jeff benton sunday
Jeff Benton SUNDAY'S ACTION
50 Dime NFL release on the BEARS plus the points against the Patriots at Soldier Field. Chicago is catching a full field goal both here in Vegas and offshore. As alaays, make sure you shop around and get the best of this number, especially as it’s heading toeward 2 ½ (with the Bears currently -3 at -120 juice).
15 Dime NFL release on the BEARS on the money-line over the Patriots at Soldier Field. The money-line take-back with the Bears is ranging from +120 to +130.
BEARS (plus the points)
BEARS (money-line)
I generally stick with the philosophy that whenever one team is catching the majority of the action, I run the other way. I didn’t stay true to the principal on Thursday when I – along with pretty much every other ‘capper at this website and across the land – played the Colts as a 3½-point road favorite at Tennessee. And we all know how that turned out: The Colts jumped out to a 21-0 lead, couldn’t completely put the Titans away and – after kicking a field goal to go up 30-21 with 2:55 to play – they left the backdoor wide open and the Titans waltzed right on through it, scoring a meaningless TD with no time left on the clock to lose 30-28.
Well, this Bears-Patriots game smells very much like that Indy-Tennessee contest, as Vegas is BEGGING the public to lay the “cheap” price with red-hot New England. In actuality, though, this game looks even more similar to the Patriots-Browns game back on Nov. 7. I remember that game very fondly (and hope you do too!), as I had a 50 Dime winner on Cleveland plus the points and a 15 Dime bonus money-line winner on the Browns (at +180).
To reset the scene in that one: The Patriots went to Ohio riding a five-game winning streak, only it was a bit of a fraudulent streak as it included three straight narrow wins over the Ravens (23-20 in overtime), Chargers (23-20, with San Diego missing a game-tying field goal at the gun) and Vikings (28-18, with the Minnesota down just 21-18 late in the fourth quarter). After the hard-fought, emotional Vikings win, the Patriots hit the road for Cleveland, fell behind 10-0 and never were in the game, losing 34-14 as a four-point underdog, as Peyton Hillis ran for 184 yards and two TDs and rookie Colt McCoy (14-for-19, 174 yards) played every bit as good as Tom Brady (19-for-36, 224 yards).
Well, since that loss, the Patriots have ripped off four straight wins (3-1 ATS), including a 45-3 thrashing of the Jets on Monday night. So here’s New England taking another long winning streak on the road – its fourth roadie in the last six weeks and fifth in the last eight, by the way – and it is laying a few points against what everyone assumes is an overmatched opponent. Funny thing is, the Patriots aren’t the first team this year to go to the Windy City as a small favorite. Green Bay did it in Week 3 and lost 20-17 as a three-point favorite. Philadelphia did it two weeks ago and lost 31-26 as a three-point favorite. And even the Bears’ home game against the Vikings a month ago was a pick-em contest, and Minnesota got destroyed 27-13.
Here’s my point: The Bears have been vastly underrated this season. How much so? I’m five paragraphs into this analysis and I’m just now getting to this fact: Chicago is riding a five-game winning streak, one game longer than the Patriots’ current run! Why is that every so-called expert is crowning the 10-2 Patriots as 2011 Super Bowl champs but the same geniuses believe 9-3 Bears won’t even make the playoffs? I have no idea. Yeah, I know Chicago continues to have problems protecting QB Jay Cutler, but the Patriots rank among in the bottom third of the league with 19 sacks (only five other teams have fewer).
And while we’re on the topic of defensive rankings, get a load of this: The Bears rank third in scoring defense, third in total defense, second in rushing defense and 13th in passing defense. The Patriots rank 19th in scoring defense, 19th in rushing defense, 31st in total defense and 31st in passing defense. And while Chicago has given up 20 points or less in 10 of 12 games (and allowed just 23 and 26 in the other two), New England had surrendered 112 points in four games prior to beating up Mark Sanchez and the overrated Jets. Additionally, the Pats have allowed 24 points or more in seven of 12 contests, and now they’re facing a Bears club that’s generated exactly 24 ppg over the course of its five-game winning streak.
