Service Plays Sunday 12/13/09

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Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK
COSTA RICA CONNECTION

25 DIME RELEASE

Dallas
 

Always Use Good Money Management
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Teddy covers

Big ticket on Dallas -3

same as budin. And Valentino. Some big boys on this game. Will ace ace make it a foursome. If so I will hammer this game.
 

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NBC TV Game between Philadelphia and NY Giants
Football NFL
Game Date/Time: December 13, 2009, 5:20 pm(PST) Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles @ NY Giants Giants

Take: NY Giants Giants

PHILADELPHIA vs NEW YORK GIANTS: Tom Coughlin is so practiced in the fine art of obsessive caution, he will fib to the media about practically every innocuous, trivial matter.And so again Friday, he was asked simply whether he pays attention to the NFC standings, and to the tiebreakers, that make this game Sunday night against the Eagles triply important. "No," Coughlin said." Philadelphia Eagles. That's all." On the same day that Coughlin was saying this, however, he also was passing out information to players that detailed the NFC EAST standings, the teams' records against their own division and against their own conference. HE WANTS THIS GAME; BADLY according to WAR. This game will be played back to the basics. hard-nose running NFC Style. With the potential for some rain and snow at Meadowlands Sunday night, Brandon Jacobs expects his workload to increase. And he said it's even more important to emphasize the running game and "smash-mouth football" against the Eagles. Jacobs finally broke out of his season-long slump with a 74-yard touchdown reception last Sunday when he caught a four-yard pass and took it 70 yards down the sidelines. A year after shoving the NFL around with two 1,000-yard rushers in their backfield, they're averaging 124.6 rushing yards per game, good for just 10th place in the league. WAR loves running the ball and good defense. Look for NY Giants to controlm the clock much like they did against the Cowboys. Take the NY Giants as the Vegas Legend play.

Football NFL
Game Date/Time: December 13, 2009, 1:15 pm(PST) Matchup: San Diego Chargers @ Dallas Cowboys

Take: Dallas Cowboys

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS vs. DALLAS COWBOYS: The Cowboys have a stout 8-4 record and a share of first place in the NFC East, but the outlook isn’t so great. An ugly loss to the New York Giants last weekend stripped away the good vibes of a 6-1 wave they had been riding. Avoiding a second straight loss is a must because next up is a trip to New Orleans to face the currently undefeated Saints, and because a two-game losing streak would play into the perception/reality of another promising season going down the drain in December and early January. WAR doesn't see that happening. WAR says the addition to a go to receiver in Austin has Romo happy. The past experience is behind them and they have learned from that. They enjoy a great homefield advantage and this game is all set to use that for a victory. WAR notes they haven’t lost consecutive games all season and won't start now. This game will come down to one area of play: Dallas, the NFL's ninth-ranked rushing defense will be counted on to slow down a hot Chargers squad. San Diego has won seven in a row despite ranking 30th in the league in rushing offense. This bolds well for the Cowboys...take Dallas as WAR's NFC Game of the Year.
 

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Inside Corner NFL 12/13

NFL Currently 24-22 -5units

3 Units: New York Jets -3

3 Units: Green Bay Packers -3

2 Units: Phillidelphia Eagles/New York Giants OVER 44.5

2 Units: Atlanta Falcons/New Orleans Saints UNDER 50

2 Units: Baltimore -13.5

2 Units: San Diego Chargers +3
 

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Lang 12/13

40 DIME - INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - (Buy down a 1/2 to -6.5, or 7 if number goes to -7 or -7.5) - This is a bad matchup all the way around for the Denver Broncos.

First and foremost, just like last week when the public bet the Titans and the Colts went off a under a touchdown, and Peyton figured out a way to cover that number pushing the Colts record not only to a perfect 12-0, but a fantastic 9-3 ATS.

Only 3 pointspread blemishes were a 4-point win at home over the Niners laying 13, a 3 point win over the Texans laying 7 1/2 and the 1 point win over the Patriots laying 2.

Other than that, Indy has covered every game this year and it is very rare when you are as good as they are you are ever laying anything but double digits at home.

Today, just like last week you are getting value with the Colts, under a touchdown and it's value I can't pass up.

The million dollar question isn't what Peyton is going to do to the Broncos as we all know as good as he is playing he will get his. No folks, the question today is can Kyle Orton played good enough football to keep this a single digit game.

