W/ Write up
sleepyj | NFL SideSun, 11/30/14 - 8:30 PM
triple-dime bet473 DEN 0.0 (-118) BetOnline vs 474 KAN
Analysis: First things first here...Don't listen to all the damn chatter surrounding KC. Sure they have revenge and are coming off a loss and also have plenty of time to prep and they are at home..Wow that's a bunch of good things for KC. Well to be honest i really don't care about that. Here is why Denver will roll KC...Let's get into the game. Denver on offense really got the ball moving last week Vs. Miami. A Miami defense i have rated much higher than KC. Sure Denver lost to St. Louis, but they had 3 road games in a row and they were banged up..It was so obvious they would have a bad game..They were due for a bad game all around..Now they got the offense rolling and this is the third week they have a running game to show for it. They got Sanders & both Thomas' will play..Throw in Wes Welker and now even jacob Tamme who has gotten reps...Denver's offense will be operating on all cylanders...KC won't be able to contain them..But Sleepy KC has the leagues #1 pass defense...No They Don't!!....They played the last 6 games Vs. Teams that can't throw and backup QB's...Let's name who they faced...Rivers in a offense that was lost 6 weeks ago...Austin Davis, Geno Smith, Kyle Orton...Throw Seattle right in the mix..They are the leagues 31st passing offense..and last week Oakland..Besides SD....I'll even say Oakland has the better passing offense out of all the teams i just named..Look up the stats...That's why KC lost!...They might have the # in pass defense but they havent played anyone in weeks who can pass..That type of layoff without seeing a powerful pass offense like Denver is going to hurt them here. Everyone jumped ship on Denver because they lost 1 game and looked subpar in another..Guys it's Denver relax..It's Primetime w. Manning. Denver wins this game they gain control of this division. A loss ties them with KC at 8-4...That's not going to happen. Let's take a look at the KC offense. They have the leagues worst passing offense and the leagues 5th rushing offense...What does Denver do well?...Stop the run plain and simple..Miami tried to run and they got 97 yards on the ground..Denver is not going to let Jamaal Charles kill them. They will force Alex Smith to beat them and if you take notice of who KC has to throw the ball too, they are very limited. You can't just turn a running team into a passing team over night. Denver will get a good lead here and this game will rely on Alex Smith to move the ball through the air. Now Denver gave up 36 to Miami. Yes and Denver could have covered the game if the RB didn't fall down. Not that that matter's but the fact that Denver gave up 36 points is a concern. Do you really think Denver's defense will come to play a Primetime game and give up that amount of points again to a strictly run based team..Not going to happen...Alex Smith has throw a toal of 5 TD passes in 6 weeks. Manning throws 5TD's in one game..How can you take Alex Smith to outscore Manning..Because this is really what it all comes down to is Alex Smith Vs. Peyton Manning...One thing about Denver here that i like is KC can be ran on..The issue with the RB situation for Denver has been ironed right out. Manning isn't the type of guy to take weeks to regroup..he does it quick and it's effective..Denver ran the ball Vs. Miami for 200+ yards...Miami can stop the run 10x better than KC...Sure the situation her favors KC..The stats tell a much different story.though. Denver beat these guys already and giving Manning a second look at your defense is a bad thing. Denver giving up a bunch of points to Miami is another bad thing here..No way does that defense let that happen again. I'm su*re everything you hear will be KC and every "Sharp" will have KC...Well we will grab this at a pickem..we lay nothing..and you heard it here first..Denver is going to lay a beatin on KC...KC hasn't seen a passing team in a long time..They will wish they did because Manning is coming to lay a beat down..Denver rolls 38-23