Bottom line here, guys: The Patriots are good – very good. And Brady has been unconscious over the last seven weeks with 17 TDs vs. zero picks. But New England is in a VERY tricky spot here against a solid opponent that fields an outstanding defense. And if you’re giving me points with that defense, which (again) has given up the third fewest yards in the league, against a defense that (again) has given up the second most yards in the league, I’m taking it.
And as a parting thought, consider these three facts: 1) New England has failed to cover in its last five games following a Monday night contest; 2) Chicago is on a 6-1 ATS run as an underdog (5-0 ATS as a ‘dog of three points or less); and 3) if you take out the Bears win over Minnesota (a pick-em or one-point spread), the underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in Chicago’s games this season, including outright upsets for the Bears against the Cowboys, Packers, Dolphins and Eagles!
Chicago does it again, 24-19
Jeff Benton SUNDAY'S ACTION
50 Dime NFL release on the BEARS plus the points against the Patriots at Soldier Field. Chicago is catching a full field goal both here in Vegas and offshore. As alaays, make sure you shop around and get the best of this number, especially as it’s heading toeward 2 ½ (with the Bears currently -3 at -120 juice).
15 Dime NFL release on the BEARS on the money-line over the Patriots at Soldier Field. The money-line take-back with the Bears is ranging from +120 to +130.
BEARS (plus the points)
BEARS (money-line)
I generally stick with the philosophy that whenever one team is catching the majority of the action, I run the other way. I didn’t stay true to the principal on Thursday when I – along with pretty much every other ‘capper at this website and across the land – played the Colts as a 3½-point road favorite at Tennessee. And we all know how that turned out: The Colts jumped out to a 21-0 lead, couldn’t completely put the Titans away and – after kicking a field goal to go up 30-21 with 2:55 to play – they left the backdoor wide open and the Titans waltzed right on through it, scoring a meaningless TD with no time left on the clock to lose 30-28.
Well, this Bears-Patriots game smells very much like that Indy-Tennessee contest, as Vegas is BEGGING the public to lay the “cheap” price with red-hot New England. In actuality, though, this game looks even more similar to the Patriots-Browns game back on Nov. 7. I remember that game very fondly (and hope you do too!), as I had a 50 Dime winner on Cleveland plus the points and a 15 Dime bonus money-line winner on the Browns (at +180).
To reset the scene in that one: The Patriots went to Ohio riding a five-game winning streak, only it was a bit of a fraudulent streak as it included three straight narrow wins over the Ravens (23-20 in overtime), Chargers (23-20, with San Diego missing a game-tying field goal at the gun) and Vikings (28-18, with the Minnesota down just 21-18 late in the fourth quarter). After the hard-fought, emotional Vikings win, the Patriots hit the road for Cleveland, fell behind 10-0 and never were in the game, losing 34-14 as a four-point underdog, as Peyton Hillis ran for 184 yards and two TDs and rookie Colt McCoy (14-for-19, 174 yards) played every bit as good as Tom Brady (19-for-36, 224 yards).
Well, since that loss, the Patriots have ripped off four straight wins (3-1 ATS), including a 45-3 thrashing of the Jets on Monday night. So here’s New England taking another long winning streak on the road – its fourth roadie in the last six weeks and fifth in the last eight, by the way – and it is laying a few points against what everyone assumes is an overmatched opponent. Funny thing is, the Patriots aren’t the first team this year to go to the Windy City as a small favorite. Green Bay did it in Week 3 and lost 20-17 as a three-point favorite. Philadelphia did it two weeks ago and lost 31-26 as a three-point favorite. And even the Bears’ home game against the Vikings a month ago was a pick-em contest, and Minnesota got destroyed 27-13.
Here’s my point: The Bears have been vastly underrated this season. How much so? I’m five paragraphs into this analysis and I’m just now getting to this fact: Chicago is riding a five-game winning streak, one game longer than the Patriots’ current run! Why is that every so-called expert is crowning the 10-2 Patriots as 2011 Super Bowl champs but the same geniuses believe 9-3 Bears won’t even make the playoffs? I have no idea. Yeah, I know Chicago continues to have problems protecting QB Jay Cutler, but the Patriots rank among in the bottom third of the league with 19 sacks (only five other teams have fewer).