My dollar says he can't.

Indy is trying to become the only team in NFL history to win 22 regular season games in a row and also with a win today it's homefield all the way through the AFC playoffs.

The Broncos have made some noise the last 2 weeks crushing the Giants at home on Thanksgiving night, and then last week hammering a horrible Chiefs team.

Now all of a sudden people think they are back when prior to those 2 wins they had lost 4 games in a row by an average margin of 20 points.

Lastly, the Colts are very familiar with a lot of the Broncos scheme as they saw them when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator at New England. Advantage Colts.

Just like last week the Colts will execute their offense to perfection and when the 60 minutes are up, they will have won this game by double digits and covered the number right along with it.

Indy goes to 13-0 for the year, and 10-3 ATS right along with it.

20 DIME - CINCINNATI BENGALS (Buy up a 1/2 to +7, only if line is at +6.5) - The underdog in every Bengals game this year has covered the number. I'm not about to buck that trend now.

Adding to the woes of the Vikings in this game is the loss of middle linebacker E.J. Henderson. You have no idea how much that hurts the Vikings today.

When he went out last week against the Cardinals, you saw just how easily Arizona moved the football. That doesn't bode well for them today against this very balanced Bengals attack.

I'm talking about a Cincinnati team that won at Pittsburgh, won at Green Bay, and won at Baltimore.

You can bet on the fact the Bengals will not go quietly. They will battle because that is the makeup of this football team.

Brett Favre looked tired last week, and facing a Bengals defense that has allowed just 11 points a game the last 6 weeks and their defensive strength is the secondary.

Hard to blow a team out when they take away your passing game.

Only one QB has thrown for over 300 yards this year, and that was Matt Schaub and over their last 5 games this secondary has allowed less than 200 yards in every game.

They held the Ravens to 100 yards, Steelers to 146, Raiders to 186, Browns to 111 and the Lions to 165.

Brett may get his, but he won't get the big yards that will be needed to get a Vikings blowout, and I fully expect this game to go down to the wire.

And the river card for me is the fact since becoming head coach of the Minnesota Vikings Brad Childress is 0-7 ATS in the month of December at home.

Look for the underdog to remain perfect in every Bengals game this year.

10 DIME - NY JETS - (Buy down a 1/2 to -3 if line is at -3.5) - Simply put, rookie QB against #1 defense in the NFL.

A rookie QB who comes off 5 INT's on the road last week versus a Carolina defense that is no where near as good as the one he will see today.

This couldn't be a better matchup for Rex Ryan's blitz package against Josh Freeman, and if he thinks he saw some coverages last week, wait until he gets a load of this Jets defense.

Further compounding the Bucs problems in this game today is they are the 2nd worst run defense in the NFL facing the #1 rush offense. I've always maintained if you can't stop the run in the NFL you are not going to win football games.

The Jets were laying this same kind of number last week versus the Buffalo Bills and won by 6 in a game that wasn't as close as the score would lead you to believe. Their defense completely shut down the Bills to the tune of 194 yards total offense.

New York has playoff hopes. Every game is do or die. I like that in a football team.

As for Tampa Bay, it's living on a prayer. Living on the reality of losing and they have done a lot of that this year.

They have won win for the year, at home versus Green Bay and I feel Aaron Rogers had more to do with that than anything the Bucs did. He was sacked 6 times cause he held the ball to long and threw 3 INT's.

You are not going to get that from the Jets today who will run the ball and run the ball and run the ball some more.

Last week versus the Bills they ran 43 times for 249 yards and that was against the worst run defense in the NFL. Save to assume Kelly Clemens will be the beneficiary of over 200 yards rushing again today making him a play action QB all day long.

I am laying this number in what I feel will be a double digit win for the J-E-T-S....Jets, Jets, Jets.

FREE SELECTION - PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
 

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The ProSource


Top Play** Total of the Month

tampa bay / jets over 36 to 37
 

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J.B. "The Hizz" Mayer


NFL Football Premium Picks
-= TOP PLAY =- NFL | Dec 13 '09 (1:00p)
Green Bay Packers -4

DIAMOND SELECTION !!!!!





