home favorites of seven or more points when their opponent is on a two or more game winning streak, these teams are 5-15 ‘under’ since 2007. With solid situational and technical support for the ‘under’ we will play this game to fall well below the posted total.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Denver Broncos – Indianapolis Colts UNDER 44
 

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Kelso:
25 units Texans -7
25 units Colts -6.5
25 units Bills -2
25 units Jets +4
20 units Parlay all four 25 unit plays
10 units Chargers +3.5
5 units Bengals +6.5
4 units Raiders +1
3 units Dolphins/Jags under 43
 
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Sunday NFL System Club play GC

On Sunday the System Club play is on The Tampa Bay Bucs. Game 110 at 1:00 eastern. The Bucs qualify in a solid system that plays on any team that started their season at 0-4 or worse if they are a home dog and scored 7 or less. These poor starters play much better later in the season after a low scoring offensive out put. They have covered 32 of 42 times long term. The Jets come into Tampa today without their starting Qb Sanchez. This may actually help them as Clemens may not turn the ball over nearly as much as Sanchez has. The Jets however are a poor road favorite of more than 3 vs non divisional teams failing to cover 7 of 8 times in this role. This should be a low scoring game that could go either way late. The Jets have 2 offensive lineman that may not play and Tampa may break their losing streak here. Take the 3.5 points in this one. In late phone action I have a Huge Triple system 5 unit NFL GOM play. A 16-0 NFL Blowout play, A double system NFL dog play that will win outright and a 10-1 NBA System play. In college action a Triple Power angle side. NFL has gone 18-5 the past few weeks as we keep up the scorching hot pace Cashing the big college game on St.Mary's on Saturday. Jump on this Big card and end your week with the Cash. For the System club play take Tampa Bay. BOL GC
 

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Saw on another board that Lawrence is on the Bengals, Texans, and Chargers.
Those are his playbook 3,4,5* plays. He has an underdog game of the year 11-2 L13 years going Sunday. I follow him closer than any other capper & I have a feeling it's going to be an outright win on Atlanta over NO. Possibly Chicago. He likes Chicago & ATL to win SU, I just don't know which one the big pick will be, I bet it's ATL though
 

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First post, bought 2 pics...

Been reading the thread for a few weeks and I feel I have benefitted so I thought I would contribute. Feel free to confirm, they are legit.

The Prez' NFL Game of the Year Gmen +1

Lee Kostroski NFL Game of the Year Dal -3.5


From what I have seen the game of the years may be good fade material, good luck with whatever you play.
 

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roots plays paid and confirmed......

vegas legend.......nyg
no limit............... dall cowboys
 

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I just bought the Stan Sharp Underdog GOY so save your money. Play will be up at 11:15 CST and I will post it
 

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Root plays

perfect play MINNESOTA no limit nfc goy DALLAS billionaire CHICAGO millionaire JACKSONVILLE CONFIRMED.....
 

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Lang (philly daily news live)

bengals +7.5
miami+2.5
colts -7
eagles +1 ( 2 for the $ )
 
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dover picks

packers 3 units

ravens 2 units

dolphins 1 unit

jets 1 unit




det/balti over 39 2 units

no/atl over 50 1 unit

wash/oak under 38 1 unit
 

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Ace-Ace <hr style="color: rgb(43, 41, 94);" size="1"> MY plays

$400.00 Take #127 Washington (-1) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 13)
Washington has gotten its offense on track finally and they gave one of the best teams in football all it could handle last week. Oakland pulled a stunner over Pittsburgh. But they are now due for a letdown. The Raiders have been one of the worst teams in the NFL to bet on for the last several years and I don’t know what makes people think that they are any different now. The Raiders are just 16-37 ATS at home.

$400.00 Take #132 New York Giants (-1) over Philadelphia (8 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 13)
The Giants look like they are a team that is ready to make a run for the postseason. They beat Dallas last weekend and now they have a primetime home game against a team that they have a whole bunch of revenge against. Philadelphia blew out the Giants last month and the last time they were in New York the Eagles sent the Giants out of the playoffs. Everyone is jumping on the Eagles here this week. But we know better. I like the Giants to play a great game and to win this one in the fourth quarter.