And while we’re on the topic of defensive rankings, get a load of this: The Bears rank third in scoring defense, third in total defense, second in rushing defense and 13th in passing defense. The Patriots rank 19th in scoring defense, 19th in rushing defense, 31st in total defense and 31st in passing defense. And while Chicago has given up 20 points or less in 10 of 12 games (and allowed just 23 and 26 in the other two), New England had surrendered 112 points in four games prior to beating up Mark Sanchez and the overrated Jets. Additionally, the Pats have allowed 24 points or more in seven of 12 contests, and now they’re facing a Bears club that’s generated exactly 24 ppg over the course of its five-game winning streak.
Bottom line here, guys: The Patriots are good – very good. And Brady has been unconscious over the last seven weeks with 17 TDs vs. zero picks. But New England is in a VERY tricky spot here against a solid opponent that fields an outstanding defense. And if you’re giving me points with that defense, which (again) has given up the third fewest yards in the league, against a defense that (again) has given up the second most yards in the league, I’m taking it.
And as a parting thought, consider these three facts: 1) New England has failed to cover in its last five games following a Monday night contest; 2) Chicago is on a 6-1 ATS run as an underdog (5-0 ATS as a ‘dog of three points or less); and 3) if you take out the Bears win over Minnesota (a pick-em or one-point spread), the underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in Chicago’s games this season, including outright upsets for the Bears against the Cowboys, Packers, Dolphins and Eagles!
Chicago does it again, 24-19
HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-December 12th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[805] LA Lakers |8*|-8|B+0|Network N/A|1:05 pm EST
[811] Orlando |8*|-6.5|B+0|Network N/A|9:35 pm EST
note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) System"
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[805] LA Lakers |8*|-8|B+0|Network N/A|1:05 pm EST
[811] Orlando |8*|-6.5|B+0|Network N/A|9:35 pm EST
note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) System"
GC Sunday NBA System Play
On Sunday the NBA System Play is on the LA. Lakers. Game 805 at 1:05 eastern. The Lakers fit a solid system here today the Plays on roadfavorites with 1 or more days of rest, coming in off a road favored loss if they had 1 or more days prior rest and the opponent comes in off an ats loss of 10 or less. This system has cashed 22 of 26 times since 1995. The Lakers have been dismal of late especilly on offesne where they have had trouble breaking 90 points the past few games. Today however they get a New Jersey Nets team that is well under .500. The Lakers have covered 10 of 13 here in the garden state long term. Look for the Lakers to get the win and cover here.
On Sunday I have the Highest rated total of the year with a 100% Totals system that dates back to 1980 and averages 54 points per game. NFL Top plays are 9-4 this year I also have a 25-3 NFL Non divisional game and the Sunday night Power System Play with 3 angles. Football is 31 games over .500 and NFL is on a 9 For the System Club Play the LA. Lakers. GC
On Sunday the NBA System Play is on the LA. Lakers. Game 805 at 1:05 eastern. The Lakers fit a solid system here today the Plays on roadfavorites with 1 or more days of rest, coming in off a road favored loss if they had 1 or more days prior rest and the opponent comes in off an ats loss of 10 or less. This system has cashed 22 of 26 times since 1995. The Lakers have been dismal of late especilly on offesne where they have had trouble breaking 90 points the past few games. Today however they get a New Jersey Nets team that is well under .500. The Lakers have covered 10 of 13 here in the garden state long term. Look for the Lakers to get the win and cover here.
On Sunday I have the Highest rated total of the year with a 100% Totals system that dates back to 1980 and averages 54 points per game. NFL Top plays are 9-4 this year I also have a 25-3 NFL Non divisional game and the Sunday night Power System Play with 3 angles. Football is 31 games over .500 and NFL is on a 9 For the System Club Play the LA. Lakers. GC