-= TOP PLAY =- NFL | Dec 13 '09 (1:00p)
New Orleans Saints -10

GOLD SELECTION
 

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Ron Raymond




5* NFL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK



Pick # 1 Philadelphia Eagles / New York Giants Under 44 -110
 

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King Creole | NFL Total Sun, 12/13/09 - 1:00 PM

triple-dime bet 107 CIN / 108 MIN Under 43.0 betus
Analysis:
3*** BEST BET on: UNDER the TOTAL / Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings . 1:00pm ET

2** UNDER the TOTAL / Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts / 1:00pm ET

2*** UNDER the TOTAL / Miami Dolphins @ Jacksonville Jaguars / 1:00pm ET

I visited our ‘Domer Homer’ set that was created in the Playbook database last night, and it revealed that all all Dome HOME FAVS had gone 3-9 O/U since November 1st. I decided to run a query since there are four indoor games on the week 14 schedule. And it looks like some “UNDER”-whelming results are in order... depending on the point spread and the opponent. 6-21-2 O/U since 1991: All Game 12 or greater Dome Home non-division favorites of 6 > points. If these Indoor HOST are taking on an opponent off a SU win, the results improve to an almost PERFECT 1-11 O/U in the last 18 years. The two teams that are active in this 92% Under Systems are the MINNESOTA VIKINGS and INDIANAPOLIS COLTS.

Game One:
In BOTH of our Best Bets, the OU line is alrea~dy coming down off the opening number. so get in ASAP! Both games also feature GREAT teams (.666 >) squaring off against each other. And that’s where we started our querying this week:

1-8 O/U L10Y (0-4 O/U THIS decade) for all GAME 13 > home favs of 4 > points with a W/L percentage of .800 > (Vikings)... facing an opponent with a W/L percentage of .666 > (Bengals).

Cincinnati comes in off BB wins, but they lost the cash (ATS) in both of em.
1-9 O/U S’2003: All road teams off BB SU wins but BB ATS losses (last vs non-div opp).

In those 2 wins, they rushed the ball an amazing 44 and 45 times respectively.
0-7 O/U last 22 years: All NFL teams off BB wins in which they rushed the ball 44 > times... when the OU line is 36 > points.

The Bengals actually come in on a 3-game ATS losing streak.
0-6 O/U L2Y: All GAME 10 > non-division dogs of 6 > pts playng off BBB ATS losses.

Minnesota’s 4-game winning streak finally came to an end of Sunday night (lost 30-17 to Arizona).
1-9 O/U L3Y: All home favs of 3 > pts playing off a SU loss which broke a 4+ game winning streak.

Vikings laid -3.5 pts on the road in that game, and LOST by double digits.
0-6 O/U L5Y: All favs of 12 < pts playing off a non-div LOSS of 13 > pts in which they were a fav of -3 > pts.

Let’s wrap up this Best Bet with a hot OU pattern that’s gone a PERFECT 0-6 O/U in the last 8 weeks:
All NFC home favs of -5 > points taking on an AFC opponent. Look for a LOT of running plays in this one. Tick.. tick.. tick!


Game Two:
This is the only other game this week that features two OUTSTANDING teams taking on each other. Since we’re on the ‘UNDER’ in the first game, it would be smart to play the other one as well.
0-4 O/U since 2000: Gm 13 > HF’s of 4 > pts with a .800 > winning % (Colts) vs an opponent with a winning % of .666 > (Broncos).

It looks like the Broncos are BACK in business, with wins of 20 and 31 points in their last 2 games. Sunday’s division win over Kansas City featured 245 rushing yards on 45 attempts. That puts them in solid “UNDER” territory.
5-18 O/U s’1988: All non-division road teams off a SU road win in which they ran for 200 > yards. If they were a FAV in that last win, the numbers improve to 2-11 O/U.

So far this year, NFL teams that ran the ball 45 or more times in a ROAD win have gone a PERFECT 0-3 O/U in their next game.

Playing in the 2nd of BB road games off a division win has produced a high percentage of low-scoring results.
1-10 O/U L6Y: All road teams playing off a SUATS divison road favorite win, when the OU lines is 48 < points.

Indianapolis enters this week’s game with their PERFECT record still intact.
0-4 O/U L10Y: All Game 13 > UNDEFEATED home teams against a non-division opponent.
 