$400.00 Take #113 Green Bay (-3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 13)
This is part of my 99 System. The Packers are playing their best ball of the season and have a lot of momentum. They played great on Monday Night Football and cashed for us. The Bears struggled with St. Louis last week and have really had a disappointing season. Green Bay has really had its way with the Bears lately. They have covered the spread in 12 of the last 17 meetings. Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last five games and they don’t have the horses to compete with the Packers.

$400.00 Take #119 Miami (+3) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 13)
Miami is coming off a big win over New England and I think that they are excited about hanging around in the playoff hunt. I think that this is going to be a very close, competitive game and that Miami will either win or the points will hold up. Jacksonville has not beaten a team with a winning record all season long and they are coming off their best win of the season, over Houston. And even in that game they barely won even though they got to face Rex Grossman for a portion of it. I think Jacksonville is kind of a soft favorite. They are just 1-12 ATS when they are laying points and they are 0-9 ATS as a home favorite.

$2000.00Take #109 New York Jets (-3) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 13)
Tampa Bay is just 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games and last week people got reminded that they will be inconsistent because of their rookie quarterback. They Jets have been a very good road favorite and are coming off a nice win over Buffalo. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL and I think that they should be able to shut down the Bucs. Kellen Clemons is not the usual backup quarterback because he actually has more experience than Mark Sanchez. I think that he will step up to the challenge here and get New York an important road win.

$3000.00 Take #133 Arizona (-3.5) over San Francisco (8:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 14)
This is my Game of the Week and it is part of the 99 System. Let’s make it back-to-back Monday Night Football winners! Arizona is the play here. The main thing is that they have revenge over the Niners for their Week 1 win in Arizona. This is a completely different Cardinals team right now and they are coming off one of their best wins of the year over the Vikings. Arizona has been a very strong play on the road this year while going 5-1 ATS away from home. And in this series the road team has been the best bet covering eight straight meetings. The Cards have won six of the last nine meetings and they have a chance to lock up the division title on national TV. I think that they take advantage of the situation.


1-0 so far with the teaser win

MY HILTON PLAYS
WASH
NYG
ARI
MIA
NYJ


BEST TO ALL

ACE-ACE
 

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Jim Feist’s 15-Star Pro Shocker - Sunday!
NFL (107) CINCINNATI BENGALS VS (108) MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Take: (107) Pro Shocker: Bengals. (15*)

Minnesota limps home from a loss at Arizona getting exposed: The way to attack this team is by going after the secondary. The Cardinals tore them up, and now a very strong passing game comes to town with another star QB in Carson Palmer (16 TDs, 10 INTs). They have good balance on offense with RB Cedric Benson (969 yds, 4.4 ypc) back, but have outstanding WRs in Chad Ochocinco and Andre Caldwell. The offense ranks 18th overall, and the defense is 4th in the NFL. They had huge 18-12 victory at Pittsburgh that put them in control of the AFC North, as Cincinnati is 4-0 against the Steelers and Ravens this season.Another reason for Palmer’s improvement is the Bengals’ offensive line. He has been sacked only 22 times and rarely has been hit while attempting to pass. The way to beat Minnesota, as the Cardinals showed, is to take away the ground game and force 40-year old Brett Favre to win it. The Bengals are No. 2 in the NFL against the run. Minnesota lost LB E.J. Henderson Sunday night, a huge loss. A great spot for the dog. Play the Bengals!
 

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FAIRWAY JAY

Best Bet: Under 41.5

The winning continues as we nailed our seven straight Best Bet last week while
providing our personal clients a perfect 9-0 week in college and pro football.
This week we’ll fire for more green with an NFL total. The Rams have just one
SU win this season but have gone 4-1 ATS their last five games and we’ve been
on them four times. But St. Louis has really struggled to score on the road this
season with 0, 7, 0, 20, 17, and 9 point efforts. They have little chance to produce
consistent drives or scoring chances with Kyle Boller now at quarterback. Boller
was brutal last week at Chicago with just 3.5 yards per pass attempt. The Titans
defense is much improved with healthier players and as a result have played
three straight unders while facing some top offenses and quarterbacks. Tennessee
is more conservative on offense with Vince Young as they rely heavily
on their ground game with Chris Johnson having a monster season. Likewise,
the Rams rely on their star running back Stephen Jackson and both teams
figure to run the ball often while dink-and-dunk passes keep the clock moving.
 

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