Service Plays Sunday 12/06/09

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bdougsports

Sunday December 6, 2009

*Monster Play*
Titans +7 @ Colts
Dare we bet against Indy again? They screwed us against the Texans last week, but the Titans close games better than the Texans. So we heard it's been a while since the Colts have lost a game, something like 20 games or whatever. No big deal. They've had their hands full the last few weeks, and we think they'll have their hands full again this week. The Titans are red hot too and Vince Young/Chris Johnson combo will move the ball at will on this D, who could be without Dwight Freeney again. All Vince Young does is win games, so we think 7 points is a gift.

Buccaneers +5.5 @ Panthers
The Bucs are also “red hot”....haha, they are not winning games but seriously this team is underrated. Since Josh Freeman took over this team has been a covering machine. They lost to the Panther by just 7 back in October without Freeman in the lineup. The Panthers will be without Jake Delhomme, which is actually a bad thing for the Bucs. We’ll bet doughnuts to dollars that Matt Moore plays better than Jake the Turnover. That being said with a young QB in the Panthers will have a conservative game plan. The Panthers have lost 2 of their last 3 at home, and we smell a potential upset here. Don’t be fooled by the 0-5 road record of Tampa, they almost beat the Falcons in Atlanta last week. Sidenote: Josh Freeman was labeled a cheap mans Jamarcus Russell. If that were true he would be the worst QB ever.

Patriots -4 @ Dolphins
The Patriots are 3-0 SU and ATS after a loss this year with wins by 16, 17, and 59. All three of those games were at home and the Patriots haven't played all that well on the road this year with the only win coming in England. The Dolphins also traditionally give the Pats trouble in a heated rivalry. Hence, the short point spread. We think the right side is the Patriots here coming off the embarrassing loss on Monday night to the Saints. It will be about executing the game plan and taking care of business. Lay the points.


Seahawks/49ers OVER 41
At a pick ‘em price we REALLY wanted to take the Seahawks who have been great at home over the years. However, we still don’t trust their defense who before the Rams game last week has given up 35, 31, 20, and 38 points. At home the Hawks should be able to finally score since the Niners have struggled a bit against passing teams. The 49er players have been asking their coaches to implement a spread offense to better utilize Alex Smiths skill set. They have listened and apparently this week they will utilize even more of a spread attack. That means lots of clock stoppage and lots of throwing. This one could sail over.
 
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Colin's Sizzlin' Seven picks.

Colin's Overall: 26-37

Texas (-14½) vs. Nebraska
Florida vs. Alabama (+5½)
Chargers (-13) at Browns
Vikings (-3½) at Cardinals
Titans (+7) at Colts
Cowboys at Giants (+3)
Raiders at Steelers (-14)
 
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GREAT LAKES SPORTS

NFL
5* GAME OF YEAR N Y GIANTS +1.5


College Hoops
4* Creigton -5.5
3* Villinova-1.5
3* Washington -18.5


NBA
4* Milwaukee +7
3* Detroit -3
 
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Kiki-Sports

3* Blowout is on Minnesota.


3* Min
2* Jax
1* KC-NO Under
1* New England
 
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DUNKEL NHL

Ottawa at Anaheim
The Ducks look to take advantage of an Ottawa team that is 0-5 in its last 5 games against the Pacific Division. Anaheim is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-145).

Game 1-2: Detroit at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.617; NY Rangers 11.024
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Under

Game 3-4: Ottawa at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.985; Anaheim 11.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-145); Under
 
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Guaranteed Pick: Carlo Campanella

Game: San Diego Chargers at Cleveland Browns Dec 6 2009 Prediction: San Diego Chargers
Reason: Don't mind laying double digits on the road with favored San Diego, as they own one of the strongest offenses in the NFL, averaging 28.4 points per game and scoring 31 points or more for 3 straight weeks. In fact, these Chargers have scored at least 21 points in EVERY game this season! The face a Cleveland team averaging just 11 points per game and have been held to 7 points or less in 7 of their 11 games this season. The key factor here is that those offensive numbers get even worse against non-division teams. Take out their game against 2-9 Detroit and the Browns are 1-4 ATS against non-division opponents (Chicago, Green Bay, Minnesota & Denver) and have been outscored 125 to 21 points, for an average score of 25-4, for a 21 point victories! This San Diego offense will easily be able to beat the numbers put up by other non-Division teams against the Browns and we're laying the points as the Browns are now 1-8 ATS in their last nine as the host.
10* Play On San Diego
 

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Red zone sports free internet play: 29-6 {76%} run creighton blue jays cbb good luck to all!
 