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Diceituponline - Fireman's NFL Plays 11/13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Green Bay -3 = 15 Dimes

San Diego +3 = 15 Dimes

Saints - 10 = 10 Dimes

Indy -7 = 10 Dimes

3 Team Teaser = 15 Dimes
NE -3 (Tease down 10)
Baltimore -3 (Tease Down 10)
Tenn -3 (Tease Down 10)
 

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Adam Meyer picks heard on KNBR radio this morning

49ers +3.5
Chargers +3
Colts -7
 

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DAVE BLEZOW
One & Only Lock Of The Week-11-2 (lost last week on the Saints)
Jets -3

The Jet backers are in the double bonus this weekend. They are getting a 11⁄2- to 2-point bargain on the spread, but the reason for that, Mark Sanchez’s absence, will have little effect on their ability to cover it.

The only way the Jets are going to lose to the 1-11 Bucs is if they hand them the game, as they did the Bills earlier this season. With Kellen Clemens in there, they will be more apt to pound away with Thomas Jones at the Bucs’ 31st-ranked run defense, throw safe passes and take a couple of shots downfield against single coverage.

Bucs rookie quarterback Josh Freeman is coming off a five-interception game in Carolina, and the last defense he needs to see, especially on extra rest, is Rex Ryan’s.





3Pack Of Best Bets 22-17
Jets/Bills/San Diego

The Rest 102-89
1-0 this week (browns)
Philly +1
Colts-7
Cinny + 6 1/2
Bills (p)
Packers - 3
Saints - 10 1/2
Jags - 2 1/2
Det + 13 1/2
Panthers + 13 1/2
Seattle +6
Rams +13
Raiders +1 Sd +3
 

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MTI NEWSLETTER PLAYS
5star- san diego 24-17
4star- over 37 nyj/tb
 

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SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS NL PLAYS
3star- seattle +6
4star- over 37.5 kc/buf
 

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JOHN MORRISON NFL

Official NFL System Plays

12/13 Houston [A] (Bet on the Money Line)
 

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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Handicapper: JOE GAFFNEY
Denver Broncos vs. Indianapolis Colts (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 44/-102 Under Play Title: NBA ONE SHOT ONE KILLTOTAL!
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
this play is on our big ticket so we need it bad. we go the other way of the public and take under in a game that will be played tight . i do not see den putting up alot of pts on the road. they will try to keep mannning off the field short passes dumps and running it.den defense decent as well as 12-0 indy. good luck joe gaffney world champion!

Handicapper: JOE GAFFNEY
New York Jets vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3/116 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Play Title: NFL. ONE SHOT ONE KILL!
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
this ones on the big tkt so we need it bad. the jets should not lay any pts to anybody that theory won me the hilton 2yrs ago and still stands today tb was killed by turnovers last week.i live in ny i know the jets and they will fall. good luck joe gaffney world champion!

Handicapper: JOE GAFFNEY
Washington Redskins vs. Oakland Raiders (NFL) - 4:05 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1/-104 Washington Redskins Play Title: NFL ONE SHOT ONE KILL!
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
we are going against the grain here with travel across country but i think wash will win they should have won last 4 and if they have any pride left they will beat okl./ wash just the better team line move proves it. def is the diferance and wash has it okl does not. good luck joe gaffney world champion!

Handicapper: JOE GAFFNEY
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 1/114 Miami Dolphins Play Title: NFL ONE SHOT ONE KILL SUN!
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
jacksonville a fav to much weight for them this one is on the big tkt so we need it bad mia is simply the better team and staying in flo to play helps us too. mia fresh off upset of ne and will keep it rolling against jags def thet is a sive. good luck joe gaffney world champion
 

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DCI
Season
Straight Up: 127-62 (.672)
ATS: 100-89 (.529)

Sunday, December 13, 2009
New Orleans 38, ATLANTA 21
BALTIMORE 32, Detroit 9
Green Bay 27, CHICAGO 18
HOUSTON 25, Seattle 20
INDIANAPOLIS 28, Denver 15
Miami 23, JACKSONVILLE 19
KANSAS CITY 21, Buffalo 19
MINNESOTA 23, Cincinnati 16
NEW ENGLAND 28, Carolina 15
N.Y. Jets 22, TAMPA BAY 16
TENNESSEE 33, St. Louis 6
Washington vs. OAKLAND: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
San Diego 25, DALLAS 20
Philadelphia 26, N.Y. GIANTS 24
 

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