Service Plays Sunday 11/30/14

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Brady Kannon | NFL Side

dime bet – 471 NEP 3.0 (+105) vs 472 GBP

Analysis: Very few +3.5′s available out there currently but I think you can find one if you are patient and keep your eyes on it.

As the way the NFL season sits today, you would have to say that this is The SuperBowl. After both teams stumbled a bit out of the gate, they have both been on extremely impressive runs, often times blowing out the opposition with high powered offenses.. but what has gone a bit unnoticed is that fact that The Packers rush defense ranks near dead last in the league while New England has allowed just over 150-yards on the ground in its last 3-games, and that’s against The Lions, Colts, and Broncos.. all likely playoff teams. Along these lines, let’s also look at who The Packers have been getting healthy against.. The Vikings twice, The Bears twice, The Panthers.. they lost to The Saints and barely beat The Dolphins. New England, ever since getting hammered by The Chiefs, has beaten up on Cincinnati, The Bills, The Broncos, Colts, and Lions.

I do rate these teams as equal but I will give the defensive edge to The Patriots as evidenced by the fact that The Packers have given up more yardage this season, then they have gained..and also the resume nod goes to New England as they have been ascending to the top spot in the league against much stiffer competition.

In terms of one another facing each other’s division.. The Patriots are 9-and-2 ATS against The NFC North, including 6-and-0 ATS on the road. Green Bay, meanwhile is 6-and-14 ATS when hosting teams from The AFC East. New England is also a perfect 4-and-0 SUATS as underdogs this season.

.. and finally, The Brady & Belichick rules. Tom Terrific is 33-15-and-1 ATS as an underdog in his career and a perfect 4-and-0 SUATS when The Patriots record is .800 or better.

I am looking forward to a great watch but I can’t do anything but take the points here in what I see in both my numbers and the situation as a game that New England should win outright.
 

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Lots of inflated lines this morning. Washington is +8 1/2 (not 10). Cinn is -5 1/2 or -6 (not 3 1/2). New England -2 1/2 (not 3). I realize there will be some line moves, but if these guys are truly giving their plays out this morning, they shouldn't be quoting that they're getting key numbers like 3 and 10.


Here's just one example.....On some sites, the handicappers have the ability to place these 'plays' as early as Tuesday...same as the players (buyers of the plays do with offshore books. Don't blame the handicapper for the fact you waited till 3 hours before kickoff the look at his plays), but because most people don't 'buy' them when they are posted they get a different line.
 

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Paul Leiner:

2000* NFL Cardinals -2

1000* NFL Bengals -4

500* CBB Texas +1

100* CBB Over 133 Kentucky/Providence

100* NFL Vikings -2.5
 
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CHICAGO SPORTS GROUP

FORTUNE 500: 20* NFL Patriots +2½
FORTUNE 500: 20* NFL Bengals under 44½
FORTUNE 500: 20* NFL Bills -3
EXECUTIVE: 10* NFL Colts -8
EXECUTIVE: 10* NFL Steelers -3½
DIRECTORS: 10* NFL Cardinals over 45
 

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game:
San Antonio Spurs @ Boston Celtics
Time: Sunday 11/30 1:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Game Total UNDER 205.5 (-105) at 5Dimes

Boston hasn't been playing much defense this season, but the coaching staff has been emphasizing it this week. Into town comes San Antonio, the best defensive team in the league allowing 92.7 points per game. San Antonio is 7-2 UNDER the total on the road and on a 12-5 run UNDER the total overall. Boston has shown some recent improvement defensively despite losing a fifth straight at home, 109-102 to Chicago on Friday. The Spurs turn to that great defense on the road, 6-1 UNDER the total against the East. Look for them to control the pace. This total is too high. Play the Spurs/Celtics UNDER the total.
 
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HIGH ROLLERS CLUB

20* NFL Panthers +2½ and 10* NFL OVER 42
20* NFL Patriots +2½ and 10* NFL UNDER 57
20* NFL Bills -3 and 10* NFL UNDER 42
20* NFL Broncos +1 and 10* NFL OVER 49
20* NFL Bengals -4 and 10* NFL OVER 44½
 

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Here are today's system bet(s):


Toronto {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet under the original NBA Betting System


San Antonio {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet under the original NBA Betting System



Note that all bets labeled with {A} are bets under the original NBA system, and are not Exterminator system plays. Only bet on these game if you are able to buy 3 points at -170 odds!


All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.



Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System
 
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FRED CALLAHAN
20* NFL Broncos +1
20* NFL Cardinals -1½
20* NFL Raiders under 42
15* NFL Colts -8
15* NFL Titans +7
10* NFL Steelers under 55
 
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TONY CAMPONE
20* NFL Panthers +2½
CADILLAC: 20* NFL Bills -3
CADILLAC: 20* NFL Patriots +2½
WISEGUY ACTION: 10* NFL Broncos over 49
WISEGUY ACTION: 10* NFL Colts -8
SHARP EDGE: 10* NFL Jaguars under 44½
 
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Scott " bulldog " rickenback