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DUNKEL NCAAB

Harvard at Connecticut
The Crimson look to take advantage of a Connecticut team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 non-conference games. Harvard is the pick (+19 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by only 17. Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+19 1/2)

Game 511-512: Central Florida at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 56.830; Notre Dame 68.368
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 15
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+15)

Game 513-514: Florida International at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 41.527; Florida State 72.535
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 31
Vegas Line: Florida State by 26 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-26 1/2)

Game 515-516: South Carolina at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 64.910; Clemson 69.221
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 7
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+7)

Game 517-518: Harvard at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 56.503; Connecticut 73.542
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 17
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+19 1/2)

Game 519-520: St. Joseph's at Cornell
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 54.620; Cornell 64.695
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 10
Vegas Line: Cornell by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (-8 1/2)

Game 521-522: Miami (FL) at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 64.332; Boston College 69.213
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 5
Vegas Line: Boston College by 3
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-3)

Game 523-524: Ohio at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 52.975; Tulsa 64.100
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 11
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 15
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+15)

Game 525-526: Tulane at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 56.129; Western Kentucky 62.215
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 6
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+9 1/2)

Game 527-528: Georgia at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 55.164; Virginia Tech 64.791
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 11
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+11)

Game 529-530: Nebraska at Creighton
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 63.032; Creighton 64.356
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+5 1/2)

Game 531-532: Kansas at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 80.436; UCLA 61.755
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 15
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-15)

Game 533-534: Arizona at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 62.296; Oklahoma 70.500
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 8
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-7)

Game 535-536: San Diego at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 57.919; Fresno State 55.665
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-1 1/2)

Game 537-538: Villanova at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 71.403; Maryland 70.636
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 1
Vegas Line: Villanova by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+1 1/2)

Game 539-540: Portland at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 60.198; Idaho 61.037
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 1
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Idaho

Game 541-542: CS-Northridge at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 55.341; Washington 72.336
Dunkel Line: Washington by 17
Vegas Line: Washington by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+18 1/2)

Game 543-544: Loyola-MD at Niagara
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 49.922; Niagara 63.972
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 14
Vegas Line: Niagara by 11
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-11)

Game 545-546: Fairfield at St. Peter's
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 51.695; St. Peter's 53.184
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 2
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+2)

Game 547-548: Manhattan at Canisius
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 48.099; Canisius 55.108
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 7
Vegas Line: Canisius by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-5 1/2)

Game 549-550: Marist at Rider
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 42.851; Rider 54.553
Dunkel Line: Rider by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Rider by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+13 1/2)
 
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Win Or Lose

NCAA Football
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
** No Games

National Football League
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
343 Tenn +7 -120 $11
353 Stl / Chi OV 41 -105 $15
354 Chi -9.5 -105 $10
359 Minn -3 -115 $8
362 Dal / NYG UN 45.5 -108 $10

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
1 DET +1.5 -230 $8
4 ANA ML -145 $10

National Basketball Association (Buying 2 Points ONLY when Posted)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
503 Cleve -7 -105 $15
510 LA Laker -9 -105 $6

NCAA Basketball ( buying 2 points on each game ONLY WHEN POSTED)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
517 Harvard +19 -105 $9
520 Cornell -8.5 -107 $5
537 Villanove -1.5 -106 $6
 

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Anyone know why the NE vs. Miami is off the board most places? Did something happen last night?

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that Tom Brady injured a finger Friday, but the Patriots are not concerned and Brady will start.
 

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the sports betting rx

46-10-0

San Diego Chargers -13




Pick Write-Up

This is certainly a lot of wood to lay on a road team but in this years NFL there are have's and have - nots. � The Browns are definately on the "Have - NOT" side of the equasion. �Aside from their game against Detroit, the Browns are lucky to score 1 touchdown per game. � San Diego is hitting on all cylinders right now and we project them to have 31 points. �can Cleveland score 18? � The odds are no so get this game in early and be sure to get under 14.

Bet 1 unit on San Diego -13
 

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Booooj
50 units on Indianapolis (-6.5) over Tennessee
50 units on Cincinnati (-13) over Detroit
10 units on Carolina (-5) over Tampa Bay
 

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Kelso:
200 units Cincinatti Bengals -13
15 units Philadelphia Eagles -5.5
5 units Dallas Cowboys -1.5
4 units Tennesse Titans +6.5
3 units Tampa Bay/Carolina Panthers under 40

Root:
10* Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5
7* NY Giants +1
6* Kansas City Chiefs +6.5
GOM Arizona +3
 
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MREAST NFL SUNDAY 5 UNIT MEGA PLAY

#337 DENVER BRONCOS @ #338 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 1PM EST
PLAY ON #338 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +6 -110 FOR 5 UNITS

The Denver Broncos scored a huge upset win and will head to Kansas City in the role odf a road favorite. The public is backing the Broncos like they already know the final score, but I disagree. The Broncos have been horrible as a favorite going just 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 in that role. Godd teams with a winning percentage of 60-75% off an upset win by 14 or more points, tend to take a dive the following week at just 15-42 ATS since 1983! Teams that have a winning record on the season, playing on the road, off an upset win as a dog are 144-223 ATS 39.2% covers since 1983! Then take the Chiefs, off a loss of 14 or more, and now posted as a home dog. These teams have roared back to go 60-29 ATS, 67.4% in that role. Then how about this. The Chiefs, since 1986 have gone 10-1-1 ATS vs the Broncos as a home dog, and better yet have won 9 of the 12 outright! Average line has been +4.54. Chiefs are also 18-7 ATS after allowing 35 or more points. I'm playing the Chiefs here in a mega 5 unit play!
 
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BLACK WIDOW (Bill Young)
-= TOP PLAY =-
NFLDec 06 '09
1:00pPhiladelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons
Take: Atlanta Falcons +6-114in 2d
6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 NFC GAME OF THE YEAR on Atlanta Falcons +6


1:00pTennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts
Take: Tennessee Titans +7-104in 2d
5* Wiseguy Titans/Colts AFC South Showdown on Tennessee +7


1:00pDetroit Lions vs Cincinnati Bengals
Take: Total 41? ov-102in 2d
5* Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Lions/Bengals OVER 41.5

1:00pTampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers
Take: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6?-110in 2d
4* on Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5


1:00pHouston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Take: Total 46 ov-110in 2d
4* on Texans/Jaguars OVER 46


1:00pNew Orleans Saints vs Washington Redskins
Take: Washington Redskins +9?-108in 2d
4* on Washington Redskins +9.5


4:05pSan Diego Chargers vs Cleveland Browns
Take: Cleveland Browns +13?+100in 2d
4* on Cleveland Browns +13.5
 

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did good last week

Florida Outlaw
Denver, Oakland, Jacksonville, Indianapolis, Atlanta, Detroit, Washington, Tampa Bay, Chicago,
Cleveland, San Francisco, Minnesota, Dallas, Patriots, Baltimore,
 
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Doug Williams


Tennessee +6.5 @ Indianapolis -6.5
5 of Indy's last 6, and 7 games overall have been decided by less than 4 points. They don't make it easy, but the Colts just win. They just don't cover.
Titans Cover +6.5

San Fran +1 @ Seattle -1
The Hawks OWN San Fran at home, and that Seahawks D is something else on Qwest Field.
Seattle Covers -1

Minnesota -3 @ Arizona +3
The Cards are a very good team....on the road. But life in their cushy dome hasn't been that pleseant this season.
Vikings Cover -3

Dallas -1 @ NYG +1
This Giants team is in trouble, and this Dallas squad is coming together, big time.
Dallas Covers -1
 

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