NFL Nov 30 '14
1:00p Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Take: Total 44 ov-110 in 1h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* (Top Play) on OVER in Tampa Bay vs. Cincinnati @ 1:00 p.m. ET
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Cincinnati Bengals Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on OVER in Tampa Bay with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. Tampa Bay has given its opponents great starting field position this season, rankings among the bottom of the NFL in punting stats. The Bengals have a dangerous return team that should have Cincinnati in striking distance on most drives. 2. Tampa Bay’s defense has beat up on some offensively-challenged teams recently, slowing down Washington and Chicago. The Bengals are getting their legs back under them after having key weapons in and out all season. Receiver AJ Green is back to full strength and dynamic RB Giovanni Bernard will have another game under his belt since return from injury. The Cincinnati offense – which has erupted for big games – should be firing on all cylinders in Week 13. 3. The Bucs are seeing some explosiveness of their own with the football. Rookie WR Mike Evans has been dominating opposing secondaries in recent weeks, totaling 505 yards and six touchdowns in the past four games. With his deep-ball threat drawing attention, it also opens up the offense for easier passes underneath and draw plays. Play on OVER in Tampa Bay as a 10* Top Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.

Pick released on Nov 29 at 05:16 pm
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 30 '14
1:00p New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Take: New Orleans Saints +5-110 in 1h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 8* (Regular Play) on New Orleans at Pittsburgh @ 1:00 p.m. ET
The Pittsburgh Steelers host the New Orleans Saints Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on New Orleans with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Saints are being undervalued in this matchup, with oddsmakers looking to their past struggles away from home when setting this line. New Orleans has been a bad pay on the road but has already shown it can win away from the Big Easy with a huge divisional victory in Carolina. 2. New Orleans isn’t relying solely on the passing game against the Steelers. The Saints have an impressive balance on offense, and are able to pound the football with RBs Mark Ingram and Pierre Thomas. New Orleans has the ninth-best rushing attack in the NFL, averaging 124.8 yards on the ground per game. They are among the top teams in time of possession - 30:46 – and can take the air out of the Steelers offense. 3. Saints TE Jimmy Graham is a handful for any defense, but Pittsburgh has been bullied by big TEs this season. Eight of the 19 receiving touchdowns Pittsburgh has allowed have been caught by tight ends. Graham had two TD catches in last week’s loss to Baltimore.
Play on New Orleans as an 8* Regular Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.

Pick released on Nov 29 at 05:17 pm
-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 30 '14
4:25p New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers
Take: New England Patriots +3+103 in 4h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* (Top Play) on New England at Green Bay @ 4:25 p.m. ET
The Green Bay Packers host the New England Patriots Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on New England with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Patriots have faced and conquered some of the elite passers in the NFL this season. New England has wins over Peyton Manning, Andrew Luck, and Matthew Stafford the last three games, so facing a red-hot Aaron Rodgers is nothing new to this secondary. 2. The Patriots offense isn’t getting the respect it deserves in this matchup. New England is putting the ball in the end zone any which way it can. One week, Tom Brady is hitting his WRs for huge strikes. The next TE Rob Gronkowski is plowing through the secondary. And the week after that, New England is rushing the ball down its opponent’s throat. The Pats have far too many ways to find paydirt. 3. Green Bay’s defense has depended on turnovers to make up for its sub-par stats. However, don’t expect New England to just hand the ball over. The Patriots have just nine turnovers on the year with all nine coming via Tom Brady, either by interception of fumble. New England just isn’t going to give Green Bay any extra chances with the football.
Play on New England as a 10* Top Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.

Pick released on Nov 29 at 05:16 pm
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 30 '14
8:30p Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs
Take: Denver Broncos -1-102 in 8h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 8* (Regular Play) on Denver at Kansas City @ 8:30 p.m. ET
The Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on Denver with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. Denver hasn’t played its best football the last two weeks, losing to St. Louis and narrowly avoiding another upset against Miami. The Broncos know that level of football won’t cut it in Arrowhead Stadium. Expect Denver to pick it up against this divisional foe, covering the spread in eight of their last 12 games versus AFC West rivals. 2. The Broncos aren’t just leaning on their passing game to get the job done and can keep the Chiefs defense on their toes with the emergence of their rushing attack. Denver rumbled for 205 yards in the win over Miami and had 118 yards against Oakland three weeks ago. A potent running game will limit the amount of pressure Kansas City can bring at Peyton Manning, opening up the passing attack. 3. The Chiefs have weapons but aren’t the most explosive offense, picking up only 5.3 yards per play – 21st in the NFL. If Denver gets up big – and it will – Kansas City can’t shift into that next gear. We saw this in the first meeting between these teams, when the Broncos jumped out early and Kansas City couldn’t come back, despite keeping Denver out of the end zone in second half.
Play on Denver as an 8* Regular Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.

Pick released on Nov 29 at 05:17 pm
 
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Sports Locksmith

NCAAB:
Tennessee Tech +7 -110 2* (2:00 Eastern)
Lipscomb +15 -110 3* (2:00 Eastern)
Fresno State +6.5 -110 2* (6:00 Eastern)

NBA:
Chairman's Play:
Sacramento +3 -110 4*(6:00 Eastern)

NFL:
Tampa Bay +5.5 -110 2* (1:00 Eastern)
Washington +8.5 -110 2* (1:00 Eastern)
Chairman's Play:
Kansas City -1 -110 4* (8:30 Eastern)
 

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